Group 1 - Century United Holdings (01959) resumed trading with an initial increase of over 33%, currently up 4.24%. The company announced a cash deal of approximately HKD 153 million for the acquisition of about 377 million shares, representing 71.12% of the total issued share capital, at HKD 0.405 per share [1] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) rose over 10% following a report from Huatai Securities indicating that the company's optical fiber and cable business is benefiting from AI computing demand, leading to continuous product structure optimization [1] - Kangnait Optical (02276) increased by over 5% after the launch of Quark AI glasses, marking Alibaba's entry into the AI glasses market [1] - Tanwan, a subsidiary of Tanwan (09890), signed a cooperation agreement with COEXIST Group for artist work development, contributing to a monthly increase of over 30% in stock price, currently up 4.34% [1] Group 2 - Yaojie Ankang-B (02617) surged nearly 14%, currently up 18.57%. The company announced that its core product, Tiengotine, has published exploratory Phase II clinical results for cholangiocarcinoma in a high-impact journal [2] - China Silver Group (00815) rose over 7% as spot silver prices exceeded USD 65 per ounce, marking one of the strongest rebounds in commodities for 2025 [2] - Yidu International (00259) fell over 12%, currently down 12.67%, as Muxi shares debuted on the STAR Market with a 568% opening increase, reaching a market cap of CNY 280 billion [2] - Gaoya Optical (00907) experienced a significant drop of 40%, currently down 34.67%, after receiving a notice from the stock exchange regarding insufficient operational levels to maintain listing [2] Group 3 - Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) increased by over 10% as the market focused on the rising prices of preclinical evaluation test assets, with experimental monkeys priced at approximately CNY 140,000 each [3] Group 4 - Airline stocks saw gains, with Eastern Airlines (00670) up 5.66%, Air China (00753) up 5.56%, and Southern Airlines (01055) up 7.22%. Recent operational data showed strong passenger load factors for November, with Eastern Airlines at 87.37%, Southern Airlines at 86.29%, and Air China at 83.3% [4] Group 5 - Pfizer (PFE.US) fell 3.41% as the company predicts minimal sales growth next year due to costly acquisitions aimed at refreshing its drug portfolio [5] - Quantum computing stocks saw collective gains, with IonQ Inc (IONQ.US) up 7.81%, D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US) up 7.5%, and others showing similar increases [5] - Hesai Technology (HSAI.US) rose 3.64% as the company announced its participation in CES 2026 in Las Vegas [5] - Pony.ai (PONY.US) increased by 7.28% following the announcement of the first batch of L3 autonomous driving vehicle approvals in China [5] Group 6 - Lemonade (LMND.US) rose 8.38% after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to hold and raised the target price from USD 53 to USD 85 [6] - Seagate Technology (STX.US) increased by 0.89% as Morgan Stanley reiterated its "overweight" rating, expecting continued demand for hard disk drives until 2027 [6] - Bitcoin-related stocks rebounded strongly, with Strategy (MSTR.US) up 3.34%, Circle (CRCL.US) up 9.99%, and Coinbase (COIN.US) up 0.87%, as Bitcoin prices returned above USD 87,000 [6] - UBS (UBS.US) rose 4.94%, reaching its highest price since 2008, following a proposed compromise on new capital rules by Swiss lawmakers [6]

Gilburt 认为，当前贵金属的涨势源于 ETF 清算和投资者兴趣下降多年后，在 2015 年后发生的"重置"。 他说："这不是新一轮周期的开始。这很可能是一个非常漫长周期的结束。" Gilburt 表示，贵金属的走势遵循着与主流宏观叙事大多分离的清晰波浪，并且"2026 年可能会为我们带 来黄金和白银这一长期周期的终结，并可能开启又一个持续多年的熊市。" 周二，黄金和白银期货小幅收低，回吐了此前因延迟发布的 11 月份美国失业率高于预期而引发的涨 幅。该报告显示，失业率升至 4.6%，为四年多来的最高失业率，而美国 10 月份零售销售持平。 智通财经APP注意到，大多数分析师预计黄金和白银价格将在年底继续推向新的纪录高点，但 Elliott Wave Trader 创始人 Avi Gilburt 认为，这一轮价格上涨正接近其最后阶段。 Gilburt 在一份新报告中警告称，尽管价格在未来几个月可能还会进一步攀升，但投资者应该开始准备 应对可能最早于明年开始的多年期回调。 分析师表示，这些数据弱于预期，但没有一些人担心的那么糟糕，这增加了不确定性：即更高的失业率 是否足以证明美联储明年将继续降息，进而影响对 ...

东兴证券发布研报称，全球货币政策转向宽松，地缘政治与经济政策不确定性提升了贵金属避险溢价。 在黄金传统金融市场定价层面上，黄金的避险溢价、汇率平价、流动性溢价及通胀平价四大核心要素均 在发酵，趋势易涨难跌；白银因工业需求强劲而供需缺口持续放大；铂金亦维持结构性短缺。 黄金：黄金价格或呈现趋势性的易涨难跌 黄金传统的纯金融属性定价方式显现弱化，而商品供需属性的定价方式明显强化，黄金金融属性决定价 格弹性而供需属性决定价格韧性。黄金供需已进入商品定价层面上结构性偏紧状态，价格将呈现趋势性 的易涨难跌，即供需基本面将决定黄金定价的底部中枢。全球矿产金供应已进入低增长阶段，矿金产出 成本提升与供给增速承压相印证，而黄金需求则呈现强韧性（央行购金形成的需求支撑）及强弹性（黄 金ETF投资的净流入提升）。近三年全球黄金年均消费量均值已升至约4616吨，其中央行购金连续三年 升至1000吨之上，推动黄金需求曲线右移20%以上并带动黄金现货溢价攀升。至2025年11月，中国央行 已连续十三个月增持黄金，累计净增量达到41吨。另一方面，随着利率环境的常态化回归，全球黄金实 物持仓ETF的年增长量或有望恢复至2016-2020年 ...

光大期货表示，周二晚间将公布非农就业数据，或指引未来美联储货币政策，审慎乐观看待。白银仍保 持强势，虽有金银比回归预期，但连创新高且快速拉涨之势大有挤仓意味，关注近期的消息面。中金认 为，2025年国际贸易局势打破全球宏观环境稳态，受益于不确定性环境中的确定性溢价，国际金价、银 价双双上涨。与过去三年有所不同的是，今年贵金属价格强势突破由以欧美ETF为代表的周期性购买需 求主导，市场表现为白银涨幅反超黄金。 智通财经APP获悉，中国白银集团(00815)涨超4%，截至发稿，涨2.94%，报0.7港元，成交额530.09万港 元。 消息面上，在今日早盘交易中，现货白银涨至每盎司65美元以上，突破此前纪录高位，创2025年 大宗商品中最强劲的反弹之一。据全球调查显示，白银市场连续第五年出现结构性短缺，原因是开采产 出仍然受限，而可再生能源、电子产品和其他工业部门的消费继续扩大。国信期货分析师指出，随着新 能源、电子制造等产业的快速发展，白银的工业应用场景持续拓宽，加剧市场对白银供需缺口的担忧， 吸引资金基于中长期逻辑进行布局。 ...

黄金股全线走低，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)跌5.05%，报150.5港元；紫金矿业（601899） (02899)跌3.13%，报33.38港元；潼关黄金(00340)跌3.11%，报2.8港元；山东黄金（600547）(01787)跌 2.85%，报33.46港元。 消息面上，摩根大通最新研究报告显示，备受关注的彭博商品指数(BCOM)即将在2026年1月进行年度 权重再平衡。报告预计白银，将遭遇最沉重的抛售，卖盘规模约占其期货市场总未平仓合约的9%。报 告特别强调，今年白银的抛售压力"比去年更为突出"，值得投资者高度警惕。黄金抛售规模预计约占其 期货市场总未平仓合约的3%。尽管比例低于白银，但考虑到黄金庞大的市场体量，其绝对抛售金额依 然十分可观。 中邮证券发布研报称，白银波动率较高，且伦敦库存回升，短期的逼仓逻辑可能暂缓。长期来看，去美 元化的进程不会转向，叠加短期降息交易下ETF配置资金的流入，我们依然看好贵金属板块的表现。长 期来看，去美元化的进程不会转向，低位筹码建议无惧波动，坚定持有。 山东黄金 紫金矿业 山东黄金 紫金矿业 紫金黄金国际 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 35.11 - ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing significant volatility, with gold and silver facing potential selling pressure due to upcoming rebalancing in the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) [11][20]. Group 1: Market Performance - Gold prices recently fell over 1.5%, while Bitcoin dropped below $86,000, and silver saw a significant increase, returning to the $64 mark [1]. - Gold-related ETFs and stocks experienced declines, with the Gold Stock ETF down 4.16%, Gold Stock ETF down 3.91%, and Gold Stock ETF Fund down 3.78% [2]. Group 2: Commodity Index Rebalancing - The BCOM is set to undergo a weight rebalancing in January 2026, which will result in significant selling pressure for gold and silver [11][12]. - The estimated selling pressure for gold is approximately $4.896 billion, while for silver it is around $3.449 billion, totaling nearly $10 billion [20]. Group 3: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Gold has risen from $1,527 to $4,300 over the past seven years, while silver has seen a 107% increase this year, nearing its strongest performance since 1979 [7]. - The market is sensitive to potential selling pressures due to historical high prices, which may lead to short-term declines [20]. Group 4: Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic data, including non-farm payrolls and CPI, will influence market expectations regarding future interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve [22][23]. - The labor market's performance is critical, with predictions of a stable unemployment rate at 4.4% and a consensus forming around the potential for further rate cuts if data shows weakness [22].

智通财经APP获悉，黄金股全线走低，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)跌5.05%，报150.5港元；紫金矿 业(02899)跌3.13%，报33.38港元；潼关黄金(00340)跌3.11%，报2.8港元；山东黄金(01787)跌2.85%，报 33.46港元。 消息面上，摩根大通最新研究报告显示，备受关注的彭博商品指数(BCOM)即将在2026年1月进行年度 权重再平衡。报告预计白银，将遭遇最沉重的抛售，卖盘规模约占其期货市场总未平仓合约的9%。报 告特别强调，今年白银的抛售压力"比去年更为突出"，值得投资者高度警惕。黄金抛售规模预计约占其 期货市场总未平仓合约的3%。尽管比例低于白银，但考虑到黄金庞大的市场体量，其绝对抛售金额依 然十分可观。 中邮证券发布研报称，白银波动率较高，且伦敦库存回升，短期的逼仓逻辑可能暂缓。长期来看，去美 元化的进程不会转向，叠加短期降息交易下ETF配置资金的流入，我们依然看好贵金属板块的表现。长 期来看，去美元化的进程不会转向，低位筹码建议无惧波动，坚定持有。 ...

司的就是国际这条线；马上追踪热点 秘闻背后的事；我给你说透 欢迎各位看官收看今天的【司马秘事】 文：司马秘事 编辑：司马秘事 2025年的白银市场，简直疯出了新高度。 现货白银一路冲到62美元/盎司，今年以来涨了一倍还多，被交易员们叫做"大宗商品新妖王"。 但越来越多机构开始喊停，说这行情已经极度超买，随时可能回调。 三重推力白银大涨有逻辑 这波上涨不是瞎炒，全球白银市场已经连续好几年供不上货，2025年的缺口预计接近1亿盎司。 白银的工业用途占了总需求的近六成，其中光伏和电子行业就占了四成。 光伏行业的用银需求涨得特别猛，2025年用量达到7560吨，比2022年翻了一番还多。 矿山里的白银大多是伴生矿，不会因为价格涨了就马上多产，供给弹性特别小。 如此看来，白银是真真切切被工业和新能源行业消耗掉的，不是单纯讲故事的资产。 宏观环境也在帮忙推波助澜，美联储可能要降息的消息传了很久，实际利率往下走，对贵金属估值有好 处。 美元中长期有贬值趋势，加上美国财政赤字高企，大家又开始喜欢"硬资产"了。 美国的关键矿产政策也让市场有点慌，部分资金提前买入锁定用银成本，市场情绪更是火上浇油。 局部地区出现现货挤兑，伦敦的 ...

以下文章来源于财经天下WEEKLY ，作者财经天下 财经天下WEEKLY . 《财经天下》周刊官方账号，提供有品质的深度报道，讲述中国企业在时代浪潮中的精彩故事。 本文转载自财经天下WEEKLY 值班 编辑｜ 宝珠 视觉 | 顾芗 今年以来，伦敦现货白银累计涨幅达116%，同期黄金涨幅只有61%。虽然白银上涨动能强劲，但对于普 通投资者来说，投资白银并没有黄金那样方便。另外，经过大幅上涨之后，白银的投资风险已不容忽 视。 白银，涨疯了 "我们要不要买点白银啊？" 这几天，在南京工作的张璇，下班后总会和丈夫反复讨论这个问题。原因很简单，最近白银涨得实在太 猛了。家里正好有点闲钱，她很想买点白银。 张璇的丈夫在教育行业工作，下班后最大的爱好是打游戏，对投资理财几乎没有概念。反倒是张璇，平 时会主动关注财经新闻，家里的资金安排基本由她负责。 张璇的犹豫，其实也是最近不少投资者心理的真实写照。 从行情本身来看，白银的确称得上"涨疯了"。今年以来，国际白银价格持续走高。12月9日，伦敦现货白 银盘中首次突破60美元/盎司，最高触及60.82美元/盎司；12月10日继续刷新纪录，一度刷新历史高点至 61.94美元/盎司， ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Gold prices have slightly increased this week, but the intensity of the increase is limited, with a higher probability of range - bound fluctuations. The 10 - year TIPS has risen to 1.93%, and the 10 - year nominal interest rate has fallen to 4.19%. The recent price correlation between gold and real interest rates has returned [4][5]. - Silver prices have fluctuated significantly this week. Although there was a small accumulation of futures inventory, the accumulation was limited, and the TD deferred fee remained in the state of short - paying - long. The overseas Lease rate rebounded moderately. The risk of short - squeeze in silver at home and abroad in December is limited, but there is a greater risk of price increase from January to March 2026. After the price recently reached $65, it may enter a shock adjustment stage [5]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Transaction Aspects (Price, Spread, Inventory, Funds, and Positions) - **Price and Spread** - This week, London gold rose 2.45%, and London silver rose 11.02%. The gold - silver ratio fell from 72.2 last week to 66.6. The gold - silver price ranges are 950 - 990 yuan/gram for gold and 13,700 - 15,000 yuan/kilogram for silver [3][5]. - Overseas, the London spot - COMEX gold主力 spread fell to - 30.515 dollars/ounce, and the COMEX gold continuous - COMEX gold主力 spread was - 27.1 dollars/ounce. The London spot - COMEX silver主力 spread rose to - 0.165 dollars/ounce, and the COMEX silver continuous - COMEX silver主力 spread was - 1.03 dollars/ounce [11][17]. - Domestically, the gold futures - spot spread was - 5.86 yuan/gram, at the lower end of the historical range; the silver futures - spot spread was 29 yuan/gram, at the upper end of the historical range. The gold monthly spread was 7.28 yuan/gram, at the upper end of the historical range; the silver monthly spread was 7 yuan/gram, at the lower end of the historical range [23][26][30][33]. - **Inventory** - COMEX gold inventory decreased by 10.66 tons this week, and the registered warrant ratio rose to 52.7%. COMEX silver inventory decreased by 115.42 tons to 137,581 tons, and the registered warrant ratio rose to 30.3%. Domestic gold futures inventory remained unchanged, and silver futures inventory increased by 132 tons to 802 tons [42][44][48]. - **Positions** - This week, the non - commercial net - long position of COMEX CFTC gold increased slightly, while the non - commercial net - long position of silver decreased slightly. The gold SPDR ETF inventory increased by 2.82 tons, and the domestic gold ETF decreased by 0.2 tons. The silver SLV ETF inventory increased by 177 tons [50][53][57]. 3.2 Gold's Core Drivers - The correlation between gold and real interest rates has returned this week, and the 10YTIPS has continued to decline [66]. - Information on inflation, retail sales, non - farm employment, industrial manufacturing cycle, financial conditions, economic surprise index, and inflation surprise index is presented, but no specific conclusions are drawn [70][73][78][80].