Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with the top 20 stocks experiencing substantial withdrawals, highlighting potential concerns in the respective sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - GCL-Poly Energy saw a capital outflow of 1.342 billion yuan, despite a price increase of 2.58% [2] - Lightway Technology experienced a capital outflow of 853 million yuan, with a decline of 1.71% [2] - Xinwei Communication had a capital outflow of 837 million yuan, with a drop of 3.66% [2] - Shanshan Co. faced an outflow of 827 million yuan, down 4.24% [2] - Tianfu Communication saw an outflow of 817 million yuan, with a decrease of 2.84% [2] - Zhongchao Holdings had a significant outflow of 780 million yuan, down 6.14% [2] - Contemporary Amperex Technology experienced a capital outflow of 701 million yuan, with a slight decline of 1.07% [2] - BlueFocus Communication saw an outflow of 687 million yuan, with a minor increase of 0.5% [2] - Aerospace Electronics faced an outflow of 679 million yuan, down 3.03% [2] - 360 Security Technology had a capital outflow of 672 million yuan, with a rise of 1.24% [2] - Western Materials experienced an outflow of 656 million yuan, down 6.78% [3] Group 2: Additional Stock Details - China Satellite had a capital outflow of 616 million yuan, with a decline of 1.79% [3] - Shunhao Co. faced an outflow of 604 million yuan, down 7.65% [3] - Aerospace Development saw an outflow of 584 million yuan, with a decrease of 4.48% [3] - Qianzhao Optoelectronics experienced an outflow of 538 million yuan, down 5.94% [3] - Wuzhou New Spring had a capital outflow of 524 million yuan, with an increase of 6.29% [3] - Robot Technology faced an outflow of 521 million yuan, down 5.81% [3] - Longi Green Energy saw an outflow of 507 million yuan, with a decline of 1.93% [3] - Kweichow Moutai experienced a capital outflow of 499 million yuan, down 1.45% [3] - JuLi Rigging faced an outflow of 475 million yuan, down 6.86% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with the top 20 stocks experiencing substantial withdrawals, highlighting potential concerns in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2][3] Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - GCL-Poly Energy saw the largest outflow of -1.009 billion yuan, indicating a negative trend in the photovoltaic equipment sector [1][2] - Soshine Technology experienced an outflow of -679 million yuan, reflecting challenges in the electronic components industry [1][2] - 360 Security Technology had a capital outflow of -649 million yuan, suggesting potential issues in the software development sector [1][2] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Withdrawals - Tianfu Communication faced an outflow of -561 million yuan, indicating pressures in the communication equipment sector [1][2] - Aerospace Development reported a capital outflow of -530 million yuan, which may reflect broader concerns in the aerospace and defense industry [1][2] - Kweichow Moutai experienced an outflow of -428 million yuan, raising questions about the performance in the liquor industry [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, highlighting potential concerns in specific sectors and companies [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Flow - GCL-Poly Energy experienced a fund outflow of 1.151 billion yuan with a price increase of 3.77% [2] - Tianshu Communication saw a fund outflow of 816 million yuan with a price decrease of 4.65% [2] - Guangku Technology had a fund outflow of 763 million yuan and a price drop of 3.46% [2] - Shanshan Co. faced a fund outflow of 749 million yuan with a decline of 1.96% [2] - Western Materials reported a significant fund outflow of 735 million yuan and a price decrease of 8.52% [2] - Zhongchao Holdings had a fund outflow of 688 million yuan with a price drop of 6.05% [2] - BlueFocus Communication experienced a fund outflow of 666 million yuan and a price increase of 2.36% [2] - XW Communications saw a fund outflow of 665 million yuan with a price decrease of 4.11% [2] - 360 Security Technology had a fund outflow of 626 million yuan and a price increase of 1.94% [2] - Aerospace Development faced a fund outflow of 596 million yuan with a price drop of 5.67% [2] - China Satellite experienced a fund outflow of 539 million yuan with a price decrease of 2.37% [3] Group 2: Additional Stock Details - Aerospace Electronics had a fund outflow of 525 million yuan with a price drop of 3.98% [3] - Shunhao Co. reported a fund outflow of 518 million yuan and a significant decline of 9.67% [3] - Robot Technology faced a fund outflow of 496 million yuan with a price decrease of 6.67% [3] - Qianzhao Optoelectronics had a fund outflow of 491 million yuan and a price drop of 6.5% [3] - Yongding Co. experienced a fund outflow of 481 million yuan with a price decrease of 1.43% [3] - Julite Equipment reported a fund outflow of 476 million yuan and a price drop of 6.16% [3] - Shenghe Resources had a fund outflow of 463 million yuan with a price increase of 2.1% [3] - China Duty Free Group faced a fund outflow of 454 million yuan with a price decrease of 3.08% [3] - Wuzhou New Spring reported a fund outflow of 444 million yuan with a price drop of 2.04% [3]

来源：新浪基金 今日（2月10日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格早盘摸高0.79%，现在水 面附近震荡，场内价格现跌0.35%。 | 序号 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 两日图 | 申万一级行业 | 申万二 二级行业 | 申万三级行业 | 总市值 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 盛和资源 | 2.98% | 1200 | 有色金属 | 小金属 | 桐士 | 490亿 | 35.90亿 | | 2 | 博威合金 | 2.94% | mand | 有色金属 | 全属新材料 | 其他全属新材料 | 1801Z | 3.60亿 | | 3 | 中学实业 | 1.47% | None - 1 | 有色金属 | 工业会属 | 铝 | 33342 | 3.39亿 | | 4 | 厦门修业 | 1.10% | m | 有色金属 | 小会属 | 将 | 904亿 | 18.58亿 | | 5 | 海亮股份 | 0.98% | 100 11 11 11 | 有色金属 | 工业金属 | 铜 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF, Huabao (159876), has shown fluctuations, with a morning high of 0.79% but currently down by 0.35% [1]. Market Performance - The current trading price of Huabao ETF is 1.131, with a decrease of 0.35% (-0.004) from the previous close [2]. - The ETF opened at 1.137, reached a high of 1.144, and a low of 1.127 during the trading session [2]. - The total trading volume is 342,500, with a turnover rate of 1.72% [2]. Sector Performance - Key stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector include Shenghe Resources and Bowei Alloys, which rose over 2%, while Zhongfu Industrial and Xiamen Tungsten also saw gains exceeding 1% [2][3]. - The macroeconomic outlook suggests potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may influence commodity prices [3]. Industry Trends - Prices for rare earth products are accelerating, with significant increases in praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices, which rose by 7.59% and 6.27% respectively [4]. - The demand for rare earth materials is shifting from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling, supporting higher prices [4]. - The non-ferrous metal industry is expected to experience a resource supercycle, with prices for metals like gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and rare earths anticipated to rise [4]. Investment Opportunities - The Huabao ETF provides comprehensive exposure to various metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it an efficient tool for investors looking to capitalize on the non-ferrous metal sector [5].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the non-ferrous metal sector is currently experiencing fluctuations, with the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) showing a morning high of 0.79% but later declining by 0.35% [1][9]. Market Performance - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF opened at 1.137, reached a high of 1.144, and is currently trading at 1.131, reflecting a decrease of 0.35% [2][9]. - Key stocks in the sector include Shenghe Resources and Bowei Alloys, which rose over 2%, while Zhongfu Industrial and Xiamen Tungsten also saw gains exceeding 1% [13]. Macroeconomic Factors - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan indicated that potential inflation is not a concern, and there is no significant price pressure observed in the economy. The Fed may need to cut rates by more than 100 basis points this year [4][10]. - The market is currently reacting to changes in the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding Iran, which has influenced gold price volatility [4][11]. Industry Trends - Rare earth product prices are accelerating, with significant increases in praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices, which rose by 7.59% and 6.27% respectively on February 9. The cumulative increase for praseodymium oxide this year has reached 34% [4][11]. - Analysts expect a continued widening of the supply-demand gap for rare earths by 2026, driven by tight supply and increased demand from downstream magnetic material companies [4][11]. Investment Opportunities - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, providing a comprehensive tool for investors to capture the beta performance of the entire sector [5][12]. - The non-ferrous metal industry is anticipated to enter a resource super cycle, with prices for metals like gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and rare earths expected to rise systematically [4][11].

Core Viewpoint - The significant surge in tin prices is driven by a combination of overseas macroeconomic easing, domestic supply shortages, and pre-holiday demand replenishment, with prices expected to remain strong post-holiday [1][11]. Group 1: External Macro Factors - The weakening of the US dollar and the strengthening of US stock markets have elevated metal valuations, benefiting industrial metals [2]. - Global interest rate cuts are anticipated, and domestic liquidity has been injected by the central bank, contributing to a favorable market sentiment for small metal varieties [3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply is tight globally, with continuous depletion of inventories and limited increases in domestic refined tin production, leading to a scarcity of available goods and price increases due to traders holding back sales [4]. - Demand is robust, driven by the rapid growth in photovoltaic components, semiconductor packaging, and AI server solder needs, with downstream companies actively replenishing stocks before the holiday [5]. Group 3: Market Conditions Pre- and Post-Holidays - As the holiday approaches, downstream stocking is nearing completion, resulting in slightly reduced market transactions; however, the low inventory and tight supply situation persist, making price declines unlikely [6]. - The price trend is expected to maintain a strong upward momentum, with fluctuations anticipated in the range of 385,000 to 400,000 yuan per ton, although continuous surges are not expected [7]. - The current macroeconomic easing and unresolved supply-demand gaps suggest that the upward trend will continue into the post-holiday period, with the first two weeks after the holiday being an optimal time for positioning in the cyclical sector [8][9].

行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 2026 年 02 月 09 日 相关研究 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 价格波动较大，向好趋势不改 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20260202-20260206 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 iFind，环比上周 1）上证指数下跌 1.27%，深证成指下跌 2.11%，沪深 300 下跌 1.33%，有色金属（申 万）指数下跌 8.51%，跑输沪深 300 指数 7.18 个百分点。2）分子板块看，环比上周，贵金属下跌 ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a weekly strategy report on industry rotation TF from February 2, 2026, to February 8, 2026, released on February 9, 2026 [1][2] - The strategy is based on two previous reports and constructs an ETF - based strategy portfolio [2] Group 2: Investment Recommendations Current Holdings and Changes - ETFs to be continued to hold include Building Materials ETF (159745, market value 21.67 billion yuan), Real Estate ETF (159707, market value 6.40 billion yuan), Petrochemical ETF (159731, market value 17.46 billion yuan), Chemical ETF (159870, market value 340.36 billion yuan), and Rare Metals ETF (562800, market value 62.40 billion yuan) [3] - ETFs to be newly added or adjusted to hold include Tourism ETF (159766, market value 91.07 billion yuan), Wine ETF (512690, market value 192.66 billion yuan), Traditional Chinese Medicine ETF (560080, market value 26.52 billion yuan), New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700, market value 19.75 billion yuan), and Agricultural ETF Harvest (516550, market value 2.03 billion yuan) [3] - ETFs to be removed from the portfolio include Non - Ferrous Metals ETF (512400, market value 352.52 billion yuan), Gold Stocks ETF (517520, market value 151.34 billion yuan), Grain ETF (159698, market value 4.66 billion yuan), Securities and Insurance ETF E Fund (512070, market value 201.73 billion yuan), and Agricultural ETF (159825, market value 26.26 billion yuan) [11] Sector Recommendations - The model recommends allocating to sectors such as cement, real estate development, and airport aviation in the week of February 9, 2026 [12] - In the next week, the strategy will newly hold Game ETF, Wine ETF, Traditional Chinese Medicine ETF, and New Energy Vehicle ETF, and continue to hold Building Materials ETF, Real Estate ETF, and Petrochemical ETF [12] Group 3: Performance Tracking - From February 2 to February 6, 2026, the cumulative net return of the strategy was approximately - 3.85%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was approximately - 2.53% [3] - From October 14, 2024, to February 6, 2026, the out - of - sample cumulative return of the strategy was approximately 38.45%, and the cumulative excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was approximately 15.41% [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant increase in gold holdings by the People's Bank of China for 15 consecutive months, alongside spot gold prices returning to $5,000 per ounce, which has led to heightened activity in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly the Huabao ETF [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a price increase of over 2.5% during the day, currently up by 1.89% [1][9]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector, such as Shenghe Resources and Hunan Silver, have surged over 9%, while Silver Nonferrous has risen by more than 6% [5][11]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market shows signs of cooling, with job vacancies dropping to 6.542 million, the lowest since September 2020, significantly below the expected 7.25 million [2][12]. - The previous month's job vacancy data was revised down from 7.146 million to 6.928 million, indicating a continued weakening in labor demand [2][12]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - Mary Daly, President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, suggests that the Fed may need to implement one or two more rate cuts to address the weak labor market conditions [3][13]. - Current inflation is eroding wage income for American workers, and new job opportunities are scarce [3][13]. Group 4: Commodity Market Outlook - According to Zhongjin Company, the rigid demand driven by AI computing expansion and energy transition, along with structural supply-demand gaps for certain commodities, indicates that the structural market for bulk commodities may not have ended [3][13]. - The article suggests that after a short-term adjustment, resource stocks are expected to regain upward momentum [3][13]. Group 5: ETF Overview - The Huabao ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to various market cycles [4][13]. - The ETF serves as an efficient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the non-ferrous metals sector [4][13].