今日各行业资金流向 | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 1.20 | 27.81 | 交通运输 | 0.13 | -0.68 | | 医药生物 | 2.30 | 20.27 | 建筑材料 | 0.06 | -1.18 | | 传媒 | 1.05 | 15.65 | 环保 | 0.83 | -1.58 | | 国防军工 | 1.52 | 11.03 | 电力设备 | 0.79 | -3.18 | | 有色金属 | 0.45 | 8.04 | 公用事业 | 0.15 | -3.27 | | 社会服务 | 1.51 | 4.99 | 电子 | 0.57 | -3.27 | | 商贸零售 | 0.34 | 4.93 | 银行 | 0.26 | -3.96 | | 轻工制造 | 1.49 | 4.40 | 房地产 | 0.06 | -4.04 | | 基础化工 | 1.08 | 3.02 | 建筑装饰 | 0.19 | -4.66 | | 纺织服饰 | 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the net capital inflow and outflow across various industries, indicating a significant disparity in investment trends, with non-bank financials attracting the most capital while the automotive sector experienced the largest outflow [1][2]. Industry Summary - **Non-Bank Financials**: - Net capital inflow of 2.781 billion, with a price change of 1.20% and a turnover rate of 0.97%. The trading volume increased by 42.65% compared to the previous trading day [1]. - **Pharmaceuticals**: - Net capital inflow of 2.027 billion, with a price change of 2.30% and a turnover rate of 2.93%. The trading volume increased by 38.74% compared to the previous trading day [1]. - **Media**: - Net capital inflow of 1.565 billion, with a price change of 1.05% and a turnover rate of 3.02%. The trading volume increased by 22.53% compared to the previous trading day [1]. - **Defense and Military**: - Net capital inflow of 1.103 billion, with a price change of 1.52% and a turnover rate of 2.28%. The trading volume increased by 10.68% compared to the previous trading day [1]. - **Automotive**: - Net capital outflow of -1.108 billion, with a price change of 0.03% and a turnover rate of 2.63%. The trading volume increased by 12.09% compared to the previous trading day [2]. - **Electric Power Equipment**: - Net capital outflow of -0.318 billion, with a price change of 0.79% and a turnover rate of 2.76%. The trading volume increased by 10.26% compared to the previous trading day [2]. - **Real Estate**: - Net capital outflow of -0.404 billion, with a price change of 0.06% and a turnover rate of 1.18%. The trading volume increased by 0.85% compared to the previous trading day [2]. - **Computers**: - Net capital outflow of -1.105 billion, with a price change of 0.86% and a turnover rate of 3.75%. The trading volume decreased by 0.65% compared to the previous trading day [2].

Market Overview - The net inflow of large orders in the two markets reached 7.83 billion yuan, with 20 stocks seeing net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, led by Jianghuai Automobile with a net inflow of 1.134 billion yuan [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.43% today, with a total of 2,186 stocks experiencing net inflows and 2,507 stocks seeing net outflows [1] Industry Performance - Among the 19 industries with net inflows, the non-bank financial sector had the largest net inflow of 2.014 billion yuan, with an index increase of 1.20% [1] - The pharmaceutical and biological sector followed with a net inflow of 1.847 billion yuan and a rise of 2.30% [1] - Industries with net outflows included food and beverage, which saw a net outflow of 529 million yuan, and the automotive sector with a net outflow of 433 million yuan [1] Individual Stock Performance - Jianghuai Automobile led the net inflow with 1.134 billion yuan, followed by Kuaibao with 799 million yuan [2] - Stocks with significant net outflows included BYD with a net outflow of 1.394 billion yuan, and Kweichow Moutai with 516 million yuan [2][4] - Stocks with net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan saw an average increase of 9.26%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] Detailed Stock Data Top Net Inflow Stocks | Code | Name | Closing Price (Yuan) | Change (%) | Net Inflow (Billion Yuan) | Industry | |------|--------------|----------------------|------------|---------------------------|-------------------| | 600418 | Jianghuai Automobile | 38.54 | 9.99 | 1.134 | Automotive | | 002640 | Kuaibao | 5.03 | 10.07 | 0.799 | Retail | | 600760 | AVIC Shenyang | 54.65 | 9.30 | 0.777 | Defense & Military | | 300493 | Runxin Technology | 23.32 | 15.67 | 0.679 | Electronics | | 300059 | Dongfang Wealth | 21.46 | 2.73 | 0.614 | Non-bank Financial | [2] Top Net Outflow Stocks | Code | Name | Closing Price (Yuan) | Change (%) | Net Outflow (Billion Yuan) | Industry | |------|--------------|----------------------|------------|----------------------------|-------------------| | 002594 | BYD | 348.14 | -3.28 | -1.394 | Automotive | | 600519 | Kweichow Moutai | 1486.11 | -1.35 | -0.516 | Food & Beverage | | 002467 | Erli San | 6.74 | 0.90 | -0.362 | Communication | [4]

| 2025年06月09日 一周市场回顾 | 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 一周市场回顾 (2025.06.03-2025.06.06) | | | | | 分析师:马遥识途 资格证书:S1330524050001 | | | | 联系邮箱:mayst@hxzb.cn | | | | 联系电话:15201282186 | | | | 相关研究 | | | | 一周市场回顾 (2025.05.26- | | | | 2025.05.30) | | | A 股市场: | 2025.06.03 | | | | 一周市场回顾 (2025.05.06- | | | l 本周 A 股上证指数上涨 1.13%,收于 3385.36点,深证成指上涨 | 2025.05.09) | | | 1.42%.收于 10183.70点,创业板指上涨 2.32%.收于 2039.44点。 | 2025.05.12 | | | | 一周市场回顾 (2025.04.28 - | | | 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别上涨 | 2025.04.30) | | ...

Group 1 - The main point of the news is that BYD experienced a significant net sell-off of over 1.7 billion yuan, while other sectors like non-bank financials saw substantial net inflows [1][5] - Non-bank financial sector had a net inflow of over 2.6 billion yuan, leading the market [2] - The automotive sector, particularly Jianghuai Automobile, saw a notable net inflow of 940 million yuan, ranking first among individual stocks [4] Group 2 - The transportation equipment sector faced the highest net outflow, totaling 1.229 billion yuan [3] - The semiconductor industry also experienced a significant net outflow of 1.194 billion yuan [3] - The new energy sector had a net outflow of 1.1 billion yuan, indicating a trend of capital leaving these industries [3] Group 3 - Jianghuai Automobile led the afternoon buying list with a net inflow of 940 million yuan, reflecting strong investor interest [4] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows included Cross-Border Communication and Runxin Technology, with inflows of 822 million yuan and 587 million yuan respectively [4] - In contrast, the top stocks with net outflows included BYD, which had a net outflow of 1.709 billion yuan, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery due to increased risk appetite, with the ChiNext index leading the gains at 2.3% while the Shanghai 50 index saw the smallest increase of 0.4% [3] Market Performance - The overall A-share market experienced a divergence this week, with major indices generally rising. The valuation of the entire A-share market is currently at a medium level historically since 2010 [3] - The communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics sectors performed relatively well, with respective increases of 5.3%, 3.7%, and 3.6%. In contrast, the household appliances, food and beverage, and transportation sectors saw declines of 1.8%, 1.1%, and 0.5% [3] Domestic and External Factors - Recent domestic events include the launch of the "Service Consumption Season" by the Ministry of Commerce and the deployment of policies for the 2025 New Energy Vehicles initiative. Externally, significant events include a phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump, and the SEC tightening regulations on foreign companies listed in the U.S. [4] - The domestic economy remains stable, supported by growth policies, which are expected to provide a cushion for the market. Despite potential market fluctuations, supportive funds are likely to flow into the stock market to stabilize it [4] Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a consolidation phase, with external risks potentially limiting further upward movement. The current level of the Shanghai index is near the points seen in early April, making upward breakthroughs challenging [5] - Short-term external risks may have peaked, but vigilance regarding Trump's policy changes is necessary. Domestic policies are expected to continue to be implemented, with consumption remaining a key driver of economic recovery [5] Investment Focus - Attention should be given to three main lines of investment: 1. Domestic consumption, with a focus on home goods, food processing, professional services, and leisure foods, as policies to expand domestic demand are expected to catalyze growth [6] 2. Domestic substitution, focusing on industries with high import ratios from the U.S. and strong domestic supply capabilities, such as publishing and building materials, as well as sectors like aerospace equipment and medical devices that are expected to improve domestic supply [6] Fund Allocation - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" may have a profound impact on fund allocation, with sectors currently underweight by funds, such as banking, non-bank financials, public utilities, and transportation, being worth attention in the medium to long term [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The fundamentals of the non-bank financial sector are improving, with low valuations and expectations for policy catalysts [1] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, while the securities sector is poised for growth due to favorable market conditions and policy support [44] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - All sub-sectors of non-bank financials outperformed the CSI 300 index in the recent four trading days, with the securities sector rising by 2.55%, multi-financial by 2.22%, and insurance by 1.03% [8][10] - Year-to-date, the insurance sector has performed the best, followed by multi-financials, while the securities sector has seen a decline [9] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased year-on-year, with June's average daily trading volume at 13,631 billion yuan, up 65.74% from last year [13] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is committed to deepening reforms in the capital market, including enhancing the registration system for stock issuance and supporting mergers and acquisitions [17][18] 2.2 Insurance - Life insurance premiums have shown signs of recovery, with original premiums for personal insurance reaching 20,966 billion yuan in the first four months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [20] - The insurance sector's investment in equities has increased, with the total investment balance reaching 34.93 trillion yuan, up 16.7% year-on-year [23] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry is entering a stable transition period, with total trust assets growing to 29.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.58% [31] - The futures market saw a significant increase in trading volume and value in April 2025, with a total transaction volume of 8.09 billion contracts and a transaction value of 70.18 trillion yuan, up 21.49% and 23.92% year-on-year, respectively [36] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the non-bank financial sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financials, with key recommendations including New China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, China Ping An, CITIC Securities, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [44]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in A-share average daily trading volume, which reached 12,089 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.5% month-on-month increase and a 62.1% year-on-year increase [3][18] - The report indicates that the non-bank financial Shenwan index rose by 1.99%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.12 percentage points, ranking it 10th among all primary industries [2][13] - The report emphasizes the ongoing support for technological innovation from multiple departments, including the People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming to enhance financial support for technology enterprises [3][14][15] - Insurance capital is increasingly being directed towards long-term investments, with the launch of significant funds aimed at supporting strategic industries and enhancing capital market stability [4][16][17] Summary by Sections Market and Sector Performance - The average daily trading volume in A-shares for the week was 12,089 billion yuan, with a 10.5% increase from the previous week and a 62.1% increase year-on-year [3][18] - The non-bank financial sector saw a 1.99% increase in its index, with notable performances from sub-sectors such as securities (up 2.39%) and internet finance (up 4.65%) [2][13] Financial Support for Technological Innovation - The Tianjin Financial Forum on June 5, 2025, highlighted a commitment from regulatory bodies to enhance financial support for technology innovation through improved credit services and the establishment of a "technology board" in the bond market [3][14] - The banking sector's knowledge property pledge loan balance exceeded 300 billion yuan, marking a 33.7% year-on-year increase, indicating a growing focus on supporting technology enterprises [14][15] Insurance Sector Developments - China Pacific Insurance announced the establishment of a 500 billion yuan fund aimed at mergers and acquisitions, focusing on key areas of state-owned enterprise reform and modern industrial system construction [4][16] - The report notes that insurance capital is increasingly being utilized for long-term investments, which aligns with the needs of technology enterprises for stable financial support [17]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 持续推荐板块优质红马，配置短期低估值寿 险股 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 二季度政策端与市场交投趋势稳中向好，我们认为优质的非银行业红马配置性价比仍较高，从盈利和分红 的稳定性维度出发，推荐江苏金租、中国平安及中国财险。寿险行业当前估值仍隐含了市场对于中长期较 为悲观的假设，我们认为在当前较为积极的政策环境和行业实际盈利情况来看，估值修复空间较大。推荐 新华保险、中国太保及中国人寿。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 2025-06-08 [Table_Title 持续推荐板块优质红马，配置短期低估值寿险 2] 股 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点： 1）二季度至今政策端与市场交投趋势稳中向好，展望后续，业绩基数有所上移，政策端维持 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Timing System Model **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses the distance between the short-term moving average (20-day) and the long-term moving average (120-day) of the Wind All A Index to determine the overall market environment and identify market trends [1][9][12] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the 20-day moving average (short-term) and the 120-day moving average (long-term) of the Wind All A Index 2. Compute the difference between the two moving averages: $ \text{Difference} = \text{20-day MA} - \text{120-day MA} $ 3. Evaluate the absolute value of the difference. If the absolute value is less than 3%, the market is considered to be in a consolidation phase [1][9][12] **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively captures the market's consolidation phase and provides a clear signal for timing decisions [1][9][12] - **Model Name**: Industry Allocation Model **Model Construction Idea**: This model identifies industries with medium-term growth potential and recommends allocation based on sectoral trends and macroeconomic factors [2][3][10] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Analyze macroeconomic factors and market sentiment 2. Identify sectors with potential for recovery or growth, such as "distressed reversal" sectors 3. Recommend specific industries, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and new consumption in the Hong Kong market, as well as technology sectors like consumer electronics [2][3][10] **Model Evaluation**: The model provides actionable insights for medium-term industry allocation, focusing on sectors with growth potential [2][3][10] - **Model Name**: TWO BETA Model **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on identifying high-growth sectors, particularly in technology, and recommends allocation based on their performance trends [2][3][10] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Analyze the performance of high-beta sectors, such as technology and consumer electronics 2. Monitor the upward trend of specific industries, such as banking and gold stocks, to identify allocation opportunities [2][3][10] **Model Evaluation**: The model is effective in identifying high-growth sectors and provides a focused approach to sectoral allocation [2][3][10] - **Model Name**: Position Management Model **Model Construction Idea**: This model determines the recommended equity allocation based on valuation indicators and short-term market trends [2][10][12] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Evaluate the PE and PB valuation levels of the Wind All A Index 2. Assess the relative position of these indicators within their historical ranges 3. Combine valuation analysis with short-term market trend signals to recommend an equity allocation level (e.g., 50% for absolute return products) [2][10][12] **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a balanced approach to equity allocation, considering both valuation and market trends [2][10][12] Model Backtesting Results - **Timing System Model**: The moving average difference is 0.68%, with the absolute value remaining below 3%, indicating a consolidation phase [1][9][12] - **Position Management Model**: - PE valuation level: 60th percentile, indicating a medium level - PB valuation level: 20th percentile, indicating a relatively low level - Recommended equity allocation: 50% [2][10][12]