证券时报·数据宝统计，截至下午13:59，今日沪指涨0.39%，A股成交量777.48亿股，成交金额9310.49亿 元，比上一个交易日减少0.50%。个股方面，3748只个股上涨，其中涨停73只，1456只个股下跌，其中 跌停3只。从申万行业来看，美容护理、综合、纺织服饰等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为2.55%、2.36%、 1.75%；交通运输、煤炭、公用事业等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为0.62%、0.25%、0.24%。（数据宝） | 国防军工 | | | | 纵横股份 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公用事业 | -0.24 | 156.43 | -19.60 | 南网能源 | -5.30 | | 煤炭 | -0.25 | 40.02 | -23.25 | 陕西煤业 | -2.00 | | 交通运输 | -0.62 | 206.30 | -9.10 | 江西长运 | -5.99 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 今日各行业表现（截至下午13:59） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Hong Kong Stock Multi-Factor Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model integrates four categories of factors: technical, capital flow, fundamental, and analyst expectations, to evaluate Hong Kong Stock Connect constituent stocks[38][39] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Select Hong Kong Stock Connect constituent stocks as the sample universe 2. Construct four categories of factors: - **Technical factors**: Indicators derived from price and volume data - **Capital flow factors**: Metrics based on fund flow data, such as net inflow - **Fundamental factors**: Metrics like valuation ratios (e.g., PE, PB) and profitability indicators (e.g., ROE) - **Analyst expectation factors**: Metrics based on analyst ratings and earnings forecasts 3. Combine these factors into a composite score for each stock 4. Rank stocks based on their composite scores and select the top 20 stocks to form the portfolio[38][39][40] - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates strong performance in historical backtesting, with significant excess returns over the benchmark[38][40] 2. Model Name: Hong Kong Stock Preferred 20 Portfolio - **Model Construction Idea**: This portfolio is constructed monthly by selecting the top 20 stocks with the highest composite scores from the multi-factor model, using equal weighting[40] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. At the end of each month, rank stocks based on their composite scores from the multi-factor model 2. Select the top 20 stocks 3. Allocate equal weights to each stock in the portfolio 4. Use the Hong Kong Composite Index (HKD, 930930.CSI) as the benchmark for performance comparison[40] - **Model Evaluation**: The portfolio has shown robust performance over the long term, with a high excess annualized return and a stable risk-return profile[40][44] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Hong Kong Stock Multi-Factor Model - **Excess Annualized Return**: 13.3% (2015.1–2025.5)[40][44] - **Excess Annualized Volatility**: 13.4%[44] - **Excess Sharpe Ratio**: 1.0[44] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 18.2%[44] 2. Hong Kong Stock Preferred 20 Portfolio - **May 2025 Monthly Return**: 2.44%[40] - **May 2025 Excess Return**: -2.36% (Benchmark return: 4.80%)[40] - **Excess Annualized Return**: 13.3% (2015.1–2025.5)[40][44] - **Excess Annualized Volatility**: 13.4%[44] - **Excess Sharpe Ratio**: 1.0[44] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 18.2%[44] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Technical Factors - **Factor Construction Idea**: Derived from price and volume data to capture market trends and momentum[38][39] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD 2. Normalize and rank the indicators across the stock universe 3. Combine the normalized scores into a composite technical factor score[38][39] 2. Factor Name: Capital Flow Factors - **Factor Construction Idea**: Based on fund flow data to identify stocks with strong capital inflows[38][39] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Measure net fund inflows for each stock 2. Normalize and rank the net inflow data 3. Combine the normalized scores into a composite capital flow factor score[38][39] 3. Factor Name: Fundamental Factors - **Factor Construction Idea**: Focused on valuation and profitability metrics to identify undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals[38][39] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate valuation ratios (e.g., PE, PB) and profitability indicators (e.g., ROE) 2. Normalize and rank these metrics across the stock universe 3. Combine the normalized scores into a composite fundamental factor score[38][39] 4. Factor Name: Analyst Expectation Factors - **Factor Construction Idea**: Based on analyst ratings and earnings forecasts to capture market sentiment and expectations[38][39] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Collect analyst ratings and earnings forecast data 2. Normalize and rank the data 3. Combine the normalized scores into a composite analyst expectation factor score[38][39] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Technical Factors - **Performance**: Demonstrated strong predictive power in identifying stocks with upward momentum[38][39] 2. Capital Flow Factors - **Performance**: Effective in capturing stocks with significant fund inflows, indicating strong market interest[38][39] 3. Fundamental Factors - **Performance**: Successfully identified undervalued stocks with robust financial performance[38][39] 4. Analyst Expectation Factors - **Performance**: Provided valuable insights into market sentiment and future earnings potential[38][39]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.33% as of 10:28 AM, with a trading volume of 445.73 billion shares and a turnover of 540.25 billion yuan, representing a decrease of 8.41% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Comprehensive: +2.17% with a turnover of 15.96 billion yuan, led by Dongyangguang (+6.26%) [1]. - Non-ferrous Metals: +1.63% with a turnover of 236.13 billion yuan, led by Sry New Materials (+12.20%) [1]. - Communication: +1.47% with a turnover of 287.97 billion yuan, led by Taichengguang (+15.65%) [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Transportation: -0.75% with a turnover of 124.09 billion yuan, led by Xinning Logistics (-6.09%) [2]. - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: -0.40% with a turnover of 71.39 billion yuan, led by Xiangjia Co. (-5.01%) [2]. - Banking: -0.38% with a turnover of 114.66 billion yuan, led by Qingdao Bank (-1.90%) [2]. Detailed Industry Data - The following industries showed notable performance: - Electronics: +1.43% with a turnover of 481.30 billion yuan, led by Guanghua Technology (+10.02%) [1]. - Power Equipment: +1.27% with a turnover of 404.26 billion yuan, led by Keheng Co. (+20.02%) [1]. - Textile and Apparel: +0.93% with a turnover of 98.88 billion yuan, led by Mankalon (+13.55%) [1]. - Conversely, industries with significant downturns included: - Coal: -0.12% with a turnover of 18.78 billion yuan, led by Dayou Energy (-1.61%) [2]. - Public Utilities: -0.13% with a turnover of 76.12 billion yuan, led by Southern Power Energy (-5.50%) [2]. - Real Estate: +0.13% with a turnover of 47.49 billion yuan, led by Zhujiang Co. (+9.95%) [1].

Trade and Export - Shanghai's foreign trade import and export reached 1.4 trillion yuan in the first four months of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1% [1] - Exports showed strong performance, with a value of 629.02 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.8% [1] - Electric vehicle exports from Shanghai accounted for one-fifth of the national total, with trade connections established with 241 countries and regions, particularly strong ties with Central Asia, the Middle East, and East Asia, achieving growth rates of over 20% [3] Cross-Border Trade Facilitation - Shanghai Customs launched measures to promote cross-border trade facilitation, ensuring smooth customs clearance for key goods, optimizing regulatory processes, and enhancing cross-border logistics efficiency [5] Domestic Tourism and Consumer Activity - During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, the box office for films reached 459 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20% [7] - The total number of cross-regional personnel movements exceeded 653 million, averaging over 217 million per day, with a year-on-year growth of 2.5% [10] - Domestic tourism saw 119 million trips during the holiday, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, with total spending reaching 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9% [12] Telecommunications Industry - In the first four months of 2025, China's telecommunications industry showed steady progress, with mobile internet access traffic growing rapidly [20] - The total number of fixed internet broadband users reached 680 million, while 5G mobile phone users reached 1.081 billion, accounting for nearly 60% of mobile phone users [20] - The electronic information manufacturing industry saw a year-on-year increase of 11.3% in added value for large-scale enterprises [21] Economic Development Zones - National economic and technological development zones have over 4.9 million operating entities, including 73,000 large-scale industrial enterprises and 85,000 high-tech companies [24]

Group 1 - The combination of the Dragon Boat Festival and International Children's Day has significantly boosted travel and consumer activity, with a total of 1.764 million travelers recorded, representing a 4.1% year-on-year increase [2] - Sales revenue from over 160 monitored commercial enterprises during the Dragon Boat Festival increased by 17.4% year-on-year [2] - Transportation capacity was enhanced, with road passenger traffic reaching 105,000 travelers, a 24.1% increase, and railway passenger traffic at 1.427 million, up 3.4% [2] Group 2 - The provincial business system organized nearly 400 promotional activities themed "Fragrant Dumplings and Warm June," which included various cultural and family-oriented events, contributing to a vibrant consumer market [3] - Cities like Shenyang and Dalian launched specific Dragon Boat Festival themed promotions, integrating traditional culture with holiday consumption to stimulate market activity [3][4] - The focus on family-oriented activities during the holiday has made parent-child interactions a key driver of consumption, with significant foot traffic reported in commercial areas [4] Group 3 - Safety measures were emphasized, with strict monitoring and enforcement in transportation to ensure smooth travel during the holiday [2][3] - The provincial commerce department is actively overseeing market conditions, ensuring stability in supply and prices during the festive period [4]

6月3日沪指上涨0.43%，市场两融余额为18044.88亿元，较前一交易日增加35.42亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至6月3日，沪市两融余额9147.66亿元，较前一交易日增加15.17亿元；深 市两融余额8843.29亿元，较前一交易日增加20.26亿元；北交所两融余额53.94亿元，较前一交易日减少 224.57万元；深沪北两融余额合计18044.88亿元，较前一交易日增加35.42亿元。 | | 份 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301096 | 百诚医 | 21061.04 | 24.85 | 7.06 | 医药生物 | | | 药 | | | | | | 600350 | 山东高 | 3323.58 | 24.74 | -2.10 | 交通运输 | | | 速 | | | | | | 001326 | 联域股 | 10054.93 | 24.59 | 0.89 | 家用电器 | | | 份 | | | | | | 833943 | 优机股 | 1306.50 | 24.30 | 8.14 | 机械设备 | | | 份 | ...

Group 1: Autonomous Vehicles in Shenzhen - Shenzhen has released the first nationwide technical guidelines for "fully open citywide, all vehicle types covered, and all scenario applications" for autonomous vehicle testing, facilitating the path for L4 and L5 level vehicles [1] - As of May this year, Shenzhen has opened a total of 2,101 kilometers of testing demonstration roads and issued the first L3 high-speed road testing license and the first autonomous micro-truck testing license in the country [1] Group 2: Tourism Growth in Guangdong - During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday from May 31 to June 2, Guangdong Province received a total of 23.21 million visitors, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2] - The tourism revenue for the same period reached 11.44 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 25.6% [2] - The increase in tourism is driven by the "dragon boat economy" and "parent-child economy" during the holiday, leading to a surge in consumer demand for cultural and tourism activities [2] Group 3: International Conferences in Hong Kong - Two major international conferences, the "Boao Forum for Asia International Technology and Innovation Forum 2025" and the "International Conference on Roads and Railways 2025," will be held in Hong Kong for the first time [3] - These conferences are expected to attract high-end business travelers, enhancing Hong Kong's international competitiveness and influence in the technology and innovation sectors [3] Group 4: Transportation Changes in Shenzhen - The Futian Bus Station in Shenzhen has suspended all passenger transport lines, with 165 routes and an average daily passenger volume of 6,500 [4] - The suspension reflects the ongoing transformation and upgrade of Shenzhen's transportation hubs, as passenger volumes for bus services decline due to the expansion of high-speed rail [4] Group 5: Shenzhen Stock Market Performance - On June 3, the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,057.17 points, with a slight increase of 0.16% [5] Group 6: Stock Market Highlights - Top gainers in the Shenzhen market include Shutaishen with a price of 31.80 yuan, up 20.00%, and Jinling Sports at 20.40 yuan, also up 20.00% [6] - Notable decliners include Wangzi New Materials at 17.70 yuan, down 10.02%, and Guangqi Technology at 39.92 yuan, down 10.01% [6]

Group 1: Economic Performance - From January to April, Guangzhou's transportation, warehousing, and postal industries achieved operating revenue of 225.03 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.8% [1] - In April, Guangzhou completed a passenger volume of approximately 27.7 million, contributing to a year-on-year revenue growth of 20.3% in railway passenger transport and 8.2% in air cargo transport [1] - The total freight volume in April reached 802.53 million tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.8% [1] Group 2: Service Industry Growth - In the first four months, Guangzhou's service industry achieved operating revenue of 670.79 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - The scientific research and technical services sector generated operating revenue of 44.03 billion, with engineering and technical research and technology intermediary services growing by 7.2% and 48.8% respectively [1] Group 3: Rental and Business Services - The rental and business services sector achieved operating revenue of 132.58 billion from January to April, with a year-on-year growth of 11.3% [2] - Under the dual drive of digital technology empowerment and the collaboration between manufacturing and service industries, advertising, human resources services, and consulting industries reported revenues of 31.84 billion, 40.91 billion, and 14.21 billion respectively, with growth rates of 21.4%, 8.6%, and 21.4% [2] Group 4: Travel Services - The travel agency and related services sector achieved operating revenue of 5.91 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 1.2%, indicating a turnaround from negative growth [3]

Core Insights - Guangzhou's service industry achieved a revenue of 670.79 billion yuan from January to April, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] Group 1: Transportation Industry - The transportation, warehousing, and postal industry in Guangzhou generated a revenue of 225.03 billion yuan from January to April, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [2] - The introduction of special trains and new transportation hubs has effectively met the travel demands during the Qingming Festival and the Canton Fair, with April's passenger volume reaching approximately 27 million [2] - Cargo transport also saw a significant increase, with a total cargo volume of 802.53 million tons in April, up 7.8% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Scientific Research and Technology Services - The scientific research and technology service sector in Guangzhou recorded a revenue of 44.03 billion yuan from January to April, with engineering and technical research and technology intermediary services growing by 7.2% and 48.8% respectively [3] Group 3: Rental and Business Services - The rental and business services sector achieved a revenue of 132.58 billion yuan from January to April, with a year-on-year growth of 11.3% [5] - Digital technology integration and collaboration between manufacturing and service industries have driven significant growth in advertising, human resources services, and consulting, with respective revenue growth rates of 21.4%, 8.6%, and 21.4% [5] - The travel agency and related services sector saw a revenue of 5.91 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 1.2% [5]

6月3日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3361.98点，上涨0.43%；深证成指收报10057.17点，上涨0.16%；创业板指收报2002.7点，上涨0.48%。 两市合计成交11414.09亿元，较上一交易日增加22.31亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超90亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出39.38亿元，尾盘净流出8.11亿元，两市全天主力资金净流出91.89亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2025-6-3 | -91.89 | -39. 38 | -8. 11 | -25. 46 | | 2025-5-30 | -352. 62 | -158. 05 | -37.83 | -193. 19 | | 2025-5-29 | 74. 33 | -19. 58 | 23. 89 | 121. 48 | | 2025-5-28 | -185. 39 | -73. 21 | -22. 45 | -57 ...