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天赢居:不破3888就还是第三次冲顶
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-23 14:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that after reaching the monthly target of 4018, the market is not expected to accelerate quickly but rather enter a consolidation phase to digest overheating and rebuild order through time and turnover [1] - The monthly strategy focuses on avoiding emotional trading and prioritizing discipline, with the goal of managing overheating rather than seeking continuous upward movement [1] Group 2 - The weekly analysis indicates that different indices are in varying stages of consolidation, with the Shenzhen Composite and ChiNext leading the recovery after completing their respective digestion phases, while the Shanghai Composite is in a typical topping structure [2] - The strategy for the week highlights that effective risk control is based on following structural trends rather than making predictions, allowing for fluctuations as long as key support levels are maintained [2] Group 3 - The daily analysis identifies 3918 as a critical resistance level and 3888 as a significant support level, with the market transitioning from a repair phase to a topping phase after stabilizing above 3888 [3][4] - The analysis suggests that the optimal strategy is to monitor the market's behavior around these key levels rather than chasing breakouts, focusing on maintaining strength above 3888 [4] Group 4 - The hourly analysis describes a typical healthy pullback pattern during the upward trend, confirming support levels while digesting short-term profit-taking [5] - It is noted that during strong market conditions, the focus should be on confirmation points rather than emotional trading [5] Group 5 - The rotation of market hotspots is centered around two main lines of attack, particularly in technology hardware and metals, indicating a clear trend in sector performance [6] - The strategy emphasizes understanding the rhythm of sector rotation and selectively investing in strong directions while being patient with underperforming sectors [6] Group 6 - The operational strategy advises focusing on sector trends before individual stock trends, with specific guidelines for managing positions based on moving averages [6] - The mindset should prioritize discipline and adherence to rules, emphasizing that the essence of a slow bull market is not daily gains but consistent adherence to a repeatable strategy [6]
收评:沪指冲高回落微涨0.07% 能源金属与电池板块涨幅居前
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 07:39
新华财经北京12月23日电(胡晨曦)A股三大指数12月23日冲高回落,盘中一度集体翻绿,至收盘时均 小幅上涨。盘面上,锂电池产业链拉升,天际股份、多氟多等涨停;能源金属板块走高,盛新锂能涨超 4%,天齐锂业涨超3%;海南板块延续强势,海南发展、海汽集团均3连板;液冷服务器概念活跃,川 润股份、英维克等涨停。此外,今日上市的三只新股悉数大涨,新股N天溯、N锡华均触发二次临停。 下跌方面,商业航天概念下挫,顺灏股份跌停,久之洋、天银机电等跌超10%;旅游板块调整,曲江文 旅、南京商旅逼近跌停。 盘面上,电池、能源金属、保险、光刻机、氟化工、海南自贸区等板块和概念股涨幅居前;旅游及酒 店、影视院线、IT服务、卫星导航、冰雪产业、无人零售等板块和概念股跌幅居前。 热点板块 中信建投:太空光伏已从试验阶段迈入商业化加速期,相比地面光伏场景,既破解了间歇性瓶颈,又为 太空算力、深空探测、偏远地区供电等场景提供长效能源支撑。P型HJT电池在现有量产技术中抗辐 射、轻量化优势最明显,2026年后渗透率预计将有所提升,并以执行低轨短期低成本低功率任务为主。 关注材料、设备等环节布局领先的企业。 天风证券:近期,随着海外货币政策 ...
打酱油,请认准这个方向
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 06:11
Group 1 - The market has shown a five-day upward trend, but the overall market sentiment remains average, with only a few sectors like photolithography, precious metals, and energy metals performing well [1] - The market is characterized by a divergence where the index is stable, but most individual stocks are not experiencing significant gains [1][2] - The current market environment requires careful selection of investment directions, as choosing the wrong sectors can lead to losses [3] Group 2 - The index is expected to experience fluctuations, with a stable outlook for the first half of the week but potential declines in the latter half [4] - The focus for investment should be on sectors that are trending differently from the index, particularly in the non-ferrous metals segment, including precious and energy metals, which have shown a consistent upward trend [4][5] - For individual stocks, it is advised to select those that align with the index's direction when the market is favorable, and to choose contrary directions when the market is unfavorable [7]
午评:上证指数涨0.34% 全市场超3300只个股下跌
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:12
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.34%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.65%, the ChiNext Index gained 0.78%, and the Northern Stock 50 rose by 0.14% [1] - The total market turnover reached 12,522 billion yuan, an increase of 532 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3,300 stocks in the market experienced declines [1] Sector Performance - The photolithography machine sector showed strong performance, with companies like Tongfei Co., Zhongguang Fanglei, and Meiai Technology hitting the daily limit of 20% [1] - The battery sector also performed well, with Huasheng Lithium Battery and Penghui Energy rising over 10%, while Binhai Energy and Tianji Co. reached the daily limit [1] - The energy metals sector saw gains, with Shengxin Lithium Energy and Tianqi Lithium Industries increasing nearly 4% [1] - The tourism sector experienced a pullback, with Qujiang Cultural Tourism and Nanjing Commercial Travel nearing the daily limit down [1] - The commercial aerospace sector faced adjustments, with Jiuzhiyang dropping over 10%, and Shunhao Co., Shaanxi Huada, and Xingchen Technology falling over 9% [1]
西藏矿业涨2.03%,成交额3.75亿元,主力资金净流入406.61万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 03:36
Core Viewpoint - Tibet Mining's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a 26.67% increase, and recent trading activity indicates a positive trend in investor interest and capital inflow [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 23, Tibet Mining's stock price reached 27.17 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 3.75 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 141.51 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 11.17% over the last five trading days and 23.78% over the last 60 days [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has appreciated by 26.67% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Tibet Mining reported a revenue of 2.03 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 65.45% [2]. - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -721.74 thousand CNY, a decline of 104.74% compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of December 10, the number of shareholders for Tibet Mining increased by 3.75% to 111,300, while the average number of tradable shares per shareholder decreased by 3.62% to 4,680 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 4.14 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.29 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the second-largest circulating shareholder, holding 5.33 million shares, an increase of 1.69 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Southern CSI 1000 ETF and Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF have seen changes in their holdings, with the former decreasing by 32,500 shares and the latter by 5,200 shares [3].
现货黄金年内飙升近68%!三重逻辑支撑黄金新叙事!有色ETF华宝(159876)盘中拉升2.3%创历史新高!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 03:34
Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with the largest non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), reaching a new high since its listing, reflecting a significant increase since its low point in April [1][9] Group 1: Market Performance - On December 23, the non-ferrous metal sector saw a rise, with Huabao ETF's price increasing over 2.3% and currently up 1.89% [1][9] - Since its low on April 8, Huabao ETF has accumulated a rise of 89.68%, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index (26.51%) and CSI 300 (28.48%) [1][9] Group 2: Index Performance - The China Securities Non-Ferrous Metal Index has shown varied performance over the past five years: 35.84% in 2020, 35.89% in 2021, -19.22% in 2022, -10.43% in 2023, and 2.96% in 2024 [3][11] - Key stocks leading the gains include: - Bowei Alloy and Shandong Gold both up over 8% - Yunnan Zinc Industry up over 6% - Nanshan Aluminum, Xiamen Tungsten, and Shengxin Lithium Energy all up over 5% [3][11] Group 3: Gold Market Insights - Spot gold has surged nearly 68% this year, driven by three main factors: 1. Central banks' continuous gold purchases since 2022 as a strategic reserve 2. Geopolitical uncertainties prompting a shift away from traditional safe-haven assets like the US dollar 3. Market re-evaluation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle and US debt issues [4][12] - Analysts predict that the current gold bull market may be in its "mid-stage," with UBS forecasting gold prices to reach $4,500 per ounce by June 2026, and Goldman Sachs projecting a 14% increase to $4,900 per ounce by December 2026 [5][13] Group 4: Future Outlook for Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to continue its bull market, with institutions like Zhongtai Securities optimistic about a comprehensive bull market, and CITIC Securities highlighting ongoing investment interest in commodities [6][13] - Key areas of focus include: 1. Industrial metals like copper and aluminum with constrained supply and recovering demand 2. Energy metals such as lithium and cobalt benefiting from surging demand for energy storage and power batteries 3. Strategic assets like gold and rare earths [6][13]
赣锋锂业涨2.01%,成交额20.20亿元,主力资金净流入1.23亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 03:34
Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 90.99%, reflecting strong market interest and investment activity in the lithium sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 23, Ganfeng Lithium's stock price reached 66.58 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 20.20 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 139.598 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has experienced a 10.97% increase over the last five trading days, a 9.33% increase over the last 20 days, and a 26.72% increase over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (a trading board for high-volume stocks) four times this year, with the most recent appearance on October 13, where it recorded a net buy of -1.65 billion CNY [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.02% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 25.52 million CNY, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 103.99% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Ganfeng Lithium had 372,500 shareholders, an increase of 31.18% from the previous period, with an average of 3,243 shares held per shareholder, down by 23.77% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.162 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.933 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 69.1199 million shares, and several ETFs, with some experiencing reductions in holdings [3].
永兴材料涨2.02%,成交额5.81亿元,主力资金净流出2888.79万元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-12-23 03:14
12月23日,永兴材料盘中上涨2.02%,截至11:04,报50.09元/股,成交5.81亿元,换手率3.05%,总市值 270.04亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流出2888.79万元,特大单买入7232.76万元,占比12.44%,卖出1.03亿元, 占比17.65%;大单买入1.45亿元,占比24.92%,卖出1.43亿元,占比24.67%。 永兴材料所属申万行业为:有色金属-能源金属-锂。所属概念板块包括:特种钢、锂电池、中盘、核 电、融资融券等。 截至9月30日,永兴材料股东户数5.25万,较上期减少2.28%;人均流通股7401股,较上期增加2.33%。 2025年1月-9月,永兴材料实现营业收入55.47亿元,同比减少10.98%;归母净利润5.32亿元,同比减少 45.25%。 分红方面,永兴材料A股上市后累计派现56.62亿元。近三年,累计派现43.62亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,永兴材料十大流通股东中,香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东,持股3134.95万股,相比上期增加2594.64万股。南方中证500ETF(510500)位居第六大流通股 东,持股470. ...
A股开盘速递 | 三大股指集体高开 海南自贸、贵金属、光伏板块涨幅居前
智通财经网· 2025-12-23 01:40
华西证券表示,"春季躁动"行情积极因素累积,逢低布局为主。复盘历史,A股"春季躁动"行情启动通 常需满足以下条件:合理的估值水平、宽松的流动性环境以及有效提振风险偏好的催化剂,如国内政 策、产业事件催化或外部风险缓释等。当前来看,海外美联储降息和日本央行加息均已落地,市场对套 利交易逆转担忧缓解,后续人民币汇率升值带动的外资增配、年初保费收入"开门红"带来的增量保险资 金入市亦可以期待。近期股票型ETF再度大规模净申购,多只宽基ETF成交放量,指向增量资金倾向于 逢低布局。 行业配置上,建议关注:1、受益产业政策支持的成长方向,如国产替代、机器人、航空航天、创新 药、储能等;2、受益于"反内卷"政策的周期方向,如化工、能源金属、资源品等;3、促消费政策的深化 或带来消费板块的阶段性催化机会。 A股三大股指集体高开,沪指涨0.04%,创业板指涨0.14%。盘面上,海南自贸、贵金属、光伏板块涨幅 居前,可控核聚变、无人驾驶、光通信板块跌幅靠前。 机构看后市 国投证券:当下跨年行情仍在审慎评估观察过程,明年上半年出海+低位顺周期占优 国投证券认为,自四季度以来,我们对大盘指数预判逻辑并未发生太大变化:纯粹基于流动性 ...
21股获推荐,五粮液目标价涨幅超90%丨券商评级观察
南方财经12月23日电,南财投研通数据显示,12月22日有21家上市公司得到券商推荐,其中皖新传媒、 神开股份、鑫铂股份均获得1家推荐。从目标价涨幅来看,券商给予上市公司目标价共5次,按最新收盘 价计算,目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有五粮液、华友钴业、天振股份,目标价涨幅分别为94.87%、 20.38%、20.27%,分别属于白酒、能源金属、家居用品行业。 查看原文:五粮液目标价涨幅超90%,21股获推荐丨券商评级观察刚刚 ...