Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating to the company, Li Ning (2331 HK), with a target price of HKD 16.28, indicating a potential upside of 1.4% from the current price of HKD 16.06 [1][2][5]. Core Insights - The second quarter saw a slow recovery in sales, slightly below the company's expectations, with retail sales growth in the Li Ning brand (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) showing low single-digit year-on-year growth [5][6]. - The management indicated that the recovery trend in Q2 weakened compared to Q1, and sales and discounts remain under pressure since July [5]. - The report suggests that the company's sales recovery in the second half of the year will be gradual, leading to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5][6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at RMB 29,007 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.2%. The revenue for 2026 and 2027 is projected to be RMB 30,103 million and RMB 30,945 million, respectively [4][8]. - Net profit estimates for 2025 have been revised down to RMB 2,678 million, with a projected decline in net profit margins due to increased promotional activities and competition [5][7]. - The report anticipates a slight decrease in gross margin for 2025, with a forecasted gross margin of 49.1% [7][8]. Sales Channel Performance - In Q2, online sales outperformed offline channels, with e-commerce showing mid-single-digit growth year-on-year, while offline retail experienced low single-digit declines [5][6]. - The wholesale channel performed better than retail, with low single-digit growth in wholesale and a decline in retail sales [5][6]. Store Optimization and Product Trends - The number of offline stores is undergoing slight adjustments, with a net increase of 11 stores compared to Q1, while Li Ning YOUNG saw a net decrease of 18 stores [6][8]. - Product category growth continued from Q1, with running and fitness categories leading, while basketball products faced significant declines [6][8].

Group 1: Gensmo Financing - Gensmo, an AI-driven fashion styling company, has completed a $60 million seed round financing [1] - The company, founded in December 2024, developed an innovative "try-on" feature that integrates with e-commerce platforms, allowing users to see digital outfit effects in real-time [1] - This financing positions Gensmo to lead the next phase of smart styling trends and enhance personalization in the fashion e-commerce ecosystem [1] Group 2: Meta's Investment in EssilorLuxottica - Meta has acquired nearly 3% of EssilorLuxottica, the world's largest eyewear manufacturer, for approximately $3.5 billion [4] - The deal is part of Meta's strategy to increase its investment in AI smart glasses, with plans to potentially raise its stake to 5% [4] - This investment deepens the collaboration between Meta and EssilorLuxottica in smart eyewear development, providing the latter with additional funding for growth [4] Group 3: On's Market Valuation - On, a Swiss sports brand, has recently gone public, achieving a valuation close to $17 billion [6] - Angel investor Roger Federer holds shares worth $500 million, marking a significant portion of his personal assets [6] - Federer's involvement has enhanced On's product innovation and global brand influence [6] Group 4: Lao Xiang Ji's IPO Progress - Lao Xiang Ji has updated its prospectus to advance its listing process on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [8] - The company plans to increase its store count to 1,624 by June 30, 2025, and holds a 0.9% market share in China's Chinese fast food industry [8] - Revenue figures for Lao Xiang Ji from 2022 to the first four months of 2024 show growth from 4.528 billion to 6.288 billion yuan [8] Group 5: Warburg Pincus Acquires UVEX - Warburg Pincus is set to acquire a majority stake in UVEX WINTER HOLDING GmbH & Co. KG, a German sports protective equipment manufacturer [10] - The specific transaction amount and share percentage have not been disclosed [10] - The current owners will retain significant minority stakes and continue to participate in the company's operations [10] Group 6: LVMH Hotel Sale - LVMH is selling the El Encanto hotel in Santa Barbara, California, for $82.2 million [12] - The hotel, which has 90 rooms, will be managed by the new owners, moving it out of LVMH's Belmond hotel chain [12] - This sale is part of LVMH's strategy to optimize assets and focus on its core luxury business [12] Group 7: New World Development's Property Sale - New World Development is selling its K11 property building in Shanghai for 2.85 billion yuan [13] - The project, originally a flagship for New World in Shanghai, has a total area of approximately 116,000 square meters [13] - This transaction signals New World Development's ongoing strategy of asset-light operations and a shift away from the K11 brand [13] Group 8: Bawang Tea's Expansion - Bawang Tea is set to enter the Philippine market in August, opening three stores in the Manila metropolitan area [16] - Prior to the launch, the company will host a week-long "7-day Power Up Challenge" to engage local consumers [16] - This expansion aims to enhance Bawang Tea's market presence in Southeast Asia [16] Group 9: Wolford's New Executive Appointment - Wolford has appointed Marco Pozzo as the new Deputy CEO, effective July 7 [19] - His addition brings extensive experience in the fashion and consumer goods sectors to the executive committee [19] - This appointment is expected to strengthen Wolford's governance structure and support its business revival strategy [19] Group 10: Nestlé Chairman Rumors - There are rumors that Nestlé's current chairman, Paul Bulcke, will step down at next year's shareholder meeting [22] - Vice Chairman Pablo Isla is speculated to succeed him, with the company ensuring a smooth leadership transition [22] - Investor concerns regarding Nestlé's future direction have intensified, raising questions about the new leadership's ability to navigate challenges [22]

Group 1: Event Overview - The 112th Tour de France has commenced in Lille, France, featuring 18 WorldTour teams, 2 Pro Continental teams, and 3 wildcard teams competing for the prestigious yellow jersey from July 5 to 27, 2025 [1] - Tadej Pogačar from UAE Team Emirates, the previous champion, aims for his fourth title, making his performance a key highlight of the event [1] Group 2: Sponsorship and Commercial Interest - Nike has partnered with the Dutch team Visma-Lease a Bike as their non-competitive apparel sponsor, while Adidas has announced a partnership with the British team INEOS Grenadiers [1] - Anta, a Chinese sports brand, has become the main sponsor of the MENTECH Continental Cycling Team, marking a significant entry into the cycling market [2] Group 3: Audience and Viewership - The Tour de France is broadcast in 190 countries, with 740 million views on its official platform last year [3] - In 2024, approximately 150 million viewers in Europe are expected to watch the event, with over 40 million viewers in France alone [3] Group 4: Economic Impact and Sponsorship Structure - The Tour de France has 59 partners, including media, broadcasting, and charity organizations, with 49 categorized into five sponsorship tiers [5] - Although specific revenue figures for the Tour de France are not disclosed, it contributed 53% to the revenue of Amaury Sport Organisation in 2023 [5] Group 5: Chinese Team Participation - The Astana team, now branded as "Xidesheng Astana Team," represents the first Chinese team to participate in the Tour de France, following a strategic partnership with Shenzhen-based Xidesheng [6] Group 6: Competitive Landscape in Cycling - Anta's entry into the cycling market is seen as a move to invigorate the sport and strengthen its position in the outdoor market [9][11] - The competition among traditional sports brands like Nike, Adidas, and Anta in the cycling sector is expected to enhance the commercial appeal of professional cycling events [13][17] Group 7: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The cycling market is experiencing a shift, with traditional sports brands aiming to capture market share in a segment that has been dominated by specialized cycling brands [17] - The price dynamics of bicycles have shown a disparity, with international brands reducing prices while Chinese brands like Xidesheng continue to rise [18]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between sports brands and fashion designers has become increasingly common, but the market is nearing saturation, leading to consumer fatigue and challenges in maintaining brand identity [1][5][13] Group 1: Collaboration Trends - Sports brands have increasingly partnered with fashion and luxury brands to reach younger consumers and inject new design inspiration [1][4] - The initial collaborations, such as Nike with Sacai in 2015, were well-received and showcased innovative designs that blended fashion with sports [2][4] - The pandemic and the rise of athleisure have prompted sports brands to further penetrate the fashion industry, seeking to attract a broader consumer base [4][6] Group 2: Challenges in Collaboration - As collaborations proliferate, issues of product homogeneity arise, with many joint products lacking a true sports essence [5][6] - Fashion brands often dominate the design process, which can lead to sports brands being perceived as secondary players in these partnerships [7][8] Group 3: Emotional Connection and Storytelling - Emotional value and storytelling behind sports products are crucial for engaging consumers, as seen in Puma's collaboration for special edition jerseys that reflect team histories [8][11] - The design of these jerseys not only caters to fans but also appeals to fashion-conscious consumers, differentiating them from typical logo-heavy collaborations [11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The global sports leisure market is projected to reach $540 billion by 2027, indicating a significant opportunity for brands [13] - To stand out in a crowded market, sports brands must assert control over product design and leverage cultural narratives and emotional connections [13] - Successful future collaborations will hinge on effectively conveying the spirit of sports and the stories behind products, achieving a synergistic effect [13]

Group 1 - Adidas has announced sponsorship collaborations with prestigious universities in China, including Fudan University and Tsinghua University, providing professional sports equipment to various high-level sports teams [1][2] - Other brands such as Asics, Li Ning, and Anta are also actively seeking partnerships with universities, indicating a trend in the sports industry to connect with academic institutions [1][2] - The collaboration with universities allows sports brands to tap into the student consumer base, encouraging sports participation and promoting a lifelong sports culture among university students [3][4] Group 2 - Universities chosen for partnerships typically have a strong sports foundation, with institutions like Peking University and Tsinghua University having a long history of high-level sports teams [2] - The growing interest in outdoor sports among university students is reflected in the increasing sports consumption, covering events and professional products [7] - Brands are moving beyond traditional sponsorships to include market-driven initiatives, such as product launches and training camps at university campuses [7][8] Group 3 - Collaborations with universities also allow brands to align their marketing strategies with the educational values and sports culture of the institutions, enhancing brand narrative [4] - Adidas has launched co-branded products with universities, such as a limited edition series with Tsinghua University, which sold out quickly, indicating strong demand [11] - The potential for commercializing university IP products is being explored, with brands creating exclusive items that resonate with students and alumni [8][11]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it [4]. Core Insights - The offline retail sales performance of sportswear brands in Southwest China was under pressure in 2Q25, primarily due to weak consumer spending, with major brands experiencing negative sales growth [2][6]. - NIKE's sales in Southwest China saw a significant year-on-year decline, while ADIDAS performed slightly better with a high single-digit to low double-digit decline [2][6]. - Outdoor brands like Columbia and The North Face showed better performance due to strong demand for outdoor activities, camping, and tourism [2][6]. - The summer sports shoe market is facing sluggish consumption in traditional categories, but there is a rising trend in outdoor and fashion footwear [2][6]. Summary by Sections Offline Retail Performance - In 2Q25, offline retail data for sports brands in Southwest China weakened compared to 1Q25, with all major brands reporting negative sales growth [2][6]. - Store traffic remained stable, but transaction rates and average customer spending declined due to weak consumer purchasing willingness [2][6]. Brand Performance - NIKE's focus on footwear has led to a decline in its apparel market share, while ADIDAS maintained stable discount levels and focused on apparel sales, contributing to its relatively better performance [4]. - FILA's sales decline has narrowed, and the brand is shifting towards professional sports categories, enhancing its market position [4]. - LI-NING has become a partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee, while Anta is expanding into the outdoor cycling market [4]. Inventory and Discounts - Inventory levels are slightly elevated, leading to increased discounting across brands, with LI-NING and Anta offering the highest discount rates [3][4]. - The discount intensity for outdoor brands varies, with PELLIOT offering the highest discounts [3][4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that outdoor brands will perform better in the second half of the year, driven by increased sales in outdoor activities [4].

Group 1 - The U.S. has reached a trade agreement with Vietnam, which includes a 20% tariff on all goods exported to the U.S. from Vietnam, higher than the current 10% baseline tariff but lower than the previously planned 46% "reciprocal tariff" [1][2] - Vietnam will also face a 40% tariff on goods that are transshipped through Vietnam to the U.S. from other countries [1] - The agreement allows Vietnam to open its market to U.S. products with zero tariffs, particularly benefiting U.S. SUVs and large engine vehicles [1] Group 2 - Following the announcement of the trade agreement, stocks of major apparel and footwear brands that source products from Vietnam saw significant gains, indicating reduced uncertainty in the apparel industry [2][4] - The S&P 500 index reached a new intraday high, reflecting positive market sentiment following the trade news [6] - Vietnam is set to purchase $8 billion worth of Boeing aircraft as part of the trade agreement, contributing to a rise in Boeing's stock price [9]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs highlights that the upcoming Q2 earnings season will be a critical period for assessing corporate profitability amid the ongoing trade war initiated by the Trump administration, with a projected 10% impact on profits due to tariff increases [1] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices, both at historical highs, are expected to face an "earnings test" as companies attempt to pass on increased costs to consumers, although the effectiveness of this cost transfer remains uncertain [1][4] - The earnings growth rate for S&P 500 constituents is anticipated to slow significantly, with a projected year-over-year EPS growth of only 2.6% for the April to June period, marking the lowest growth rate in nearly two years [4] Group 2 - The divergence in stock performance among companies is evident, with General Mills experiencing a 5% drop due to tariff-related cost pressures, while Nike's stock surged 15% thanks to effective supply chain management [1] - Market analysts note that the unprecedented trade disputes are impacting corporate profits through both cost inflation and demand suppression, leading to a 19% decline in the S&P 500 from its peak in April [4] - Institutional investors are becoming increasingly cautious regarding high-valuation tech giants, with some funds shifting towards consumer staples and manufacturing sectors that possess better cost transfer capabilities [4]

Group 1 - The 13th "Versailles Run" took place on June 29, attracting 23,000 participants from around the world, showcasing a blend of sports and culture [1][3] - The event, founded by the French Hugo Events Company in 2012, is a significant mass running event in France, featuring a course that passes through historical sites such as the Petit Trianon and the Versailles Canal [4] - The event emphasizes cultural heritage protection and sustainable development, having successfully funded the restoration of eight damaged statues in the Versailles Gardens and planted over 400 trees [4] Group 2 - Chinese sports brand Xtep has become the official clothing supplier for the 2025 "Versailles Run," marking the first collaboration with a Chinese brand in the event's history [5] - Chinese companies, including the intelligent robotics firm Yushu Technology and the electric vehicle manufacturer BYD, showcased their innovations at the event, injecting technological vitality and green concepts into this historical cultural landmark [5] - The event serves as an international platform for cultural exchange and brand value, with hopes to promote more Chinese brands globally [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth in e-commerce sales during the "618" shopping festival in 2025, with total sales reaching 855.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [5] - Major platforms such as Taobao, JD.com, Pinduoduo, Douyin, and Kuaishou experienced an overall transaction growth of 10.4% during the festival period [5] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the beauty sector, with a total GMV of 65.9 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of over 10% [5] Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,381.58, with a gain of 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.43% to 10,048.39 [4] - The textile and apparel sector saw a decline of 5.12% in the SW index, underperforming the broader market [6] E-commerce Performance - Taobao and Tmall's GMV, excluding refunds, grew by 10%, marking the largest increase in three years, with 453 brands achieving over 100 million yuan in sales [5] - JD.com reported a record high in user orders, with over 2.2 billion orders placed during the festival, and a 285% increase in live-streaming sales [5] - Douyin's sales increased by 77%, with over 60,000 brands doubling their sales [5] - Kuaishou's GMV for the festival grew by over 53%, indicating a robust performance across various product categories [5] Industry Dynamics - Uniqlo's collaboration with Pop Mart's IP "THE MONSTERS" is set to launch new products, indicating a trend towards brand collaborations in the apparel sector [6] - The opening of the first overseas store by Lao Pu Gold in Singapore marks a significant step in global expansion for the company [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sports brands like Anta Sports and 361 Degrees, which are expected to benefit from the growing demand in the sports and outdoor sector [7] - It also suggests monitoring home textile companies such as Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textile, which are likely to benefit from government subsidies [7] - In the textile manufacturing sector, companies like Shenzhou International and Yuyuan Group are highlighted for their low valuation and growth potential [9]