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宏观金融数据日报-20250623
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 05:30
半 n 市 场 与 周一还将有1000亿元国库现金定存到期。央行行长潘功胜表示,过去 年,央行坚持稳健的货币政策立场,从量价结构等多维度实施多项举 措,有效支持经济持续回升向好,维护金融市场稳定。同时,央行着力 完善货币政策框架:优化中间变量、培育政策利率、提升传导效率、丰富 政策工具箱并加强沟通与预期引导。货币政策框架转型是一个渐进持续 的过程,未来将持续评估并完善。 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变动 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | | | 动(%) | | 沪深300 | 3847 | 0.09 | IF当月 | 3804 | 0.2 | | 上证50 | 2674 | 0.31 | IH当月 | 2637 | 0.6 | | 中证500 | 5640 | -0.66 | IC当月 | 5588 | -0.5 | | 中证1000 | 6000 | -0.80 | IM当月 | રેત્રેર | -0.6 | | IF成交量 | 93277 | -20.6 | IF持仓量 | 213382 ...
创金合信基金魏凤春:税收视角下的中国资产重估
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-23 03:22
Group 1: Market Overview - The market has seen adjustments in hot sectors, with cyclical commodities like coking coal, aluminum, and Brent crude oil performing well due to the Middle East crisis affecting global commodity supply [2] - The North China 50 index has adjusted, influenced by discussions around micro-cap stock trading congestion, with cautious investors taking action [2] - A weekly review of A-shares shows bank stocks leading in gains, while sectors like beauty care, pharmaceuticals, textiles, and social services have seen declines [2] Group 2: Middle East Risk - The Middle East crisis is currently limited to Iran, but concerns are growing about the potential for escalation following U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities [3] - Predictions suggest that if Iran expands its attacks and blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could surge to $120-130 per barrel, leading to high global inflation and reduced manufacturing profits [3] - Analysis indicates that U.S. actions may be politically motivated to alleviate internal pressures, with a focus on avoiding ground troop deployment [3] Group 3: China Asset Revaluation - The recent Lujiazui Forum indicated a policy tone favoring openness, which could release policy dividends for the revaluation of Chinese assets [5] - Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in China has shown a decline, with actual foreign investment amounting to 358.19 billion yuan in the first five months of 2025, down 13.2% year-on-year [5][6] - The structure of FDI shows positive trends in high-tech industries, with significant growth in sectors like e-commerce services and aerospace manufacturing [6] Group 4: Tax Revenue Insights - National public budget revenue for January to May 2025 was 96,623 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, with land use rights revenue down 11.9% [7] - The probability of a real estate market resurgence is low, as indicated by declining property-related tax revenues [7] - Securities transaction stamp duty increased by 52.4% year-on-year, reflecting heightened market activity and the importance of the stock market in asset revaluation [8] Group 5: Non-Tax Revenue and Market Dynamics - Non-tax revenue grew by 6.2% year-on-year, indicating a shift in focus from external factors to internal reforms and adjustments in interests [9] - The government is increasingly normalizing its behavior in revenue collection, which is crucial for market vitality and asset revaluation [9] Group 6: Long-Term Asset Revaluation - While external risk premiums suggest a foundation for asset revaluation in China, internal conditions still require improvement for a complete revaluation [10] - The restructuring of international order and adjustments in China's leading industries present ongoing investment opportunities [11]
基金研究周报:中东局势扰动全球情绪,能源商品价格大幅波动 (6.16-6.20)
Wind万得· 2025-06-22 22:27
图 一周摘要 图 市场概况: 上周(6月16日至6月20日)A股市场出现回调,主要源于PMI、工业增长、社融等宏观表现 略不及预期,投资者对经济复苏节奏产生担忧,风险偏好降低。蓝筹股相对抗跌,上证 50 仅微跌 0.10%,而中证 500、中证 1000 及万得微盘指数相对跌幅则明显更大,科创 50 下跌 1.55%,或因部分 科技企业盈利兑现难度大,成长风格整体受挫。中证红利虽有红利支撑,但仍微幅下挫0.42%,显示市 场避险情绪全面升温。 行业板块: 上周Wind一级平均跌幅1.24%。板块方面,仅10%板块获得正收益,银行、通信、电子相对 表现良好,分别上涨2.63%、1.58%、0.95%,而医药生物、纺织服饰、美容护理则明显走弱,分别下跌 4.35%、5.12%、5.86%。 单位:% 基金发行: 上周合计发行46只,其中股票型基金发行20只,混合型基金发行14只,债券型基金发行9 只,QDII型基金发行1只,FOF型基金发行2只,总发行份额459.23亿份。 基金表现 :上周万得全基指数下跌 0.70% 。其中,万得普通股票型基金指数下跌 1.54% ,万得偏股混 合型基金指数下跌 1.65% , ...
618国牌美护表现亮眼;伯希和拟上市有望提振户外板块情绪
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 11:44
Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the outdoor apparel sector, particularly with the anticipated IPO of Berghaus, which is expected to boost market sentiment [10][19]. Core Insights - The beauty and personal care sector showed strong performance during the 618 shopping festival, with domestic brands gaining momentum and top brands maintaining a stable market position [1]. - Berghaus, a leading high-performance outdoor apparel brand, reported a revenue of 1.766 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 94.5% year-on-year increase, with a three-year CAGR of 116% [2][11]. - The report highlights the growth of domestic beauty brands during the 618 festival, with significant sales increases across various platforms [1][2]. Industry Data Tracking - Retail sales in May showed a year-on-year growth of 4.0%, indicating a recovery in consumer spending, aided by favorable weather and the early 618 promotions [20][23]. - The report tracks various industry segments, indicating a stable upward trend in outdoor sports, beauty, and medical aesthetics sectors, while other segments like textile raw materials are under slight pressure [3]. Investment Recommendations - For the apparel sector, the report recommends brands like Hailan Home, which is adapting to consumer trends and has strong profitability potential [4][31]. - In the beauty sector, it suggests focusing on companies like Juzhi Biotechnology and Jinbo Biotechnology, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming periods [4][31]. Market Review and News - The report notes that the textile and apparel sector experienced a decline of 5.12% in the recent week, with specific companies like Li Ning and Fengzhu Textile showing positive performance [5][27]. - It also highlights the digital transformation initiatives in the textile industry, aiming for over 70% digitalization in key business processes by 2027 [33].
【股指期货周报】避险情绪影响,国内股指继续震荡走弱-20250622
Zhe Shang Qi Huo· 2025-06-22 11:02
避险情绪影响,国内股指继续震荡走弱 日期:2025-06-22 【股指期货周报20250622】避险情绪影响,国内股指继续震荡走弱 策略综述及建议 策略综术 【指数判断】 中东间题引发市场遮险情绪;中美经贸磋商机制首次会议达成原则一致;陆家嘴金融论坛聚焦中长期间题、制度改革等方面,关注后续增量稳增长政策。指数方 面建议多头配置IH2509及IF2509,此外,IM年化基差率较高,6月合约临近到期,建议IM2506移仓换月至IM2509。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款和声明 【逻辑器房】 1. 美6月继续暂停降息。 以伊冲突再度令袖价抬升,全球通胀压力再起,中美发布联合声明,内容明显超出市场预期,关注后续两方的进一步磋商情况, 2. 国内经济数据改善是未来持续反弹的一个重要因素。政府工作报告确立2025年经济增长预期目标为8%,赤字率拟获4%。拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿,特别国 债5000亿,均是经济增长的重要支撑。央行等三部门继续出台政策对科技创新、扩大消费、普惠金融等领域提供支持。 3.工作报告对"新国九条"及此前落地政策的延续优化。深化资本市场投融资给合改革,大力推动中长期资金入市。如强调降性力量储备 ...
「四大金刚」,挤满商场一楼
投资界· 2025-06-22 07:23
以下文章来源于每日人物 ,作者每人作者 每日人物 . 格局悄然改变。 作者 | 饶桐语 编辑 | 西打 来源 | 每日人物 (ID: meirirenwu) 商场一楼,挤满"四大金刚" 上海黄浦区,坐落于南京东路东端的宏伊国际广场,一家巨大的商铺悄悄换了招牌。 店铺的前租客,是来自韩国的美妆品牌悦诗风吟。2015年拿下这家商铺时,悦诗风吟不 过才进驻中国三年,就在上海最繁华的商圈南京东路,搭建了其创立以来亚洲最大的旗 舰店,800多平方米,足足三层楼。开业那天,彼时还是韩国顶流的明星李敏镐也来了, 作 为 代 言 人 , 他 给 悦 诗 风 吟 剪 彩 、 站 台 , 一 时 间 风 头 无 两 。 所 有 人 都 从 上 海 初 冬 的 风 里,感知到了悦诗风吟扩张的野心。 轻商业,懂生活。 但七年之后的2022年,颇像一个时代的隐喻,旗舰店换了门脸。泡泡玛特的招牌挂了上 去,这家潮玩企业如今凭借旗下IP LABUBU,火遍全球。在这里,年轻人们一边打卡, 一边把店铺的游玩攻略上传到社交平台,光是在小红书,相关的笔记数量就突破了80万 篇——如果按照它的开业时长计算,大概每10秒钟,就有一个人分享Ta的体验 ...
艾瑞消费观察 | 消费市场的100种可能,我们用洞察力为你解码!
艾瑞咨询· 2025-06-22 02:15
在消费市场加速迭代的今天,企业如何精准捕捉趋势、锁定增长密码? 由艾瑞数智旗下消费专业团队出品 的【艾瑞消费观察】公众号正式登场! 我们以「行业洞察 + 解决方案」双轮驱动,带您看透消费市场的底 层逻辑,更帮您把洞察转化为实实在在的商业价值。 一、我们是谁?——艾瑞消费事业部,消费赛道的最强大脑 消费 变革时代,艾瑞消费事业部如何成为企业的「战略望远镜」与「增长加速器」? 三、我们能帮你做什么?——四大「消费增长工具箱」,按需Pick! 我们是艾瑞数智深耕消费领域的专业团队,依托深厚的行业研究底蕴,为消费企业提供定制化商业 洞察。 别只盯着报告看!我们的核心价值,是帮你把「洞察」变成「生意」。以下四大解决方案,总有一 款适合你: 划重点: 我们不是单纯的报告生产者,而是「研究+落地」的实战派。 我们隶属艾瑞数智生态,共享数据技术资源,但 更聚焦消费行业垂直场景 ; 1. 品牌营销「加速器」——从曝光到转化,全链路帮你打通! 累计 服务超千家消费企业 ,输出数千份行业报告,从快消到汽车、从服饰到餐饮,处处有我们的 研究足迹; 擅长用数据手术刀解剖市场, 更能用商业指南针规划增长,是企业决策层的外脑 ,更是执行层 ...
被安踏收购后,这家国产品牌想做「瑜伽第一」丨36氪专访
36氪· 2025-06-21 09:29
以下文章来源于36氪财经 ,作者谢芸子 郑怀舟 36氪财经 . 36氪旗下官方账号。洞见市场,比99%的投资者更聪明。 文 | 谢芸子 编辑 | 郑怀舟 来源| 36氪财经(ID:krfinance) 封面来源 | 品牌官方微 博 因为一场收购,一个国产瑜伽品牌获得了市场的更多关注。 2023年10月,安踏体育发布公告称,公司旗下的一家附属公司,已成功收购MAIA ACTIVE(玛伊娅,以下简称MAIA)75.13%的股份。 MAIA成立于2016年,是专为亚洲女性设计瑜伽服装的国产品牌。在此前的报道中,2022年,MAIA主打产品"腰精裤"的销量就突破了30万条;另据此前官 方预测,在这一年度,MAIA的全平台的销售额约5亿元。 然而,在线上线下融合的过程中,MAIA遇到瓶颈,选择拥抱安踏获得更全面的发展。 2023年12月,MAIA创始人在朋友圈发文称,"将在未来一个月卸任MAIA的实际工作,但会继续作为股东与创始人支持MAIA。" 次年5月,原安踏集团零售副总裁赵光勋被任命为MAIA ACTIVE的品牌总裁,直接向安踏集团专业运动群首席执行官、安踏主品牌负责人CEO徐阳汇报。 而在安踏体育2024年的半 ...
新股消息 | 祥康控股递表港交所创业板 为亚洲技术服饰制造龙头企业
智通财经网· 2025-06-20 13:51
招股书显示,祥康控股是主要技术服饰制造商之一,为国际高端奢侈运动及时尚品牌共同开发及制造技术服饰产品。多年来,公司已建立了可观的经营规 模,并在为高端奢侈品牌共同开发及制造技术服饰产品方面积累了专业知识、经验和技术。 据港交所6月20日披露,祥康控股有限公司 (以下称"祥康控股")递表港交所创业板,力高企业融资有限公司为其独家保荐人。 行业方面,亚洲的户外及运动技术服饰制造业竞争激烈。凭借成熟的纺织行业,亚洲已成为全球产业技术服饰的重要生产基地,拥有超过50000家企业。技 术服饰生产的精髓在于高性能布料的稳定供应及先进的制衣工艺。于2024年,按产值计算,排名首五位的企业占亚洲技术服饰制造市场份额的1.4%。预计 亚洲的户外及运动技术服饰制造业将持续发展,到2029年市场规模将达到677亿美元,从2025年到2029年保持稳定的6.2%复合年增长率。 财务方面,2023财年、2024财年,祥康控股实现收入分别约为人民币12.76亿元、12.32亿元,毛利分别约为人民币1.49亿元、1.78亿元,年内利润分别约为人 民币825.8万元、4147万元。 根据弗若斯特沙利文报告,按2024年生产值计算,祥康控股是 ...
临沂商城周价格总指数为102.91点,环比下跌0.03点(6月12日—6月18日)
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-06-20 08:24
Core Insights - The overall price index for Linyi Mall decreased slightly to 102.91 points, a decline of 0.03 points or 0.03% compared to the previous week [1] Group 1: Price Index Changes - Among 14 categories, 3 categories saw price increases, 3 remained stable, and 8 experienced price declines [1] - The categories with price increases include agricultural materials, board materials, and construction decoration materials [1] - The categories with the largest price declines are clothing and accessories, steel materials, and automotive parts and accessories [1] Group 2: Agricultural Materials - The agricultural materials price index rose to 87.11 points, an increase of 0.05 points [1] - The rise is attributed to increased production costs for agricultural films and strong demand for seeds during the summer planting season [1] - Prices for plastic breeding tools also saw a slight increase due to raw material price hikes, while the average sales price for rodenticides decreased due to increased demand [1] Group 3: Board Materials - The board materials price index increased to 97.49 points, up by 0.03 points [2] - The increase is driven by a rebound in the prices of raw materials like logs, leading manufacturers to raise some product prices [2] - The market is primarily driven by sales, contributing to a slight increase in average sales prices [2] Group 4: Construction Decoration Materials - The construction decoration materials price index rose to 105.72 points, an increase of 0.03 points [3] - The increase is seen in specialized materials and decorative materials, although overall demand remains weak due to fewer home renovation projects [3] - Prices for paints and waterproof materials have seen slight increases [3] Group 5: Clothing and Accessories - The clothing and accessories price index fell to 104.92 points, a decrease of 0.19 points [4] - The decline is primarily due to a significant drop in prices for men's shoes, despite slight increases in prices for underwear and sportswear [4] - The average sales price for men's clothing has decreased [4] Group 6: Steel Materials - The steel materials price index decreased to 98.57 points, down by 0.04 points [5] - The decline is attributed to reduced demand in the construction sector and a continued off-season for steel [5] - The steel futures market is also experiencing downward fluctuations, contributing to the overall price drop [5] Group 7: Automotive Parts and Accessories - The automotive parts and accessories price index fell to 93.87 points, a decrease of 0.03 points [6] - Prices for automotive parts have slightly decreased, particularly for engine and electrical components [6] - Some automotive parts like crankshafts and fuel tanks continue to see price increases, but sensitive consumables lack upward momentum, leading to price declines [6]