事件：扬农化工发布 2025 年一季报，实现营业收入 32.41 亿元，同比增长 2.04%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润 4.35 亿元，同比微增 1.35%。按 4.07 亿股的总股本计算，实现摊薄每股收益 1.07 元。 行业景气逐步企稳，一季度销量提升情况良好。公司一季度营收同比微增 2.1%，其中原药、制剂、贸易及其他业务营收分别为 18.06、8.71、5.64 亿 元，较去年同期分别增加 0.82 亿元、增加 0.09 亿元、减少 0.26 亿元；其 中原药业务营收增长是收入提升主要原因。 公司报告 | 季报点评 扬农化工（600486） 证券研究报告 一季报业绩符合预期，期待葫芦岛基地投产 辽宁优创建设稳步进行，加快推进创制药成果产出。2024 年，辽宁优创一 期第一阶段项目已经建成，正在陆续进行调试生产，功夫菊酯等多个品种 已拿出合格产品。辽宁优创一期一阶段、二阶段项目相继投产运营，将进 一步优化公司产品布局，形成新的业绩增长点，为公司持续稳健发展奠定 坚实基础。创制药方面，公司自主创制水平居行业领先，在我国自主创制、 年销售额超过亿元的 6 个品种中，公司占居 3 个。公司进一步推动创制化 ...

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 国投电力（600886） 证券研究报告 25 年 Q1 水电表现稳健，盈利韧性足 事件 近期，公司发布 2024 年年度报告以及 2025 年一季报。 2024 年公司实现营业收入 578.2 亿元，同比增长 1.95%；实现归母净利润 66.4 亿元，同比-0.9%； 2025 年 Q1 公司实现营业收入 131.2 亿元，同比减少 7%；实现归母净利润 20.8 亿元，同比增长 2.1%。 水电：24 年雅砻江受税费影响业绩下滑，25 年 Q1 表现稳健 2024 年全年：雅砻江水电上网电量 924.5 亿千瓦时，同比+10.4%；上网电 价 0.301 元/千瓦时，同比-2.9%。根据公司披露的数据，雅砻江水电 2024 年实现净利润 82.7 亿元，同比-4.5%；对应 Q4 净利润约 3 亿元，Q4 雅砻 江水电净利润相较于 23 年同期同比下滑约 77%。从经营层面看，2024 年 Q4 雅砻江水电发电量和上网电价分别为 210.7 亿千瓦时和 0.296 元/千瓦 时，分别同比下降 5.45%和 5.43%，此外四季度的利润下滑也与缴纳税费同 比增加有关。 2025 ...

2025 年 05 月 06 日 玲珑轮胎 (601966) ——24Q4 产销量创新高，业绩受原料及费用计提影响较大， 海外第三基地落地巴西 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 投资要点： zhaowq@swsresearch.com 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 22,058 | 5,697 | 25,954 | 29,026 | 31,140 | | 同比增长率（%） | 9.4 | 12.9 | 17.7 | 11.8 | 7.3 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,752 | 341 | 1,579 | 2,104 | 2,448 | | 同比增长率（%） | 26.0 | -22.8 | -9.9 | 33.3 | 16.4 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.20 | 0.23 | 1.08 | 1.44 | 1.67 | | 毛利率（%） | 22.1 | 14.9 | 18.7 | 18.8 | 18.9 | | ...

1Q25 盈利能力提升，高价船持续兑付。公司2024 年完工交付民品船舶93艘/721.34 万载重吨，吨位数完 成年计划的112.74%。公司全年修理完工船舶277 艘/21.69 亿元，交付应用产业设备产值16.94 亿元，海 洋工程业务交付1 艘34 万吨FPSO。2024 年/1Q25 公司毛利率为10.2%/12.8%（不含税金及附加），分别 同比-0.36/5.62ppt，1Q25 毛利率较大幅提升，我们判断主要系高价船持续交付确收。 费控较为稳健。2024 年公司销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为0.1%/3.9%/4.6%/-2.0%，同比 +0/-0.2/+0.4/-0.25ppt；1Q25 公司销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为0.1%/3.7%/3.5%/-1.4%，分别同比 +0/+0.06/-0.29/+1.38ppt。2024 年/1Q25 公司净利率为4.6%/7.1%分别同比+0.65/+4.48ppt。 在手订单饱满，结构优化。根据公司年报，截至2024 年末，公司累计手持民品船舶订单322 艘/2461.07 万载重吨/2169.62 亿元；修船订单63艘/9.18 亿元， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience as a market leader, with steady progress expected in 2025 [1] - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 15.13 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.7% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to be 1.485 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.46% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights that the hot pot ingredient products show better performance than the industry average, with a revenue of 7.84 billion yuan in 2024, up 11% year-on-year [7] - The company’s profit margins remain stable despite pressures from raw material costs and promotions [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 15.13 billion yuan in 2024 to 18.22 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.01% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 1.625 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.96 billion yuan in 2027, representing a CAGR of about 7% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 5.54 yuan in 2025 to 6.68 yuan in 2027 [1][8] Financial Ratios - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 13.30 in 2025 to 11.03 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [1][8] - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 23.3%, with a slight decline expected in subsequent years [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 12.02% in 2025 to 13.23% in 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.258 billion in 2024, a decrease of 9.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 267 million, down 19.17% year-on-year [2][4]. - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 178 million, reflecting a significant decline of 44.2% year-on-year and 48.87% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 9 million, down 87.22% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 286 million, a decrease of 18.33% year-on-year but a substantial increase of 60.5% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2024 was 12.58 billion, with a net profit of 2.67 billion, and a non-recurring net profit also at 2.67 billion, indicating a decrease in profitability [2][4]. - The revenue breakdown shows that high-temperature alloy casting generated 420 million (down 33.3%), while deformation high-temperature alloys brought in 520 million (up 18.4%) [4]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 33.93%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 21.23%, down 2.63 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Investment Projects - The company’s fixed assets increased to 770 million by the end of 2024, with ongoing projects expected to enhance production capacity [4]. - The completion of the automated processing line for aviation components is expected to significantly contribute to the company’s production capabilities [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 363 million, 469 million, and 668 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 36%, 29%, and 42% [4]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 24, 18, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].