| 腰 最近购买 | * 签别记录 | | | ■ 最近购买 | ■ 鉴别记录 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | := 整套14个A-MR | | 确认数-A 拆盒 .. | 49 | 中国 .. | 确认歌-&(拆盒 .. | | 确认数-隐藏 | | 得物价格趋势 降价提醒 > | | 30天 | 90元 主题 | | 得物价格趋势 摩价提醒 > | 30天 | 90大 全部 | | | | 成交均价 ¥1787 想要人数 257 | | | | 成交均价 ¥679 | 想要人数 134 | | V2110 | ● 摄胶4.0 心性密码 miril labubu 发布 | | | 3/10/70 | 图 1104.0 心脏密码 mink labubu 发布 | | | | ¥2023 | | | | 1976 | | | | | 10037 | | | | CHBA | | | | | V1851 | | | | ANSE | | | | | 10765 | | | | NODA | | | | | ¥1679 08:05 ...

Core Insights - The resale prices of the mini version of Labubu have started to decline just one week after its release, with scalpers indicating that the price momentum is weaker compared to the third generation Labubu [2][6] - The transaction volume for the mini version Labubu has exceeded 56,000 units within a week, with an average transaction price of 138 yuan, representing a 75% premium over the original price of 79 yuan, although resale prices have decreased by 10%-60% compared to the pre-sale period [2][6] Pricing Trends - The average transaction price for the mini version Labubu on the Dewu app peaked at 1,930 yuan on the release day but has since dropped to 1,541 yuan, a decline of 20% [2] - The average transaction price for the hidden version of Labubu has decreased from 991 yuan at launch to 679 yuan [6] - The average transaction price for non-popular models has also seen significant declines, with one model dropping 57% from its release price [2][6] Market Dynamics - The rapid price decline of the mini version Labubu is attributed to a higher supply volume and the inclusion of 30 product variants, which has reduced the liquidity in the secondary market [7] - The company is taking measures to mitigate scalper interference, including online-only sales and limiting in-store stock to reduce hoarding [7] - Analysts predict that the upcoming second round of mini version Labubu releases in October may lead to further price declines [7] Stock Performance - Following the release of the mini version Labubu, the stock price of Pop Mart (09992.HK) has decreased by 5.61% over the past five days [7]

Core Viewpoint - The resale prices of the mini version of Labubu have started to decline just one week after its release, indicating a lack of sustained demand compared to previous versions [1]. Group 1: Price Trends - The mini version of Labubu has seen over 56,000 transactions on the platform since its release, with an average transaction price of 138 yuan, representing a 75% premium over the original price of 79 yuan [1]. - However, the resale prices have decreased by 10%-60% compared to the initial sales period [1]. - For example, the average transaction price for a set of 14 N-Z models dropped from 1,930 yuan on the release day to 1,541 yuan, a decline of 20% [1]. - The average transaction price for the hidden variant has also decreased from 991 yuan to 679 yuan [8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The rapid price decline is attributed to a higher supply of the mini version, with a larger initial release and a total of 30 products in the series, which has reduced the liquidity in the secondary market [9]. - The mini version's online-only sales strategy has minimized the impact of scalpers, as physical stores only handle pickups [9]. - Analysts predict that the upcoming second round of mini Labubu releases in October may further decrease prices [9]. Group 3: Company Performance - Following the release of the mini version, the stock price of Pop Mart (09992.HK) has dropped by 5.61% over the past five days [10].

消息面上，据报道，9月2日，浙江绍兴召开新闻发布会，介绍该市即将出台的《2025年绍兴市提振消费 政策》相关情况，围绕"文商旅融合"促消费、"新场景拓展"促消费、"消费券发放"促消费3个方面出台 15项政策。 9月4日，截至早盘收盘，恒生指数跌1.21%，恒生科技指数跌1.66%，国企指数跌1.41%，国企指数、恒 生科技指数盘中均创下月内低点。盘面上，科技股多数由涨转跌，大金融股（银行、保险、券商）、中 字头股等亦走低，由于黄金价格因获利了结而走弱，连续上涨的黄金股呈现高开低走行情。新消费板块 午盘持续震荡，热门ETF中，港股消费ETF（513230）现跌超1%。 华泰证券研报表示，在新需求、新场景、新模式的共同催化下，消费领域呈现出鲜明的结构性机遇：需 求端加速向情感化、个性化升级，潮玩、美妆等高情绪价值品类增长显著；场景端服务+产品逐渐融 合，推动"人货场"关系持续重构，拓宽消费边界；国货品牌凭借商业模式创新与渠道效率构建强大用户 生态，实现加速崛起。 港股消费ETF（513230）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，一键打包互联网电商龙头+新消费，成分股近 乎囊括港股消费的各个领域，包括泡泡玛特、老铺黄金、名 ...

Core Insights - LABUBU is a successful phenomenon in the collectible toy industry, but the company needs to consider sustainable development after achieving success [2] - The revenue from the THE MONSTERS series, where LABUBU belongs, constitutes a significant portion of the company's income, raising questions about the development of other IPs [2] - The company acknowledges the need to improve product quality and manage supply to prevent counterfeit products from entering the market [2] Company Performance - LABUBU's popularity has led to issues such as long-term stock shortages and quality complaints from consumers [2] - The introduction of a mini version of LABUBU has generated significant consumer interest, but the company must continue to innovate and develop new IPs alongside LABUBU [2][3] - The company is exploring other potential IPs, with the "Star People" series showing promising sales performance [3][4] Market Trends - The "Star People" series, particularly the "Good Dream Meteorological Bureau" series launched in August, has seen increased consumer interest and is experiencing stock shortages [4] - The resale market for "Star People" products has shown significant price fluctuations, with hidden versions selling for over 700 yuan, indicating strong demand [4] - Other IPs like HACIPUPU and CRYBABY have also shown remarkable growth, with revenue increases of 249.6% and 248.7% respectively in the first half of the year [5]

2、持续理解市场需求，产能储备、柔性化能力提升。据业绩会，公司现有毛绒产能相较年初已增加10 倍左右，达每月3000 万件，持续对市场需求进行理解与追赶——8 月28 日发售的mini LABUBU"心底密 码"系列毛绒挂件再度引起粉丝热情，虽仍在短时间内售罄，但消费者整体购买体验有明显优化；展望 后续，伴随对更多区域市场需求的理解更加深入，叠加产能及供应链安排优化带来的供应链柔性，我们 认为公司对需求与供给的匹配能力与精准度将进一步提升。 3、海外市场快速成长，运营仍有待细化之处，长期空间仍广。目前泡泡海外市场热度持续向好，泰国 ICONSIAM旗舰店在8 月初开业后店效出色，对其他门店亦并无虹吸效应，美国快速开店但需求增长更 快，带来线上占比持续提升。而相比国内，海外门店模型、线上官网、会员体系等运营细节均有待细化 之处，我们认为公司的零售基因与能力有望支撑近两年快速扩张后的同店向好，持续看好公司全球化战 略的长期空间。 盈利预测与估值 研究员：徐卓楠/张雪晴/王杰睿 公司近况 近期我们邀请了泡泡玛特管理层进行业绩后NDR交流，与投资者就供应链、IP运营、品类扩张等话题进 行了深入沟通。 评论 1、品类扩 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a quick decline on September 4, with the new consumption sector showing continuous fluctuations after opening. The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) saw a slight decrease, while stocks like Bilibili, Baisheng China, Li Auto, Giant Bio, and Bosideng showed notable gains [1] - The Chinese潮玩 (trendy toy) economy is expanding across all age groups, with rapid growth and structural differentiation in the market. The doll category, driven by strong IP resonance and high collectible value, is expected to become a core growth driver for the toy segment. Demand is shifting from Generation Z and female groups to all age segments, while supply is innovating through blind box play and live card unboxing [1] - The medical beauty industry is entering a new phase, with domestic beauty and skincare brands expected to accelerate their breakout. Domestic brands are quickly gaining traction, and the importance of content e-commerce channels is increasing. New raw material registrations are accelerating, allowing brands to strengthen consumer recognition through scientific narratives and technological endorsements [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities points out that under the joint catalysis of new demands, new scenarios, and new models, the consumption sector is presenting distinct structural opportunities. The demand side is rapidly upgrading towards emotional and personalized experiences, with significant growth in high emotional value categories such as trendy toys and beauty products [1] - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index, packaging leading internet e-commerce companies and new consumption sectors. Its constituent stocks encompass nearly all areas of Hong Kong consumption, including new consumption leaders like Pop Mart, Laopuyuan Gold, and Miniso, as well as internet e-commerce giants like Tencent, Kuaishou, Alibaba, and Xiaomi, highlighting a strong technology and consumption attribute [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the success of the LABUBU IP under Pop Mart and emphasizes the need for sustainable development and diversification of product lines to avoid over-reliance on a single IP [2]. Group 1: LABUBU's Success and Challenges - LABUBU is a highly successful phenomenon in the collectible toy market, but its dominance raises concerns about sustainability and the need for Pop Mart to develop other IPs [2]. - The long-term shortage of LABUBU led to counterfeit products entering the market, and while production capacity has been increased, there have been complaints about product quality that need to be addressed [2]. - The popularity of the mini LABUBU continues to drive sales, but it is essential for Pop Mart to innovate and develop new IPs alongside LABUBU to maintain market relevance [2][3]. Group 2: Potential New IPs - The Star People IP under Pop Mart shows significant potential to become the next successful product line, particularly with the recent "Good Dream Meteorological Bureau" series gaining popularity [4]. - There has been a noticeable increase in demand for Star People products, leading to stock shortages in stores, similar to the sales model of LABUBU [4]. - The secondary market for Star People products has seen rapid price fluctuations, with hidden variants selling for over 700 yuan, indicating strong market interest and potential for growth [5]. Group 3: Growth Metrics - Star People has quickly entered the billion-yuan IP club, generating 390 million yuan in revenue in the first half of the year [5]. - Other IPs like HACIPUPU and CRYBABY have also shown impressive growth, with revenue increases of 249.6% and 248.7% respectively in the first half of the year, highlighting the potential for new IPs to achieve similar success [5].

Core Insights - The recent launch of the "mini LABUBU" dolls by Pop Mart has generated significant consumer interest, with products selling out within one minute online [1] - The retail price for a single "mini LABUBU" doll is 79 yuan, while a complete set is priced at 1106 yuan [1] - Over 580,000 consumers added the "mini LABUBU" to their carts at launch, and nearly 1.5 million viewers tuned into the live stream event [1] Sales Performance - The "mini LABUBU" dolls were sold out across major online platforms such as JD and Taobao shortly after their release [1] - In physical stores, consumers are experiencing long wait times to pick up their pre-ordered dolls, as there is no stock available for immediate purchase [1] Secondary Market Trends - The popularity of the "mini LABUBU" has led to a surge in prices on secondary markets, with complete sets now selling for as high as 2450 yuan [1] - The increased demand has made it challenging for consumers to acquire the dolls even at inflated prices [1]

Core Insights - The popularity of the "mini LABUBU" dolls has led to a rapid sell-out online, with over 58,000 people adding them to their carts at launch, and nearly 150,000 viewers in the live stream within 10 minutes [2] - The retail price for a single "mini LABUBU" doll is 79 yuan, while a set of 14 regular and 1 hidden doll is priced at 1,106 yuan [2] - The resale market for "mini LABUBU" has seen prices soar, with a set now reaching 2,450 yuan, indicating high demand and limited supply [3] Sales Performance - The "mini LABUBU" dolls sold out within one minute of their online release, highlighting the strong consumer interest [2] - In-store experiences show long lines of customers waiting to pick up their online orders, with no stock available for immediate purchase [2] Market Trends - The surge in demand for "mini LABUBU" dolls has resulted in increased prices on second-hand platforms, reflecting a growing trend in collectible toy markets [3]