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Core Viewpoint - The trade war is in a stalemate phase, making unexpected stimulus and compromise-based trade agreements unlikely to occur [2][3][4] Group 1: Economic Resilience and Policy Options - The stalemate phase tests the economic resilience of both countries, with China having more policy options, greater space, and longer endurance compared to the U.S. [4] - For China, maintaining its interests and bottom line in the trade war is more important than sustaining a specific economic growth figure [3] - The U.S. faces challenges such as supply chain disruptions, production slowdowns, and inflationary pressures, which limit its fiscal and monetary policy options [6] Group 2: A-Share Market Dynamics - The A-share market is a key element in boosting confidence during the trade war, with strong government commitment to stabilize the capital market [9] - Since April 7, significant inflows into passive ETFs have been observed, with a total net inflow of 1.5 trillion yuan into large-cap ETFs and 491 billion yuan into small-cap ETFs [10] - The central bank's liquidity support for the stock market indicates a long-term holding strategy, aiming to stabilize the domestic stock market regardless of overseas fluctuations [10] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Outlook - The Hong Kong market may be a weak link in the short term, but there is still a noticeable underweight of mainland funds in Hong Kong stocks [11][12] - The potential for future capital inflows into the Hong Kong market is significant, driven by both domestic and international investors seeking to diversify their portfolios [12] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - From a risk-averse perspective, sectors such as autonomous technology, those benefiting from European capital expenditure expansion, essential consumer goods, stable dividends, and materials not reliant on short-term performance are expected to outperform [13][14] - Key trends to monitor include the increasing recognition of China's technological self-sufficiency, rising European demand in various sectors, and strengthened trade and technological cooperation between China and non-U.S. markets [14]

1 、 《 国内第三款"少女针"获批 》摘要 ■ 继伊妍仕（进口）和塑妍（国产）获得批准后，四环医药旗下渼颜空间科技（吉林）也获批注射用 聚己内酯微球面部填充剂（"少女针"）。 ■ 羟基磷灰石材料早前在市场上以"打擦边球"的方式存在，而今年两款相关产品相继获得批准，标志 着这一材料从灰色地带迈向合规发展。 ■ 新材料如PDRN复合溶液和丝素蛋白凝胶也进入临床阶段，预计未来会成为国内医美市场的新兴竞 争者。 ■ 医美材料品类不断丰富，从传统的玻尿酸、肉毒素到新兴的PLA、PCL、羟基磷灰石、琼脂糖等， 国内注射医美市场正朝着多元化、精细化方向发展。 ■ 随着新材料的普及，消费者对医美效果的需求更加注重"自然"和"长效"，例如羟基磷灰石可维持1-2 年，比玻尿酸的短期效果更符合现代消费者的需求。 ■ 中游机构和企业应注重技术品牌化和场景化品牌输出，结合精准的产品定位和服务，逐步提升消费 者对品牌的信任和认知。 2、 《 固态电池量产"提前" 》摘要 ■ 上汽集团 近日透露，新一代固态电池将于2025年底在全新MG4车型上量产应用，并在2027年实现 全固态电池"光启电池"落地。 ■ 上汽发布的 智己L6 车型将搭 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jinlongyu plans to invest 1.2 billion yuan to build a production line for key materials in solid-state batteries, signaling a strong commitment to the solid-state battery industry despite recent declines in revenue and net profit [2][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Jinlongyu's revenue is projected to be 3.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 140 million yuan, down 14.1% [6]. - The company has experienced three consecutive years of declining revenue, primarily due to a slowdown in construction projects and intensified industry competition [4][6]. - In 2023, the company fully provided for impairment losses on receivables from Evergrande Group, resulting in a profit reduction of 47 million yuan [5]. Dividend Policy - Jinlongyu plans to distribute a cash dividend of approximately 129 million yuan for the 2024 fiscal year, which represents 92.67% of the company's net profit for the period, a significant increase from previous years [6][7]. - The dividend payout ratio for 2023 was only 53%, indicating a substantial shift in the company's approach to shareholder returns [7]. Shareholder Dynamics - The controlling family of Jinlongyu holds a significant 73.24% stake in the company, which raises questions about the motivations behind the increased dividend amidst declining performance [7][8]. - There have been multiple instances of share reductions by the controlling family and executives, leading to concerns about the company's long-term strategy and commitment to its new ventures [11][12]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has established a new subsidiary, Jinlongyu New Energy (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., with an investment of 200 million yuan, focusing on the research, production, and sales of solid-state batteries and their key materials [9]. - Jinlongyu's solid-state battery project is still in the early stages, with ongoing testing and development of key materials such as electrolytes and membranes [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The market situation in April is complex, suggesting a cautious approach and potential reduction in positions [2]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has broken below the important 30-day moving average support, indicating a higher likelihood of weakness in the index [3]. - The index has experienced an upward trend for approximately 11 weeks, but a correction is expected in the next 4-6 weeks based on Fibonacci retracement levels [3]. - The MACD indicator shows a trend of increasing bearishness, suggesting that adjustments in time and space are still insufficient, warranting a cautious stance [3]. Group 2: April Earnings Season - This year marks the first earnings season under the new national regulations, emphasizing full-process supervision of listed companies and improved delisting systems [4]. - The market is expected to place greater weight on earnings performance, with a pessimistic outlook following earnings disclosures from major internet companies [4]. - Companies with high price-to-earnings ratios and low profitability have seen significant declines, with micro-cap stocks dropping nearly 5% this week, reflecting caution towards the April earnings reports [4]. Group 3: Overseas Uncertainties - U.S. President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on non-U.S. manufactured cars and specific auto parts, effective April 2, has heightened global economic tensions and increased recession expectations in the U.S. [5]. - The rising gold prices indicate ongoing concerns regarding overseas uncertainties [5]. Group 4: Positive Aspects - Despite the prevailing negative analysis, there are potential positive factors, such as the possibility of a value reassessment of A-shares and Hong Kong tech stocks due to U.S. economic downturns [7]. - The marginal impact of U.S. tariffs on China is decreasing, potentially accelerating domestic substitution efforts [7]. - There is significant room for policy adjustments in China, with indications from the central bank regarding potential interest rate cuts [7]. Group 5: Summary - The market's complexity in April necessitates decisions based on trading volume: observing when below 1.5 trillion, participating between 1.5-2 trillion, and holding strong positions above 2 trillion [8]. - Attention should be given to sectors benefiting from U.S. tariffs stimulating domestic substitutes, such as lithography equipment, and potential countermeasures from China in rare earths and agriculture [8]. - Industries with rising demand and price increases, such as industrial chemicals and cutting-edge technologies like solid-state batteries and controlled nuclear fusion, should also be monitored [8].

Core Viewpoint - The development of solid-state batteries in Zhuhai is gaining momentum, with a strategic action plan aimed at establishing a competitive industry cluster by 2030, focusing on key materials, technologies, and significant innovation projects [1][2]. Group 1: Action Plan and Goals - Zhuhai's action plan aims to tackle key materials and technologies for solid-state batteries by 2027, establishing industry standards and fostering a competitive industry cluster [1]. - By 2030, the plan envisions significant breakthroughs in the solid-state battery industry, including improved technology levels and mass product delivery [1]. - The plan emphasizes the cultivation of high-energy-density semi-solid (over 350Wh/kg) and all-solid-state batteries (over 400Wh/kg) for large-scale production [1]. Group 2: Industry Landscape and Key Players - Zhuhai has 47 large-scale enterprises in the lithium battery sector, projected to achieve a production value of 28.525 billion yuan in 2024, covering the entire supply chain [3]. - The action plan identifies three key local companies: Zhuhai Guanyu, Zhuhai Xinjie Energy Technology, and Zhuhai High Energy Times, each focusing on different aspects of solid-state battery technology [3][4]. - Zhuhai Guanyu has made significant advancements in solid-state battery technology, achieving an energy density of 350Wh/kg [3]. - Zhuhai Xinjie has established the first 200MWh lithium metal solid-state battery production line in China, with an energy density of 480Wh/kg [4]. - Zhuhai High Energy Times has built a mass production trial line, focusing on ultra-high energy density and extreme temperature operation [4]. Group 3: Market Potential and Trends - The market for solid-state batteries is expected to grow significantly, with solid-state lithium-ion batteries anticipated to be commercialized by 2027 and mass-produced by 2030, potentially reshaping the industry landscape [2][5]. - The demand for solid-state batteries in the electric vehicle sector is currently five times that of energy storage batteries, with future growth potential in both sectors [5]. - The solid-state battery technology is at different maturity levels, with hybrid solid-state batteries at 7-8, semi-solid batteries approaching 8, and all-solid-state batteries at 4 [5][6]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives and Collaborations - Zhuhai is leveraging its lithium battery industry foundation to develop a comprehensive solid-state battery ecosystem, integrating upstream production equipment and materials [7]. - The city is also focusing on creating application scenarios for solid-state batteries, particularly in energy storage and AI data centers [9]. - AI is being utilized to enhance the research and development of solid-state battery materials, with expectations for significant advancements in the next 2-3 years [8].

Group 1: Overseas Policy and Tariffs - The article suggests that April may be a critical time for the implementation of Trump's tariff policies, with key events such as the results of the "America First Trade Policy Memorandum" and the introduction of "reciprocal tariffs" [1] - It is noted that "reciprocal tariffs" should be viewed differently from tariffs on China, as their primary goal is to pressure trade partners to lower tariffs on U.S. goods rather than imposing universal tariffs globally [1] - The article indicates that the 20% tariffs imposed on China are more a reflection of U.S. domestic politics, and that negotiations between the U.S. and China may become more substantive after April [1] Group 2: Deep Sea Technology - Deep sea technology has been included in the government work report for the first time, highlighting its importance and potential for development [3] - The investment landscape for deep sea technology is expected to benefit from supportive local policies, with a focus on the entire industry chain from core components to operational services [3][4] - The article emphasizes that the deep sea technology sector is positioned similarly to low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace, suggesting significant growth potential [4] Group 3: Monetary Policy and Economic Cycles - The article discusses the shift in MLF operations to a multi-price bidding model, which may reduce funding costs for banks and stabilize market expectations [8][10] - It is anticipated that if economic momentum weakens due to tariffs and other factors, the central bank may consider further monetary easing measures [10] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Development - The Zhuhai government has released an action plan for solid-state battery development, setting clear timelines for industry growth and production targets [12][13] - The plan aims to establish a solid-state battery industry cluster by 2027 and achieve mass production by 2030, indicating strong governmental support for this sector [12] Group 5: Water Pricing Reform - Shenzhen is set to hold a hearing on water price reform, with proposed increases of 13%, which could alleviate cost pressures on local water supply companies [14] - The article suggests that successful price adjustments in major cities could catalyze similar reforms across the country, improving the long-term returns of the water supply industry [14] Group 6: Alcohol Industry Insights - The Spring Sugar Conference showed stable performance in the alcohol sector, with a narrowing decline in sales for major brands like Moutai and Wuliangye, indicating a potential bottoming out of the market [16] - The article recommends increasing investments in quality assets within the alcohol industry, considering the recovery potential and current valuations [16]

Core Insights - The report highlights the importance of strategic reserve and market stabilization mechanisms as emphasized by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [4] - The report notes a significant surge in the laser radar sector, with leading stocks experiencing over 50% growth, indicating a potential profitability breakthrough in the industry [5] - The report discusses the establishment of new companies and funds by various listed firms, indicating active corporate strategies to enhance industry collaboration and innovation [6] Domestic Financial Market - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3371.92, down 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10843.23, down 0.17% [2][7] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext Index are 14.22 and 39.19 respectively, suggesting a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [7] Industry Developments - The report mentions the upcoming industry conference aimed at accelerating the commercialization of solid-state batteries, with related stocks such as Linde Equipment and Yiwei Lithium Energy highlighted [5] - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing intense competition with numerous new product launches, showcasing innovation and market potential [5] Company Focus - Shanghai Electric has established an electric drive technology company in Zhejiang with a registered capital of 50 million [6] - Kaitian New Materials has set up a new fund to explore collaborative opportunities in the Hangzhou West Science and Technology Corridor [6] - Longxin Group has founded an energy technology company that includes a charging pile sales business [6]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a favorable investment outlook for the technology sector, particularly in areas such as brain-computer interfaces and solid-state batteries, indicating potential growth opportunities [5][7]. Core Insights - The laser radar industry is experiencing significant growth, with leading companies seeing stock price increases of over 50%, signaling a potential for profitability [5]. - The solid-state battery sector is expected to accelerate in industrial application, with key companies identified for investment [5]. - The report highlights a competitive landscape in humanoid robotics, with numerous new product launches indicating a robust market [5]. - The overall market sentiment is cautious but optimistic, with a focus on defensive sectors and technology growth as key themes for future investment [7]. Summary by Sections Macro News - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is enhancing strategic reserves and market stabilization mechanisms [4]. - The National Healthcare Security Administration is establishing a separate pricing project for brain-computer interface medical services [4]. - The CSRC is supporting the listing of high-quality, unprofitable tech companies [4]. Industry Dynamics - The laser radar sector is highlighted for its recent stock performance, with specific companies like Li'an Microelectronics and Yongxin Optics mentioned as key players [5]. - The solid-state battery industry is set for accelerated application, with companies such as Linde Equipment and Yiwei Lithium Energy noted for their involvement [5]. - The humanoid robot market is seeing intense competition, with new product releases from companies like Yanshan Technology and Henggong Precision [5]. Company Focus - Shanghai Electric has established an electric drive technology company with a registered capital of 50 million yuan [6]. - Huitian New Materials is setting up a new fund to explore industrial collaboration opportunities in Hangzhou [6]. - Longxin Group has launched an energy technology company that includes charging pile sales [6]. - Industrial Bank has entered into stock repurchase and increase loan cooperation with 40 listed companies or major shareholders [6]. Market Review and Outlook - As of March 12, major indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3371.92 points, down 0.23% [7]. - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are at 14.22 times and 39.19 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [7]. - The report anticipates a market characterized by technology leadership, defensive dividends, consumer recovery, and domestic demand-driven growth [7]. - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested in sectors such as military, non-ferrous metals, consumption, and internet services [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [33]. Core Insights - The high-end beauty market in China has experienced rapid growth from 2017 to 2021 but is currently influenced by the overall macro environment and consumer sentiment. Domestic leading brands have strengthened their competitiveness in product formulation, design, marketing, and brand operation, leveraging e-commerce channels to quickly gather consumer demand and respond to market changes. Brands like Proya and Juzhibio are expected to capture market share as they cater to the demand for quality products at lower price points, pushing out Japanese and Korean cosmetics [2][9]. - The solid-state battery technology is emerging as a significant advancement in battery performance, with potential applications in various sectors, including low-altitude flying vehicles and humanoid robots. The technology is expected to overcome the limitations of traditional liquid lithium batteries, with domestic companies actively developing solid-state battery production capabilities [4][16]. Summary by Sections Beauty Industry - The domestic beauty market has shown a significant increase in sales during promotional events, with GMV exceeding 11.3 billion yuan during the 3.8 promotional period, marking a 71.86% increase year-on-year. Skincare and makeup categories also saw substantial growth [7][8]. - Leading domestic brands like Proya, Juzhibio, and others have maintained strong positions in the market, with Proya consistently ranking first in beauty sales on platforms like Tmall [8][9]. Solid-State Battery Industry - Solid-state batteries are positioned to break through existing performance bottlenecks, with advancements in materials and technology expected to enhance energy density and safety. The industry is seeing a shift towards solid-state technology, with significant investments and developments from leading companies like CATL and Penghui Energy [4][15][16]. - The demand for solid-state batteries is driven by their superior energy density and safety features, making them suitable for applications in electric vehicles and new technology sectors. The supply chain is evolving, with companies focusing on innovative materials and production processes to meet future demands [15][16].