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安粮期货投资早参-20250623
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 02:26
Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views - The stock index market is in a "weak reality and strong expectation" situation, with a "range - bound" strategy recommended, and attention should be paid to the key support levels of Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 300 [2]. - For crude oil, high attention should be paid to the development of the Israel - Iran conflict, and the WTI main contract should focus on the pressure around $78 per barrel [3]. - Gold is in a sensitive intersection area of fundamentals and technicals, and without major geopolitical events, it is expected to be in high - level oscillations, with attention on US CPI data from July to August and the Israel - Iran conflict [4][5]. - Silver is in a correction range, with high volatility. Attention should be paid to the weekly support around $35.5 per ounce of the COMEX silver main contract [6]. - PTA may fluctuate in the short - term following the cost side [7]. - Ethylene glycol may have a range - bound operation in the short - term [8]. - PVC has a weak fundamental situation, and the risk of sentiment decline should be vigilant [10]. - PP has no improvement in fundamentals, and the risk of sentiment decline should be vigilant [12]. - Plastic has a weak fundamental situation, and the risk of sentiment decline should be vigilant [13]. - Soda ash should be treated with a bottom - oscillation mindset in the short - term [15]. - Glass can be treated with a strong - oscillation mindset in the short - term [16]. - Rubber's rebound height is limited, and attention should be paid to the downstream starting rate and the rebound height of the energy - chemical sector [17][18]. - Methanol's futures price may be in a strong - oscillation state in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the port inventory reduction rhythm and downstream demand recovery [19]. - Corn's main contract is in an upward channel and may be in a strong - oscillation state in the short - term [20]. - Peanut's main contract price is difficult to have a trending market in the short - term and should be treated as a range - bound operation [21]. - Cotton's price may be in a strong - oscillation state in the short - term, and attention should be paid to whether it can fill the previous gap [22]. - For live pigs, attention should be paid to whether the 2509 contract can break through the upper pressure level, and continuous attention should be paid to the slaughter situation [24]. - Eggs may still face pressure after a short - term rebound, and it is recommended to wait and see [25]. - Bean No. 2 may be in a strong - oscillation state in the short - term [26]. - Bean meal may be in a range - bound state in the short - term [27]. - Bean oil may be in a strong - oscillation state in the short - term [28]. - For copper, it is recommended to hold, using the lower neckline of the copper price island as the defense line [29][30]. - For aluminum, aggressive investors can hold moderately, while conservative investors should wait and see [30][31]. - Alumina's 2509 contract shows a weak adjustment trend [32]. - Cast aluminum alloy's 2511 contract may maintain a range - bound operation [33]. - For lithium carbonate, conservative investors should wait and see, while aggressive investors can operate within the range [35]. - Industrial silicon's 2509 contract is in bottom - level oscillations [36]. - Polysilicon's 2507 contract may be in a weak - oscillation state, and short - selling on rallies is advisable [37]. - Stainless steel is in a low - level wide - range oscillation, and it is recommended to wait and see [38]. - Rebar has a low overall valuation, and a light - position long - on - dips strategy is recommended in the short - term [39]. - Hot - rolled coil has a low overall valuation, and a light - position long - on - dips strategy is recommended in the short - term [41]. - Iron ore's main contract may maintain an oscillation pattern in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the port inventory reduction speed and steel mill restart rhythm [42]. - Coking coal and coke's main contracts may oscillate in the near future, and attention should be paid to steel mill inventory reduction and policy implementation [43]. Summary by Category Stock Index - Macro environment: The current situation shows a "weak reality and strong expectation" differentiation, with external disturbances suppressing market risk appetite and domestic economic data showing "weak recovery" characteristics [2]. - Market analysis: The margin trading balance - to - floating market capitalization ratio remains low, with funds flowing to small - and medium - cap stocks [2]. - Reference view: Adopt a "range - bound" strategy and pay attention to key support levels [2]. Crude Oil - Macro and geopolitics: The Israel - Iran conflict is the key factor affecting oil prices, and the price is fluctuating at a high level [3]. - Market analysis: The approaching summer peak season and declining US inventories support price increases, and the risk premium will change with the development of the conflict [3]. - Reference view: Focus on the pressure around $78 per barrel of the WTI main contract [3]. Gold - Macro and geopolitics: High - interest rate expectations suppress gold, while the Israel - Iran conflict and potential tariff increases drive up safe - haven demand [4]. - Market analysis: Gold prices have fallen under pressure this week, with the game between bulls and bears intensifying [4][5]. - Reference view: Treat it as high - level oscillations, and pay attention to US CPI data and the Israel - Iran conflict [5]. Silver - Market price: Spot silver has fallen into a correction range [6]. - Market analysis: Hawkish Fed statements and changes in geopolitical risk appetite affect silver, and industrial demand and inventory are also important factors [6]. - Reference view: Pay attention to the support level and be vigilant against price fluctuations [6]. Chemicals PTA - Spot information: The spot price in East China has increased, and the basis is positive [7]. - Market analysis: The cost side is strong, but the supply - demand contradiction is prominent, and demand is in the off - season [7]. - Reference view: Fluctuate following the cost side in the short - term [7]. Ethylene Glycol - Spot information: The spot price in East China has increased, and the basis is positive [8]. - Market analysis: The supply side shows an "internal increase and external decrease" pattern, and demand is in the off - season [8]. - Reference view: Range - bound operation in the short - term [8]. PVC - Spot information: The spot price in East China has increased, and the price difference between ethylene and electricity has decreased [10]. - Market analysis: Supply capacity utilization has decreased, demand is mainly for rigid needs, and inventory has decreased [10]. - Reference view: Weak fundamentals, be vigilant against sentiment decline [10]. PP - Spot market: Spot prices in different regions have increased [11]. - Market analysis: Supply capacity utilization has increased, demand has decreased, and inventory has increased [12]. - Reference view: No improvement in fundamentals, be vigilant against sentiment decline [12]. Plastic - Spot market: Spot prices in different regions show different trends [13]. - Market analysis: Supply capacity utilization has decreased slightly, demand has a mixed performance, and inventory has decreased [13]. - Reference view: Weak fundamentals, be vigilant against sentiment decline [13]. Soda Ash - Spot information: Spot prices in different regions are stable [14]. - Market analysis: Supply has increased, inventory has increased, and demand is average [14]. - Reference view: Bottom - level oscillations in the short - term [15]. Glass - Spot information: Spot prices in different regions are stable [16]. - Market analysis: Supply is relatively stable, inventory has increased, and demand is weak [16]. - Reference view: Strong - oscillation mindset in the short - term [16]. Rubber - Market price: Different types of rubber have different prices [17]. - Market analysis: Affected by market sentiment and fundamentals, supply is loose, and demand is affected by trade policies [17]. - Reference view: Pay attention to downstream starting rates and the rebound height of the energy - chemical sector [18]. Methanol - Spot information: Different regions have different spot prices [19]. - Market analysis: Futures prices have increased, port inventory has decreased, supply is at a high level, and demand has recovered unevenly [19]. - Reference view: Oscillate strongly in the short - term, pay attention to inventory and demand [19]. Agricultural Products Corn - Spot information: There are different purchase prices in different regions [20]. - Market analysis: The USDA report is slightly positive, domestic supply pressure has decreased, and demand is weak [20]. - Reference view: Strong - oscillation in the short - term [20]. Peanut - Spot price: Spot prices vary in different regions [21]. - Market analysis: The bio - fuel policy affects the market, and the supply - demand situation is weak in the short - term [21]. - Reference view: Range - bound operation in the short - term [21]. Cotton - Spot information: Spot prices are at a certain level [22]. - Market analysis: The USDA report is positive, domestic supply is expected to be loose, and demand is in the off - season [22]. - Reference view: Range - bound and strong operation in the short - term, pay attention to the gap [22]. Live Pigs - Spot market: The average price is stable [23]. - Market analysis: Supply is sufficient, demand is low, and farmers have a strong price - holding sentiment [23][24]. - Reference view: Pay attention to whether the contract can break through the upper pressure level and the slaughter situation [24]. Eggs - Spot market: The average price is stable [25]. - Market analysis: Supply is sufficient, demand is in the off - season, and there is a short - term rebound demand [25]. - Reference view: Pressure after a short - term rebound, wait and see [25]. Bean No. 2 - Spot information: There are different import costs for soybeans from different countries [26]. - Market analysis: The bio - fuel breakthrough and weather affect the market [26]. - Reference view: Strong - oscillation in the short - term [26]. Bean Meal - Spot information: Spot prices vary in different regions [27]. - Market analysis: Macro, international, and domestic supply - demand factors affect the market, with supply pressure and strong demand [27]. - Reference view: Range - bound in the short - term [27]. Soybean Oil - Spot information: Spot prices vary in different regions [28]. - Market analysis: International factors and domestic supply - demand affect the market, and inventory pressure is increasing [28]. - Reference view: Strong - oscillation in the short - term [28]. Metals Copper - Spot information: The price of electrolytic copper has decreased, and the import copper ore index has fallen [29]. - Market analysis: Fed policies, geopolitics, and domestic policies affect the market, and the copper market is in a resonance state [29][30]. - Reference view: Hold and use the support line for defense [30]. Aluminum - Spot information: The spot price of aluminum has decreased [30]. - Market analysis: Fed policies, geopolitics, sufficient supply, and off - season demand affect the market [30]. - Reference view: Aggressive investors can hold moderately, conservative investors wait and see [31]. Alumina - Spot information: The average price has decreased [32]. - Market analysis: Supply is excessive, demand is mainly for rigid needs, and inventory is high [32]. - Reference view: Weak adjustment trend [32]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - Spot information: The spot price has decreased [33]. - Market analysis: Cost support and off - season inventory accumulation are contradictory factors [33]. - Reference view: Range - bound operation [33]. Lithium Carbonate - Spot information: The prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate have decreased [34]. - Market analysis: Cost, supply, and demand factors affect the market, and the fundamentals have not improved significantly [34][35]. - Reference view: Conservative investors wait and see, aggressive investors operate within the range [35]. Industrial Silicon - Spot information: Market prices are stable [36]. - Market analysis: Supply is increasing, demand is in the off - season, and the price is under pressure [36]. - Reference view: Bottom - level oscillations [36]. Polysilicon - Spot information: Prices are stable [36]. - Market analysis: Supply has increased, demand is weak, and the supply - demand contradiction is still prominent [36]. - Reference view: Weak - oscillation, short - selling on rallies [37]. Black Metals Stainless Steel - Spot information: The spot price is stable [38]. - Market analysis: The technical trend is changing, and fundamentals are weak with supply pressure and poor demand [38]. - Reference view: Low - level wide - range oscillation, wait and see [38]. Rebar - Spot information: The spot price has increased [39]. - Market analysis: The market is changing from a resistive decline to an oscillation, with low inventory and a low valuation [39]. - Reference view: Low valuation, long - on - dips in the short - term [39]. Hot - Rolled Coil - Spot information: The spot price has increased [40][41]. - Market analysis: The technical trend is stabilizing, with low inventory and a low valuation [41]. - Reference view: Low valuation, long - on - dips in the short - term [41]. Iron Ore - Spot information: Indexes and prices are at a certain level [42]. - Market analysis: Supply is affected by hurricanes and domestic production reduction, demand is weak, and inventory and policies affect the price [42]. - Reference view: Oscillation pattern in the short - term, pay attention to inventory and steel mill restart [42]. Coal - Spot information: Spot prices have decreased [43]. - Market analysis: For coking coal, supply has decreased, demand is weak, and the price is under pressure; for coke, supply and demand are both weak [43]. - Reference view: Oscillation in the near future, pay attention to inventory and policies [43].
有色及贵金属周报合集-20250622
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-22 13:09
国泰君安期货·有色及贵金属 周报合集 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 1 CONTENTS 国泰君安期货研究所·有色及贵金属团队 王 蓉 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0002529 wangrong2@gtht.com 季先飞 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0012691 jixianfei@gtht.com 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0019413 moxiaoxiong@gtht.com 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0020476 liuyuxuan@gtht.com 王宗源 (联系人)从业资格号:F03142619 wangzongyuan@gtht.com 2025年06月22日 01 黄金:地缘政治主导金价 白银:高位回落 07 锡:5月进口超预期,锡价承压 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 2 02 03 铜:LME现货偏强,但宏观存不确定性,价格难突破震荡区间 铝:现实犹强,等待库存拐点确认 氧化铝:库存犹低,窄幅震荡 04 铸造铝合金:淡季程度走深,价格震荡偏 ...
白银行业专题报告:低估的贵金属,金银比亟待修复
China Post Securities· 2025-06-20 02:15
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strong Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The fifth gold-silver ratio has reached a historical peak, indicating that silver prices are in urgent need of correction. Historically, the price trends of gold and silver have shown a positive correlation. The gold-silver ratio has peaked four times since 1968, corresponding to significant global crises. The current gold-silver ratio peaked at 104 during the trade war initiated by the Trump administration, and has since corrected to around 93, suggesting a potential silver price increase of 56% if the ratio returns to 60 with gold priced at $3,400 per ounce [2][24]. - Silver supply and demand are stable, with physical investment demand expected to recover in 2025. The global silver supply is projected to be 32,100 tons in 2025, a slight increase of 1.52%. The demand for silver is expected to decline slightly by 1.36% in 2025, but physical investment demand may see a recovery due to the correction in the gold-silver ratio [2][36]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies such as Xingye Silver Tin and Shengda Resources [2]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Financial and Industrial Attributes of Silver - Silver possesses both financial and industrial attributes, with its price closely linked to economic conditions. The historical data shows a positive correlation between gold and silver prices, especially during times of economic instability [14][17]. - The current economic environment, characterized by easing recession fears and improving economic expectations, is expected to drive a rebound in silver prices [18][21]. Section 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global distribution of silver is widespread, with stable mining output. In 2024, global silver production is expected to be 25,000 tons, with Mexico, Peru, and China being the leading producers [30][32]. - The overall supply of silver is expected to remain stable, with a projected supply of 31,600 tons in 2024, slightly increasing to 32,100 tons in 2025. The demand structure is primarily driven by industrial needs, jewelry, and investment [36][39]. - Silver demand is projected to be approximately 36,207 tons in 2024, with industrial demand accounting for 59% and investment demand for 16% [39][43]. Section 3: Company Comparisons - **Xingye Silver Tin**: The company is expected to achieve a silver production of 304 tons in 2025, a 32.8% increase from 2024. The company holds significant silver mining assets, positioning it as a potential global leader in silver and tin production [52]. - **Shengda Resources**: The company is projected to produce 173 tons of silver in 2025, with a focus on expanding its mining capacity in the coming years. The company has shown significant growth in net profit, indicating strong operational performance [54].
金十图示:2025年06月19日(周四)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-06-19 09:08
Group 1 - The opening price for Au99.95 was 776.10, with a closing price of 779.75, reflecting a decrease of 3.49 yuan or -0.45% [2] - Au99.99 opened at 784.00 and closed at 777.41, showing a decline of 4.44 yuan or -0.57% [2] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 186, with a total transaction amount of 145,112,600 yuan [2] Group 2 - Au(T+D) opened at 782.80, reached a high of 785.60, and closed at 777.44, with a decrease of 4.72 yuan or -0.60% [3] - The trading volume for Au(T+D) was 40,164, with a total transaction amount of 31,331,002,780 yuan [3] - The market position for Au(T+D) was 216,146 [3] Group 3 - The opening price for NYAuTN06 was 787.75, with a closing price of 782.50, reflecting a decrease of 5.1 yuan or -0.75% [4] - NYAuTN12 opened at 784.55 and closed at 780.15, showing a decline of 4.7 yuan or -0.60% [4] - The trading volume for NYAuTN06 was 10.4, with a total transaction amount of 8,161,360 yuan [4]
港股概念追涨|金银比差价存修复逻辑 白银价格短期涨幅领先黄金(附概念股)
智通财经网· 2025-06-19 00:22
Group 1: Silver Market Overview - The year 2024 is projected to be exceptionally bright for silver, with prices increasing by 21% year-to-date and a peak-to-trough increase exceeding 50% [1] - The London silver spot price has shown a significant upward trend since 2025, reaching a high of over $36 per ounce in early June, marking a year-to-date increase of over 25% [1] - The silver market has experienced a supply shortage for the fourth consecutive year, indicating strong fundamentals [1] Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - Domestic policies aimed at expanding demand, such as "two new" and "two heavy" initiatives, are expected to gradually release growth elasticity in silver demand, particularly in high-end manufacturing [1] - The global silver supply-demand balance is anticipated to remain in deficit, with prices expected to gradually rise [1] - The recent surge in silver prices is driven by improved international trade conditions and heightened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, leading to increased capital inflow into the silver market [1][3] Group 3: Silver-Related Companies - China Silver Group (00815) is a state-owned professional silver producer and comprehensive operator, covering the entire silver industry chain, including manufacturing, jewelry retail, and trading [2] - The company reported a total revenue of 4.319 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 20.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.966 million yuan, down 31.5% year-on-year [2] Group 4: Market Influencing Factors - The gold-silver ratio has reached historical highs, indicating that silver may be significantly undervalued [3] - Geopolitical tensions and trade policy changes have increased global risk aversion, boosting demand for precious metals [3] - The weakening U.S. dollar index has provided support for silver prices, which are priced in dollars [3] - Significant inflows into the largest silver ETF since February 2025 have led to increased price volatility due to the low liquidity in the silver market [3] - A persistent supply-demand imbalance since 2021 has provided fundamental support for rising silver prices [3]
异动盘点0618|乐华娱乐涨超24%,旗下潮玩创销售纪录;顺丰同城涨超5%;脑再生科技续涨超 30%; 比特币概念股普跌
贝塔投资智库· 2025-06-18 04:17
Group 1: Hong Kong Stocks - Lehua Entertainment (02306) surged over 24% due to strong market performance of its toy IP "WUKUKU," with multiple new products setting sales records and the theme song exceeding 1 billion views [1] - United Energy Group (00467) rose over 7% after signing a 15-year production increase contract with Uzbekistan's UNG, involving 57.8 billion cubic meters of oil and gas production, with an initial investment of $100 million to expand into Central Asia [1] - Smoore International (06969) fell over 3% as shareholder Yiwei Lithium Energy plans to reduce its stake by 3.5% (216 million shares), resulting in a decrease of its holding to 27.23%, no longer being the controlling shareholder [1] - New World Development (00200) dropped over 5% after completing a "2 for 1" rights issue, issuing 758 million shares and raising HKD 771 million, with oversubscription of 13 times [1] - Fourth Paradigm (06682) increased over 7% after launching AI solutions for the manufacturing industry, covering production optimization to supply chain intelligence upgrades [1] - Shandong High-Tech Holdings (00412) rose over 4% as Zhongtai Securities highlighted significant synergy between its new energy and digital infrastructure, with a data center PUE value of 1.15, enhancing financial integration [1] - KANAT Optical (02276) increased over 4% due to an explosion in the smart glasses market (e-commerce transactions up 8 times), with Meta collaborating with Oakley to launch AI glasses, positioning the company with leading 3C enterprises [1] Group 2: Other Notable Stocks - Sipai Health (00314) rose over 7% after partnering with Anruijiaer to develop customized insurance, planning to sell 6 pharmacies for 5.89 million to focus on core medical insurance business [2] - SF Express (09699) increased over 5% after raising its delivery service revenue cap for 2025/26 to HKD 12.8 billion / HKD 20.5 billion, with demand growth exceeding expectations [2] - Liufu Group (00590) fell over 3% as it projected a 40% decline in profits for the 2025 fiscal year, primarily due to gold hedging losses and high base effects from acquisition gains [2] - Zhenjiu Lidu (06979) rose over 4% after announcing Yao Annan as the "Cultural Heritage Ambassador" for liquor, leveraging Huawei-related topics to boost brand visibility [2] - Ideal Auto-W (02015) dropped over 4% as Meituan's Wang Xing sold 5.73 million shares for HKD 600 million, reducing his stake to 20.61% [2] - Health Road (02587) surged over 7% as its liver disease AI management platform was selected for Beijing's digital medical verification program, supporting WHO's "2030 Hepatitis Elimination" goal [2] - Gilead Sciences-B (01672) rose over 5% after its psoriasis oral drug ASC50 completed the first dosing in Phase I clinical trials in the U.S., targeting the IL-17 pathway [2] - China Silver Group (00815) increased over 10% after partnering with Zefeng Gold to acquire a 55% stake in a lead-zinc exploration company, gaining exploration rights over 50.8 square kilometers in Tibet [2] Group 3: U.S. Stocks - Verve Therapeutics (VERV.US) skyrocketed over 80% as Eli Lilly prepares to acquire the gene-editing company for up to $1.3 billion, with $1 billion as an upfront payment and $300 million contingent on specific clinical milestones [4] - Solar energy stocks plummeted, with Sunrun (RUN.US) down over 40%, Solaredge Technologies (SEDG.US) down over 41%, and First Solar (FSLR.US) down over 22%, following a Republican proposal in the U.S. Senate to terminate wind and solar tax credits by 2028, raising concerns about the industry's outlook [4] - Reddit (RDDT.US) rose over 6% after launching the AI advertising tool Reddit Insights, enhancing ad targeting through real-time user trend analysis [4] - Bitcoin-related stocks fell, with CleanSpark (CLSK.US) down over 7% and Riot Platforms (RIOT.US) down over 5%, as Bitcoin prices dropped nearly 2% to $105,580 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and high leverage positions in the derivatives market [4] - AMD (AMD.US) continued to rise 0.56% after officially launching the Zen5 architecture Ryzen Threadripper processors, covering the workstation and desktop markets, with a market share close to 50% in China for Q1, although there are concerns about its cost-performance ratio [5] - Brain Regen Technologies (RGC.US) surged over 30% after announcing a 38-for-1 stock split, coupled with FDA clinical trial approval news, although its actual business has no revenue and a very small float, indicating significant retail speculation [6] - Jabil (JBL.US) rose over 8%, reaching a new all-time high of $202.5, with Q3 revenue increasing 15% year-on-year to $7.83 billion, raising its full-year revenue forecast to $29 billion and planning a $500 million investment to support AI data center infrastructure [6] - Niu Technologies (NIU.US) increased over 11% after launching its new NX Play electric motorcycle on Douyin, integrating a smart riding system to enhance user experience [6] - T-Mobile US (TMUS.US) fell nearly 4% as SoftBank sold 21.5 million shares at $224 each, a 3% discount, triggering market sell-off [6] - The pharmaceutical sector saw widespread declines, with Eli Lilly (LLY.US) down over 2% and Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) down over 3%, as concerns grew over the potential impact of the U.S. Senate tax bill on the industry, coupled with profit-taking ahead of some companies' earnings reports [6] - The gold sector declined, with Gold Fields (GFI.US) down over 2.1%, and spot gold fell 0.27% to $3,375.53, as easing tensions in the Middle East reduced safe-haven demand, alongside Citigroup's bearish long-term gold price forecast [7]
美伊谈判存疑,美股三大股股指低开、欧股走低,油价涨超1%
news flash· 2025-06-17 13:39
美股三大股指低开,道指跌0.4%,标普500指数跌0.35%,纳指跌0.38%。脑机接口概念股脑再生科技涨 25%;白银股走高,First Majestic涨超2%,泛美白银涨超1%。太阳能股走低, 阿特斯太阳能跌超6%; T-Mobile下跌3.8%,软银出售其48亿美元股份。 ...
美股三大指数集体低开 脑再生科技高开25%
news flash· 2025-06-17 13:32
Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with the Nasdaq down 0.35%, the Dow down 0.37%, and the S&P 500 down 0.41% [1] - Brain-computer interface concept stock, Brain Rejuvenation Technology, opened up 25%, following a previous day close increase of 283% and a year-to-date cumulative increase of over 460 times [1] - Silver stocks saw gains, with First Majestic rising over 2% and Pan American Silver increasing over 1% [1]
白银凭什么强势崛起?
经济观察报· 2025-06-17 11:31
根据世界白银协会的预测,2025年全球白银仍呈短缺格局, 短缺幅度约达3660吨,基本面或为银价提供较强支撑。业内 人士认为,本轮"金银比"趋势收敛或由白银补涨完成,当前白 银基本面及货币环境有望对银价上涨形成共振驱动,白银价格 中枢有望逐步抬升。 作者:邹永勤 封图:图虫创意 白银一贯的"贵金属配角"形象,似乎正在发生变化。 根据万得数据,在2025年4月22日至6月16日期间,国内白银期货大涨8.37%,以8858元/千克报收,并在6月份多次刷新该品种上市以来的新高;同 期,黄金期货却下跌了4.71%,以792.30元/克报收。 外盘期货亦走出了"银强金弱"的格局。4月22日至6月16日,COMEX白银期货上涨了11.42%,报36.39美元/盎司;COMEX黄金期货下跌了0.75%,报 3385.40美元/盎司。 白银虽然在历史上曾经与黄金一样是重要的天然货币,但由于其金融属性不如黄金,因此价格走势往往跟随黄金而动。 此番金银"强弱 互换 "的背后, 究竟发生了什么? 银饰消费并未火爆 位于深圳市罗湖区的水贝,由于集聚了上万家黄金珠宝企业,是全国贵金属行业的风向标。6月16日,经济观察报记者来到了水贝进 ...
金十图示:2025年06月17日(周二)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-06-17 09:09
Group 1 - The gold market showed a slight decline with Au99.95 closing at 783.26, down by 0.66% from the previous day [3][4] - Au100g opened at 785.01 and closed at 783.92, reflecting a decrease of 1.24% [3][4] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 122 units, while Au100g had a volume of 14.2 units [3][4] Group 2 - Au(T+D) opened at 788.00 and closed at 782.94, marking a decline of 1.25% [4] - The weighted average price for Au(T+D) was 783.64 with a trading volume of 40,822 units [4] - The total transaction amount for Au(T+D) reached approximately 31.99 billion [4] Group 3 - The NYAuTN06 contract opened at 789.90 and closed at 787.65, showing a decrease of 1.45% [5] - The weighted average price for NYAuTN06 was 787.35 with a trading volume of 11.8 units [5] - The total transaction amount for NYAuTN06 was approximately 9.29 million [5]