Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China remains in a marginal de - leveraging process, with the goal of stabilizing the macro - leverage ratio unchanged. The large - scale debt resolution reduces local government financing costs and the probability of large - scale defaults and liquidity risks [2]. - The current loose money - market conditions are difficult to sustain, and the peak of the current round of money - market conditions is expected to occur between June 23 and July 4 [2][7]. - The stock - bond ratio favors bonds, and the equity style trends towards value. Currently, long - term bonds have a slightly higher cost - performance ratio than value - type equity assets [6][22][23]. Summary by Directory 1. National Balance Sheet Analysis Liability Side - In May 2025, the liability growth rate of the real - sector was 8.9%, slightly lower than the previous value of 9.0%. It is expected to reach its peak in April, decline to around 8.8% in June, and then gradually decline to around 8% by the end of the year [2][17]. - The money - market conditions of the financial sector were marginally stable and slightly loose last week. Given the marginal de - leveraging of the real sector, the loose money - market conditions are unlikely to continue [2][17]. - The net reduction of government bonds last week was 316 billion yuan, lower than the planned net increase of 218.6 billion yuan. This week, the planned net increase is 575.4 billion yuan. The government liability growth rate was 14.8% at the end of May, expected to rise slightly above 15% in June and then decline to around 12.5% by the end of the year [3][18]. Monetary Policy - Last week, the average weekly trading volume and price of funds increased, and the term spread widened. After adjusting for seasonal effects, the money - market conditions were marginally stable and slightly loose [3][18]. - The yield of one - year Treasury bonds decreased to 1.36% at the end of the week. The lower limit of the one - year Treasury bond yield is estimated to be around 1.3%, the lower limit of the ten - year Treasury bond yield is around 1.7%, and the lower limit of the thirty - year Treasury bond yield is around 1.9% [3][18]. Asset Side - In May, the physical - quantity data weakened compared to April. The government's target for the annual real economic growth rate in 2025 is around 5%, and the nominal economic growth rate target is around 4.9%. It is necessary to further observe whether this will become the central target for China's nominal economic growth in the next 1 - 2 years [4][19]. 2. Stock - Bond Cost - Performance and Stock - Bond Style - Last week, the money - market conditions were marginally stable and slightly loose, but risk appetite continued to decline. Funds flowed more towards short - term bonds, resulting in a continued "bearish stocks, bullish bonds" situation with a value - dominant style [6][21]. - The yields of short - term and long - term bonds declined slightly. The ten - year Treasury bond yield remained stable at 1.64%, the one - year Treasury bond yield decreased by 5 basis points to 1.36%, and the thirty - year Treasury bond yield decreased by 1 basis point to 1.84% [6][21]. - The broad - based rotation strategy outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.52 percentage points last week and has outperformed it by 6.45 percentage points since July, with a maximum drawdown of 0.0% [6]. - The report recommends a portfolio of 40% dividend index, 40% SSE 50 index, and 20% 30 - year Treasury bond ETF [7][23]. 3. Industry Recommendation 3.1 Industry Performance Review - The A - share market declined with lower trading volume this week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.16%, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.66% [27]. - Among the Shenwan primary industries, banks, communications, electronics, food and beverages, and household appliances had the largest increases, while beauty care, textile and apparel, pharmaceutical biology, non - ferrous metals, and social services had the largest declines [27]. 3.2 Industry Crowding and Trading Volume - As of June 20, the top five industries in terms of crowding were electronics, computers, power equipment, machinery and equipment, and pharmaceutical biology, while the bottom five were comprehensive, beauty care, steel, coal, and building materials [29]. - This week, the top five industries with increased crowding were electronics, power equipment, communications, machinery and equipment, and computers, while the top five with decreased crowding were pharmaceutical biology, non - ferrous metals, national defense and military industry, automobiles, and textile and apparel [29]. - The average daily trading volume of the entire A - share market decreased from 1.37 trillion yuan last week to 1.22 trillion yuan this week. The industries with the highest year - on - year growth in trading volume were petroleum and petrochemicals, national defense and military industry, electronics, computers, and public utilities [30]. 3.3 Industry Valuation and Earnings - This week, among the Shenwan primary industries, banks, communications, electronics, food and beverages, and household appliances had the largest increases in PE(TTM), while beauty care, textile and apparel, pharmaceutical biology, non - ferrous metals, and social services had the largest declines [34]. - As of June 20, 2025, industries with high full - year 2024 earnings forecasts and relatively low current valuations compared to history include coal, petroleum and petrochemicals, power equipment, pharmaceutical biology, and consumer electronics [35]. 3.4 Industry Prosperity - In terms of external demand, there were mixed trends. The global manufacturing PMI in May fell from 49.8 to 49.6, while most of the disclosed PMIs of major economies in May rebounded. The CCFI index rose 8% week - on - week [39]. - In terms of domestic demand, second - hand housing prices declined in the latest week, and quantitative indicators showed mixed trends. The traffic volume of trucks on expressways increased, and the capacity utilization rate of ten industries showed a slight rebound in May and continued to rise slightly in June [39]. 3.5 Public Fund Market Review - In the third week of June (June 16 - 20), most active public equity funds underperformed the CSI 300. The 10%, 20%, 30%, and 50% weekly returns were 0.4%, - 0.2%, - 0.6%, and - 1.2% respectively, while the CSI 300 fell 0.45% [53]. - As of June 20, the net asset value of active public equity funds was estimated to be 3.41 trillion yuan, slightly lower than 3.66 trillion yuan in Q4 2024 [53]. 3.6 Industry Recommendation - In the de - leveraging cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equity to a limited extent, and the value style is more likely to dominate. Dividend - type stocks are generally expected to have the characteristics of non - expansion, good earnings, and survival [8][23][57]. - The recommended A + H dividend portfolio includes 20 A + H stocks, and the A - share portfolio includes 20 A - share stocks, mainly concentrated in industries such as banks, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [8][9][57].

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant increase in financing events and amounts in the primary market, indicating a growing interest from investors in various sectors [4][11]. Financing Overview - As of June 20, 2025, there were 118 financing events this week, an increase of 31 from the previous week, with a total financing amount of approximately 5.627 billion yuan, up by 2.959 billion yuan [4]. - Among these events, 23 had financing amounts of 100 million yuan or more, an increase of 10 from last week [4]. - There were 35 public exit cases this week, an increase of 9 from the previous week [4]. Financing Amount Distribution - A total of 69 financing events disclosed amounts this week, with the distribution as follows: - 4 events under 5 million yuan - 35 events between 5 million and 10 million yuan - 6 events between 10 million and 50 million yuan - 15 events between 50 million and 100 million yuan - 2 events between 100 million and 500 million yuan - 2 events between 500 million and 1 billion yuan - 1 event over 1 billion yuan [5]. Notable Investment Events - **New Energy Vehicles**: Kavin Automotive raised 1.209 billion yuan through a capital increase agreement, focusing on low-carbon and zero-carbon industrial ecosystems [7]. - **Quadruped Robots**: Yushu Technology completed nearly 700 million yuan in Series C financing, led by major investors including Tencent and Alibaba [7]. - **Display Panels**: Shenzhen Xinshi Technology secured approximately 600 million yuan in Pre-A round financing, focusing on silicon-based OLED micro-display technology [8]. - **Logistics**: Zhejiang China Light Textile City Group announced a 500 million yuan capital increase from ICBC Financial Asset Investment [8]. Industry Distribution - The financing events spanned 14 industries, with the top five being: - Equipment Manufacturing: 24 events - Electronics: 23 events - Healthcare: 19 events - Information Technology: 18 events - Consumer Goods and Services: 8 events - These five industries accounted for 77.97% of all financing events [11][12]. Regional Distribution - The top five regions for financing events were Guangdong, Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, and Zhejiang, totaling 84 events, which is 71.19% of all events [16]. Financing Rounds - Angel and A rounds were the most active, totaling 78 events, with early-stage financing (A round and earlier) accounting for 67.80% of the total [20]. Exit Situation - There were 35 public exit cases this week, with the electronics sector leading in exit cases, followed by materials and energy-saving industries [27][29].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Transport emphasizes the need to implement the State Council's executive meeting spirit and the requirements of the "Implementation Plan for Further Improving the Credit Repair System" [1] - The ministry plans to expedite the formulation of a management method for the list of seriously untrustworthy entities in the transportation sector [1] - A unified industry credit repair system will be established to create a new regulatory mechanism based on credit in the transportation sector [1] Group 2 - The initiative aims to promote the construction of a unified and open transportation market [1]

Group 1 - The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.38% year-on-year for the twelve months ending in May 2025 [1][2] - Significant price increases were observed in categories such as Miscellaneous Goods and Services (+2.41%), Education (+1.9%), and Medical (+1.44%), while Transportation (-2.87%) and Information and Communication (-1.34%) saw declines [2] - The CPI for food and non-alcoholic beverages rose by 0.55% in the first five months of the year, contributing to the overall CPI increase [2] Group 2 - In May 2025, the CPI decreased by 0.05% compared to April, with notable declines in Transportation (-0.56%) and Recreation, Sports, and Culture (-0.42%) [1] - The price index for food and non-alcoholic beverages fell by 0.03% month-on-month, driven by lower prices for fruits, fresh fish, seafood, cooking oil, and vegetables [1] - The price indices for Clothing (+0.71%) and Household Equipment and Services (+0.28%) increased month-on-month [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall decline on June 20, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3359.9 points, down 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10005.03 points, down 0.47%, and the ChiNext Index at 2009.89 points, down 0.84% [1] - Total trading volume across both markets was 10,676.86 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,829.38 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 22 billion yuan, with an opening net outflow of 8.14 billion yuan and a closing net outflow of 3.06 billion yuan, totaling 22.34 billion yuan for the day [2] - Over the last five trading days, the main funds have consistently shown a net outflow trend, with the highest outflow recorded on June 19 at 39.39 billion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The ChiNext market saw a significant net outflow of nearly 12 billion yuan, while the CSI 300 index experienced a net outflow of 2.96 billion yuan [4] - In terms of sector performance, the banking sector recorded a net inflow of 5.045 billion yuan, with a growth of 1.17%, while the computer sector faced the largest net outflow of 8.699 billion yuan, declining by 2.01% [6] Individual Stock Activity - The top stocks with net inflows included Limin Co., with a net buy of 60 million yuan, and Saiseng Pharmaceutical, which saw a 19.97% increase [9] - Conversely, stocks like Xiexin Energy and Times Publishing faced significant net outflows, with declines of 10.01% and 10.00%, respectively [9] Institutional Focus - Recent institutional attention has been directed towards stocks such as Liziyuan and Sry New Materials, both rated as "Buy" with significant upside potential [11]

主力资金净流出的行业有21个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，今日下跌1.79%，全天净流出资 金48.53亿元，其次是传媒行业，今日跌幅为1.91%，净流出资金为29.88亿元，净流出资金较多的还有 电子、机械设备、汽车等行业。 分行业来看，申万所属的一级行业中，今日上涨的有9个，涨幅居前的行业为交通运输、食品饮料，涨 幅为0.88%、0.73%。跌幅居前的行业为传媒、计算机，跌幅为1.91%、1.79%。 6月20日，沪指下跌0.07%，深成指下跌0.47%，创业板指下跌0.83%，沪深300指数上涨0.09%。可交易 A股中，上涨的有1540只，占比28.49%，下跌的3647只。 资金面上，今日主力资金全天净流出218.12亿元，已连续7个交易日资金呈净流出状态。其中，创业板 主力资金净流出99.97亿元；科创板主力资金净流出18.21亿元；沪深300成份股主力资金净流出11.88亿 元。 行业资金流向方面，今日有10个行业主力资金净流入，银行行业主力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日 上涨0.69%，全天净流入资金19.40亿元，其次是食品饮料行业，日涨幅为0.73%，净流入资金为13.56亿 元。 ...

今日各行业主力资金流向一览 融 | 行业名 | 成交量（亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入（亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股） | （%） | （%） | （%） | 元） | | 银行 | 42.93 | 25.46 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 19.40 | | 食品饮 料 | 11.80 | -11.11 | 1.29 | 0.73 | 13.56 | | 交通运 输 | 35.31 | -1.35 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 9.43 | | 医药生 物 | 42.54 | -19.37 | 1.56 | 0.01 | 5.73 | | 轻工制 造 | 21.16 | -12.38 | 2.53 | 0.00 | 3.81 | | 建筑材 料 | 8.32 | -3.55 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 2.23 | | 农林牧 渔 | 13.01 | -23.67 | 1.39 | -0.29 | 1.00 | | 钢铁 | 11.51 | -21.32 | 0.58 | 0.13 | 0 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07% on June 20, with nine industries experiencing gains, led by transportation and food & beverage sectors, which rose by 0.88% and 0.73% respectively [1] - The banking sector saw the largest net inflow of funds, amounting to 1.94 billion yuan, while the food & beverage sector followed with a net inflow of 1.36 billion yuan [1] Food & Beverage Sector Performance - The food & beverage industry increased by 0.73%, with a total net inflow of 1.36 billion yuan, comprising 123 stocks, of which 55 rose and 61 fell [2] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Kweichow Moutai, with 357 million yuan, followed by Luzhou Laojiao and Wuliangye, with inflows of 341 million yuan and 218 million yuan respectively [2] Top Gainers in Food & Beverage - The top gainers in the food & beverage sector included: - Kweichow Moutai: +0.19%, 0.28% turnover, 357.21 million yuan inflow - Luzhou Laojiao: +2.78%, 1.20% turnover, 340.86 million yuan inflow - Wuliangye: +1.94%, 0.76% turnover, 218.20 million yuan inflow [2] Top Losers in Food & Beverage - The stocks with the largest net outflows included: - Beingmate: -1.82%, 9.16% turnover, -70.92 million yuan outflow - Yili: +0.76%, 0.53% turnover, -48.69 million yuan outflow - Yanghe Brewery: +0.35%, 0.55% turnover, -31.95 million yuan outflow [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07% on June 20, with 9 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by transportation and food & beverage sectors, which rose by 0.88% and 0.73% respectively [1] - The transportation sector topped the gainers list for the day [1] - A total of 21 sectors saw a decline, with media and computer sectors dropping by 1.91% and 1.79% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of capital from the two markets reached 21.81 billion yuan, with 10 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The banking sector had the highest net inflow of 1.94 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 0.69% [1] - The food & beverage sector also saw a net inflow of 1.36 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 0.73% [1] Transportation Sector Performance - The transportation sector increased by 0.88%, with a net inflow of 943 million yuan, and 81 out of 125 stocks in this sector rose [2] - Five stocks in the transportation sector hit the daily limit up, while 29 stocks declined [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the transportation sector were Ningbo Marine, with 355 million yuan; Baoshai Technology, with 219 million yuan; and Hongchuan Wisdom, with 144 million yuan [2] Transportation Sector Capital Outflow - The top three stocks with the highest net outflow in the transportation sector were SF Express, with a net outflow of 97.32 million yuan; Phoenix Shipping, with 44.03 million yuan; and Debon Holdings, with 36.17 million yuan [3] - Other notable stocks with significant net outflows included Wuchan Zhongda, HNA Holding, and Qingdao Port [3]

【博时市场点评6月20日】两市继续调整，成交缩至万亿 每日观点 今日沪深两市继续震荡调整，成交缩量至1.09万亿。今日央行公布6月LPR报价，两个期限利率均保持 不变，符合市场预期。5月降息效果当前正向贷款利率传导，短期内将进入政策观察期，LPR报价短期 或将继续保持稳定。5月经济数据已发布，需求不足仍是核心问题，下半年在外部仍有很大不确定性， 大力提振内需、稳定资产价格预期，均需要适度宽松的货币环境。通过降低资金成本，激发融资需求， 是下半年拉动投资和消费、对冲外部冲击的一个重要发力点。国内权益市场短期或将维持震荡，主题轮 动较快，配置上可关注科技+红利的哑铃配置。 消息面 市场复盘 6月20日，A股三大指数下跌。截至收盘，上证指数报3359.90点，下跌0.07%；深证成指报10005.03点， 下跌0.47%；创业板指报2009.89点，下跌0.83%；科创100报1016.84点，下跌0.52%。申万一级行业中， 交通运输、食品饮料、银行涨幅靠前，分别上涨0.88%、0.73%、0.69%；传媒、计算机、石油石化跌幅 靠前，分别下跌1.91%、1.79%、1.71%。1500只个股上涨，3488只个股 ...