三大指数早盘集体下跌，截至午盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%，北证50指数跌 0.35%，沪深京三市半日成交额13249亿元，较上日放量210亿元。全市场超3000只个股下跌。板块题材 上，AI智能体、商业航天、跨境支付、房地产、量子科技概念股涨幅居前；化学纤维、造纸、白酒、 化肥、猪肉、液冷服务器板块跌幅居前。盘面上，商业航天板块再度爆发，泰尔股份5连板，雷科防 务、宏英智能3连板，长江通信、北斗星通、城建发展、烽火通信涨停。AI应用方向延续活跃，蓝色光 标20cm涨停创10年新高，掌阅科技、德生科技封板。另一方面，医药商业板块早盘下挫，鹭燕医药盘 中闪崩跌停，达嘉维康、合富中国、药易购跟跌。电池产业链震荡下探，海科新源、欣旺达、铜冠铜箔 跌幅居前。 ...

今天，先说很多人比较关心的几件事。 第一件事，人民币继续升值。截至15:30，离岸人民币兑美元盘中涨破6.99关口，最高至6.98555。此 外，在岸人民币兑美元升破7.0关口，创下2023年5月17日以来的最高水平。 有市场策略师指出，人民币可能进一步升值，主要受外资流入、经济增长复苏预期以及科技板块乐观情 绪支撑。 第二件事，在遭遇"黑色星期一"之后，部分金属期货今天大幅反弹。其中，COMEX白银一度大涨超 5%，COMEX铜一度上涨超3%，LME镍创下今年4月以来的新高，LME锡一度上涨超2%。此外，国际 金价有所止跌。 昨天，达哥提到，芝加哥商品交易所全面上调部分金属品种的期货履约保证金，这可能会影响金属期货 及A股有色板块的短期走势，但有色板块并不能轻言波段见顶。 今天，A股的有色板块指数盘中收复了昨天阴线实体的一半，核心股紫金矿业、洛阳钼业收盘收在昨天 阴线实体的中分位上方，表现均不错。 第三件事，Meta宣布收购AI智能体公司Manus。这是Meta成立以来的第三大收购，花费仅次于 WhatsApp和Scale AI。 对于此次收购，浙商证券指出，预计可继续强化市场对AI应用、智能体乃至算力行业 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed nearly flat with a ten-day consecutive rise, ending at 3965.12 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.49% to 13604.07 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.63% to 3242.90 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 21,426 billion, a slight increase of 3.3 billion from the previous day [2]. Precious Metals Market - Precious metals experienced a significant decline, with COMEX gold futures dropping by 4.45% to $4,350.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures falling by 7.2% to $71.64 per ounce. Spot silver decreased by 8.89%, while spot gold fell by 4.42%. Palladium and platinum saw declines of over 15% and 14%, respectively [4]. - The increase in trading margins for gold, silver, palladium, and lithium futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was a direct trigger for the market sell-off, as it raised speculative trading costs and forced many leveraged long positions to liquidate [5]. AI Sector Developments - The AI application sector was notably active, with stocks like Cooltech Intelligent hitting a 20% limit up, and BlueFocus rising over 7% [7]. - Meta's acquisition of the AI application developer Manus for several billion dollars marks its third-largest acquisition, following WhatsApp and Scale AI. The deal was completed in a very short timeframe, indicating strong interest in AI technologies [11]. - The AI company Zhiyu officially launched its IPO, aiming to raise 4.3 billion Hong Kong dollars, with an expected market capitalization exceeding 51.1 billion Hong Kong dollars upon listing [12][13]. Film and Entertainment Sector - The film sector showed resilience, with stocks like Baiana Qiancheng and Hubei Broadcasting both hitting a 20% limit up. The total box office for the 2025 New Year’s film season surpassed 5 billion yuan, setting a new record for the same period over the past eight years [16][18]. - The success of films like "Zootopia 2," which is expected to surpass 4 billion yuan in box office revenue, highlights the competitive landscape of the film industry, where top films often dominate the market [18]. - The strong performance of the New Year’s film season and the anticipation of quality films for the upcoming Spring Festival suggest a positive outlook for the film and cinema sector [19].

市场概况 2739 1215 540 330 152 149 122 66 99 44 46 33 19 小于 大于 +8% 涨停 +8% +6% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% +4% +2% 跌停 -8% 上涨 1840家 持平 149家 下跌 3480家 跌停 涨停 66家 停牌 12家 19家 两市成交额:2.14万亿 市场热度: 31 0 较上一日:+32.8亿 今日预测量能: 0 100 50 2.14万亿 | +32.8亿 今日A股市场午后震荡上扬， 沪指收出十连阳，深成指、创业板指盘中均涨超0.5% 。沪深两市成交额2.14万亿，较上一个交易日放量32亿。 盘面上，市场热点快速轮动，全市场超3400只个股下跌。从板块来看， 机器人概念持续爆发 ，十余只成分股涨停，锋龙股份5连板，天奇股份4连 板，五洲新春、万向钱潮、浙江荣泰涨停。 AI应用端表现活跃 ，酷特智能20cm涨停。商业航天概念整体冲高回落，大业股份5连板，而神剑股份跌 停，鲁信创投炸板飘绿。 下跌方面，海南、零售等板块跌幅居前。其中海南自贸概念集体走弱，海南发展大跌。 截至收盘，沪指跌0.00%，深成指涨0.49%，创业板指涨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rapid evolution of AI models and applications is leading to a narrative where vertical AI applications, like Meitu, face challenges from general models, resulting in declining valuations and poor market performance in the second half of the year [1]. Group 1: Impact of General Models on Vertical Applications - The launch of Google's Nano Banana model signifies a major event in the AI landscape, combining advanced image generation capabilities with logical reasoning, surpassing previous models like ChatGPT [3]. - Meitu, a representative of vertical applications, experienced a significant stock price drop following the rise of Nano Banana, indicating market concerns about the impact of general models on specialized applications [7][9]. - Despite the challenges posed by general models, Meitu's overseas products have seen substantial growth, with a reported 63% increase in overseas application revenue in November [9]. Group 2: Meitu's Strategic Positioning - Meitu positions itself as an AI application company, utilizing a "model container" strategy to integrate various models without developing foundational models, thus avoiding high costs [11]. - The company's competitive advantage lies in its understanding of user aesthetics and preferences, allowing it to tailor its products effectively to different markets [18][19]. - Meitu's growth strategy focuses on enhancing user engagement through core functionalities that meet specific user needs, which has proven effective in maintaining its market position [22]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Trends - Meitu's product matrix is shifting towards productivity tools, with a focus on addressing specific user pain points in design and video production [28][30]. - The introduction of AI capabilities in products like Meitu Design Studio and Kaipai reflects the company's strategy to leverage AI for enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [32]. - The competitive landscape in the productivity tools market is intensifying, with major players vying for dominance, making Meitu's ability to adapt and innovate crucial for its long-term growth [32].

据"晚点LatePost"报道， 收购金额达到数十亿美元。收购完成后，Manus的创始人肖弘将出 任Meta的副总裁一职 。 Manus母公司蝴蝶效应2022年成立于中国，后迁至新加坡。 该公司团队核心人物包括肖弘、季逸超和张涛三位。肖弘毕业于华中科技大学，先后做过微 伴助手和壹伴，2022年时曾创立北京蝴蝶效应科技有限公司，推出AI浏览器插件Monica。季 逸超毕业于北京信息科技大学，2012年曾创立Peak Labs，推出Rasgueado输入法，获红杉资 本和真格基金投资。张涛曾任神策数据副总裁、字节跳动国际化负责人等。 记者丨陈归辞 编辑丨卜羽勤 脸书母公司Meta即将收购中国AI应用创业公司Manus。 该公司在2025年3月推出号称"全球首款通用智能体产品"的Manus，在当时"一炮走红"。4月下 旬旋即传出Manus母公司蝴蝶效应获硅谷知名风投Benchmark领投，融资7500万美元（约合 5.5亿元人民币）的消息，投后估值近5亿美元。5月13日，Manus正式开放注册。6月，Manus 公司总部从中国搬至新加坡。 Manus官网于12月17日称，Manus在发布八个月后，年度经常性收入(A ...

公开资料显示，日前美图公司入选香港交易所科技100指数，被美国银行、瑞银等投资机构给予"买 入"评级。2025年上半年，美图实现总收入18亿元，同比增长12.3%；经调整后归属于母公司权益持有 人净利润4.67亿元，同比增长71.3%。 机构人士分析称，2025年，美图公司以自主创新为核心驱动，聚焦人工智能等关键核心领域持续攻坚。 该公司作为港股上市公司中稀缺的AI应用标的，在垂直领域的场景化落地能力叠加当前港股科技板块 估值低位、AI商业化主线驱动的行业红利，未来股价有望打开更大上涨空间。 本报讯 （记者袁传玺）当前，AI产业正处于技术突破与商业化落地的双重拐点，AI产业链从算力基础 设施到核心技术迎来发展机遇，为市场提供了布局窗口。同时，AI应用在垂直领域率先形成规模化落 地，港股AI领域代表美图公司旗下AI产品落地电商设计、口播视频等多个细分场景，推动付费渗透率 持续提升，带动业绩增长。 在12月26日举办的"2025证券市场年会"上，美图公司获评2025年度最具投资价值上市公司。该奖项评选 呼应国家政策、倡导"耐心资本"、聚焦投资价值挖掘，参评企业范围覆盖A股、港股、美股公司。 ...

大盘走出8连阳，周五放量收阳十字星，盘中出现跳水，收盘3963.68点，成交21601亿，外资继续休息。板块上海南自贸区，小金属等表现较强，次新， 消费电子，能源系列等表现较差。个股跌多涨少。 | स्टेसि | 开始时间 | 结束时间 | 天数 | 春季躁动收益率 全年收益率 | | 日均涨幅 | 期间指数走势 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2010 | 2010/2/8 | 2010/4/14 | 42 | 9.78% | - 6 8 | 0.23% | | | 2011 | 2011/1/25 | 2011/4/18 | રૂડે | 14.32% | -22.42% | 0.27% | | | 2012 | 2012/1/6 | 2012/3/2 | 36 | 15.20% | 4.68% | 0.42% | | | 2013 | 2012/12/4 | 2013/2/8 | 46 | 25.20% | 5.44% | 0.55R | | | 2014 | 2014/1/14 | 2014/2/19 | 22 | 9.60 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the market is likely entering a "spring rally" phase, with the overall market represented by the Wind All A Index breaking through moving averages and expected to reach new highs. This is supported by increased trading volume despite the suspension of northbound capital transactions [4][7][13] - The technology growth sector is identified as a long-term market focus, with a K-shaped economic recovery in China favoring technology growth performance. Opportunities are anticipated in previously lagging areas such as AI applications and humanoid robots [4][7][12] - The report highlights the ongoing expansion in the non-ferrous metals market, with prices for gold, silver, and copper reaching historical highs. This is attributed to a combination of factors including a loosening of dollar liquidity and supply-demand tightness [12][13] Group 2 - The report suggests that the domestic commercial aerospace industry is expected to develop rapidly, supported by new regulations that favor commercial rocket enterprises and the anticipated growth of the market, which is projected to exceed 2.5 trillion yuan [11][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the non-ferrous metals sector for investment opportunities, particularly in strategic minor metals and industrial metals, as the market is currently in an expansion phase [12][13] - The report notes that monetary policy remains moderately accommodative, which supports a slow bull market in A-shares, with expectations of continued liquidity support for technology growth sectors [8][9]

Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a seven-day winning streak, indicating improved visibility for the year-end market, with a rebalancing of capital allocation [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector continues to show strong performance, driven by the "commercial aerospace" concept, while power equipment stocks are boosted by rising lithium battery material prices [1] - Domestic CSP manufacturers are increasing capital expenditure plans, with reports indicating a leading internet company plans to raise its AI capital expenditure from 150 billion yuan in 2025 to nearly 160 billion yuan in 2026, focusing on AI infrastructure and semiconductor chip procurement [1] - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is rising due to significant power consumption increases from NV chips, providing opportunities for domestic manufacturers amid rapid technological iterations [1] - A lithium battery materials company has announced a price adjustment for lithium carbonate, driven by supply contraction pushing prices back to reasonable levels [1] Overseas Macro - U.S. GDP for Q3 2025 grew at an annualized rate of 4.3%, exceeding market expectations, primarily driven by private consumption and investments in AI-related equipment [2] - Traditional sectors like construction and real estate continue to show weak investment, leading to increased economic internal differentiation [2] - The recent GDP data has somewhat suppressed expectations for interest rate cuts, suggesting the Federal Reserve may maintain current rates in the short term, with potential delays in future rate cuts [2] - Gold prices have surpassed previous highs, supported by the Fed's recent rate cuts and ongoing fiscal deficits, which have raised concerns about debt risks and the independence of the Fed [2] Commodity Market - The recent escalation of U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports and ongoing geopolitical tensions have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [3] - Silver has seen significant price increases due to both its financial and industrial demand, with growth in sectors such as photovoltaics and electric vehicles tightening supply [3] Market Outlook - The year-end market phase is supported by policy backing and industrial catalysts, with expectations for increased fiscal measures during the 2026 Two Sessions [4] - The end of the year is a period when long-term funds, such as insurance capital, tend to increase allocations, potentially bringing new capital into the market [4] - Growth and cyclical sectors are expected to be key areas of focus, with themes likely to exhibit elasticity during this period [4] Investment Directions - Focus on large technology growth sectors and resource/manufacturing sectors benefiting from cyclical reversals and global economic recovery [4] - Specific areas of interest include AI applications, robotics, energy storage, and innovative pharmaceuticals, as well as resources and manufacturing sectors like non-ferrous metals and engineering machinery [4]