石油沥青日报 | 2025-05-13 宏观情绪好转，沥青盘面跟随原油走强 市场分析 1、5月12日沥青期货下午盘收盘行情：主力BU2506合约下午收盘价3481元/吨，较昨日结算价上涨53元/吨，涨幅 1.55%；持仓107567手，环比下降2504手，成交165731手，环比下跌28348手。 2、卓创资讯重交沥青现货结算价：东北，3700—4086元/吨；山东，3430—3750元/吨；华南，3320—3460元/吨； 华东，3500—3570元/吨。 昨日山东、华南以及川渝地区沥青现货价格出现上涨，其余地区沥青现货价格大体企稳。原油以及沥青期货整体 走势偏强，支撑沥青现货市场氛围，日盘收盘后中美首轮谈判发布联合声明，带动宏观情绪转暖，对沥青盘面存 在进一步提振。就沥青自身基本面而言，供需两弱格局延续，库存维持低位，市场存在支撑。但另一方面，沥青 终端需求增长幅度仍有限，或制约现货价格的上行动力。 策略 单边：震荡 跨期：无 跨品种：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 原油价格大幅波动、宏观风险、海外原料供应风险、沥青终端需求变动、装置开工负荷变动等 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一 ...

【5 月 13 日国内期市原油系板块表现各异】5 月 13 日，国内期市原油系板块中，液化石油气主力跌逾 2%，其余品种有涨。截至目前，液化石油气主力下跌 2.18%，报 4267.00 元/吨；原油主力上涨 0.74%，报 477.90 元/桶；燃料油主力上涨 1.08%，报 2993.00 元/吨；低硫燃料油主力上涨 1.18%，报 3520.00 元/吨。5 月 12 日商品仓单数据显示，中质含硫原油期货仓单 4029000 桶，环比减少 615000 桶；燃料油期货仓单 44390 吨，环比减少 6730 吨；石油沥青厂库期货仓单 30960 吨，环比持平；液化 石油气期货仓单 6762 手，环比增加 415 手；低硫燃料油仓库期货仓单 26270 吨，环比减少 15980 吨。 截止 5 月 12 日，据基差数据，燃料油、沥青、液化石油气、低硫燃料油品种合约出现"期现倒挂"现 象。其中，燃料油现货价格 5470 元，期货价格2961 元，基差 2509 元，基差率 45.87%；沥青现货价格 3585 元，期货价格 3447 元，基差 138 元，基差率 3.85%；液化石油气现货价格 4905 元 ...

煤油产量：23.0 万吨 同比增长：20.2% 增速较上一年同期变化：高7.6个百分点 摘要：【图】2025年3月天津市煤油产量统计分析 2025年3月煤油产量统计： 2025年1-3月煤油产量统计： 煤油产量：69.2 万吨 据统计，2025年1－3月，天津市规模以上工业企业煤油产量与上年同期相比增长了46.8%，达69.2万 吨，增速较上一年同期高30.6个百分点，继续保持增长，增速较同期全国高48.1个百分点，约占同期全 国规模以上企业煤油产量1398.9万吨的比重为4.9%。详见下图： 图2：天津市煤油产量分月（累计值）统计图 图1：天津市煤油产量分月（当月值）统计图 据统计，2025年3月天津市规模以上工业企业煤油产量与上年同期相比增长了20.2%，达23.0万吨，增速 较上一年同期高7.6个百分点，继续保持增长，增速较同期全国高21.5个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上 企业煤油产量489.8万吨的比重为4.7%。 详见下图： 同比增长：46.8% 增速较上一年同期变化：高30.6个百分点 产业调研网为您提供更多 石油化工行业最新动态 石油市场调研及发展趋势 化工行业监测及发展趋势 日化未来发展趋势预 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the economic growth and development of Maoming, a city in Guangdong, which is leveraging its unique agricultural and industrial strengths to enhance its GDP ranking and attract investment [1][2][3]. Economic Development - Maoming is projected to rank 8th in Guangdong's GDP by Q1 2025, surpassing cities like Jiangmen and Zhaoqing, as well as provincial sub-centers like Zhanjiang and Shantou [1][7]. - The city is recognized for its significant contributions from the lychee and petrochemical industries, with lychee production reaching 620,900 tons in 2023, accounting for approximately 25% of China's total and 20% globally [2][5]. - The petrochemical sector generated an industrial output value of 180.59 billion yuan in 2022, with a value-added contribution of 44.44 billion yuan [2]. Investment and Infrastructure - Maoming has been designated as a key platform for industrial transfer in Guangdong, with 45 new projects in 2023, amounting to an investment of approximately 24.6 billion yuan [2][10]. - Fixed asset investment growth in Maoming has consistently outpaced the provincial average, with a reported growth of 4.6% in Q1 2025, exceeding the provincial average by 10.8 percentage points [4][7]. Agricultural Innovation - The city is advancing its agricultural sector through digital technologies, with initiatives like the "AI+" model improving pest diagnosis accuracy to over 95% and increasing production efficiency by 30% [5][6]. - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery in Maoming is expected to reach 120.89 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining the highest figures in the province [6]. Population Dynamics - Maoming has seen a population increase, with the urbanization rate rising by 2.27 percentage points to 48.11% by the end of 2024, indicating a trend of population return to the city [7][11]. - The city is experiencing a resurgence of talent and investment, with many individuals returning from major cities to engage in entrepreneurial activities [7][13]. Industrial Transformation - The city is focusing on industrial transformation through initiatives like the "Five Chains" strategy, which includes the petrochemical industry, zero-carbon industry, automotive electronics, new energy storage, and titanium industry [9][10]. - Significant investments are being made in new industrial projects, with 4.3 billion yuan allocated to accelerate the establishment of key enterprises and projects [9][10]. Urbanization and Infrastructure - Maoming is advancing new urbanization efforts, particularly in healthcare and education, with a hospitalization rate of 90% and significant improvements in educational infrastructure [12][13]. - The city is enhancing its urban functions to facilitate better interaction between urban and rural populations, creating a conducive environment for business and living [13].

燃 料 油 日期 鹿特丹3.5% HSF O掉期 M1 鹿特丹0.5% VLS FO掉期 M1 鹿特丹HSFO-Br ent M1 鹿特丹10ppm G asoil掉期 M1 鹿特丹VLSFO-G O M1 LGO-Brent M1 鹿特丹VLSFO-H SFO M1 2025/05/06 380.62 426.34 -2.19 571.31 -144.97 16.94 45.72 2025/05/07 376.49 422.72 -1.76 558.93 -136.21 16.36 46.23 2025/05/08 385.77 431.14 -1.51 571.02 -139.88 16.22 45.37 2025/05/09 391.29 432.57 -1.45 579.21 -146.64 16.19 41.28 2025/05/12 402.21 442.91 -1.29 591.43 -148.02 16.88 40.70 变化 10.92 10.34 0.16 12.22 -1.38 0.69 -0.58 新加坡VLSFO M 新加坡380cst-Br 新加坡VLSFO-G | 日期 | | ...

s 加蒙期货 沥青早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/5/13 | | 指标 | 4/10 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/12 | 日度变化 | 間度変化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | BU主力合约 BU06 | 3332 3332 | 3361 3361 | 3383 3383 | 3453 3453 | 3481 3481 | 28 28 | 120 120 | | | BU09 | 3293 | 3286 | 3318 | 3377 | 3416 | 39 | 130 | | | BU12 | 3205 | 3143 | 3161 | 3209 | 3246 | 37 | 103 | | HTT | BU03 | 3225 | 3164 | 3170 | 3210 | 3226 | 16 | 62 | | | 成交量 | 529406 | 348243 | 330465 | 355627 | 325098 | -30529 | -23145 | | | 持仓量 | 415542 | 367957 | ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **LPG**: The supply from the US is expected to decrease in mid - late May as the tariff grace period for "in - transit goods" ends, while the Middle East will maintain high output. China's demand may decline due to high tariffs, and India's demand is expected to increase. The EIA inventory has risen, and the price shows a pattern of FEI with butane stronger than propane and May CP with propane stronger than butane. After May 13th, the US exports to China may significantly decrease, and the future situation in Japan and India needs further attention [10]. - **Methanol**: The supply, including domestic production, imports, and traditional downstream, is under pressure. The demand from downstream and olefins is weakening. The inventory situation shows that the support of low inventory for the basis is weakening. The price structure is weak, and the overall pattern of methanol is bearish. It is recommended to short on rebounds, and the price above 2300 points in the long - term is under pressure [56]. - **Polyolefins**: The supply of PP and PE has support from coal - chemical summer maintenance, but the demand is weakening as it enters the off - season. The inventory, cost, and price structure show certain characteristics. Affected by oil prices and tariff policies, the market sentiment is poor, and the polyolefin market is expected to run weakly in the short term, and it is advisable to wait and see [124]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs LPG - **Supply** - **US**: The "in - transit goods" tariff exemption is about to end, and the output will gradually decrease in mid - late May, with the export focus shifting to other regions [10][14]. - **Middle East**: It is expected to maintain a strong output pattern to China and India in May [10][22]. - **Demand** - **Asia**: South Korea's demand is poor, and Japan will receive a large amount of US LPG in May [29]. - **China and India**: The arrival volume of US LPG will decrease in mid - late May, and India is turning to the US to purchase cheaper propane [35]. - **Inventory**: As of the week of May 2, the US propane and propylene inventory level has risen for the third consecutive week, and the production has slightly decreased but is still higher than the same period in previous years [10]. - **Price and Structure** - **Price**: As of May 8, FEI propane prices were stable, and butane prices were relatively strong. The May CP price of propane decreased by 5 dollars/ton, and butane decreased by 15 dollars/ton [10]. - **Structure**: The FEI - MOPJ spread widened, and the CP propylene - butane spread widened, reflecting China's attempt to find alternative supplies [10]. Methanol - **Supply** - **Domestic**: Short - term maintenance is rare, and the high - level supply pressure will be maintained. The weekly average output in late May is expected to slightly decrease to the range of 95 - 100 tons [56]. - **Import**: The arrival is increasing, and the pressure of import recovery will gradually appear in May. The overseas overall start - up has slightly declined [56]. - **Traditional**: The start - up of formaldehyde and acetic acid is at a high level, but the start - up of MTBE continues to decline [56]. - **Demand** - **Downstream**: The olefin load has decreased due to coal - chemical maintenance. As of May 8, the MTO start - up rate was 75.99% (- 2.08%) [56]. - **Inland**: The inland market has entered the off - season with low inventory [56]. - **Inventory** - **Inland**: As of May 7, the sample inventory of inland production enterprises was 30.39 tons (+ 2.06), and the pending orders were 23.78 tons (- 1.19) [56]. - **Port**: As of May 9, the total inventory was 61.9 tons (+ 0.1), and the negotiable inventory was 21.2 tons (- 1.2). The support of low inventory for the basis is weakening [56]. - **Price and Structure** - **Basis and Spread**: The near - end basis in East China is around 09 + 150/160, and the spread MA9 - 1 = - 63 ( + 2 compared with before the holiday) [56]. - **PP - 3MA**: As of May 9, 09MTO = 286 ( + 6 compared with before the holiday), and the spread trend is difficult to predict [56]. Polyolefins - **Supply**: The start - up rates of PP and PE are 80.2% (+ 3.9%) and 79.2% (- 1.95%) respectively as of May 8. There is support from coal - chemical summer maintenance, and attention should be paid to the PDH start - up and the impact of tariff policies on PE imports from the US [124]. - **Demand**: The start - up of PP downstream industries has seasonally declined, and the start - up of PE downstream industries has also weakened, with the industry entering the off - season [124]. - **Inventory**: As of May 9, the inventory of the two major oil companies was 79 tons (- 1.5), and attention should be paid to the inventory depletion speed after the holiday [124]. - **Cost**: The oil price performance is poor, and the support for polyolefin valuation is limited [124]. - **Price and Structure** - **Basis and Spread**: The PP9 - 1 = 81 yuan/ton ( + 23 compared with before the holiday), and L9 - 1 = 65 yuan/ton ( + 4 compared with before the holiday) [124]. - **PP - L**: As of May 9, 09PP - L = - 9 yuan/ton ( + 33 compared with before the holiday), and the spread is dominated by the difference in the fluctuation range of the two varieties [124].

风险提示：期市有风险，投资需谨慎！ 王江楠（F03108382，Z0021543），联系电话：010-82295006 | | | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/5/13 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/5/12 | 美元/桶 | 61.95 | 61.02 | 1.52% | | | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/5/12 | 美元/桶 | 64.96 | 63.91 | 1.64% | | 上 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/5/9 | 美元/吨 | 569.00 | 554.50 | 2.61% | | 游 | | | | | | | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国 | 2025/5/9 | 美元/吨 | 671.50 | 666.50 | 0.75% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/5/9 | 美元/吨 ...

行业 沥青日报 日期 2024 年 5 月 13 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：李金（甲醇） 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 一、行情回顾与操作建议 表1： 行情回顾(元/吨) | | 开盘 | 收盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 涨跌幅% | 成交量（万 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 通过全资子公司上海西力科实业发展有限公司(以下简称"西力科")收购了统一 石油化工有限公司 100%股权、统一（陕西）石油化工有限公司 25%股权、统一（无 锡）石油制品有限公司 25%股权(以下简称"本次重组")。为支付本次重组的交 易对价，西力科同上海银行股份有限公司浦东分行（以下简称"上海银行"）签 署了用于并购贷款业务的《借款合同》及《变更/补充协议》，约定贷款授信金 额 83,880 万元，贷款期限为 7 年。第一期实际贷款 69,600 万元已用于支付第一 期并购交易款，第二期实际贷款 5,400 万元已用于支付第二期并购交易款，总计 实际贷款金额 75,000 万元。 统一低碳科技（新疆）股份有限公司 关于全资子公司提前归还银行重组贷款的公告 证券代码：600506 证券简称：统一股份 公告编号：2025-46 号 统一低碳科技（新疆）股份有限公司董事会 二〇二五年五月十二日 截至 2024 年 12 月 31 日，西力科已归还上海银行本金及利息 33,526.02 ...