国务院新闻办公室于2026年1月15日（星期四）下午3时举行新闻发布会，请中国人民银行（简称"央 行"）新闻发言人、副行长邹澜，国家外汇局新闻发言人、副局长李斌，中国人民银行货币政策司司长 谢光启，中国人民银行新闻发言人、调查统计司司长闫先东，国家外汇局资本项目管理司司长肖胜介绍 货币金融政策支持实体经济高质量发展成效，并答记者问。 来看看发布会主要内容： 央行：下调各类结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点央行：降准降息还有一定空间 央行：人民币汇率预计将继续双向浮动，保持弹性 邹澜1月15日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，总体看人民币汇率是稳健的。影响汇率的因素是非常多元 的，比如经济增长、货币政策、金融市场、地缘政治突发的风险事件等等。中国具有超大规模的市场和 完整产业链，科技创新和产业创新加速融合，新动能蓬勃发展，内需潜力不断释放，国内国际双循环更 加畅通，宏观经济长期向好，对人民币汇率基本稳定形成了支撑。也要看到，外部形势依然复杂严峻， 主要经济体利率调整幅度和节奏还有不确定性，地缘政治冲击可能持续存在，对汇率走势会有一定的扰 动，人民币汇率预计将继续双向浮动，保持弹性。 央行：中国没有必要也无意通过汇率 ...

市场开始降温了，不仅指数涨跌各半，而且沪深两市的成交额从昨天的从昨天的39414亿一下子降低到今天的29055 亿，减少了1万亿多，不过这样也好，走成慢牛的概率反而大了。 | 名称 | 必生 | 本月 | 本周 | 当天 | BIAS25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股总数量 | 5181 | 5181 | 5182 | 5182 | | | A股上涨数量 | 4193 | 4193 | 2752 | 2168 | | | A股下跌数量 | 953 | 953 | 2350 | 2897 | | | A股零涨幅数量 | 35 | 35 | 80 | 117 | | | 涨幅>10% | 25. 19% | 25. 19% | 6.21% | 0. 91% | | | 涨幅>5%到10% | 23.61% | 23.61% | 9.61% | 3.01% | | | 涨幅>0%到5% | 32. 14% | 32. 14% | 37.28% | 37.92% | | | 涨幅>-5%到0% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 38. 87% | 52 ...

Core Insights - Shanghai's "28 Measures" aim to stimulate consumption through a systematic restructuring of the supply side rather than simple financial incentives, focusing on enhancing quality and efficiency in various sectors [2][8][20] Group 1: Policy Measures - The measures include 28 specific policies designed to optimize the supply side and activate the entire consumption chain [2][8] - The policies encourage financial institutions to develop tailored financial products for emerging consumption scenarios such as holiday, night, nostalgic, and two-dimensional economies [4][16] - The initiative promotes the integration of financial services with cultural and tourism sectors, aiming to create a comprehensive ecosystem that supports both supply and demand [5][17] Group 2: Financial Innovations - The measures facilitate the securitization of personal consumption loans, which can enhance banks' lending capabilities and foster a positive cycle of financial support for consumption [4][17] - Innovations in financial products are expected to extend beyond traditional large-item purchases to include experiences like themed exhibitions and night markets [4][16] - The optimization of inclusive insurance products provides a safety net for consumers, alleviating concerns and encouraging spending [5][17] Group 3: Digital Content and AI - The development of AI micro-dramas is highlighted as a key area for cultural consumption, with policies aimed at creating a hub for this content and fostering talent through competitions [6][18] - The integration of AI technology is expected to lower production costs and increase output efficiency in the digital content sector, leading to significant market growth [21][22] - The cross-industry collaboration between micro-dramas and tourism or commerce is anticipated to open new monetization channels for advertising and brand placement [21][22] Group 4: Industry Integration - The measures emphasize the deep integration of cultural, tourism, and commercial sectors, breaking down barriers and creating new opportunities for resource consolidation [10][22] - The focus on experiential consumption is expected to transform traditional shopping centers into experience centers, enhancing customer retention and rental income [10][22] - The promotion of event-driven consumption models, such as "travel with events," is likely to benefit the sports industry and related sectors [10][22] Group 5: Retail and Service Upgrades - Retail and service industries are encouraged to adopt digital tools for comprehensive upgrades, leading to innovations like unmanned retail and smart business districts [11][23] - The policies aim to expand the production service sector, including advertising and market research, to better align with high-quality consumer demand [11][23] - Sectors related to healthcare, childcare, and green consumption are expected to be activated through policy guidance and financial support, creating new family consumption engines [11][23]

Group 1 - China's innovation ecosystem has shown significant results, with many small tech companies receiving support in technology and funding, facilitating their technological breakthroughs [1][10] - Over 600,000 tech and innovative SMEs have been cultivated in China, with more than 140,000 specialized and innovative SMEs and over 17,600 national-level "little giant" enterprises [10] - Private enterprises constitute the majority among specialized and innovative SMEs, which are crucial for the country's technological self-reliance efforts [10] Group 2 - Beijing Bank is a representative pioneer in nurturing industrial innovation through financial support, focusing on technology finance as its primary strategy [2][11] - The bank aims to build a "specialized and innovative first bank" by restructuring service structures and innovating product systems to empower private and tech SMEs [2][12] Group 3 - Beijing Bank has developed a comprehensive financial service system that accompanies tech enterprises throughout their development cycle, providing tailored financial support [4][13] - The bank has established a "1+18+N" technology finance specialized network, serving nearly 60,000 tech SMEs with over 1.45 trillion yuan in credit funding [5][14] Group 4 - The core challenge in serving specialized and innovative enterprises lies in pricing their intangible assets, such as patents and data algorithms, which differ from traditional hard assets [6][15] - Beijing Bank has innovated its risk assessment by integrating various data sources to create dynamic digital profiles of enterprises, enhancing financing efficiency [7][15] Group 5 - The bank's strategy extends beyond individual financing solutions to building a collaborative industrial innovation ecosystem, focusing on key industries like information technology and high-end equipment [18] - By acting as a resource connector, Beijing Bank helps tech companies find market orders and investment partners, transitioning from mere financing to comprehensive intelligence integration [18][19]

2026年1月6日，国家金融监督管理总局江苏监管局发布行政处罚信息公开表，工商银行宝应支行和苏州 吴中支行领罚单。 因存款和贷款业务未严格分离的主要违法违规行为，工商银行宝应支行被江苏金融监管局罚款30万元； 郭伟（时任工商银行宝应支行行长助理）被江苏金融监管局警告并罚款6万元。 因收取不合理费用的主要违法违规行为，工商银行苏州吴中支行被江苏金融监管局罚款30万元；陈家玮 （工商银行苏州吴中支行副行长）被江苏金融监管局警告并罚款6万元。 行政处罚信息公开表原文： 行政处罚信息公开表原文： | 序 | 当事人名 | 行政处罚决定 | 主要违法违规行为 | 行政处罚 | 作出决定 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 름 | 称 | 书文号 | | 内容 | 机关 | | ﺎ | 中国工商 银行股份 | 苏金罚决字 | 存款和贷款业务未严 | 罚款30万 | 江苏金融 | | | | (2025) 167 | | | | | | 有限公司 | ਵੇ | 格分离 | 元 | 监管局 | | | 宝应支行 | | | | | | 2 | 郭伟(时 任中国工 商银行股 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, focusing on the performance of various indices, particularly dividend indices, and the importance of patience in index fund investment strategies. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market experienced slight declines, with the closing rating at 3.8 stars [1] - Large-cap stocks like the CSI 300 saw minor gains, while small-cap stocks faced more significant declines [2] - Recent days have shown a notable pullback in small-cap stocks after a period of substantial gains [3] - Value style indices showed little volatility, with cash flow indices experiencing slight increases [4][5] - Hong Kong stocks also faced declines, particularly in technology sectors, while dividend stocks remained stable [6][7] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The article highlights that undervalued stocks are becoming scarce as the market rises, although some dividend indices still have undervalued options [9][10] - The performance of indices like the CSI 500 low volatility has been strong since 2018, with an approximate 80% increase [16] - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in holding onto low volatility and dividend strategies, which can lead to passive valuation reductions through strategic rebalancing [25][26] - A structural bull market is noted, where not all indices rise or fall simultaneously, indicating the need for strategic investment choices [28][38] Group 3: Dividend Indices and Valuation - The article provides a valuation table for dividend indices, indicating various metrics such as earnings yield and price-to-earnings ratios [41] - The dividend index has seen rapid growth in scale over recent years, with many investors expressing interest and questions regarding these products [46][47] - A new book titled "Dividend Index Fund Investment Guide" has been released to assist investors in understanding dividend indices better [45][48]

Core Viewpoint - In a low-interest-rate environment, bank stocks are seen as representatives of dividend style investments, offering medium to long-term allocation value due to their high dividend characteristics [1] Group 1: Bank Indices Performance - The main bank indices in A-share and Hong Kong markets include the China Securities Bank Index, the China Securities Hong Kong Bank Index, and the China Securities AH Bank Index [2] - The China Securities Hong Kong Bank Index is expected to significantly outperform the China Securities Bank Index in 2025 [3] - From January 1 to December 31, 2025, the Hong Kong Bank Index recorded a growth of 28.94%, which is substantially higher than the 6.79% increase of the China Securities Bank Index and the 9.60% of the AH Bank Index [4] Group 2: Investment Trends and Fund Flows - In Q3 2025, the Hong Kong banking sector saw significant buying from insurance capital, while the A-share banking sector experienced substantial selling by public funds [10] - The proportion of active equity funds' holdings in A-share banks dropped from 3.91% to 1.49%, with the market value decreasing from 64.1 billion yuan to 30.8 billion yuan [10] - In contrast, insurance capital made 41 significant investments in banks throughout 2025, with 33 of these targeting H-share banks [10] Group 3: Stock Performance and Dividend Yields - The strong performance of the Hong Kong Bank Index is attributed to the notable gains of key stocks such as HSBC Holdings, which rose by 25.53%, and Standard Chartered, which increased by 30.66% [11] - The dividend yield for Hong Kong banks remains above 6%, making them attractive to insurance capital, while A-share banks generally have yields between 3% and 4% [13] - Historical data indicates that buying bank stocks before the Spring Festival has an 80% success rate, with quality joint-stock banks and city commercial banks often yielding excess returns [13] Group 4: Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, insurance capital is expected to remain a significant source of funding, but bank stocks may underperform the broader market in the first quarter due to a growth-oriented market style [15] - The return on tangible equity (ROTE) for Hong Kong banks is projected to slightly decline in 2026, yet the combined return from dividends and buybacks is still expected to exceed 7%, maintaining their investment appeal [15]

2026.01. 15 本文字数：2237，阅读时长大约4分钟 行体系的影响路径更具针对性。 多位市场分析人士指出，结构性货币政策工具利率下调，主要作用于银行负债端，有助于降低银行从 央行获取中长期资金的成本，并未直接压低存贷款基准利率或LPR，对银行净息差的直接冲击相对有 限。从这一角度看，该政策对银行盈利的边际影响偏中性，但在当前息差已接近底部的背景下，具有 一定稳定预期的积极意义。 从中期看，结构性工具"降息+扩容"的组合效应更值得关注。再贷款、再贴现工具重点投向支农支 小、科技创新、民营经济等领域，配合风险分担和考核机制优化，有助于提升银行在重点领域投放的 积极性，同时缓释资本占用和信用风险压力，优化资产结构和资产质量预期。 不过，也有分析人士指出，结构性工具更强调定向支持和结构优化，其对银行盈利改善的效果仍需实 体融资需求回暖配合。短期内，银行股更多体现为"风险下行空间收敛"，而非趋势性上行。 在政策落地背景下，银行板块年初以来表现仍然偏弱。据Wind数据统计，今年以来的9个交易日 中，银行板块有6个交易日下跌，且近期出现一定放量下行迹象。个股方面，浦发银行年内累计跌幅 超过10%，南京银行下跌7. ...

2026年开年，存款市场迎来重要变化。曾作为银行"揽储利器"的大额存单，利率持续下行， 部分中小银行3个月期产品利率首次跌破1%， 正式进入"0 字头"区间。 大额存单短期限产品利率跌破1%，成为近年来首次出现的市场现象。 这一变化，不仅正在改写储户对于"高息存款"的旧有认知，更推动整个理财市场迎来资产配置的重构浪潮。 根据中国货币网公开信息，今年已有超40家银行发布2026年第一期大额存单发行公告。在"期限"和"利率"两个方面都有明显不同于往年的变化。 在期限方面，"短期化"特征明显： 多数银行主打一年期及以下品种，三年期产品发行量锐减，五年期产品近乎绝迹。 在利率方面，"下行态势"突 出， 三年期产品利率普遍不超过2%，一年期利率多不足1.5%，一年期以下产品利率已跌破1%。 值得关注的是，随着开年大额存单市场出现变化，近期，在社交平台上求购高息存单的信息日渐增多，一种由买卖双方私下议价并定向转让的模式随之兴 起。 市场普遍关注， 未来大额存单市场走势如何？ "大额存单利率仍将延续下行趋势，尤其是3个月、1个月等短期限产品利率或进一步逼近'0字头'。"娄飞鹏表示。 以往相较于国有大行在利率上有所优势的中小 ...

来源：第一财经 【时政新闻】 ②欧洲主要股指涨跌不一，截至发稿，英国富时100指数涨0.48%，法国CAC40指数跌0.18%，德国 DAX30指数涨0.06%； 【公司新闻】 ①贝莱德与微软的AI合作项目已筹集125亿美元； ②摩根士丹利：2025年第四季度净营收178.9亿美元； ③高盛：2025年第四季度净营收134.5亿美元； ①英国通信管理局称将继续调查X平台伪造图像事件； ②美驻卡塔尔空军基地警戒级别已降低； ③美国上周初请失业金人数为19.8万人； 【市场动态】 ①美股三大股指期货涨跌不一，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.05%，标普500指数期货涨0.39%，纳指期货涨 0.9%； ④台积电：2025年第四季度净利润同比增35%，该美股盘前涨逾6%。 (本文来自第一财经) ...