Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The long - term outlook for sugar is positive due to the formula change of Coca - Cola, but the 25/26 global sugar market is expected to be in surplus. For example, Czarnikow predicts a 750 - million - ton surplus, and USDA forecasts a 1139.7 - million - ton surplus with a 4.7% increase in production and a 1.4% increase in consumption [4][9]. - The domestic sugar market has good consumption and decreasing inventory. The import tariff of syrup has increased since January 2025. The 09 contract is approaching the delivery month, with a current discount of about 300, and it is expected to oscillate between 5800 - 6000 to complete the convergence of the spot - futures price difference [5][7][9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Previous Day's Review No content related to the previous day's review is provided. 3.2 Daily Tips - **Fundamentals**: The formula change of Coca - Cola is a long - term positive factor. However, the global sugar supply is expected to be in surplus in the 25/26 period. As of the end of May 2025, the cumulative sugar production in the 24/25 season was 1116.21 million tons, and the cumulative sales were 811.38 million tons, with a sales rate of 72.69% (66.17% in the same period last year). In June 2025, China imported 42 million tons of sugar, an increase of 39 million tons year - on - year, and the total import of syrup and premixed powder was 11.57 million tons, a decrease of 10.32 million tons year - on - year [4]. - **Basis**: The Liuzhou spot price is 6120, with a basis of 281 for the 09 contract, indicating a premium over the futures price, which is a positive signal [6]. - **Inventory**: As of the end of May 2025, the industrial inventory in the 24/25 season was 304.83 million tons, which is a positive factor [6]. - **Market**: The 20 - day moving average is upward, and the K - line is above the 20 - day moving average, showing a positive trend [6]. - **Main Position**: The net short position is decreasing, but the main trend is not clear, showing a negative signal [6]. - **Expectation**: Domestic sugar is about to be cleared from inventory. It is currently the consumption peak season, and the market sales are good. The 09 contract is approaching the delivery month, and it is expected to oscillate between 5800 - 6000 [5]. 3.3 Today's Focus No content related to today's focus is provided. 3.4 Fundamental Data - **Global Supply - Demand Balance**: In the 25/26 period, the global sugar production is expected to be 2.02 billion tons (a record - high second), the consumption is 1.98 billion tons, with a surplus of 270 million tons. The inventory - to - consumption ratio is between 52% - 54%, and the global trade volume is 6200 million tons [36]. - **Institutional Forecasts**: Different institutions have different forecasts for the 25/26 global sugar market surplus, such as USDA forecasting a 1139.7 - million - ton surplus, Datagro forecasting a 258 - million - ton surplus, etc. [39]. - **Domestic Data**: The sugar - crop planting area, yield, import, consumption, and price data from 2024/25 to 2025/26 are provided, showing the development trend of the domestic sugar market [41]. 3.5 Position Data No content related to position data is provided.

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - The price of white sugar follows the price of raw sugar [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - Raw sugar price is 16.36 cents/pound, down 0.43 cents year-on-year; mainstream spot price is 6,060 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan year-on-year; futures main contract price is 5,839 yuan/ton, up 13 yuan year-on-year [1] - 91 spread is 169 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan year-on-year; 15 spread is 54 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan year-on-year; mainstream spot basis is 221 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan year-on-year [1] Macro and Industry News - Pakistan approves the import of 500,000 tons of sugar; the crushing progress in the central - southern region of Brazil is still slow, but MIX has increased significantly year-on-year; monsoon precipitation in India is higher than LPA; Brazil exported 3.36 million tons of sugar in June, a 5% year-on-year increase; China imported 420,000 tons of sugar in June [1] Domestic Market - CAOC expects domestic sugar production in the 24/25 season to be 11.16 million tons, consumption to be 15.8 million tons, and imports to be 5 million tons; in the 25/26 season, production is expected to be 11.2 million tons, consumption 15.9 million tons, and imports 5 million tons [2] - As of the end of May in the 24/25 season, national sugar production was 11.16 million tons (+1.2 million tons), cumulative sales were 8.11 million tons (+1.52 million tons), and the cumulative sales rate was 72.7% [2] - As of the end of June in the 24/25 season, China imported 2.51 million tons of sugar (-650,000 tons) [2] International Market - ISO expects a global sugar supply shortage of 5.47 million tons in the 24/25 season (previously 4.88 million tons) [3] - As of July 1 in the 25/26 season, the cumulative sugarcane crushing volume in the central - southern region of Brazil decreased by 14 percentage points year-on-year, cumulative sugar production was 12.25 million tons (-2.04 million tons), and the cumulative MIX was 51.02%, up 2.33 percentage points year-on-year [3] - As of May 15 in the 24/25 season, sugar production in India was 25.74 million tons (-5.8 million tons) [3] - In the 24/25 season, Thailand's cumulative sugar production was 10.08 million tons (+1.27 million tons) [3] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of white sugar is 0, indicating a neutral view [4]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Date: July 22, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On Friday, the New York raw sugar futures rebounded slightly. The main October contract closed up 0.3% to 16.79 cents per pound. The London ICE white sugar futures' main October contract closed up 0.8% to $487.70 per ton. The news that Coca - Cola was called on by the US President to resume using sucrose as a raw material stimulated the sugar price to some extent, but Coca - Cola's response was not positive. The main logic supporting the strength of raw sugar was the poor production data in Brazil. The Zhengzhou sugar main contract fluctuated within a narrow range. The 09 contract closed at 5,839 yuan per ton, up 11 yuan or 0.19%, with an increase of 7,069 contracts in positions. The domestic spot prices in the producing areas rose slightly, with the price in Nanning at 6,100 yuan and in Kunming at 5,860 yuan. Zhengzhou sugar followed the rhythm of raw sugar. Fundamentally, the import volume increased in June, and the pressure of processed sugar would increase later. Although the domestic commodity market generally rose recently due to the anti - involution theme, Zhengzhou sugar was basically unaffected [7][8] Group 3: Industry News - **Import Data**: In June 2025, China imported 11.55 tons of syrup and premixed powder (tax - included tariff numbers 1702.90, 2106.906), a year - on - year decrease of 10.35 tons. From January to June 2025, the total import was 45.91 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 49.24 tons. As of June in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, the total import was 109.83 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 26.95 tons. In June 2025, China imported 42 tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 39.23 tons. From January to June 2025, China imported 105.08 tons of sugar, a year - on - year decrease of 25.12 tons, a decline of 19.29%. As of June in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, China imported 251.26 tons of sugar, a year - on - year decrease of 64.93 tons, a decline of 20.54% [9] - **Production Data**: In June 2025, China's dairy product output was 254.6 tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%; from January to June, it was 1,433 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 0.3%. In June 2025, China's beverage output was 1,842.8 tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.2%; from January to June, it was 9,308.9 tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% [9] - **Shipping Data**: As of the week ending July 15, the number of ships waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports was 77, compared with 90 in the previous week. The quantity of sugar waiting to be loaded at ports was 309.43 tons (the quantity of high - grade raw sugar was 304.18 tons), compared with 368.55 tons in the previous week, a month - on - month decrease of 59.12 tons, a decline of 16.04%. The quantity of sugar waiting for export at Santos Port was 239.61 tons, and at Paranagua Port was 45.12 tons [9] Group 4: Data Overview - **Figures**: The report includes figures such as the spot price trend, the basis of the 2509 contract, the SR9 - 1 spread, the import profit of Brazilian raw sugar, the number of Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, the Brazilian real exchange rate, and the trading volume and positions of the top 20 seats of the Zhengzhou sugar main contract [15][18][20] - **Table**: The table shows the trading volume, position changes, and other data of the top 20 members in the Zhengzhou sugar futures market [22]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core View The international sugar market has entered the accelerated production period of the new crushing season in the central - southern region of Brazil. The UNICA bi - weekly production data will be the key variable guiding market sentiment. The domestic sugar market is affected by multiple factors. Although there is short - term upward momentum due to the positive macro - atmosphere, the 09 contract is expected to decline from a high level later due to factors such as a significant drop in demand, potential continuous import volume increase, and strong industrial hedging forces [9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - to - Week Core Points and Strategies - **Supply**: As of the end of May 2025, the total sugar production in the 2024/25 sugar - making season in China was 11.1621 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.1989 million tons or 12.03%. In the central - southern region of Brazil, the cumulative crushing volume decreased by 14.06% year - on - year, and the cumulative sugar production decreased by 14.25% year - on - year. The impact on price is considered neutral [9]. - **Demand**: Currently, the price of processed sugar is stable. Yunnan sugar has a cost - performance advantage over processed sugar and has better transactions than Guangxi sugar, but the overall market transaction is average, with a downward impact on price [9]. - **Inventory**: As of the end of May 2025, the industrial inventory was 3.0483 million tons. As of late May, the inventory in third - party warehouses in Guangxi was about 1.38 million tons, slightly higher than the average of the past five years. As of July 18, the total number of registered sugar warrants decreased compared to last week, with a downward impact on price [9]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The impact on price is considered neutral [9]. - **Basis**: The quotes of sugar - making groups in Guangxi and Yunnan have changed slightly, and the quotes of processed sugar factories are stable. The market maintains a demand - based procurement rhythm, with a neutral impact on price [9]. - **Profit**: The out - of - quota import cost from Brazil has increased slightly, and the out - of - quota import profit remains flat, with a downward impact on price [9]. - **Macro**: There are expectations of China's CPI and PPI bottoming out. The market anticipates an increase in incremental policies, especially as the end - of - year policy - making meetings approach, which may drive the market up, with an upward impact on price [9]. - **Strategy**: Gradually arrange 09 short positions at high prices. Although the domestic market may still have upward momentum in the short - term, the 09 contract is expected to decline from a high level later [9]. 3.2 This Week's Sugar Market News - **Brazil's Production Data**: In the second half of June, in the central - southern region of Brazil, the sugarcane crushing volume decreased by 12.86% year - on - year, and the sugar production decreased by 12.98% year - on - year. From the start of the 2025/26 crushing season to the second half of June, the cumulative crushing volume decreased by 14.06% year - on - year, and the cumulative sugar production decreased by 14.25% year - on - year [14]. - **Sugar Use in Beverages**: Trump claimed that Coca - Cola would use sucrose in its US - market beverages, and Coca - Cola thanked him and promised to share more details. PepsiCo said it would use sucrose if consumers demand it [15]. 3.3 Weekly Sugar Data - **Domestic Production**: In the 2024 - 2025 period, the domestic sugar production was 11.16 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 12.03%, slightly lower than expected [20]. - **Domestic Sales**: As of the end of June, the cumulative sugar sales were 7.3834 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 7.34%, and the cumulative sales rate was 74.11%. As of the end of May, the cumulative sugar sales were 8.1138 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 23.07%, and the cumulative sales rate was 72.69% [24][27]. - **Brazilian Exports and Domestic Imports**: The report mentions relevant data sources but does not elaborate on specific data [30]. - **Imports of Domestic Substitute Syrups and Premixed Powders**: In May, the total import of syrups and premixed powders was 64,200 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 150,700 tons. From January to May, the total import was 346,800 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 385,800 tons [34]. - **Out - of - Quota Import Cost**: The out - of - quota import cost increased slightly this week [38]. - **Warehouse Receipt Quantity**: As of July 18, the total number of registered sugar warrants was 21,477, a decrease from last week's 22,850 [43].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint - The SR509 contract of sugar is expected to be prone to decline in the short - term but with limited downside space, and there is support at the price of 5600. In the long - term, the global sugar supply - demand pattern will remain loose, and the SR2509 contract is expected to oscillate weakly. It is recommended to short at high prices within the range. Follow - up data such as UNICA bi - weekly data, China Sugar Association's production, sales and inventory data, and customs import data should be monitored [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs International Supply - **Brazil Production**: - The 2024/25 Brazilian sugar production was 4017 tons, a decrease of 225 tons compared to the previous season, with a decline of 5.3%. As of the second half of June 2025/26, the cumulative sugar production was 1224.9 tons, a year - on - year decline of 14.25%. The precipitation in the first half of June was relatively high, affecting the crushing progress. The sugar - to - cane ratio continued to rise, offsetting the impact of the decline in crushing volume and sugar content. The recent precipitation will affect the raw sugar price. The 2025/26 production is expected to increase, with an estimated output of about 4200 tons [44][45][46]. - As of the second half of June 2025/26, the cumulative cane input in the central - southern region was 20619.8 tons, a year - on - year decline of 14.00%. The cumulative sugar - to - cane ratio was 51.02%, an increase of 2.33 percentage points compared to the same period last year. The cumulative sugar production was 1224.9 tons, a year - on - year decline of 14.25% [53]. - As of July 11, the ethanol - to - gasoline ratio in São Paulo, Brazil was 65.38%, and ethanol had an advantage in sales. The ethanol - converted sugar price was about 14.78 cents per pound, and the ICE raw sugar settlement price was 16.56 cents per pound, with the raw sugar having an advantage of about 1.78 cents per pound over the ethanol - converted sugar price, which continued to decline compared to the previous week [68]. - Brazil's sugar exports in the first two weeks of July were 136.99 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 37.88 tons, a decline of 21.66%. As of the week of July 9, the quantity of sugar waiting to be shipped at ports was 368.56 tons, a week - on - week increase of 47.96 tons, an increase of 1.96% [87]. - As of June 30, Brazil's sugar inventory was 401.6657 tons, at a relatively low level in the past five years, but the subsequent inventory accumulation pattern was obvious [84]. - **India and Thailand Production**: - India's sugar production in the 2024/25 season is estimated to be about 2610 - 2620 tons. The end - of - year inventory is expected to be 520 - 530 tons, ensuring a balance between supply and demand. The 2025/26 season is expected to see a strong recovery in production, with an estimated output of about 3500 tons [86]. - Thailand's sugar production in the 2024/25 season was 1004.18 tons, a significant increase compared to the previous year. In the 2025/26 season, production is expected to continue to increase slightly, with MitrPhol Group estimating 1150 tons and USDA estimating 1026 tons [93]. - **Global Production**: - The global sugar supply in the 2024/25 season was still in a loose pattern but tightened marginally compared to the previous period. In the 2025/26 season, the supply is expected to turn loose. Some institutions predict a supply surplus, such as Czarnikow predicting a 750 - ton surplus, Datagro predicting a 153 - ton surplus, and Green Pool predicting a 115 - ton surplus [96][97]. Domestic Supply - **Production**: - The 2024/25 domestic sugar - making season ended on May 23. The total sugar production in the season was 1116.21 tons, a year - on - year increase of 119.89 tons, an increase of 12.03%. The cumulative sugar sales were 811.38 tons, a year - on - year increase of 152.1 tons, an increase of 23.07%. The cumulative sugar sales rate was 72.69%, 6.52 percentage points faster than the same period last year [108][113]. - In Guangxi, the 2024/25 sugar production was 646.50 tons, a year - on - year increase of 28.36 tons. As of the end of June, the cumulative sugar sales were 514.06 tons, a year - on - year increase of 61.44 tons, and the sales rate was 79.51%, 6.29 percentage points higher than the same period last year [113]. - **Import**: - The in - quota import volume is 194.5 tons per year, with a 15% tariff, and the out - of - quota import tariff is 50%. In June 2025, the imported sugar was 42 tons, a year - on - year increase of 39 tons. In the first half of 2025, the cumulative imported sugar was 106 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 25 tons. From the beginning of the 2024/25 season to the end of June, the cumulative imported sugar was 251 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 65 tons. The out - of - quota import profit window opened earlier, and the import volume is expected to increase significantly in the third quarter [128]. - Since 2025, the import of sugar syrup and pre - mixed powder has been restricted. In May 2025, the import of sugar syrup and pre - mixed powder (tax number 1702.90, 2106.906) was 6.43 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 15.06 tons. The import of goods under 170290 remained at a low level, while the import of goods under 2106906 increased significantly year - on - year but decreased month - on - month [143]. Demand and Inventory - **Demand**: - The peak demand seasons for sugar are the summer cold - drink and ice - cream consumption season and the Spring Festival stocking season. After the Spring Festival, the consumption is in the off - season, but the sugar sales data from February to April were higher than in previous years, mainly due to the transfer of some sugar factory inventories to third - party inventories. As of May 2025, the national cumulative sugar sales were 811.38 tons, a 23.07% increase year - on - year, and the sales rate was 72.68%, 6.52 percentage points faster than the same period last year. In Guangxi, as of June 2025, the cumulative sugar sales were 514.06 tons, a 6.29 - percentage - point increase in the sales rate compared to the same period last year [150]. - **Inventory**: - As of May 2025, the national industrial inventory was 304.83 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 82.21 tons. In Guangxi, as of June 2025, the industrial inventory was 132.44 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 33.08 tons [153].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - International market lacks information guidance and will mainly undergo low - level consolidation. The market is in a pattern of strong reality and weak expectation. The 24/25 sugar - making season is likely to see a large global supply shortage, while the 25/26 season is expected to have restorative production increases and inventory accumulation in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The downward trend of New York raw sugar has ended, and it will mainly oscillate at a low level. Attention should be paid to Brazil's production and export rhythm and India's relevant industrial policies [3][35] - The domestic market will experience range - bound consolidation with a pattern of stronger domestic and weaker international markets. In the 24/25 sugar - making season, the domestic market maintains the expectation of continuous production increase and cost reduction. The import policy for syrup and premixed powder has been tightened, and domestic prices will move closer to the cost of out - of - quota imports. Zhengzhou sugar follows the trend of raw sugar, and trading is centered around the import rhythm. The pattern of stronger domestic and weaker international markets will continue [3][35] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Macro Data - Exchange rates: The US dollar index is 98.46 (previous value 97.87), and the US dollar to Brazilian real exchange rate is 5.55 (previous value 5.57) [6] - Crude oil: The WTI crude oil price is $66.03 per barrel, a decrease of 3.96% [6] 2. Industry Data 2.1 Market Price and Trading Data - Price and basis: The active contract price of New York raw sugar is 16.79 cents per pound, an increase of 1.39%. The spot quotation of Guangxi Group is 6040 yuan per ton, a decrease of 20 yuan per ton compared to last week. The main contract of Zhengzhou sugar is reported at 5826 yuan per ton, an increase of 16 yuan per ton compared to last week. The basis of the main contract is basically flat [15] - Warehouse receipts: As of last weekend, the warehouse receipts of Zhengzhou white sugar were 21,477 lots [15] - CFTC latest position report (New York raw sugar): As of July 15, fund long positions increased by 2480 lots, fund short positions decreased by 2682 lots, and net long positions increased by 5162 lots to - 94,560 lots, with a slight increase in net long positions [15] 2.2 Industry Supply - Demand Data - Global supply - demand: The International Sugar Organization (ISO) expects a supply shortage of 5.47 million tons in the 24/25 sugar - making season (previous value was a shortage of 4.88 million tons) [24] - Brazil: As of July 1, in the 25/26 sugar - making season, the cumulative crushed sugarcane in central - southern Brazil was 206 million tons, a 14% decrease compared to the same period last year; sugar production was 12.25 million tons, a 14% decrease; alcohol production was 9.43 billion liters, a 15% decrease; the cumulative sugar - cane ratio was 51.02%, compared to 48.69% in the same period last year [24] - India: As of May 15, in the 24/25 sugar - making season, India's sugar production was 25.74 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 5.8 million tons [24] - Thailand: In the 24/25 sugar - making season, Thailand's sugar production was 10.08 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.27 million tons [25] - China's supply - demand data: CAOC expects domestic sugar production of 11.16 million tons, consumption of 15.8 million tons, and imports of 5 million tons in the 24/25 sugar - making season; and production of 11.2 million tons, consumption of 15.9 million tons, and imports of 5 million tons in the 25/26 sugar - making season. Customs data shows that in June 2025, sugar imports were 420,000 tons, and the cumulative imports in the 24/25 sugar - making season were 2.51 million tons [15][25] - China's production - sales data: As of the end of May, in the 24/25 sugar - making season, the national sugar production was 11.16 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.2 million tons. The national sugar sales were 8.11 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.52 million tons. The cumulative sugar sales rate was 72.69% [15][25] 3. Operation Suggestions - International market: Lack information guidance and mainly conduct low - level consolidation. Pay attention to Brazil's production and export rhythm and India's relevant industrial policies [35] - Domestic market: Conduct range - bound consolidation with a pattern of stronger domestic and weaker international markets. Trading is centered around the import rhythm, and the pattern of stronger domestic and weaker international markets will continue [35]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - International sugar market: As the production of the 2025/26 sugar - cane crushing season in Brazil progresses, the increasing supply from Brazil and the expected increase in production in the Northern Hemisphere continue to suppress international sugar prices. However, the low cane - to - sugar ratio in Brazil and the signal of increased demand may provide some upward momentum for international sugar prices. Technically, the raw sugar price is oscillating and rebounding, but the rebound space is still limited [4]. - Domestic sugar market: The spot price of the domestic sugar market fluctuates slightly. Although the domestic - international sugar price spread is widening, the high domestic sugar production and sales rate and the appearance of import profits outside the quota are the main factors suppressing the sugar price. The new industrial inventory is in the destocking stage, which supports the domestic sugar price. It is expected that the sugar price will still show an oscillating trend [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 This Week's Market Spot and Spread Data Tracking and Display - Price changes: ICE raw sugar main contract rose from 16.56 to 16.79, an increase of 1.39%; ICE white sugar main contract rose from 479.4 to 486.4, an increase of 1.46%; Zheng sugar main contract decreased from 5810 to 5805, a decrease of 0.09%. The processing sugar costs in Brazil and Thailand also increased to varying degrees, while the prices in some domestic regions such as Guangxi Nanning decreased slightly, and Yunnan Kunming increased slightly [2]. - Profit changes: The import processing sugar profits (both outside and within the quota) and the import disk profit all showed a slight decline [2]. - Basis and spread: The basis in Nanning, Kunming, and Yingkou is expected to oscillate weakly; the spreads between Zheng sugar 9 - 11 and 9 - 1 are expected to weaken from high levels; the delivery costs in Guangxi and Yunnan are expected to oscillate slightly [3]. 3.2 Market Key Data Overview 3.2.1 International Market Key Data Overview - Brazil: The bi - weekly production increased from 245.00 million tons to 285.00 million tons, an increase of 16.33%; the monthly export volume increased from 225.66 million tons to 336.18 million tons, an increase of 48.98%. The production is gradually increasing, but the low cane - to - sugar ratio may lead to lower - than - expected production [4]. - Thailand and India: The report shows the bi - weekly cumulative production data of Thailand and India, but no specific analysis of the changes is provided [31][32]. 3.2.2 Domestic Market Key Data Overview - Production and sales: The domestic sugar production and sales rate increased from 65.22% to 72.69%, and the new industrial inventory entered the destocking stage. The number of warehouse receipts decreased by 5.57%, indicating that the spot inventory is low and the formation of warehouse receipts is slow [4]. - Import data: China's sugar import volume increased from 350,000 tons to 420,000 tons, a 20% increase; the import volume of syrup and premixed powder is expected to decline month - on - month, but the June data has not been released [4]. - Downstream market: The report shows data such as the proportion of online retail in social consumer goods, the number of food industry enterprises, and the PPI of the sugar - making and downstream industries, but no specific analysis of the impact on the sugar market is provided [47][50]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Huazi Industrial, is undergoing significant leadership changes with multiple resignations from its board and management team, which may impact its governance and operational strategies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Several board members and executives, including Chairman Li Yanyong, have resigned due to work adjustments, with Li transitioning to a senior advisory role [1]. - Vice Chairman Liu Fu'an and other directors have also submitted their resignations, with Liu continuing to serve as acting chairman until a new chairman is elected [2]. - Independent director Su Li's resignation will reduce the independent director proportion below one-third, effective upon the appointment of a new independent director [2]. Group 2: Board Elections and Appointments - The company has proposed new candidates for its ninth board of directors, including Zhang Zhijun, Song Minsong, and Zhang Wenguo as non-independent directors, and Ni Yuanying as an independent director [3]. - Teng Mingshang has been appointed as the new financial officer, with a term lasting until the ninth board's expiration [3]. Group 3: Financial Activities - Huazi Industrial plans to apply for a comprehensive credit line of 20 million RMB from China Merchants Bank to support its operational needs, with the loan terms linked to the market interest rate [4]. - The company emphasizes that this financing will not adversely affect its operations or shareholder interests [4]. Group 4: Financial Performance - The company's revenue has shown a significant upward trend from 65.4 million RMB in 2018 to 515.7 million RMB in 2024, while net profits have fluctuated, indicating a pattern of more losses than gains [5]. - Net profits for the years have been reported as -116.6 million RMB, 23.86 million RMB, -125.3 million RMB, 9.967 million RMB, -165.1 million RMB, 18.88 million RMB, and 25.45 million RMB, reflecting volatility in profitability [5]. Group 5: Ownership Changes - In April 2023, a capital increase agreement was signed, resulting in a change of control from Zhang Wenguo to Song Minsong, with the latter acquiring a 29.9% stake in Huazi Industrial [6]. - The previous controlling shareholder, Zhang Wenguo, has committed not to seek control of the listed company following this transaction [6].

Core Viewpoint - The sugar market is currently characterized by a strong domestic market in China and a weak international market, primarily due to increased sugar production expectations in Brazil, although this dynamic may change with the influx of imported sugar [2][4]. Group 1: Global Sugar Production and Market Dynamics - Czarnikow forecasts that global sugar production for the 2025/2026 season will reach 185.9 million tons, the second-highest on record, while demand is expected to decrease slightly by 1.1 million tons to 178.3 million tons [3]. - Brazil remains the most significant source of sugar, with a reported sugar production of 2.45 million tons in the first half of June, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 22.12% [3]. - Despite a slowdown in sugar processing in Brazil, strong export demand has kept inventories in good condition, providing crucial support for raw sugar prices [3]. Group 2: Domestic Sugar Market in China - Domestic sugar prices in China have remained robust due to reliance on imports to fill supply gaps, with no significant accumulation of domestic inventories expected through the 2023/2024 and 2024/2025 seasons [4]. - As of the end of May, China had produced 11.16 million tons of sugar, an increase of 1.2 million tons year-on-year, with sales reaching 8.11 million tons, up 1.52 million tons year-on-year [4]. - The opening of the import window for sugar outside of quotas in late April has led to an expected increase in imports, with July imports projected to reach 750,000 to 800,000 tons, potentially impacting domestic market dynamics [4].

Industry Overview - As of the end of June, Brazil's sugar production in the 2025/26 first quarter (April to June) was reported at 12.249 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 14.3% [1] - The domestic sugar supply and demand forecast for the 2025/26 season remains consistent, with an expected slight increase in production to 11.2 million tons [1] Market Insights - According to Minmetals Futures, the domestic market is currently experiencing the best import profit window in the last five years, with potential increased import pressure in the second half of the year [2] - The current valuation of Zheng sugar's September contract is relatively high compared to other contracts, with a likelihood of continued price decline unless there is a significant rebound in external prices [2] Production and Pricing Trends - Hualian Futures reported that due to continuous rainfall, Brazil's sugarcane crushing volume in the second half of June was 4.424 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7%, with sugar production down 9.8% to 2.95 million tons [3] - Domestic sugar production and sales are progressing rapidly, with industrial inventory at historically low levels, supporting relatively strong spot prices [3] - The traditional consumption peak in the third quarter may lead to tight local inventory conditions in October, suggesting a potential upward trend in sugar prices [3]