*三大股指上扬，纳指涨近0.7%； *中长期美债收益率走高，基准10年期美债报4.61%； *受特朗普言论影响，汽车和钢铁股悲喜两重天。 周一美股低开高走，尽管美国总统特朗普发表上调进口钢铁和铝关税言论，但投资者仍对美国与其贸易 伙伴之间的贸易谈判持乐观态度。截至收盘，道指涨35.41点，涨幅0.08%，报42305.48点，录得日线三 连阳，纳指涨0.67%，报19242.61点，标普500指数涨0.41%，报5935.94点。 明星科技股涨多跌少，Meta Platforms涨3.6%，英伟达涨1.6%，亚马逊涨0.8%，苹果涨0.4%，微软涨 0.3%，谷歌跌1.5%。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨0.5%。 市场概述 经济数据方面，供应管理协会（ISM）周一公布的数据显示，美国5月份制造业指数跌至48.5，连续第 三个月收缩，供应商在关税压力下交付投入的时间更长，这可能预示着一些商品即将出现短缺。 标普全球市场情报（S&P Global Market Intelligence）首席商业经济学家威廉姆森（Chris Williamson） 表示，尽管上个月制造商的整体情绪有所改善，部分原因是暂停关税，但"在不 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses how Trump's actions have inadvertently revealed long-standing investment biases among investors, shaped by their past experiences, which may not be applicable to future market conditions [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategies and Biases - The "buying the dip" strategy has been a golden rule for investors in the U.S. stock market over the past 30 years, largely due to Federal Reserve interventions following market downturns [3][4]. - There is skepticism about the reliability of the "buying the dip" strategy in the current market environment, especially with challenges to the Federal Reserve's credibility [4]. - Historical data shows that stocks have generally outperformed bonds over long periods, but recent studies suggest that bonds have outperformed stocks in several 20-year periods [4][5]. - The belief that gold is a poor investment has been challenged by its recent performance, with significant price increases since 2015, contrasting with the views of older investors who experienced declines in the past [6][7]. - The dominance of U.S. tech stocks, particularly the "Magnificent Seven," has created a perception of guaranteed returns, but broader market indices like Russell 2000 have not shown similar growth [7][10]. - The article highlights a shift in investment performance, with value stocks beginning to outperform growth stocks, suggesting a potential reevaluation of investment strategies [12]. - Cash, once deemed unattractive due to low interest rates, has regained appeal as interest rates rise, outperforming stocks and bonds in certain markets [13].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, highlighting a shift towards a dividend-focused market as opposed to a financing-driven one, with significant growth in dividend payouts and a decrease in new stock issuances. Market Performance - The overall market is experiencing an upward trend, with the closing rating at 5 stars, close to 4.9 stars [1] - All market caps (large, mid, and small) are rising, with small-cap stocks showing greater elasticity [2] - Growth styles are generally on the rise [3] - Technology and healthcare sectors are leading the gains, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals [4] - The Hong Kong stock market is also seeing overall increases, with technology stocks leading the charge [5] Earnings Recovery - In Q1 of this year, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have shown a recovery in earnings growth [6] - Notably, technology and healthcare stocks have experienced significant year-on-year earnings growth, becoming leading sectors post-Spring Festival [7] - Other sectors are expected to enter a phase of earnings recovery as well [8] Tariff Impact - The recent market rise is partially attributed to tariff-related developments, particularly the U.S. federal court's organization of Trump's tariff policy effective April 2 [9] - The increase in tariffs was a major factor leading to a global stock market decline in early April, and the obstruction of these tariffs is beneficial for the global stock market [10] - Recently, the global stock market has largely recovered from the declines experienced in early April [11] - However, Trump remains an unstable factor, with potential for further policy changes [12] Dividend Market Transition - A significant change in A-shares over recent years is the encouragement for listed companies to increase their dividend payout ratios [13] - The dividend payout ratio indicates the percentage of profits distributed as dividends [14] - Historically, A-shares distributed 30-40% of profits as dividends, which has increased to 40-50% in recent years [16][17] - The total dividend payout for A-shares in 2024 is projected to reach a historical high of approximately 2.4 trillion [18] - The frequency of dividends has also increased, with more companies distributing dividends twice a year and some experimenting with quarterly dividends [19] Financing Trends - In previous years, A-shares experienced a surge in new stock issuances, but this has significantly decreased following regulatory changes [20] - The total financing from new IPOs in A-shares for 2024 is expected to be only 67.3 billion [21] - Including convertible bonds and additional financing, the total financing amount is around 288 billion [22] - The opportunities for new stock and bond issuances have diminished considerably in recent years [23] - A-shares have transitioned into a standard dividend market, with total dividends far exceeding total financing [24] Future Projections - For 2025, the dividend payout ratio is expected to continue increasing, with total dividends projected to grow further [25] - New stock issuance is anticipated to remain low in 2025 [26] - The issuance of REITs has increased compared to previous years, but REITs are also high-dividend products, suggesting that over time, REITs will also see dividends surpass financing amounts [27] - It is expected that 2025 will maintain the trend of total dividends exceeding total financing [28] - This shift represents a positive long-term direction for A-shares, moving from a financing market to a dividend market [29] Fund Dividend Trends - The increase in stock dividends has also led to a rise in fund dividends [33] - In previous years, there was debate over whether funds should distribute dividends, but this controversy has diminished [34] - The number and scale of regularly distributing funds have grown significantly, reflecting high investor demand for such funds [36] - From early 2025 to mid-May 2025, the total amount of fund dividends has increased by 40% compared to 2024 [39] - Bond funds and dividend equity funds are the primary contributors to this increase in dividends [40] Valuation Tables - The article includes valuation tables for dividend indices and funds for reference [42] - These tables provide insights into earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and other financial metrics for various indices and funds [42]

Group 1 - Major industry ETFs in the U.S. stock market are mostly rising at the beginning of trading [1] - The semiconductor ETF has increased by over 2% [1] - The global airline industry ETF and the global technology stock index ETF are among the top gainers [1]

Group 1 - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to renewed risk aversion driven by geopolitical tensions and concerns over U.S. fiscal health, with gold surpassing $3,300 per ounce [1][2] - The U.S. government's trade policies, particularly the proposed tariffs on the EU, have negatively impacted U.S. stock indices, leading to a decline in major tech stocks [2] - Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, reflecting growing concerns over U.S. fiscal stability, which has increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][4] Group 2 - Copper and oil prices have also risen significantly due to geopolitical risks and a weakening dollar, with WTI crude oil settling at $61.53 per barrel and Brent crude at $64.78 per barrel [3] - OPEC+ is expected to announce an increase in production, which may influence oil prices further, while the copper market has seen a price increase of over 5% in May [3] - The short-term impact of U.S. tariffs on metal exports is becoming evident, but low inventory levels are providing some support for metal prices [4]

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.61% at 41,603.07 points, the S&P 500 down 0.67% at 5,802.82 points, and the Nasdaq down 1% at 18,737.21 points [1] - Popular tech stocks experienced declines, with Apple dropping over 3%, and Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Meta each falling over 1% [1] - European stock indices also closed lower, with the German DAX down 1.54% at 23,629.58 points, the French CAC40 down 1.65% at 7,734.4 points, and the UK FTSE 100 down 0.24% at 8,717.97 points [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.90% at $3,357.70 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.27% at $33.64 per ounce [1] - International oil prices strengthened, with the main US oil contract rising 0.92% to $61.76 per barrel and Brent crude rising 0.92% to $65.03 per barrel [1] - London base metals saw an overall increase, with LME lead up 1.22% at $1,994.00 per ton, LME copper up 1.19% at $9,614.00 per ton, and LME aluminum up 0.41% at $2,466.00 per ton [1] Bond Market - US Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year yield down 0.43 basis points at 3.982%, the 10-year yield down 2.26 basis points at 4.506%, and the 30-year yield down 0.29 basis points at 5.038% [1] - European bond yields also declined, with the UK 10-year yield down 6.8 basis points at 4.679%, the French 10-year yield down 6 basis points at 3.258%, and the German 10-year yield down 7.6 basis points at 2.565% [1]

金十数据5月24日讯，美股周五收盘，道指初步收跌0.61%，标普500指数收跌0.67%，纳指跌1%。明星 科技股飘绿，苹果(AAPL.O)收跌3.02%，英伟达(NVDA.O)跌1.16%。核电概念股走强，Oklo Inc涨 23.1%、NANO Nuclear Energy涨30.07%。美国钢铁(X.N)涨21.61%，特朗普称美国钢铁和日本制铁同意 建立"计划中的合作伙伴关系"，美国钢铁将留在美国。 美股收盘：三大股指均收低 美国钢铁涨逾21% ...

金十数据5月23日讯，美股三大股指低开，道指跌1.1%，标普500指数跌1.2%，纳指跌1.5%。科技股全 面走低，苹果(AAPL.O)跌3.3%，特朗普威胁对苹果征税。英伟达(NVDA.O)跌2.2%，亚马逊(AMZN.O) 跌2.2%，特斯拉(TSLA.O)跌1.4%。罗斯百货跌超8%，公司撤回年度指引。 美股大幅低开 苹果跌3% ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of global asset allocation, particularly highlighting the potential of emerging markets as a counterbalance to the high valuations and risks associated with major tech stocks in developed markets [1][3]. - Morgan Stanley has upgraded its rating on emerging market stocks to "overweight," indicating a bullish stance and suggesting that these markets could provide significant investment opportunities, especially as they have underperformed developed markets by 40% over the past four years [1][2]. - Emerging market stocks have shown a notable recovery this year, with Indonesia's index rising by 10% and India's SENSEX30 increasing by 7%, outperforming the A500 index [1][2]. Group 2 - The report highlights that the forward P/E ratio for emerging market stocks is 12.4 times, significantly lower than the 19.1 times for developed markets, suggesting a potential for capital inflow as global investors currently have low exposure to these markets [1][2]. - The article points out that trade volumes within emerging markets have reached historical highs, with China exporting more to Southeast Asia than to the U.S., indicating a shift in trade dynamics [5]. - Specific opportunities are identified in markets like India, which has a large untapped mobile data user base, and Indonesia, where the digital economy is poised for significant growth due to its geographical characteristics [5].

Market Overview - On May 19, US stock indices experienced slight gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 rising by 0.32%, 0.02%, and 0.09% respectively [3] - Major US tech stocks mostly increased, although the Wind US Tech Seven Index fell by 0.09%. Notable individual stock movements included Microsoft rising over 1%, while Apple and Tesla fell by over 1% and 2% respectively [5][6] Chinese Stocks - Chinese stocks showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index declining by 0.17%. Among Chinese stocks, Donis rose over 19% and Hesai Technology increased by over 10% [5] Precious Metals - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures increasing by 1.41% to $3232.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rising by 0.44% to $32.495 per ounce [9] - As of May 20, gold and silver futures showed slight declines [9] Oil Prices - International oil prices saw an increase, with ICE Brent crude rising by 0.11% and NYMEX WTI crude increasing by 0.08% [11][12] US Treasury Yields - The 30-year US Treasury yield surpassed 5% during trading on May 19, influenced by Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, which also affected US stock index futures. The 10-year Treasury yield also crossed 4.5% [14]