1. Overnight Market Performance - Domestic commodity futures market closed with widespread gains, precious metals, shipping futures, new energy materials, and base metals rose significantly, Shanghai silver rose 14.42%, the container shipping index (European line) rose 11.3%, and Shanghai tin hit the daily limit [4][43] - International precious metal futures generally closed higher, COMEX gold futures rose 2.40% to $4608.80 per ounce, COMEX silver futures rose 7.33% to $85.16 per ounce [5][45] - The main contract of US crude oil closed up 1.22% at $59.84 per barrel; the main contract of Brent crude oil rose 1.41% to $64.23 per barrel [6][45] - London base metals all rose, LME tin rose 5.47% to $48,200.0 per ton, LME nickel rose 2.12% to $18,075.0 per ton, etc [6][45] 2. Important News 2.1 Macroeconomic News - China and the EU will provide general guidance on price commitments to Chinese exporters of pure electric vehicles to the EU [9] - As of January 12, 2026, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) was 1956.39 points, up 8.9% from the previous period [10] - Trump denied participating in the Justice Department's subpoena of the Federal Reserve [10] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange called on market participants to strengthen risk prevention [10] 2.2 Energy and Chemical Futures - As of the week ending January 12, domestic asphalt social inventory increased by 2.4% week - on - week and 26.7% year - on - year [12] - As of January 12, domestic soda ash manufacturers' total inventory decreased by 0.51% from the previous Thursday [14] - From January 2 - 8, the operating rate of Chinese LOW - E glass sample enterprises remained stable [15] - As of January 12, the MEG inventory in the East China main port area increased by 4.7 tons from the previous period [15] 2.3 Metal Futures - The Shanghai Gold Exchange warned of significant price fluctuations in precious metals [17] - Nearly 50% of lithium - battery enterprises expect lithium carbonate prices to exceed 200,000 yuan by April 1 [17] - Australia plans to buy and stockpile key minerals [17] - On January 12, the price of spodumene forward spot rose [17] - On January 12, the market transaction price of battery - grade lithium fluoride rose by 10,000 yuan per ton [19] 2.4 Black - Series Futures - The Dalian Commodity Exchange solicited opinions on adjusting the inspection method for iron ore delivery quality standards [21] - From January 5 - 11, the arrival volume of iron ore at 47 ports in China increased, while the global iron ore shipping volume decreased [21] - Last week, the coking coal online auction failure rate dropped to a two - month low [21] - Handan launched a level - II emergency response for heavy pollution weather on January 12 [22] 2.5 Agricultural Product Futures - In the 2025/26 season, China's soybean production was slightly adjusted, with an expected output of 20.91 million tons [25] - Malaysia's palm oil export volume from January 1 - 10 increased, while production decreased [25] - As of January 7, the hog - to - corn ratio was 5.51, up 2.04% from December 31, 2025 [26] - Malaysia's palm oil inventory in December increased by 7.58% month - on - month [26] - Brazilian soybean harvest rate as of last Thursday was 0.6% [27] - As of January 8, the US soybean export inspection volume was 1.529707 million tons [27] - The 2025/26 global soybean production is expected to increase by 3.1 million tons [28] - The US corn production in 2025/26 is expected to increase [28] 3. Financial Markets 3.1 Financial Sector - A - share commercial space concept stocks and AI concept stocks issued risk warnings [30] - Hong Kong stocks rose, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.44% [30] - Fund companies adjusted the operation mechanisms of precious - metal - related funds [30] - Brain - computer interface company Strong Brain Technology secretly submitted a Hong Kong IPO application [31] - XPeng's flying car division submitted a confidential Hong Kong IPO application [32] 3.2 Industrial Sector - The global memory chip industry is in a price - rising cycle, and packaging and testing manufacturers have raised prices [34] - Tianjin will manage the sales prices of new commercial housing [34] - The Mars sample return mission of NASA and ESA was cancelled [34] - The Lihong - 1 aircraft completed its first sub - orbital flight test [34] - Tianjin University completed the first "space brain - computer interface experiment" [35] - A 630℃ power unit generator rotor was successfully installed [35] - Five types of original special cosmetics need to be re - registered as ordinary cosmetics [37] - Banks launched "asset improvement activities" [37] - In 2025, global smartphone shipments increased by 2% year - on - year [37] 3.3 Overseas Markets - Trump imposed a 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran [38] - Trump warned of huge compensation if the US Supreme Court made an unfavorable tariff ruling [38] - The UK and Germany are discussing deploying troops in Greenland [38] - India's PSLV rocket failed in a launch [38] - US, European, and Asia - Pacific stock markets showed different trends [40][41] - The US House Republicans are promoting a bill to ban insider trading by congressmen [40] - South Korea plans to extend stock trading hours [42] 3.4 Commodity Markets - Domestic and international commodity futures markets generally rose [43][45] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange restricted the trading of some clients in lithium carbonate futures [46] 3.5 Bond Markets - China's bond market strengthened, while US bond yields rose [47] 3.6 Foreign Exchange Markets - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the RMB exchange rate index reached new highs [48] 4. Upcoming Economic Data and Events 4.1 Economic Data - Various economic data such as Japan's trade balance, UK's retail sales, and US CPI will be released [50] 4.2 Events - FOMC members and European Central Bank officials will give speeches [52] - Multiple conferences and expos will be held [52] - China's central bank has reverse repurchase maturities [52]

来源：新浪财经 文 丨 《BUG》栏目 周文猛 2026年开年以来，存储芯片行业迎来了一次大爆发。 优势明显、短板突出 2016年，在合肥市政府支持下，兆易创新创始人朱一明牵头成立长鑫科技，目标直指被三星电子、海力 士、美光等海外科技企业垄断的DRAM存储芯片领域，填补国内产业空白。 招股书显示，历经9年发展，长鑫科技核心产品已覆盖DDR4、DDR5、LPDDR5等主流DRAM系列，可 提供晶圆、芯片、模组等方案。根据Omdia数据，按照产能和出货量统计，长鑫科技已成为中国第一、 全球第四的DRAM厂商。 根据市场研究机构Counterpoint Research发布最新行业报告指出，内存市场已进入"超级牛市"阶段，当 前行情甚至超越了2018年的历史高点，达到了近8年来新高。同时，由于全球存储芯片市场持续缺货， 2026年第一季度服务器DRAM价格将上涨60%—70%、通用型DRAM价格将环比上涨55%—60%。 受消息面影响，连日来，美光、闪迪等美股存储企业连续暴涨，A股兆易创新、普冉股份等存储企业也 波动上涨。 行业将目光聚焦到长鑫科技，这家总资产超过3000亿的存储芯片企业的IPO申请获受理。 《BU ...

Global Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,608, up 1.44% for the day and 3.82% year-to-date [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 3.10% for the day and 6.29% year-to-date, indicating strong performance in the technology sector [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.09% for the day and 4.95% year-to-date, reflecting positive sentiment in the Chinese market [1] Hong Kong Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Financial Index closed at 50,080, with a slight increase of 0.14% year-to-date [2] - The Hang Seng Industrial Index saw a rise of 2.26% for the day and 4.53% year-to-date, indicating robust performance in industrial stocks [2] - The Hang Seng Real Estate Index increased by 1.02% for the day and 6.95% year-to-date, suggesting a positive trend in the real estate sector [2] Chinese Market Dynamics - Chinese stocks saw gains, particularly in consumer discretionary, information technology, and materials sectors, while energy, finance, and utilities lagged [3] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 7.306 billion HKD, with notable net purchases in Kuaishou, Tencent, and Xiaomi [3] - A surge in demand for storage chips is impacting the testing and packaging industry, with companies raising prices due to high capacity utilization [3] U.S. Market Insights - U.S. stocks opened lower but closed slightly higher, with consumer staples, industrials, and materials leading the gains [3] - The U.S. Department of Justice is investigating Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which initially pressured the market but was mitigated by reassurances from the White House [3] - Google’s market capitalization surpassed 4 trillion USD, and Apple announced plans to use Google’s Gemini model for future AI products, indicating significant developments in the tech sector [3] Investment Trends - Emerging market ETFs attracted a net inflow of 3.97 billion USD, with Chinese ETFs leading in capital attraction, reflecting growing investor interest in Chinese assets [3] - The demand for AI data centers is reshaping the DRAM market, with AI-related demand accounting for 50%-60% of the market, indicating a structural shift in supply and demand dynamics [3]

| 五、宏观信息 | | --- | | 美国司法部已就美联储总部翻修相关事宜，对美联储主席鲍威尔启动刑事调查。鲍威尔对此回应称，此举史无前例，应结合特朗普政府对美联储的持续威胁这 | | 一背景来看待，目的是就降息问题进一步向他施压。但美国总统特朗普表示，对鲍威尔接受调查"一无所知"。鉴于此次调查，两名共和党参议员宣布，将投 | | 票反对任何特朗普提名的美联储人选，包括新美联储主席。调查引发市场对美联储独立性的严重担忧，"抛售美国"交易卷土重来，避险情绪推动现货黄金一 | | 度站上4600美元/盎司关口，现货白银突破86美元/盎司，双双再创新高。 | | 我国首次明确政府投资基金布局和投向。国家发改委等四部门联合发布《关于加强政府投资基金布局规划和投向指导的工作办法》，要求基金支持重大战略、 重点领域和市场难以有效配置资源的薄弱环节，推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合，着力培育新兴支柱产业，不得投向限制类、淘汰类以及政策明令禁止的产 | | 业领域。 | | 商务部通报中欧电动汽车案磋商进展称，欧方将发布《关于提交价格承诺申请的指导文件》，并确认将秉持非歧视原则，根据世贸组织规则有关规定，对每一 宏观信息 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - On January 12, all four major index futures contracts for the current month rose, with IF up 0.67%, IH up 0.34%, IC up 2.56%, and IM up 3.23%. The total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. The A - share market had a significant rally with large trading volume, and the Hong Kong stock market also rose strongly. Meanwhile, some stocks in the commercial aerospace and AI sectors issued risk warnings [1][2][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Index Futures Data Tracking - **IF Series**: The closing prices of IF2601, IF2602, IF2603, and IF2606 all increased, with the highest increase of 0.84% for IF2606. The trading volume of IF2602, IF2603, and IF2606 increased, while that of IF2601 decreased. The total trading volume of IF increased by 7750 lots, and the total open interest increased by 2755 lots [1][2] - **IH Series**: The closing prices of IH2601, IH2602, IH2603, and IH2606 all increased, with the highest increase of 0.39% for IH2606. The trading volume of IH2602 and IH2603 increased, while that of IH2601 decreased. The total trading volume of IH increased by 340 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 1098 lots [1][2] - **IC Series**: The closing prices of IC2601, IC2602, IC2603, and IC2606 all increased, with the highest increase of 3.18% for IC2606. The trading volume of all contracts increased. The total trading volume of IC increased by 14458 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 7660 lots [1][2] - **IM Series**: The closing prices of IM2601, IM2602, IM2603, and IM2606 all increased, with the highest increase of 4.07% for IM2606. The trading volume of all contracts increased. The total trading volume of IM increased by 50774 lots, and the total open interest increased by 9639 lots [1][2] 3.2. Top 20 Member Position Changes in Index Futures - **IF Contracts**: For IF2601, both long and short positions decreased; for IF2602, long positions increased by 2736 and short positions increased by 2472; for IF2603, long positions increased by 810 and short positions increased by 899; for IF2606, long positions increased by 1406 and short positions increased by 1748 [5] - **IH Contracts**: For IH2601, both long and short positions decreased; for IH2603, long positions increased by 341 and short positions increased by 107; for IH2606, long positions increased by 117 and short positions increased by 260. Data for IH2602 was not disclosed [5] - **IC Contracts**: For IC2601, both long and short positions decreased; for IC2602, long positions increased by 1571 and short positions increased by 1972; for IC2603, both long and short positions decreased; for IC2606, long positions increased by 1352 and short positions increased by 2678 [5] - **IM Contracts**: For IM2601, both long and short positions decreased; for IM2602, long positions increased by 3891 and short positions increased by 4238; for IM2603, long positions increased by 3217 and short positions increased by 4104. Data for IM2606 was not disclosed [5] 3.3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1, indicating a neutral - to - slightly - bullish trend [6] - **Important Drivers**: On January 12, the A - share market had a large - volume rally. The Shanghai Composite Index achieved 17 consecutive positive days, setting a new high in over 10 years, with a daily trading volume of 3.64 trillion yuan, a record high. Northbound capital trading volume reached 3989.80 billion yuan, the third - highest since the inter - connection mechanism was launched. The Hong Kong stock market also had a significant increase, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.44%, the Hang Seng Tech Index up 3.1%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.9% [6][7]

摘要 传媒板块：建议关注昆仑万维、每日互动、欢瑞世纪、博纳影业和掌阅 科技，其中博纳影业与字节跳动合作紧密，AI 大电影预计上半年上映， 掌阅科技积极布局 AI 短剧，这些标的涨幅不大但潜力较大。 港股推荐：金蝶国际（AI 收入超预期）、哔哩哔哩（AI 广告受益）、快 手（数据良好，涨幅或被重估），这些标的在港股中弹性最大。 存储行业：处于技术升级、产品涨价和融资周期叠加阶段，DRAM 和 NAND 一季度合约价预计分别上涨 50%-60%和 30%左右，三星退出 MLC NAND 将加剧供需失衡。 存储投资机会：看好存储原厂和设计公司（如兆易创新），存储设备链 （长鑫、长存），以及存储代工和封测（晶合集成、华虹宏力）。 DRAM 和 NAND 在 2026 年整体涨价预期强烈。 存储供需：目前供不应求，原厂盈利压力缓解后短期内难大规模扩产， 预计 2025 年三季度末进入存储甜蜜期，本轮周期扩产概率较低。 国产算力：2026 年是国产先进制程产能上量、超级点商用、ASIC 产品 商用的重要节点，云厂商对国产算力需求持续旺盛，长期框架订单增加。 AI 芯片：H200 入华不改国产替代趋势，国产 GPU 在推理 ...

来源：喜娜AI 金融市场犹如变幻莫测的海洋，时刻涌动着投资与经济政策的波澜，深刻影响着全球经济的走向。在 此，喜娜AI为您呈上昨夜今晨的财经热点新闻，全方位覆盖股市动态、经济数据、企业财务状况以及 政策更新等关键领域，助您精准洞察金融世界的风云变幻，把握市场脉搏。 政府首次系统规范投资基金，明确投向与管理规则 1月12日，国家多部门联合发布《关于加强政府投资基金布局规划和投向指导的工作办法》，首次在国 家层面对政府投资基金布局和投向作出系统规范。《办法》围绕"投向哪、怎么投、谁来管"提出14项举 措，优化布局，引导投向重点产业，还明确了国家级和地方基金功能定位与投资重点。此外，同步制定 评价管理办法强化规范。详情>> 1月12日，A股开盘20分钟成交金额突破1万亿元，盘面出现港股与A50、期货与股票、国债与红利、成 交量与券商股走势四大背离。后市成交若持续放大，调整风险或增加，但当前市场仍处结构性火热，系 统性风险不大，需防范高低切换。详情>> 中欧电动汽车案磋商有进展，有望"软着陆" 成交额破3.6万亿创纪录，A股现三大"景观" 1月12日，A股市场震荡拉升，三大指数涨超1%，成交额超3.6万亿元创历史新高 ...

"这种行情十多年没见过了。"李明对21世纪经济报道记者表示，存储芯片厂商的策略是尽力保住Tier1手机客户的需求，但1000元价位段上下的手机出货 预测正被厂商大幅下调。"存储芯片缺货行情下，我们预判手机市场会出现'大浪淘沙'。"他补充道。 多家第三方调研机构也指出，存储芯片价格持续上涨，将令2026年全球手机市场出货量同比由增转降，市场竞争加剧。 持续大涨 当前，全球存储芯片市场正经历前所未有的涨价浪潮。这对以手机为主力产品的终端厂商而言，无疑构成了一场全方位的挑战。 这两年的年末，存储行业从业者李明的状态都颇为紧绷，但其原因又截然不同。 自2025年下半年起，大批下游终端客户主动密集联络李明，寻求价格相对稳定的存储芯片，但李明也难以平衡。对比2024年下半年行业需求呈现的两极分 化格局，当前的存储芯片市场在AI需求的强劲拉动下，已经全面转向卖方市场行情。 图源：Counterpoint Research内存月度价格追踪 "举个例子，过去15年间，4GB的DRAM内存价格最高大约是20美元，但到2025年末已经是40~50美元。这是十多年都没见过的涨价幅度。"李明对记者分 析道，其对手机客户的策略很简单，就 ...

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip market is experiencing unprecedented price increases driven by strong AI demand, leading to a seller's market and significant challenges for mobile manufacturers [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Starting from the second half of 2025, there has been a notable shift in the storage chip market, with a strong demand from downstream terminal customers seeking stable prices [1]. - The price of 4GB DRAM memory has surged from approximately $20 to $40-50 by the end of 2025, marking a significant increase not seen in over a decade [3]. - The AI industry's explosive growth has restructured the demand for storage chips, with major manufacturers reallocating production towards high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for servers, thus squeezing supply for consumer electronics [3]. Group 2: Price Trends and Predictions - The storage chip market has entered a "super bull market," with prices expected to rise by 40-50% in Q1 2026 and an additional 20% in Q2 2026 [4]. - The current price levels have surpassed historical highs from 2018, indicating a prolonged and substantial price increase cycle [4]. Group 3: Manufacturer Strategies - Mobile manufacturers are responding to rising costs by lowering shipment targets to prioritize profit margins and adjusting product pricing or specifications to mitigate cost pressures [7]. - Strategies include raising prices by 10-20% for similar products and optimizing configurations to balance costs and profitability [7]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The rising storage chip prices are expected to significantly impact the competitive landscape of the mobile industry, with many manufacturers revising their shipment forecasts for 2026, anticipating a 3-4% decline in overall market shipments [8]. - The market is shifting from scale expansion to value competition, with a focus on technological reserves, supply chain management, and brand resources becoming critical for survival [9]. - By 2026, the market share for smartphones priced above $600 is projected to reach 35.9%, while lower price segments are expected to shrink, indicating a shift in consumer preferences and competitive dynamics [9].

Market Overview - A-shares saw all three major indices rise over 1%, with total trading volume exceeding 3.6 trillion yuan, setting a historical high [2][7] - The AI application and commercial aerospace sectors showed strong performance, while insurance and real estate sectors declined [2][7] Company Performance - Several A-share listed companies, including Zhongke Lanyun and Whirlpool, forecasted net profit growth exceeding 100% for 2025, with Zhongke Lanyun expecting a growth of 366.51% - 376.51% and Whirlpool around 150% [2][7] - The growth is attributed to increased market demand, technological innovation, and cost control, indicating a deepening of technology-driven industrial transformation [2][7] Industry Trends - The satellite industry is gaining momentum, with China submitting applications for an additional 203,000 satellites and the U.S. approving SpaceX to deploy 7,500 Starlink satellites [2][7] - The satellite sector is expected to have significant growth potential due to policy support, technological breakthroughs, and market demand [2][7] Storage Market - The global storage chip market has entered a "super bull market," with prices expected to rise by 40% - 50% in Q4 2025 and another 40% - 50% in Q1 2026, followed by a 20% increase in Q2 2026 [3][8] - The demand for AI servers is driving a supply shortage in storage products, leading to increased costs for downstream manufacturers and downward adjustments in terminal shipment expectations [3][8] Policy Developments - The Ministry of Commerce emphasized the need to boost consumption and build a strong domestic market by 2026, focusing on eight key areas including the implementation of consumption promotion actions [4][9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission plans to deepen capital market reforms during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, aiming to enhance the investment environment and improve the effectiveness of regulatory enforcement [5][10]