Group 1: Report Summary - Report Title: Metal Options Strategy Morning Report [1] - Report Date: January 7, 2026 - Research Team: Li Liqin, Huang Kehan, Li Renjun [2] Group 2: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings were provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - For non - ferrous metals, which are trending upwards, a seller's neutral volatility strategy is recommended [2]. - For the black series, which are experiencing significant fluctuations, a short - volatility portfolio strategy is suitable [2]. - For precious metals, which are rebounding, a bull spread portfolio strategy is suggested [2]. Group 4: Market Overview Futures Market - Copper (CU2602) closed at 104,600, up 1,300 (1.26%) with a trading volume of 29.10 million hands and an open interest of 22.36 million hands [3]. - Aluminum (AL2602) closed at 24,695, up 620 (2.58%) with a trading volume of 55.17 million hands and an open interest of 25.31 million hands [3]. - Other metals such as zinc, lead, nickel, etc., also had their respective price changes, trading volumes, and open interest as detailed in the report [3]. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Different metals had varying volume and open - interest PCR values, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying and potential turning points [4]. - Pressure and Support Levels: Pressure and support levels were identified for each metal option based on the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5]. - Implied Volatility: Implied volatility data for each metal option were presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes [6]. Group 5: Strategy Recommendations Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility seller's option portfolio strategy, and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [7]. - **Aluminum**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a positive delta, and a spot collar strategy are suggested [9]. - **Zinc**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta and a spot collar strategy are recommended [9]. - **Nickel**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta, and a spot covered - call strategy are suggested [10]. - **Tin**: A short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy are recommended [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta and a spot long - hedging strategy are suggested [11]. Precious Metals - **Silver**: A short - volatility option seller's portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot hedging strategy are recommended [12]. Black Series - **Rebar**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a short - delta and a spot covered - call strategy are suggested [13]. - **Iron Ore**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [13]. - **Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Silicon Iron)**: Strategies such as short - volatility strategies and spot hedging strategies are recommended according to their respective market conditions [14]. - **Industrial Silicon**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot long - hedging strategy are suggested [14]. - **Glass**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [15].

Market and Industry Overview - In the past month, major domestic market indices have generally risen, with the CSI 500, National Index 2000, CSI 1000, Shanghai-Shenzhen 300, and SSE 50 increasing by 6.17%, 3.99%, 3.56%, 2.28%, and 2.07% respectively [1][12] - Among the 19 industries in the CITIC first-level industry classification, the defense and military industry, non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and comprehensive finance saw significant gains, with the defense and military industry leading at a monthly increase of 21.24% [1][12] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical, food and beverage, and real estate industries lagged behind, with monthly declines of -4.09%, -4.34%, and -4.47% respectively [1][12] Industry Rotation Strategy Performance - In December, the performance of factors was notable, with profitability, quality, valuation momentum, and analyst expectations all achieving positive IC values, particularly the profitability factor with an IC of 55.67% [2][21] - All factors contributed positively to long-short returns, with the analyst expectations factor yielding a long-short return of 6.16%, while profitability, quality, and valuation momentum provided returns of 3.75%, 3.47%, and 3.88% respectively [2][21] - For the year 2025, quality, valuation momentum, analyst expectations, and research activity factors all showed positive IC averages of 7.27%, 1.37%, 2.44%, and 7.34% respectively [2][22] Current Industry Recommendations - The January recommendations from the enhanced industry rotation strategy include real estate, non-ferrous metals, defense and military, basic chemicals, and electronics, with significant changes from the previous month [4][49] - The defense and military industry received joint recommendations from both the enhanced strategy and the research-selected strategy, indicating a higher level of attention [5][49] - The research-selected strategy for January includes computer, transportation, coal, steel, and defense and military industries, with increased research activity noted in the computer and transportation sectors [4][51]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Citigroup has raised its short-term copper price targets due to recent price increases, now forecasting $14,000 per ton for the next 0-3 months, up from the previous target of $12,000 per ton [1] - Citigroup maintains its baseline scenario for copper prices, predicting an average of $13,000 per ton in the second to fourth quarters of 2026 [1] - Factors contributing to the bullish outlook include market momentum, increased positioning, and a comprehensive bullish narrative involving U.S. arbitrage/tariff dynamics, demand and growth expectations, supply constraints, and currency devaluation risks [1] Group 2 - Despite the bullish outlook, Citigroup's confidence in price increases has significantly weakened compared to December of the previous year [1] - January is anticipated to be the peak price month for 2026 unless new catalysts emerge to support a bullish scenario of $15,000 per ton [1] - The expectation is that prices will eventually revert to a more sustainable level of around $13,000 per ton [1]

"十四五"规划胜利收官，西藏资本市场在服务地方经济高质量发展中交出亮眼答卷。 从上市公司"量质齐升"到创新投入持续加码，从投资者回报机制完善到风险防控坚实有力，雪域高原的资本市场正以独特的发展节奏，为西 藏经济转型升级注入强劲动能，也为"十五五"时期持续增长奠定坚实基础。 面向"十五五"，随着政策红利释放、产业基础夯实，西藏资本市场将继续以资本为纽带，连接创新与实体，书写高质量发展新篇章。 上市公司"量稳质升" 产业集群效应凸显 "十四五"时期，西藏上市公司实现规模与质量双重突破，数量稳步增长，市值与经营效益跨越式提升，以医药、有色金属为核心的产业集 群，成为区域经济发展"主力军"。 截至2025年三季度末，西藏辖区A股上市公司达22家，较2021年初增加2家，总市值从2000多亿元跃升至3200亿元，14家企业跻身"百亿俱乐 部"，占比近六成。 经营业绩方面，西藏上市公司展现强劲增长韧性。2025年前三季度，22家上市公司合计营业收入409.8亿元，同比增长4.96%；合计归母净利 润66.3亿元，同比增长37.2%。两项指标增速分别是全国平均水平的3.8倍、6.7倍，凸显优质发展成色。 产业结构上，上市公 ...

格隆汇1月7日｜A股三大指数集体上涨，截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.29%报4095.54点，深成指涨0.35%， 创业板指涨0.41%续创2022年1月5日以来盘中新高，北证50指数涨0.91%。沪深京三市半日成交额18536 亿元，较上日放量575亿元，全市场超2500只个股上涨。盘面上，存储芯片股持续强势，兆易创新 (603986)、普冉股份等多股创历史新高；消息称中方正研究收紧对日稀土出口许可审查，刺激稀土永磁 板块上涨；有色金属、可控核聚变板块涨幅居前。国际油价大跌，拖累油气股表现。 ...

| 计算机 | | | | 荣科科技 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 家用电器 | -0.78 | 261.41 | -9.32 | 荣泰健康 | -5.31 | | 银行 | -0.88 | 165.61 | -8.96 | 建设银行 | -1.75 | | 石油石化 | -2.22 | 120.44 | -16.24 | 仁智股份 | -4.99 | （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计，截至上午收盘，今日沪指涨0.29%，A股成交量1030.47亿股，成交金额18537.09 亿元，比上一个交易日增加3.38%。个股方面，2530只个股上涨，其中涨停88只，2776只个股下跌，其 中跌停5只。从申万行业来看，电子、有色金属、综合等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为1.51%、1.40%、 1.31%；石油石化、银行、家用电器等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为2.22%、0.88%、0.78%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至上午收盘） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | --- | - ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints On January 6, 2026, the convertible bond market followed the underlying stocks to rise, with increased valuations. The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market heated up, and the median price and weighted average price of convertible bonds both increased. Most industries in the A-share and convertible bond markets rose, with different performance in different sectors [1][2][3]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Main Index Performance - **Index Performance**: The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.35% day - on - day, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.50%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.40%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.75%, the SSE 50 Index rose 1.90%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.43%. The Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted Index rose 1.38%, and the Convertible Bond Index rose 1.32%. In terms of style, mid - cap value was relatively dominant, with mid - cap value rising 2.75% [1][7][8]. 2. Market Fund Performance - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 94.734 billion yuan, a 13.55% increase from the previous day. The total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 2.832278 trillion yuan, a 10.32% increase [1][9]. - **Capital Flow**: The net outflow of the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 17.668 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond rose 2.45bp to 1.88% [1]. 3. Convertible Bond Valuation - **Valuation Increase**: The 100 - yuan parity fitted conversion premium rate was 35.23%, up 0.42pct from the previous day. The overall weighted parity was 104.28 yuan, up 1.52%. The price median was 136.95 yuan, up 1.59% [2][17][21]. - **Premium Rate by Type**: The premium rate of equity - biased convertible bonds was 17.18%, down 0.55pct; the premium rate of debt - biased convertible bonds was 87.25%, up 0.24pct; the premium rate of balanced convertible bonds was 26.36%, down 0.32pct [2]. 4. Industry Rotation - **A - share Market**: Among the 30 industries, 29 rose. The top three industries in terms of increase were non - ferrous metals (+4.26%), non - banking finance (+3.73%), and basic chemicals (+3.12%), while the only declining industry was communication (-0.77%) [3]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Among the convertible bond market, 27 industries rose. The top three industries in terms of increase were communication (+4.44%), non - banking finance (+3.62%), and non - ferrous metals (+3.28%), and the only declining industry was environmental protection (-0.28%) [3].

煤炭板块突然拉升。 A股市场今天（1月7日）上午进一步上行，上证指数逼近4100点。 值得注意的是，临近中午收盘，煤炭板块突然拉升，陕西黑猫、安泰集团2分钟直线拉升至涨停。 煤炭板块突然拉升 A股市场今天（2026年1月7日）上午进一步上行，上证指数逼近4100点。截至中午收盘，上证指数上涨0.29%报4095.54点，深证成指上 涨0.35%，创业板指上涨0.41%。 主要行业板块和赛道方面，若按照申万一级行业划分，电子板块领涨，板块盘中涨幅接近2%，板块内个股掀起涨停潮，其中南大光电、芯 源微等多股20%涨停，另有多股涨停或涨幅超过10%。 临近上午收盘，煤炭板块突然拉升，陕西黑猫、安泰集团2分钟直线拉升至涨停，另有多只煤炭股也快速拉升。 | 今开 | 4.25 最高 | 4.55 成交量 | 163.47万手 | 总市值 ▼ | 45.81亿 | 量比 | | 4.14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨收 | 4.14 最低 | 4.22 成交额 | 7.18亿 | 总股本 | 10.07亿 | 载比 | | 10 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on January 7, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.01% at 26,439.68 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.65% at 5,729.41 points, the National Enterprises Index down 1.11% at 9,141.25 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.64% at 4,114.5 points [1] - Major technology stocks experienced declines, with Alibaba down 4.05%, Tencent down 1.98%, JD.com down 1.47%, Xiaomi down 1.34%, NetEase down 2.18%, Meituan down 2.17%, Kuaishou down 2.78%, and Bilibili down 3.54% [1] - The biopharmaceutical sector continued to rise, with Kangfang Biopharmaceutical up over 6% [1] - The metals sector showed strength, with Luoyang Molybdenum up over 5% [1] - Oil stocks weakened, with PetroChina down over 3% [1] - Automotive stocks faced significant declines, with NIO down over 3% [1] Company News - Yadea Holdings (01585.HK) expects a net profit of no less than RMB 2.9 billion for 2025, up from RMB 1.27 billion in the previous year, driven by increased sales of electric two-wheelers and optimized product structure [2] - Poly Property Group (00119.HK) anticipates a cumulative contract sales amount of approximately RMB 50.2 billion for 2025, a decrease of 7.38% year-on-year [3] - Sunac China (01918.HK) expects a cumulative contract sales amount of approximately RMB 36.84 billion for 2025, down 21.85% year-on-year [4] - Gemdale Corporation (00535.HK) projects a cumulative contract sales total of approximately RMB 10.696 billion for 2025, a decrease of 47.33% year-on-year [5] - Greentown Management Holdings (09979.HK) estimates new project management fees for 2025 to be RMB 9.35 billion, an increase of approximately 0.4% [6] - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) acquired a land parcel in Shanghai's Pudong New Area for RMB 2.561 billion [7] - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings (09636.HK) completed the acquisition of 100% equity in JF Financial and its core information system [8] - Weimob Group (02013.HK) partnered with Taobao Flash Sale to enhance local retail solutions [8] - Dali Pu Holdings (01921.HK) became a qualified supplier for Saudi Aramco [9] - Xiehe New Energy (00182.HK) successfully completed a secondary listing on the Singapore Stock Exchange [10] - Bokan Vision Cloud-B (02592.HK) submitted a clinical trial application for the new drug CBT-009 [11] - Yingtong Holdings (06883.HK) established a partnership with the Italian high-end fragrance brand CULTI to strengthen its distribution network in China [11] Institutional Insights - Guosen Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market's recovery has begun, driven by a weaker US dollar and improved domestic liquidity, suggesting a focus on AI and PPI [12] - CITIC Securities anticipates a second round of valuation recovery and performance revival in the Hong Kong market in 2026, recommending attention to technology, healthcare, resource products, essential consumer goods, paper, and aviation sectors [12] - Everbright Securities notes that domestic policy support and a weaker dollar may lead to continued upward movement in the Hong Kong market, highlighting the relative strength of overall profitability [12] - Dongwu Securities indicates that the Hong Kong market is entering a period of upward volatility, emphasizing the importance of dividends and technology growth in the first half of the year [12] - Industrial Securities recommends a bullish stance, predicting a spring rally led by the Hang Seng Tech Index, with a continued bull market expected in 2026 [13]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.01% to 26,439.68 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 1.65%, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 1.11% [1][9]. Technology Sector - Technology stocks faced widespread losses, with Alibaba dropping over 4%, Bilibili down more than 3%, and Kuaishou, NetEase, and Meituan each declining by over 2% [1][9]. Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector continued its upward trend, highlighted by Kangfang Biopharmaceutical's stock rising over 6%. The company announced an important update regarding its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, which has shown statistically significant and clinically meaningful benefits in treating advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer [2][11]. Metals Sector - The metals sector showed strength, with Luoyang Molybdenum rising over 5%. Citigroup raised its short-term copper price target to $14,000 per ton, although it warned that the price increase may be nearing its peak [5][14]. Oil Sector - Oil stocks weakened, with PetroChina falling over 3%. This decline follows an announcement regarding the transfer of 30 to 50 million barrels of oil from the Venezuelan interim government to the U.S., which will be sold at market prices [5][16]. Automotive Sector - The automotive sector saw significant declines, with NIO dropping over 3%. Reports indicate that the Chinese auto market may experience a 7% decline in sales in 2026, marking the first anticipated annual drop since 2020. A price war has begun, involving over 76 models from various manufacturers [6][16].