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养殖板块盘中领涨,养殖ETF(159865)涨超0.6%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-19 02:39
养殖板块盘中领涨,养殖ETF(159865)涨超0.6% 国联民生证券指出,生猪养殖方面,2025年二季度生猪供应或将保持宽松局面,预计猪价阶段性相 对低位震荡,可关注成本优势明显,出栏兑现度高的优秀养殖企业。饲料方面,二季度生猪及水产存 栏/存塘有望增加,需求恢复有望带动猪料和水产料市场扩容。此外,海外饲料市场空间广阔,国内饲 企积极出海寻找增量,未来发展值得期待。 注:指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化 而变动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议,也不构成对基金 业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品,请选择与风险等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险,投资需谨 慎。 每日经济新闻 (责任编辑:张晓波 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 养殖ETF(159865)跟踪中证畜牧指数(代码:930707),选取沪深市场中 ...
美国农业部(USDA)月度供需报告数据分析专题:25/26产季数据首次发布,2026年美国牛肉市场供给加速调减
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-18 15:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Insights - The USDA's May supply and demand report indicates a tightening of global supply for corn, soybeans, and wheat, while beef prices in the U.S. are expected to rise due to reduced supply [5][6] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in the agricultural sector, particularly in corn and soybean markets, as prices are expected to stabilize and recover from historical lows [5][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Corn - The USDA forecasts a global corn production increase of 43.7 million tons (approximately +3.45%) to 1.26498 billion tons for the 25/26 season, with total usage rising by 24.4 million tons (approximately +1.91%) [16][17] - China's corn production is expected to increase by 80,000 tons (approximately +0.03%) to 295 million tons, with total usage up by 5 million tons (approximately +1.56%) [17] - Domestic corn prices are at historical lows, with strong support expected for price recovery [19] Soybeans - Global soybean production is projected to increase by 5.95 million tons (approximately +1.39%) to 426.82 million tons for the 25/26 season, with total usage up by 13.76 million tons (approximately +3.24%) [31][32] - The report anticipates that soybean prices will remain under pressure in the first half of 2025 due to high supply levels, but long-term trends are expected to improve [34][35] Wheat - Global wheat production is expected to rise by 8.81 million tons (approximately +1.10%) to 80.852 million tons for the 25/26 season, with total usage increasing by 4.38 million tons (approximately +0.55%) [43][44] - The overall supply of wheat remains ample, and prices are expected to stabilize at lower levels [43] Beef - The USDA predicts a significant reduction in U.S. beef supply for 2026, with prices expected to rise by 15.2% in Q2 2025 and 14.1% in Q3 2025 [5][7] - The domestic beef market is expected to see a price increase despite seasonal trends, indicating a potential upward cycle for beef prices [5][7] Pork - U.S. pork production is expected to increase by 1.33% in 2026, with consumption growth slightly outpacing supply [7][8] - Domestic pork prices are projected to decline, but low-cost producers are expected to maintain profitability [7] Poultry - U.S. poultry supply is expected to recover in 2026, with domestic demand in China anticipated to improve [7][8] - The report notes that high pathogenic avian influenza impacts are diminishing, which may support recovery in poultry production [7] Eggs - U.S. egg production is projected to increase by 6% in 2026, with domestic supply expected to remain ample throughout the year [8][9] - The report indicates that egg prices may face downward pressure due to high supply levels [8][9]
青岛崂山因地制宜做好农业特色产业“大文章”
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-05-16 09:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the development of local agricultural specialties in Laoshan District, Qingdao, focusing on both traditional and emerging agricultural products [1] - Laoshan District has established a modern rural industrial system, promoting new industries and business formats, with a strong emphasis on the brand value of Laoshan tea, projected to reach 1.758 billion yuan in 2024 [1] - The district has successfully created multiple provincial and national agricultural product brands, enhancing the recognition and reputation of its agricultural products [1] Group 2 - Various cultural and tourism events, such as the Cherry Blossom Festival and the Shazikou Mackerel Festival, are being organized to stimulate local consumption and enhance visitor experiences [2] - The district plans to continue hosting agricultural-themed festivals to attract more tourists and promote rural consumption, integrating agriculture with cultural and tourism development [2] - The recent Huabiao Awards provided a platform for showcasing local products like Laoshan tea and Wangge Village steamed buns, enhancing their visibility and market potential [3] Group 3 - Laoshan District aims to expand sales channels for its agricultural products through promotional activities in major cities and collaboration with the Guangdong-Macao Deep Cooperation Zone [3] - The district is focused on deepening consumer engagement and enhancing the market presence of its agricultural products through various promotional events and tasting activities [3]
海大集团(002311) - 2025年5月13日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-05-14 01:00
Group 1: Business Outlook and Goals - The company aims to achieve a short-term target of 3 million tons in feed business by 2025 and a mid-term target of 51.5 million tons by 2030, including 5 million tons for self-use in farming and overseas sales [2] - The overseas feed sales target is projected to reach 7.2 million tons by 2030 [2] - The company is exploring light-asset pig farming and factory shrimp farming as future core businesses [2] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - The company emphasizes a "technology-heavy, team-oriented, and asset-light" development strategy, focusing on core technological capabilities as the foundation for long-term growth [3] - Key technological areas include breeding technology, farming models, and feed technology, which provide a broad development space for the company's diverse business [3] Group 3: Overseas Strategy - The company is expanding in Southeast Asia with Vietnam as the core, and is also targeting markets in Indonesia, Bangladesh, and Malaysia [4] - In Africa, Egypt serves as a hub for expansion into North and East Africa [4] - The company has established a presence in Ecuador for South American market development [4] Group 4: Capital Expenditure Plans - Capital expenditure will focus on overseas capacity construction and expansion, while domestic spending will prioritize upgrading existing capacity [5] Group 5: Procurement Advantages - The company maintains a secure and controllable supply chain, primarily sourcing corn domestically and importing soybeans from Brazil and Argentina [7] - The company has a robust R&D team dedicated to animal nutrition and feed formulation, allowing for flexibility in response to agricultural price fluctuations [8] Group 6: Aquaculture Plans - The company primarily cultivates shrimp and other specialty aquatic products, utilizing factory farming techniques that enhance safety and quality [9] - Future plans include expanding shrimp farming scale based on professional team capabilities [9] Group 7: Mergers and Acquisitions - Domestic acquisitions are aimed at capacity supplementation, while overseas acquisitions focus on supporting market development [10] Group 8: Challenges in Overseas Markets - The company faces challenges in capacity expansion due to varying difficulties and efficiencies in different countries [11] Group 9: Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 1.8 billion yuan in 2024, with future distributions based on actual operating conditions [12]
投资策略点评:谈判在时点上超预期,坚定政策信心,降低斜率预期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-12 11:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes that the recent US-China negotiations exceeded expectations, particularly in terms of timing rather than tariff levels, with the US maintaining a 30% tariff on China while China retains a 10% tariff on the US [1] - The report suggests that the US's strong negotiation stance is driven by its need for tangible results, as previous negotiations have yielded limited success, indicating that future negotiations may not proceed as smoothly [1][2] - The underlying motivation for the US's tariff strategy is linked to its high net debt and the perceived risk to the creditworthiness of dollar assets, with projections indicating that effective tariffs could rise significantly, potentially reaching 30-50% on China [1][2] Group 2 - The report indicates that China's policy response may be slower, with a focus on maintaining policy confidence and reducing slope expectations, suggesting that existing policies will be implemented promptly while new measures may depend on further economic data [2] - The report highlights that the improvement in consumer spending and balance sheet recovery is anchored by income expectations and essential living guarantees, suggesting a gradual approach to policy implementation [2] - Investment strategies should incorporate a "geopolitical risk premium" into valuation models, advising against excessive exposure to US-related investments while focusing on domestic certainty and expected differences [3] Group 3 - The report recommends a sector allocation strategy labeled "4+1," which includes domestic consumption, technology and defense, cost improvement sectors, structural opportunities abroad, and stable long-term investments [3]
饲料销量增速放缓 天康生物2024年靠生猪养殖逆势翻盘
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 03:07
Core Insights - TianKang Biological (002100.SZ) reported a mixed performance in 2024, with revenue declining by 9.72% to 17.176 billion yuan, while net profit surged by 144.38% to 605 million yuan, reflecting a strategic shift in business focus amidst industry challenges [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - The feed business, a traditional pillar for TianKang, saw sales revenue drop by 17.67% to 5.345 billion yuan, accounting for 31.12% of total revenue, primarily due to weakened demand from the livestock sector and increased raw material price volatility [2] - In contrast, the pig farming and food processing segment became the largest revenue contributor with sales of 6.157 billion yuan, achieving an 11.11% year-on-year growth, driven by improved production efficiency and rising pig prices [3] Operational Efficiency - TianKang's pig farming segment achieved a record high gross margin in nearly four years, with a total of 3.0285 million pigs sold and a reduction in production costs from 15.99 yuan/kg at the beginning of the year to 13.12 yuan/kg by year-end, showcasing effective cost management [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is exploring collaborative solutions across its supply chain, emphasizing the integration of feed, vaccines, and farming services to provide comprehensive support for livestock farmers [3]
下山五年 悬崖村人过得怎么样
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-05-12 00:30
Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of the cliff village in Sichuan, where residents have transitioned from a life of poverty to one with improved living standards and economic opportunities through various initiatives, including tourism and agriculture [13][30][31]. Group 1: Economic Development - The cliff village has seen significant changes in income, with the average income reaching 19,000 yuan in 2022, more than tripling since 2019 [30]. - The introduction of olive cultivation has become a major source of income, with the village generating approximately 300,000 yuan from olive sales in the previous year and expecting 400,000 yuan this year [29]. - The "Sky Valley" tourism project, with a total investment of 330 million yuan, is expected to provide annual dividends of no less than 380,000 yuan to the village collective once fully operational [31]. Group 2: Community and Lifestyle Changes - Residents have adapted to urban life, with community activities fostering social connections, and the establishment of a WeChat group to maintain ties with their roots [26][18]. - The opening of a restaurant by former villagers in the county has allowed them to sell local goat meat at a premium price, enhancing their economic prospects [20][23]. - Young people who received education are returning to the village, contributing to the tourism industry and bringing new skills [32][33]. Group 3: Agricultural Innovations - The village has shifted its focus from traditional livestock farming to more lucrative crops like olives, which have become the primary agricultural income source [28]. - The establishment of a cooperative for goat farming has increased the annual output to 300-400 goats, improving the bargaining power of villagers in the market [23]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Services - The transition to new housing has required significant adjustments, with initial challenges in using modern amenities like locks and appliances [36][42]. - Training programs have been implemented to help residents adapt to their new living conditions, resulting in a noticeable decrease in service requests over time [42][43].
【乡路上,感受脉动中国】天堑通途唤醒沉睡山村 产业花开绘就振兴画卷
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-05-11 13:29
Core Viewpoint - The development of rural roads, exemplified by the "Four Good Rural Roads" initiative, has significantly enhanced connectivity and economic opportunities in rural areas, leading to a transformation in the livelihoods of local residents and the overall rural landscape [2][5]. Group 1: Infrastructure Development - The "Four Good Rural Roads" initiative has led to the construction of the South Mountain Industrial Tourism Road, which is 19 kilometers long and connects 29 administrative villages, integrating road operation, tourism development, and farmer prosperity [5][7]. - The South Mountain Industrial Tourism Road has facilitated an increase in daily visitor traffic to Daguhe Village, reaching an average of 5,000 visitors during the recent holiday [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Daguhe Village's collective income is projected to exceed 400,000 yuan this year, attributed to the development of tourism and local attractions such as a coffee bookstore and agricultural park [3]. - The road improvements have allowed local farmers to utilize modern agricultural machinery, increasing the vegetable seed production area from over 100 mu to more than 800 mu [5][7]. Group 3: Community Revitalization - The enhanced road access has revived local resources and encouraged residents to return, as exemplified by a local resident who transformed a cave dwelling into a restaurant, attracting weekend customers [3][6]. - The integration of transportation, tourism, and industry has created a vibrant local economy, with various events like flower festivals and cycling competitions contributing to community engagement and economic growth [7].
在奋斗中出彩!“五一”劳动节访“劳模”
Xin Hua She· 2025-05-01 09:49
在奋斗中出彩 ——"五一"劳动节访"劳模" 实干担当,用汗水致敬岗位。 清晨的街道,深夜的灯火,记录着无数个奋斗者的故事。李涛风雨兼程的轨迹也藏在其中。 从因家中变故返乡成为一名快递配送员,到成长为甘肃省陇南顺通速递有限公司市场部经理,十多年 来,李涛揽送快递上百万件,行程数十万公里,零投诉,零安全事故。 这个"90后"小伙说,秘诀就是认真对待每一件包裹。 为熟悉配送路线,他走遍了服务的每个街道和社区。为提高派送效率,他分析配送需求和特殊情况来决 定装车方式和配送路线。 "入行门槛低,能跑就会干",在多数人眼里,送快递是个没什么技术含量的工作,李涛却用心思获得了 认可。 从快递站点到核电站车间,从川西北高原到大港油田,从万米高空到电机工厂……奋斗中的劳动者最出 彩。 在"五一"国际劳动节到来之际,无数平凡岗位上的"劳模"用"干劲"点燃激情,用"闯劲"突破创新,用"钻 劲"锤炼匠心,镌刻出"劳动最光荣"的生动注脚。 今天,每一位劳动者都是主角。 用"干劲"点燃激情 "干劲"是关键时刻破解难题的钥匙。 说起毕楠,人们最熟悉的就是"中国民航英雄机组"乘务长。 2018年5月14日,川航3U8633航班在万米高空突发 ...
5400余家公司交出稳健“答卷”
本报记者 孙杰 作为国民经济的基本盘,A股上市公司去年交出一份稳健答卷。截至昨天,除个别企业延迟披露外,A 股已有5405家上市公司发布2024年年度报告。总的来看,超56%的公司实现营业总收入增长,超47%的 公司实现归母净利润增长,4029家公司实现盈利。 117家公司营收迈过千亿大关 据统计,目前已披露年报的5405家上市公司,合计实现营业总收入71.92万亿元,同比下降1.07%;归属 于母公司股东净利润合计5.21万亿元,同比下降1.51%。 从各板块看,主板、创业板、科创板、北交所2024年营业收入分别为65.94万亿元、4.01万亿元、1.42万 亿元和0.18万亿元,较上年增幅分别为-0.39% 、2.73%、0.23%和-1.68%;净利润分别为5.03万亿元、 0.22万亿元、0.05万亿元和0.011万亿元,分别下降1.4%、10.89%、39.8%和21.99%。 企业营收座次也随之出炉。去年,共有7家企业的营业收入超过1万亿元。其中,"两桶油"绝对领跑,中 国石化、中国石油营业收入分别达30745.62亿元、29379.81亿元。中国建筑以21871.48亿元位居第三。 中国中铁、中 ...