Core Viewpoint - The resumption of operations at the Jiangxi Yichun Zhanxiawo lithium mine by Ningde Times has made new progress with the release of the first environmental impact assessment (EIA) information notice [2] Group 1: Project Progress - The Jiangxi Yichun bidding website published the first EIA information notice for the lithium mining project by Yichun Times New Energy Mining Co., Ltd. on December 19 [2] - The EIA public notice is part of the normal approval process for various permits required for the resumption of mining operations [2] Group 2: Regulatory Requirements - After the EIA public notice process is completed, Ningde Times still needs to obtain permits from different departments and conduct a series of tasks until acquiring the Safety Production License for normal mining operations [2]

下游盈利 港口总库存 日均疏港量 钢厂进口矿库存 钢厂进口矿日耗 到港量 内矿铁精粉产量 日均铁水产量 钢厂开工率 产能利用率 钢厂盈利率 本期 15512.63 313.45 8723.95 280.56 2723.4 37.71 226.55 78.47 84.93 35.93 16.50 上期 15431.42 319.19 8834.2 283.27 2480.5 37.99 229.2 78.63 85.92 35.93 24.00 周变动 81.21 -5.74 -110.25 -2.71 242.90 -0.28 -2.65 -0.16 -0.99 0 -7.50 粗粉 块矿 球团 精粉 贸易矿 巴西矿 澳大利亚矿 本期 11799.57 2068.47 320.64 1323.95 本期 10097.66 5795.06 6672.61 上期 11763.4 2057.33 296.47 1314.22 上期 10024.62 5807.04 6667.43 周变动 36.17 11.14 24.17 9.73 周变动 73.04 -11.98 5.18 注:数据来源于Wind，钢联数据，冠通 ...

全球AI竞赛正加速"铜与电"资源的结构性短缺，尤其在美国，电力市场紧张和铜供应受限或将成为制约AI产业发展的关键瓶颈。 据追风交易台，高盛Daan Struyven分析师团队在最新大宗商品2026年展望报告中警告，美国AI数据中心的爆炸式增长正推动电力需求激增，美国 电力市场面临进一步紧张，存在价格大幅上涨甚至停电的风险，这可能成为拖累美国在AI竞赛中进展的关键瓶颈。 报告指出，AI驱动的数据中心繁荣已将美国年化电力需求增长推至近3%，超过GDP增长率。高盛估算，大部分美国区域电力市场的备用发电容量 已处于或低于关键水平。这种紧张局势已在去年夏季引发实时电价飙升，并推高了包括弗吉尼亚州在内的PJM电力市场的发电容量价格——而弗 吉尼亚州正是全球数据中心之都。 高盛预计，2026年美国电力市场将进一步收紧，电价波动加剧，部分地区甚至可能出现电力供应中断，影响数据中心运营和AI算力扩展。铜价则 受益于全球电气化和AI基础设施建设，尽管短期内价格或有调整，但长期看涨逻辑依然坚实。 美国电力市场告急，AI进展或受阻 高盛报告指出，铜是电气化和AI基础设施不可或缺的原材料，约半数全球铜需求来自电力相关领域，包括数据中心 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.65%, gaining 165 points to close at 25,663 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.14%. The morning trading volume reached 97.5 billion HKD [1] - New listings in the Hong Kong stock market included Zhihui Mining (02546), which surged over 110% upon debut, and Xidi Zhijia (03881), which fell over 8% after its listing [1] - The U.S. Senate passed a revised version of the Biodefense Act as part of the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, leading to a significant rebound in pharmaceutical stocks, with WuXi Biologics (02269) rising over 6% and 3SBio (01530) increasing by 3.7% [1] Group 2 - HAP Pharmaceuticals-B (02142) saw a nearly 7% increase after signing a business development deal worth over 1 billion USD with Bristol-Myers Squibb [2] - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) rebounded nearly 7% after winning bids for two major duty-free projects at Shanghai airports, with market attention on the results of the Capital Airport tender [2] - Youjia Innovation (02431) surged over 12% as L3 large-scale deployment approaches, with the company having made forward-looking arrangements for L2+ and L4 [2] - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) rose over 3% as the industry leader announced a series of shutdown plans to support price and inventory levels before the Spring Festival [2] Group 3 - South Manganese (01091) increased by over 9% due to multiple factors driving the continuous rise in electrolytic manganese prices [3] Group 4 - Yangtze Optical Fibre (601869) (06869) rose over 10%, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in the past three days, driven by sustained demand for optical fibers and cables from AI [4] Group 5 - Ganwan (09890) increased by over 5% after issuing zero-coupon convertible bonds at a premium, raising 450 million HKD to enhance its "AI + gaming" strategy [5] Group 6 - Liqin Resources (02245) rose over 9% as Indonesia plans to significantly reduce its nickel ore production targets by 2026 [6] Group 7 - Shenzhou International (02313) fell over 3% as its major client Nike reported a 32% year-on-year decline in net profit for the second fiscal quarter [7]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.65%, gaining 165 points to close at 25,663 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.14% [1] - New listings in the Hong Kong stock market included Zhihui Mining (02546), which surged over 110% on its debut, and Xidi Zhijia (03881), which fell over 8% [1] - The U.S. Senate passed a revised version of the Biological Safety Act as part of the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, leading to a significant rebound in pharmaceutical stocks, with WuXi Biologics (02269) rising over 6% and 3SBio (01530) increasing by 3.7% [1] Group 2 - HAP Pharmaceutical-B (02142) saw a nearly 7% increase after signing a BD deal worth over $1 billion with Bristol-Myers Squibb [2] - China Duty Free Group (01880) rebounded nearly 7% after winning bids for duty-free projects at two major airports in Shanghai, with market attention on the results of the capital airport bidding [3] Group 3 - Youjia Innovation (02431) rose over 12% as L3 large-scale deployment approaches, with the company strategically positioning itself for L2+L4 technologies [4] - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) increased over 3% as the industry leader announced a series of shutdown plans to support price and inventory levels before the Spring Festival [4] Group 4 - Southern Manganese (01091) rose over 9% due to multiple factors driving the continuous increase in electrolytic manganese prices [5] - Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable (06869) surged over 10%, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in the past three days, driven by AI demand for optical fiber and cable [6] - Ganwan (09890) increased over 5% after issuing zero-coupon convertible bonds at a premium, raising HKD 450 million to enhance its "AI + gaming" strategy [7] - Likun Resources (02245) rose over 9% as Indonesia plans to significantly reduce its nickel ore production targets by 2026 [8] - Shenzhou International (02313) fell over 3% as its major client Nike reported a 32% year-on-year decline in net profit for the second fiscal quarter [9]

12月19日消息，港股三大指数集体上涨。截至午间收盘，恒生指数涨0.65%，报25663.41点，恒生科技 指数涨1.14%，国企指数涨0.50%。盘面上，科网股涨多跌少，美团涨超2%，网易、百度、腾讯涨超 1%，联想跌超1%；生物医药股普涨，药明康德涨超6%；中资券商股走强，招商证券涨超3%；智能驾 驶概念股活跃，佑驾创新涨超12%；今日智汇矿业、希迪智驾上市，智汇矿业涨超111%，希迪智驾跌 超8%。 | 名称 | | 量新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技指数 | N | 5480.00 | +1.14% | | 800700 | | | | | 恒生指数 | NV | 25663.41 | +0.65% | | 800000 | | | | | 国企指数 | Nº M | 8885.67 | +0.50% | | 800100 | | | | 生物医药股普涨，药明康德涨超6%。北京时间12月18日凌晨，参议院官网显示，搭载修订版《生物安 全法案》的美国2026财年国防授权法案（2026NDAA）获通过。新版本生物安全法未具体点名任何一家 公司。有券 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has shown significant gains, with several companies experiencing notable increases in their stock prices on December 19, 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhihui Mining (02546.HK) saw the highest increase, rising by 135.48% to a price of 10.62 [1][2]. - Huan Da Fu Holdings (01348.HK) increased by 21.21%, reaching a price of 0.24 [1][2]. - Likou Health Life (02370.HK) experienced a rise of 14.12%, with its stock priced at 0.48 [1][2]. - Ocean Group (01991.HK) rose by 14.08%, with a current price of 0.81 [1][2]. - CHI HO DEV (08423.HK) increased by 13.04%, priced at 0.0526 [1][2]. - Huameilele (08429.HK) saw an increase of 11.29%, with a stock price of 0.0697 [1][2]. - Chunli Medical (01858.HK) rose by 7.31%, reaching a price of 16.45 [1][2]. - Saint Tang Holdings (08305.HK) increased by 7.04%, with a stock price of 0.38 [1][2]. - Star Tai Chain Group (00399.HK) saw a rise of 6.38%, priced at 0.1 [1][2]. - Southern Double Short Coinbase (07311.HK) increased by 6.09%, with a current price of 13.06 [1][2].

1. Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The current terminal demand in the steel industry remains weak, and the inventory pressure of hot-rolled coils is relatively prominent. Steel prices are expected to fluctuate in the bottom range. Affected by the export license management, the prices of finished steel products will be under short-term pressure, but they are expected to gradually digest the policy impact later. The willingness to store steel for the winter this year is not strong, and large-scale restocking may not occur. The macro level is still in a policy window period, and attention should be paid to whether the "dual carbon" policy will be strengthened again and have a marginal impact on the steel industry [2] - The supply of iron ore is increasing, the demand is decreasing, and the inventory in ports is rising while the inventory of imported ore in steel mills is at a five-year low. The iron ore price is expected to mainly operate in the shock range [5] - The supply and demand pattern of manganese silicon is still not ideal, while the supply and demand structure of ferrosilicon remains basically balanced. The future market trends of manganese silicon and ferrosilicon are mainly led by the direction of the black sector and the cost increase caused by the increase of manganese ore price and electricity price [11] - The production of industrial silicon is restricted by the high operating rate in the northwest region, and the demand from the polysilicon and organic silicon industries is weakening. The short-term supply and demand of industrial silicon are marginally weakening. Attention should be paid to the subsequent emotional fluctuations and the new supply-side disturbances in the northwest region [14] - The production of polysilicon is expected to continue to decline in December, but the decline may be limited due to the production ramp-up and start-up expectations of some bases in the northwest. The overall demand in the downstream is weak, and the pressure of inventory accumulation before the Spring Festival is difficult to ease. The market is in a marginal weak balance, and attention should be paid to the actual spot transactions [16] - The supply of glass is decreasing, but the upward space is limited due to high inventory and weak terminal demand. The demand recovery is weak, and the market is expected to continue to show a narrow-range shock trend in the short term [19] - The supply pressure of soda ash is gradually emerging with the resumption of production of maintenance enterprises and the expected release of new production capacity in Alxa. The downstream demand has not improved significantly, and the procurement is mainly for rigid demand replenishment. Attention should be paid to the impact of enterprise maintenance schedules and inventory changes on the market [21] 3. Summary of Each Section Steel Products Rebar - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3125 yuan/ton, up 41 yuan/ton (1.329%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on that day were 57065 tons, a net increase of 8 tons. The position of the main contract was 1.575943 million lots, a net decrease of 28786 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated price of rebar in Tianjin was 3170 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the aggregated price in Shanghai was 3300 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton [1] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: This week, the supply and demand of rebar both increased, and the inventory continued to decline, which is in line with the off-season characteristics. The overall terminal demand is still weak, and the steel price is expected to fluctuate in the bottom range [2] Hot-Rolled Coil - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the hot-rolled coil main contract was 3277 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan/ton (0.986%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on that day were 103404 tons, with no change. The position of the main contract was 1.189556 million lots, a net decrease of 10392 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated price of hot-rolled coils in Lecong was 3280 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton; the aggregated price in Shanghai was 3280 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton [1] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The output of hot-rolled coils decreased significantly, the apparent demand decreased slightly, and the inventory continued to decline. The inventory pressure is relatively prominent, and the steel price is expected to fluctuate in the bottom range [2] Iron Ore - **Market Quotes**: The main contract of iron ore (I2605) closed at 777.50 yuan/ton, up 1.24% (+9.50), and the position increased by 29159 lots to 518200 lots. The weighted position of iron ore was 908100 lots. The spot price of PB fines at Qingdao Port was 794 yuan/wet ton, and the basis was 66.04 yuan/ton, with a basis rate of 7.83% [4] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The overseas iron ore shipment volume continued to increase. The demand for iron ore decreased, with the daily average pig iron output continuing to decline and the environmental protection restrictions in Hebei increasing. The port inventory continued to rise, and the inventory of imported ore in steel mills reached a five-year low. The iron ore price is expected to mainly operate in the shock range [5] Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Quotes**: On December 18, the main contract of manganese silicon (SM603) rose 0.38% to close at 5780 yuan/ton. The spot price of 6517 manganese silicon in Tianjin was 5700 yuan/ton, and the converted price was 5890 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a premium of 110 yuan/ton over the futures price. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF603) rose 0.83% to close at 5592 yuan/ton. The spot price of 72 ferrosilicon in Tianjin was 5600 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a premium of 8 yuan/ton over the futures price [9] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The supply and demand pattern of manganese silicon is still not ideal, while the supply and demand structure of ferrosilicon remains basically balanced. The future market trends of manganese silicon and ferrosilicon are mainly led by the direction of the black sector and the cost increase caused by the increase of manganese ore price and electricity price [11] Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Industrial Silicon - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the main contract of industrial silicon (SI2605) was 8645 yuan/ton, up 2.07% (+175). The weighted contract position decreased by 15525 lots to 409568 lots. In the spot market, the price of 553 non-oxygenated industrial silicon in East China was 9200 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, and the basis of the main contract was 555 yuan/ton; the price of 421 was 9650 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, and the basis of the main contract was 205 yuan/ton after conversion [13] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The production of industrial silicon is restricted by the high operating rate in the northwest region, and the demand from the polysilicon and organic silicon industries is weakening. The short-term supply and demand of industrial silicon are marginally weakening. Attention should be paid to the subsequent emotional fluctuations and the new supply-side disturbances in the northwest region [14] Polysilicon - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the main contract of polysilicon (PS2605) was 59300 yuan/ton, down 3.73% (-2295). The weighted contract position decreased by 24941 lots to 250565 lots. In the spot market, the average price of N-type granular silicon was 50 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day; the average price of N-type compact material was 51 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day; the average price of N-type reclaimed material was 52.4 yuan/kg, up 0.1 yuan/kg from the previous day, and the basis of the main contract was -6900 yuan/ton [15] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The production of polysilicon is expected to continue to decline in December, but the decline may be limited due to the production ramp-up and start-up expectations of some bases in the northwest. The overall demand in the downstream is weak, and the pressure of inventory accumulation before the Spring Festival is difficult to ease. The market is in a marginal weak balance, and attention should be paid to the actual spot transactions [16] Glass and Soda Ash Glass - **Market Quotes**: At 15:00 on Thursday, the main contract of glass closed at 1062 yuan/ton, up 2.31% (+24). The quoted price of large glass sheets in North China was 1030 yuan, down 10 yuan from the previous day; the quoted price in Central China was 1080 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The weekly inventory of float glass sample enterprises was 58.558 million boxes, up 331000 boxes (+0.57%). In terms of positions, the top 20 long positions reduced 61105 lots, and the top 20 short positions reduced 69256 lots [18] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The supply decreased with the cold repair of some production lines last week, which supported the market production and sales to some extent. However, the upward space was limited due to high inventory and weak terminal demand. The demand recovery was weak, and the market was expected to continue to show a narrow-range shock trend in the short term [19] Soda Ash - **Market Quotes**: At 15:00 on Thursday, the main contract of soda ash closed at 1193 yuan/ton, up 1.97% (+23). The quoted price of heavy soda ash in Shahe was 1147 yuan, up 10 yuan from the previous day. The weekly inventory of soda ash sample enterprises was 1.4993 million tons, up 5000 tons (+0.57%), including 771700 tons of heavy soda ash inventory, down 18800 tons, and 727600 tons of light soda ash inventory, up 23800 tons. In terms of positions, the top 20 long positions reduced 27207 lots, and the top 20 short positions reduced 30690 lots [20] - **Strategy Viewpoints**: The supply pressure of soda ash was gradually emerging with the resumption of production of maintenance enterprises and the expected release of new production capacity in Alxa. The downstream demand had not improved significantly, and the procurement was mainly for rigid demand replenishment. Attention should be paid to the impact of enterprise maintenance schedules and inventory changes on the market [21]

于2024年，公司于西藏分别占锌精矿总产量的11.1%、铅精矿总产量的4.2%及铜精矿总产量的0.1%。西 藏的铅精矿及铜精矿生产由龙头公司主导。于2024年，位于西藏的两大公司分别占铅精矿生产总市场份 额的36.1%及31.6%；均设于西藏当地的两大公司亦于西藏分别占铜精矿生产总市场份额的44.2%及 42.3%。 公开资料显示，智汇矿业是一家矿业公司，专注集团在中国西藏的锌、铅及铜探矿、采矿、精矿生产及 销售业务。根据上海有色网的资料，以2024年西藏锌精矿、铅精矿及铜精矿的平均年产量计，集团分别 排名第五位、第四位及第五位。 智通财经APP获悉，智汇矿业(02546)首挂上市，公告显示，每股定价4.51港元，共发行1.21952亿股股 份，每手1000股，所得款项净额约4.951亿港元。截至发稿，涨139.47%，报10.8港元，成交额1.5亿港 元。 ...

智汇矿业(02546)首挂上市，公告显示，每股定价4.51港元，共发行1.21952亿股股份，每手1000股，所 得款项净额约4.951亿港元。截至发稿，涨139.47%，报10.8港元，成交额1.5亿港元。 公开资料显示，智汇矿业是一家矿业公司，专注集团在中国西藏的锌、铅及铜探矿、采矿、精矿生产及 销售业务。根据上海有色网的资料，以2024年西藏锌精矿、铅精矿及铜精矿的平均年产量计，集团分别 排名第五位、第四位及第五位。 于2024年，公司于西藏分别占锌精矿总产量的11.1%、铅精矿总产量的4.2%及铜精矿总产量的0.1%。西 藏的铅精矿及铜精矿生产由龙头公司主导。于2024年，位于西藏的两大公司分别占铅精矿生产总市场份 额的36.1%及31.6%；均设于西藏当地的两大公司亦于西藏分别占铜精矿生产总市场份额的44.2%及 42.3%。 ...