Core Viewpoint - Zhongshan Public Utility Group Co., Ltd. has successfully issued its first ultra-short-term financing bond for 2025, with a total issuance amount of 500 million RMB at an interest rate of 1.66% [2]. Group 1: Financing Bond Issuance - The company held board and shareholder meetings on September 23 and October 24, 2024, to approve the registration for issuing ultra-short-term financing bonds and medium-term notes, with a total registration amount not exceeding 2 billion RMB for ultra-short-term bonds and 3 billion RMB for medium-term notes [1]. - The company received approval for the registration of ultra-short-term financing bonds with a registered amount of 2 billion RMB, valid for two years from the date of the notice [1]. - The first ultra-short-term financing bond, named "25 Zhongshan Public SCP001," has a term of 270 days, with an interest start date of July 4, 2025, and a maturity date of March 31, 2026 [2]. Group 2: Subscription Details - The planned issuance amount for the bond was 500 million RMB, which was fully subscribed at the same amount [2]. - There were 19 compliant subscription applications totaling 2.28 billion RMB, with the highest subscription rate at 2.20% and the lowest at 1.55% [2]. - The lead underwriter for this bond issuance was China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd., with CITIC Bank Co., Ltd. as the co-lead underwriter [2].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is positive, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector, with a focus on companies with stable performance and reasonable valuations [35]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the North Exchange 50 Index experienced a slight decline of 1.71% this week, closing at 1415.04 points, while the average market capitalization of A-share constituent stocks is 3.083 billion [5][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on quality stocks with stable growth and reasonable valuations in the North Exchange, particularly in the context of the 2025 investment landscape [5]. Summary by Sections Overall Market Overview - As of July 4, 2025, the North Exchange A-share market consists of 268 stocks, with an average market capitalization of 3.083 billion. The North Exchange 50 Index saw a decline of 1.71% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index increased by 1.54% [5][11]. - The average daily trading volume for the North Exchange 50 was 27.983 billion, down 17.81% from the previous week, with a turnover rate of 3.18% [5][24]. Stock and Industry Performance - In the past week, 50 stocks increased in value, while 217 stocks decreased, resulting in an increase ratio of 18.66%, which is a decrease of 74.63 percentage points week-on-week [17]. - The top five performing industries were Beauty Care (8.60%), Light Industry Manufacturing (1.9%), Pharmaceutical Biology (1.57%), Transportation (0.60%), and Environmental Protection (0.47%). Conversely, the bottom five industries included Electronics (-4.86%), Automotive (-4.58%), Communications (-3.92%), Media (-3.88%), and Public Utilities (-3.22%) [19][22]. New Stock Updates - No new stocks were listed on the North Exchange this week, but one company, Jinhua New Materials, passed the review for listing, while another, Beikang Testing, is scheduled for review next week [28][29]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report identifies key companies to watch, including: - Tongli Co., Ltd. (stock code: 834599.BJ) with a buy rating and an expected EPS of 1.99 for 2025 [6]. - Wuxin Tunnel Equipment (stock code: 835174.BJ) also rated as buy with an expected EPS of 1.64 for 2025 [6]. - Kaide Quartz (stock code: 835179.BJ) rated as hold with an expected EPS of 1.03 for 2025 [6]. - Hualing Co., Ltd. (stock code: 430139.BJ) rated as hold with an expected EPS of 0.34 for 2025 [6]. - Hengtou Open Source (stock code: 834415.BJ) rated as hold with an expected EPS of 0.22 for 2025 [6]. - Tianli Composite (stock code: 873576.BJ) rated as buy with an expected EPS of 1.03 for 2025 [6].

Market Overview - Major industry ETFs in the US stock market mostly declined, with the Consumer Discretionary ETF dropping over 1%, the Semiconductor ETF falling nearly 1%, and the Biotechnology Index ETF decreasing by 0.7% [1] ETF Performance - Consumer Discretionary ETF (US XLY) current price: $218.19, down by $3.02 (-1.37%), with a trading volume of 115,000 shares and a total market value of $27.405 billion, year-to-date performance down by 2.27% [2] - Semiconductor ETF (US SMH) current price: $281.22, down by $2.40 (-0.85%), with a trading volume of 229,900 shares and a total market value of $3.324 billion, year-to-date performance up by 16.13% [2] - Biotechnology Index ETF (US IBB) current price: $129.11, down by $0.89 (-0.68%), with a trading volume of 22,713 shares and a total market value of $10.251 billion, year-to-date performance down by 2.26% [2] - Energy ETF (US XLE) current price: $86.56, down by $0.47 (-0.54%), with a trading volume of 1.4898 million shares and a total market value of $21.677 billion, year-to-date performance up by 2.67% [2] - Technology Sector ETF (US XLK) current price: $255.63, down by $1.33 (-0.52%), with a trading volume of 203,700 shares and a total market value of $81.304 billion, year-to-date performance up by 10.31% [2] - Healthcare ETF (US XLV) current price: $134.89, down by $0.61 (-0.45%), with a trading volume of 353,700 shares and a total market value of $25.813 billion, year-to-date performance down by 1.10% [2] - Global Technology ETF (US IXN) current price: $92.93, down by $0.40 (-0.43%), with a trading volume of 7,225 shares and a total market value of $1.301 billion, year-to-date performance up by 9.86% [2] - Consumer Staples ETF (US XLP) current price: $81.87, down by $0.31 (-0.38%), with a trading volume of 847,500 shares and a total market value of $13.854 billion, year-to-date performance up by 5.42% [2] - Internet ETF (US FDN) current price: $268.40, down by $0.62 (-0.23%), with a trading volume of 5,447 shares and a total market value of $178.22 billion, year-to-date performance up by 10.38% [2] - Utilities ETF (US XLU) current price: $81.75, down by $0.09 (-0.11%), with a trading volume of 672,400 shares and a total market value of $11.868 billion, year-to-date performance up by 9.53% [2] - Global Airlines ETF (US JETS) current price: $24.13, up by $0.01 (+0.03%), with a trading volume of 31,918 shares and a total market value of $76.0004 million, year-to-date performance down by 4.82% [2] - Banking ETF (US KBE) current price: $58.86, up by $0.04 (+0.07%), with a trading volume of 62,373 shares and a total market value of $4.556 billion, year-to-date performance up by 7.60% [2] - Financials ETF (US XLF) current price: $53.24, up by $0.05 (+0.09%), with a trading volume of 1.5935 million shares and a total market value of $59.259 billion, year-to-date performance up by 10.94% [2] - Regional Banks ETF (US KRE) current price: $63.36, up by $0.13 (+0.21%), with a trading volume of 282,500 shares and a total market value of $5.288 billion, year-to-date performance up by 6.41% [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed results on July 7, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3473.13 points, up 0.02%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.7% to 10435.51 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 1.21% to 2130.19 points, and the North Star 50 Index dropped by 0.93%. Total trading volume in the A-share market was 12272.11 billion, a decrease of 2274.88 billion from the previous trading day [1]. Capital Flow - The main capital in the A-share market experienced a net outflow of 140.42 billion, with an opening net outflow of 86.67 billion and a closing net outflow of 9.72 billion [2]. - The CSI 300 index saw a net outflow of 43.46 billion, while the ChiNext experienced a net outflow of 92.68 billion. Conversely, the Sci-Tech Innovation Board recorded a net inflow of 3.55 billion [4]. Sector Performance - Among the 12 sectors in the Shenwan first-level industry classification, 12 sectors saw net capital inflows, with the public utilities sector leading with a net inflow of 35.12 billion [6]. - The top five sectors with net capital inflows included: - Public Utilities: 35.12 billion, up 3.21% - Real Estate: 25.82 billion, up 1.86% - Construction Decoration: 12.20 billion, up 1.04% - Electric Equipment: 8.42 billion, up 1.25% - Environmental Protection: 6.68 billion, up 0.86% [7]. Institutional Activity - The institutional buying activity was notable in several stocks, with Qingdao Kingking leading with a net inflow of 6.41 billion [8]. - The top stocks with institutional net buying included: - Qingdao Kingking: 9449.43 million, up 9.99% - Yihua New Materials: 4887.98 million, down 8.59% - Haoshanghao: 3158.16 million, down 5.14% [10]. Institutional Focus - Recent institutional attention was directed towards several stocks, with notable ratings and target prices: - Ruantong Power: Buy rating, target price 66.97, current price 51.90, upside potential 29.04% - Wuxi Zhenhua: Buy rating, target price 37.03, current price 32.75, upside potential 13.07% - Dize Pharmaceutical-U: Buy rating, target price 89.42, current price 64.71, upside potential 38.19% [11].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.02% on July 7, with 18 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the comprehensive and public utilities sectors, which increased by 2.57% and 1.87% respectively [1] - The coal and pharmaceutical sectors saw the largest declines, with decreases of 2.04% and 0.97% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 14.337 billion yuan, with 10 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The light industry manufacturing sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 930 million yuan, while the real estate sector followed with a net inflow of 917 million yuan and a daily increase of 1.68% [1] - The electronics sector experienced the largest net outflow, totaling 4.475 billion yuan, followed by the pharmaceutical sector with a net outflow of 3.430 billion yuan [1] Public Utilities Sector Performance - The public utilities sector increased by 1.87% with a net capital inflow of 361 million yuan, where 122 out of 131 stocks in this sector rose, including 11 stocks that hit the daily limit [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the public utilities sector were Leshan Electric Power (151 million yuan), Changjiang Electric Power (91.37 million yuan), and Huadian International (84.73 million yuan) [2] - The sector also had five stocks with significant net outflows, led by Huayin Electric Power (-347.25 million yuan), Xiexin Energy (-343.71 million yuan), and Shenzhen Nande A (-138.48 million yuan) [4] Public Utilities Sector Capital Inflow and Outflow - The top inflow stocks in the public utilities sector included: - Leshan Electric Power: +9.99%, 21.36% turnover, 150.57 million yuan inflow - Changjiang Electric Power: +0.33%, 0.21% turnover, 91.37 million yuan inflow - Huadian International: +2.14%, 1.35% turnover, 84.73 million yuan inflow [2] - The top outflow stocks included: - Huayin Electric Power: +10.02%, 11.74% turnover, -347.25 million yuan outflow - Xiexin Energy: +4.28%, 14.39% turnover, -343.71 million yuan outflow - Shenzhen Nande A: +10.00%, 28.53% turnover, -138.48 million yuan outflow [4]

Group 1 - Tianbao Energy's stock price closed at HKD 1.0 per share, with a significant increase of 23.46% and a trading volume of 1.09 million shares, totaling HKD 1.0223 million, with a volatility of 30.86% [1] - Over the past month, Tianbao Energy has seen a cumulative increase of 26.56%, and a year-to-date increase of 108.07%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 19.22% [1] - Financial data shows that as of December 31, 2024, Tianbao Energy achieved total revenue of CNY 824 million, a year-on-year growth of 4.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 4.53 million, a remarkable increase of 1655.81% [1] Group 2 - The company operates primarily in power supply, power generation, steam supply, and heating and cooling services, with additional businesses in engineering construction, power maintenance, and electrical equipment sales [2] - Tianbao Energy was established in 1992 and is a state-owned enterprise under Tianjin Port Free Trade Zone, having been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since April 27, 2018 [2] - The company has received multiple honors for safety and cultural contributions, including being recognized as an advanced unit in safety production and a model enterprise for safety culture in Tianjin [2] Group 3 - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the public utility industry is 6.21 times, with a median of 6.24 times, while Tianbao Energy's P/E ratio stands at 26.48 times, ranking 53rd in the industry [1] - Comparatively, other companies in the industry have significantly lower P/E ratios, such as Dianchi Water (2.21 times), Xinglu Water (3.05 times), and Shanghai Industrial Environment (3.94 times) [1]

Group 1 - The phenomenon of "involution" is most pronounced among young people, with average weekly working hours increasing by over 4 hours in the past five years. The average weekly working hours for employees aged 25-34 rose from 46.7 hours in 2018 to 50.8 hours in 2023 [3][28] - The average daily working time in China increased by 21 minutes from 2018 to 2023, reaching 48.3 hours per week, while the time spent on purchasing goods and services dropped from 80 minutes per day to 43 minutes per day [2][9] - The "involution" trend is particularly evident in the manufacturing and productive service sectors, while the real estate and life service sectors have seen a decrease in working hours [2][21] Group 2 - Current policies to combat "involution" focus on encouraging flexible work arrangements and paid leave, but these measures primarily address symptoms rather than the root causes of prolonged working hours [4][35] - The root cause of "involution" is the uneven distribution of employment across industries, with excessive employment in manufacturing leading to "involution" and insufficient employment in the service sector [4][48] - There is a significant employment gap in the life service sector, with a potential to absorb more jobs, as the wage growth in this sector (18.1%) outpaces that of manufacturing (10.7%) [5][61] Group 3 - The long-term direction for combating "involution" involves aligning supply structures with changing demand structures, particularly as consumer demand trends towards services [6][85] - Global experiences indicate that as GDP per capita reaches between $10,000 and $30,000 and urbanization rates hit 70%, the proportion of service consumption in total consumption increases by approximately 0.6% annually [6][86] - The aging population is expected to drive service consumption, with each 1% increase in the aging rate correlating with a 1.3% increase in service consumption share [6][93]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Infrastructure Index (H300 Infrastructure) has shown mixed performance, with a slight decline over the past month but an overall increase year-to-date [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The H300 Infrastructure Index closed at 1863.49 points, down 0.58% over the past month, up 3.05% over the past three months, and up 7.33% year-to-date [1]. - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of listed companies in various sectors such as banking, transportation, resources, infrastructure, logistics, and leisure, selected from the China Securities Hong Kong 300 Index [1]. Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten holdings of the H300 Infrastructure Index include China Mobile (34.05%), CLP Holdings (8.58%), CK Hutchison Holdings (8.35%), China Telecom (4.94%), Power Assets Holdings (4.92%), Hong Kong and China Gas (4.8%), China Unicom (3.68%), Towngas China (3.27%), Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings (2.57%), and China Resources Power (2.55%) [1]. - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with telecommunications services accounting for 52.65% and public utilities for 42.03% of the holdings [2]. Group 3: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2]. - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2].

涨停股中，*ST国华、ST金鸿等10只股为ST股。连续涨停天数看，*ST亚振已连收7个涨停板，连续涨 停板数量最多。从收盘涨停板封单量来看，华银电力最受资金追捧，收盘涨停板封单有4153.28万股， 其次是韶能股份、金一文化等，涨停板封单分别有4064.75万股、3886.70万股。以封单金额计算，国投 中鲁、华银电力、韶能股份等涨停板封单资金较多，分别有3.94亿元、2.78亿元、2.49亿元。（数据 宝） 两市涨停股一览 | 002052 | 同洲电子 | 12.42 | 8.37 | 294.63 | 3659.30 | 家用电器 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603256 | 宏和科技 | 20.25 | 5.82 | 170.42 | 3451.01 | 建筑材料 | | 605500 | 森林包装 | 9.97 | 11.70 | 317.37 | 3164.23 | 轻工制造 | | 603822 | 嘉澳环保 | 57.16 | 6.14 | 51.74 | 2957.46 | 基础化工 | | 603976 | 正川股份 | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The balance of bank convertible bonds may shrink by approximately 10 billion yuan this year, and by the end of 2025, it may be around 9 billion yuan. If other commercial banks can follow the example of state - owned banks' low - PB private placements, there may be a possibility of supplementary supply of bank convertible bonds [3][4]. - The replacement bottom - position varieties should have the characteristics of high rating, low volatility, and high capital capacity. It is recommended to pay attention to AAA - rated convertible bonds in non - banking finance and general public utilities for low - volatility and high - rating, and photovoltaic equipment and pig - breeding convertible bonds for large capital capacity [3][40]. - For photovoltaic equipment convertible bonds, it is recommended to screen leading individual bonds and leave room for rating downgrades. When the convertible bond price is low, gradually build a position [2][22]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. The balance of bank convertible bonds may shrink by about 10 billion yuan this year - As of June 30, 2025, there were 10 bank convertible bonds in the market, with a balance of 13.49 billion yuan, a decrease of 7 bonds and 11.1 billion yuan compared with the end of 2023. If the relevant convertible bonds are all delisted, the balance of bank convertible bonds will further shrink by 10.13 billion yuan to 8.98 billion yuan by the end of 2025 compared with the end of 2024 [4]. - The shrinkage of bank convertible bond scale may be irreversible in the short term. It is necessary to observe the progress of bank capital replenishment. Currently, the policy supports state - owned large - scale banks to replenish core tier - one capital. This year, the private placement prices of four state - owned big banks were lower than 1 - time PB, about 0.7 - time PB. There are bank convertible bonds totaling 2.9 billion yuan that have been announced but not issued, and the current PB multiples of the underlying stocks are between 0.5 - 0.7 times [4]. 2. The replacement bottom - position varieties should have three characteristics: high rating, low volatility, and high capital capacity - Before 2024, bank convertible bonds mainly served as bottom - position allocation varieties, with limited contribution to returns. Since 2024, due to the strengthening of the dividend style, bank convertible bonds have advantages in both returns and volatility. After bank convertible bonds exit the market, investors may return to the pre - 2024 investment model, and the difficulty of participation has increased. Some investors may leave the convertible bond market [13]. - The replacement bottom - position varieties should have high rating, low volatility, and high capital capacity. Configuration is the primary function, and individual bond elastic returns are a by - product [13]. 3. Low - volatility and high - rating: AAA - rated convertible bonds in non - banking finance and general public utilities - As of June 30, there were 4 non - banking finance convertible bonds, with 3 AAA - rated ones having a total scale of 1.46 billion yuan. They belong to the same large - finance industry as bank convertible bonds, with low risks of underlying stock delisting and credit default. After a sharp rise, it is not recommended to chase the high. When the convertible bond price returns to around 110 - 115 yuan, it may be a good bottom - position allocation buying point [17]. - The so - called "general public utilities" include public utilities and transportation. There are 3 AAA - rated convertible bonds in this sector, with a balance of 1 billion yuan. The advantage is a long remaining term, and the disadvantage is a relatively high current convertible bond price and insufficient defense against underlying stock decline [18][20]. 4. Large capital capacity: Photovoltaic equipment and pig - breeding convertible bonds - Photovoltaic equipment and pig - breeding are both strong - cycle industries. The current balance of photovoltaic equipment convertible bonds is 6.08 billion yuan, and the balance of pig - breeding convertible bonds is 2.72 billion yuan. The photovoltaic equipment sector's net profit turned negative in 2024, and the pig - breeding sector may have passed the most difficult period, but the pig price has been falling since August 2024 [21]. - The advantages of photovoltaic equipment convertible bonds are low prices and high capital accommodation. It is recommended to screen leading individual bonds and leave room for rating downgrades. The advantage of pig - breeding convertible bonds is mainly large capital capacity, and it is necessary to pay attention to the marginal changes in the pig price [22].