新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至6月12日收盘主力合约焦炭2509,涨跌-1.77%,成交量2.26万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现净多， 差额头寸为375手。 焦炭期货全合约总计成交2.36万手，比上一日减少2928手。全合约前20席位多头持仓3.42万手，比上一日减少803手。全合约前20 席位空头持仓3.39万手，比上一日增加304手。 根据合并数据显示，多头前三席位为银河期货，总持仓6885、中信期货，总持仓4437、国泰君安，总持仓3781；空头前三席位为 中信期货，总持仓4608、国泰君安，总持仓4084、华泰期货，总持仓3545； 主力合约前20席位中，多头增仓前三名分别是：中泰期货、持仓1092、增仓107，申银万国、持仓614、增仓48，中信建投、持仓 820、增仓44；多头减仓前三名分别是：东证期货、持仓2041、减仓-318，方正中期、持仓1551、减仓-164，中信期货、持仓 4437、减仓-130； 主力合约前20席位中，空头增仓前三名分别是：国泰君安、持仓4084、增仓338，华泰期货、持仓3545、增仓173，东证期货、持 仓2731、增仓87；空头减仓前三名分别是：中信期货、持仓 ...

新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至6月12日收盘主力合约焦煤2509,涨跌-2.79%,成交量88.04万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现净空， 差额头寸为4245手。 焦煤期货全合约总计成交92.81万手，比上一日减少28.95万手。全合约前20席位多头持仓37.72万手，比上一日增加6942手。全合 约前20席位空头持仓39.48万手，比上一日增加4740手。 根据合并数据显示，多头前三席位为中信期货，总持仓39074、国泰君安，总持仓34991、银河期货，总持仓33475；空头前三席位 为国泰君安，总持仓49129、中信期货，总持仓40808、银河期货，总持仓31943； 主力合约前20席位中，多头增仓前三名分别是：海通期货、持仓9539、增仓2376，国贸期货、持仓18954、增仓1967，华泰期货、 持仓21523、增仓1359；多头减仓前三名分别是：永安期货、持仓12603、减仓-2010，中信期货、持仓36555、减仓-813，东证期 货、持仓22364、减仓-793； 主力合约前20席位中，空头增仓前三名分别是：国泰君安、持仓42504、增仓3443，光大期货、持仓14209、增仓2093，永安期 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's financial industry has made significant progress in opening up, with substantial relaxation of market access and deepening interconnectivity between domestic and foreign financial markets [1][2] - The People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies have jointly issued an action plan to enhance cross-border financial services, focusing on improving settlement efficiency, optimizing hedging services, strengthening financing services, enhancing insurance protection, and refining comprehensive financial services [1][2] - The removal of foreign ownership limits in banking, securities, fund management, futures, and life insurance sectors marks a major step in financial service market access [2] Group 2 - The "Bond Connect" program achieved a total trading volume of 10.4 trillion yuan in 2024, facilitating foreign investors in allocating Chinese assets and managing risks through various hedging tools [2] - The concept of institutional opening is emphasized, transitioning from the flow of goods and factors to the opening of rules and systems, which aids in international cooperation and aligns with high international standards [2][3] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange has implemented reforms to streamline foreign exchange business processes, enhancing the experience for quality clients by reducing documentation requirements [3] Group 3 - There is a strong emphasis on balancing openness with security, with plans to enhance regulatory capabilities and risk prevention measures in the context of increased openness [3] - The establishment of a robust risk prevention system is crucial to avoid systemic risks, including the improvement of macro-prudential policy frameworks and monitoring systems for cross-border capital flows [3]

铁合金产业风险管理日报 2025/6/11 袁铭（Z0012648）陈敏涛（F03118345 ） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 铁合金价格区间预测 | | 价格区间预测（月度） | 当前波动率（20日滚动） | 当前波动率历史百分位（3年） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 硅铁 | 5300-6000 | 16.23% | 37.9% | | 硅锰 | 5300-6000 | 24.52% | 63.2% | source： 南华研究,同花顺 铁合金套保 | 行为导 向 | 情景分析 | 现货敞 口 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方 向 | 套保比例（%） | 建议入场区间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 库存管 | 产成品库存偏高，担心铁合金 | 多 | 为了防止存货跌价损失，可以根据企业的库存情况，做空铁合 | SF2509、SM | 卖出 | 15% | SF:6200-6250、SM: | | 理 | 下跌 | | 金期货来锁定利润，弥补企业的生产成本 | 2509 | ...

以下文章来源于CFC商品策略研究 ，作者CFC商品策略研究 CFC商品策略研究 . 好的研报应该提供打破经验，观念，陈规或惯例的视角，提供自我逻辑审查的意识自觉。阅读体验应该是一次历险，也许是一次漂流，它并不把你带 到任何一个安全的港湾去，但更像是提供一种类似在悬崖边临渊回眸，另做选择的逻辑启发，或自我反讽的邀请。 文 | 田亚雄 来源 | CFC商品策略研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 我用一种最保留的说法说，期货市场正进入一个行易知难的状态，做预设和行动都极端容易，但在当下变局下，过去的应对经验很可能成为某种"负 债"。在此状态中专家型单品种研究者在自己的领域里事无巨细，但之于行情的预判泯然众人。罗列过往的PPT或正简化着思想，历史经验知识提供 阐释和规范，但不能创造先例，反而经验型茧房把思维束缚在某种共识或偏见当中。6月的几大交易主题： 1、煤价托底的成色。 正值国内煤炭季节性需求窗口，截至6月5日，二十五省电厂日耗485万吨/天，周环比+7.5%，库存可用天数 24.4天，周环比-1.6天。市场提前于现货押注上行（截至6月6日，秦皇岛港动力末煤平仓价(山西产)为609元/吨，环比-0.3% ...

(*文中全合约指交易所公布持仓成交数据的所有合约) 主力合约前20席位中，空头增仓前三名分别是：东证期货、持仓2644、增仓289，海证期货、持仓1700、增仓162，永安期货、持 仓1445、增仓99；空头减仓前三名分别是：中辉期货、持仓716、减仓-472，先融期货、持仓807、减仓-233，国泰君安、持仓 3746、减仓-210。 文章来源:新浪期货 2025年6月11日焦炭主力合约2509持仓数据一览 | | 名次 会员名称 成交量(双边) | | 增减 | 会员 | 持买单 | 增减 | 会员 | 持卖单 | 增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | J | 中信期货 | 5,488 | -1,182 | 银河期货 | 6,919 | -29 | 中信期货 | 4,767 | -142 | | 2 | 国泰君安 | 4,971 | -258 | 中信期货 | 4,567 | -268 | 国泰君安 | 3,746 | -210 | | 3 | 东证期货 | 2,335 | -549 | 国泰君安 | 3, ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - Based on the closing prices of adjacent trading days, today the Nanhua Composite Index rose 0.06%. Among the sector indices, the Nanhua Energy and Chemical Index had the largest increase of 0.52%, and the Nanhua Industrial Products Index had the smallest increase of 0.18%. The Nanhua Metal Index had the largest decline of -0.39%, and the Nanhua Precious Metal Index had the smallest decline of -0.07%. Among the theme indices, the Energy Index had the largest increase of 1.11%, and the Oilseeds Index had the smallest increase of 0.09%. The Building Materials Index had the largest decline of -0.37%, and the Black Raw Materials Index had the smallest decline of -0.12%. Among the single - variety indices of commodity futures, the Fuel Oil Index had the largest increase of 1.74%, and the Plywood Index had the largest decline of -1.93% [1][3]. 3. Summary by Index Type 3.1 Comprehensive and Sector Indices | Index Name | Today's Close | Yesterday's Close | Points Change | Daily Change | Annualized Return Rate | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Composite Index NHCI | 2400.26 | 2398.92 | 1.33 | 0.06% | -12.75% | 14.01% | -0.91 | | Precious Metal Index NHPMI | 1238.66 | 1239.55 | -0.89 | -0.07% | 24.46% | 18.46% | 1.32 | | Industrial Products Index NHII | 3443.70 | 3437.64 | 6.06 | 0.18% | -19.41% | 15.77% | -1.23 | | Metal Index NHMI | 6036.80 | 6060.55 | -23.75 | -0.39% | -15.83% | 15.45% | -1.02 | | Energy and Chemical Index NHECI | 1598.39 | 1590.08 | 8.30 | 0.52% | -22.88% | 17.00% | -1.35 | | Non - ferrous Metal Index NHNF | 1633.92 | 1638.83 | -4.92 | -0.30% | -11.71% | 14.36% | -0.82 | | Black Index NHFI | 2303.82 | 2309.83 | -6.02 | -0.26% | -27.09% | 21.50% | -1.26 | | Agricultural Products Index NHAI | 1063.47 | 1060.97 | 2.50 | 0.24% | -3.27% | 9.99% | -0.33 | | Mini Composite Index NHCIMi | 1106.93 | 1104.77 | 2.16 | 0.20% | -1.87% | 13.26% | -0.14 | | Energy Index NHEI | 1003.48 | 992.49 | 10.99 | 1.11% | -5.49% | 30.62% | -0.18 | | Petrochemical Index NHPCI | 930.36 | 927.57 | 2.79 | 0.30% | -2.81% | 20.20% | -0.14 | | Coal - based Chemical Index NHCCI | 1011.08 | 1009.75 | 1.33 | 0.13% | -3.88% | 18.24% | -0.21 | | Black Raw Materials Index NHFM | 919.14 | 920.24 | -1.10 | -0.12% | -5.79% | 21.20% | -0.27 | | Building Materials Index NHBMI | 713.42 | 716.04 | -2.63 | -0.37% | -5.49% | 15.66% | -0.35 | | Oilseeds Index NHOOl | 1190.91 | 1189.88 | 1.02 | 0.09% | -0.40% | 12.02% | -0.03 | | Economic Crops Index NHAECI | 874.82 | 873.31 | 1.51 | 0.17% | -0.86% | 9.54% | -0.09% | [3] 3.2 Single - Variety Indices - The single - variety index with the largest increase was the Fuel Oil Index, rising 1.74%, and the single - variety index with the largest decline was the Plywood Index, falling -1.93% [3][4]. 3.3 Other Information - Some single - variety indices also showed changes in their positions. For example, the position change ratios of some products such as soda ash, eggs, and iron ore are provided, but the data presentation is incomplete [4]. - There are also some industry chain diagrams for parts of the energy - chemical and black sectors, showing the daily changes in the single - variety indices of related products [4][5].

南华原木产业风险管理日报 2025年6月10日 宋霁鹏（投资咨询证号：Z0016598 ） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 原木价格区间预测 | | 价格区间预测（月度） | 当前波动率（20日滚动） | 当前波动率历史百分位（3年） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 原木 | 740-800 | 16.28% | 67.4% | source： 南华研究 原木套保策略表 | 行为导 | 情景分析 | 现货敞 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 套保比例（%） | 建议入场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 向 | | 口 | | | | | 区间 | | 库存管 理 | 原木进口量偏高库存 高位，担心价格下跌 | 多 | 为了防止存货叠加损失，可以根据企 业的库存情况，做空原木期货来锁定 利润，弥补企业的生产成本 | lg2507 | 卖出 | 25% | 800-785 9.5-14 | | | | | 买入看跌期权防止价格大跌，同时卖 出看涨期权降低资金成本 | lg2507P ...

国债期货日报 2025年6月 10日 消息博弈 观点：部分止盈，持仓观望 南华研究院 高翔（Z0016413） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 盘面点评： 国债期货高开低走，午盘拉升翻红后窄幅震荡，全天小幅收涨。公开市场共4545亿逆回购到期，央行新 做1986亿，当日净回笼1738亿。 日内消息： 1.财政部社会保障司负责人葛志昊6月10日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，在"一老一小"服务方面，财政部 积极配合有关部门完善养老育幼服务体系，推进社区支持的居家养老服务，加强失能老年人照护服务，促 进普惠托育服务高质量发展，抓紧建立实施育儿补贴制度，有关工作正在加快推进，确保更好满足人民群 众对"一老一小"方面的服务需求。 行情研判： 资金依旧不贵，公开市场净回笼2559亿元，但早盘银行间匿名隔夜依旧有大量资金在1.35%附近， DR001加权1.36%较周一进一步走低，但非银流动性小幅收敛，交易所资金价格有所上行，但利率水平不 高。 T主力：净基差与基差 source： wind,南华研究 元 T净基差：主连 T基差：主连 10/31 12/31 02/28 04/30 -0.2 0 0.2 0. ...

棉花产业风险管理日报 2025/6/10 陈嘉宁（投资咨询证号：Z0020097 ） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 棉花近期价格区间预测 | 价格区间预测（月度） | 当前波动率（20日滚动） | 当前波动率历史百分位（3年） | | --- | --- | --- | | 12800-13700 | 0.065 | 0.0734 | 【利空解读】 source： 南华研究,同花顺 棉花风险管理策略建议 | | 行为 | 情景分析 | 现货 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖 | 套保比例 | 建议入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 导向 | | 敞口 | | | 方向 | | 场区间 | | | 库存 管理 | 库存偏高，担心棉价下 跌 | | 为了防止存货叠加损失，可以根据企业的库存 情况，做空郑棉期货来锁定利润，弥补企业的 | CF2509 | 卖出 | 50% | 13600- 13800 | | | | | 多 | 生产成本 | | | | | | CF509C13800 | | | | ...