消费市场在政策支持与场景复苏下持续扩容。10月社会消费品零售总额同比增长2.9%，消费品以旧换 新政策效果显著，家电、汽车等耐用品消费增速回升。从结构看，数字消费与绿色消费成为亮点，1— 10月实物商品网上零售额占社会消费品零售总额比重达25.2%，高能效家电、智能家电销售额保持两位 数增长，新能源汽车零售渗透率进一步提升。王青指出，10月限额以上单位其他类别商品零售额增速普 遍有所加快。可能主要受今年各大电商"双十一"促销提前至10月上旬启动，部分商品消费需求从11月前 移到10月释放提振。 10月份投资领域虽整体增速放缓，但结构优化趋势明显。1—10月制造业投资同比增长2.7%，增速快于 全部投资，占比提升至25.6%，其中部分高端行业投资力度加大：航空航天器及设备制造业投资同比增 长19.7%，信息服务业投资增速高达32.7%。清洁能源投资同样亮眼，太阳能、风力、核力、水力发电 投资合计同比增长10.4%，能源结构转型持续提速。 （原标题：10月经济数据出炉：部分高端行业投资力度加大 服务消费成重要增长点） 证券时报记者 江聃 11月14日，国家统计局发布数据显示，10月份，我国经济延续稳中有进态势，工 ...

消费市场在政策支持与场景复苏下持续扩容。10月社会消费品零售总额同比增长2.9%，消费品以旧换 新政策效果显著，家电、汽车等耐用品消费增速回升。从结构看，数字消费与绿色消费成为亮点，1— 10月实物商品网上零售额占社会消费品零售总额比重达25.2%，高能效家电、智能家电销售额保持两位 数增长，新能源汽车零售渗透率进一步提升。王青指出，10月限额以上单位其他类别商品零售额增速普 遍有所加快。可能主要受今年各大电商"双十一"促销提前至10月上旬启动，部分商品消费需求从11月前 移到10月释放提振。 11月14日，国家统计局发布数据显示，10月份，我国经济延续稳中有进态势，工业生产实现4.9%的同 比增速，消费市场持续扩大，部分高端行业投资力度加大，凸显经济结构优化趋势。 从生产供给看，10月农业、工业、服务业"三业协同"发展。农业方面，秋粮面积与单产双升支撑全年丰 收预期，大部分农区秋粮生产形势良好，为粮食安全筑牢基础。工业领域则呈现"整体稳、结构优"特 征，10月份规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%。其中，装备制造业增加值同比增长8.0%，高技术制造 业增加值增长7.2%，分别快于全部规模以上工业增加值3.1和 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, the macro - economy showed characteristics of "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The economy is undergoing a transformation from traditional real estate and infrastructure to emerging industries, high - end manufacturing, and service consumption [1][7]. - For the bond market, due to the diminishing effect of traditional drivers (real estate and infrastructure), the potential economic growth rate is declining. New drivers are still being cultivated and cannot fully offset the decline of traditional sectors. In the short term, with inflation under control and the central bank's supportive monetary policy, the risk of significant bond market adjustment is relatively controllable, and the 10 - year Treasury bond yield is expected to fluctuate around 1.8% [2][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 10 - month Economic Data: Total Slowdown and Kinetic Energy Switch - **Economic Growth Characteristics**: In October 2025, the macro - economy featured "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The endogenous economic growth momentum needs to be restored [1][7]. - **Structural Highlights**: - **Industrial Upgrade**: From January to October 2025, the added value of above - scale equipment manufacturing increased by 9.5% year - on - year, accounting for 36.1% of above - scale industries and contributing 58.7% to the growth of above - scale industrial added value [1][7]. - **High - tech Investment**: Investment in high - tech fields such as new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence expanded rapidly. From January to October, investment in the aviation, spacecraft, and equipment manufacturing industry increased by 19.7% year - on - year, and investment in the information service industry increased by 32.7%. After excluding real estate development investment, national fixed - asset investment and private investment turned positive, with growth rates of 1.7% and 0.2% respectively [1][8]. - **New Market Demand**: From January to October, online retail sales increased by 9.6% year - on - year. Upgraded consumer goods sold well, and service retail sales increased by 5.3%. Retail sales of cultural, sports, and leisure services, as well as tourism consulting and leasing services, maintained double - digit growth [1][8]. 3.2 Industrial Production Remained Stable, with High - end Manufacturing Still Prominent - **Overall Industrial Production**: In October, the added value of above - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, with a 1.6 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. From January to October, the cumulative growth was 6.1%. The service production index in October increased by 4.6% year - on - year, a 1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month [10]. - **Industry - Specific Performance**: In October, the year - on - year growth rates of the automobile and transportation equipment industries rebounded significantly compared to the previous month, while those of the pharmaceutical and non - ferrous metal processing industries declined significantly [12]. - **New Kinetic Energy**: The upgrading of the manufacturing industry continued to drive industrial resilience. In October, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 8.0% year - on - year, and that of the high - tech manufacturing industry increased by 7.2%, 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points faster than the overall above - scale industrial added value respectively. The output of emerging products such as 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increased rapidly [13]. 3.3 Consumption Recovery was Moderate, with Service Consumption Better than Goods - **Overall Consumption**: In October, the growth rate of social consumer goods retail sales slowed slightly to 2.9%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. Among them, commodity retail increased by 2.8% year - on - year, a 0.5 - percentage - point decline from the previous month, while catering revenue increased by 3.8% year - on - year, a 2.9 - percentage - point increase from the previous month [16]. - **Consumption Structure**: Upgraded consumption performed well, and service consumption maintained resilience. In October, rural consumption grew by 4.1%, faster than urban consumption. However, the transmission of consumption policies to end - demand needs further observation due to the constraints of income expectations and housing price wealth effects on consumption willingness [21][23]. 3.4 Investment Growth Continued to Decline, with Manufacturing Standing Out - **Overall Investment**: From January to October, fixed - asset investment increased by - 1.7% year - on - year, a 1.2 - percentage - point decline from January to September. The investment structure showed "stable manufacturing, declining infrastructure, and real - estate drag", with only manufacturing investment maintaining positive growth [24]. - **Manufacturing Investment**: From January to October, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7% year - on - year. Equipment purchase investment remained resilient, with a 13% year - on - year increase from January to October, 14.7 percentage points higher than total investment. However, under the guidance of the "anti - involution" policy, the investment motivation of some enterprises may decline in the short term [26]. - **Infrastructure Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) was - 0.1%, with a further decline in growth. Traditional infrastructure construction slowed down, and the construction industry's prosperity level declined. In addition, the issuance of new special bonds in October was slow, and the capital availability of some projects might not meet expectations [27]. - **Real Estate Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate investment was - 14.7%, with an increasing negative impact. The decline in real estate sales area and sales volume widened, and the real estate market was still "trading at a lower price for higher volume". Follow - up real estate relaxation policies may need to be actively implemented [28].

Core Viewpoint - The economic indicators for October show a downward trend influenced by last year's high base, deep adjustments in the real estate sector, and weak domestic demand, although there are still positive signs in certain areas such as service retail growth and advancements in high-tech manufacturing [2][3][4]. Economic Indicators - In October, the industrial added value and service production index both recorded the lowest monthly growth rates of the year, with industrial added value growing by 4.9%, down 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, and service production growing by 4.6%, down 1 percentage point [3]. - The social retail sales growth rate for October was 2.9%, the lowest monthly growth rate of the year, with fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) declining by 1.7% year-on-year from January to October [4]. - The total import and export volume in October grew by 0.1%, with exports decreasing by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4%, reflecting a significant drop in growth compared to the previous month [5]. Policy Measures - A new policy package involving 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools and 500 billion yuan in local debt limits has been introduced to stimulate investment and support local government finances [2][8]. - The effectiveness of these policies is expected to take time to materialize, with projections indicating significant impacts by the first quarter of 2026 [8][9]. Sectoral Performance - High-tech manufacturing sectors, such as equipment manufacturing and information technology services, continue to show robust growth, with equipment manufacturing value increasing by 8% and information technology services growing by 13% [3][4]. - Investment in high-tech sectors like aerospace and information services has seen substantial growth, with aerospace manufacturing investment increasing by 19.7% and information services by 32.7% from January to October [4]. Economic Outlook - Despite the downward pressure on economic indicators, achieving the annual growth target of around 5% remains likely, although there is a growing necessity for enhanced growth stabilization policies to address weak demand and the real estate market's challenges [9][10]. - Recommendations for policy adjustments include increasing fiscal spending, optimizing expenditure structures, and implementing further monetary easing to support economic recovery [10].

Core Insights - China's fixed asset investment growth has slowed down, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% in the first ten months of the year, but real investment volume has shown slight growth when excluding price factors [1][2] - The decline in investment growth is attributed to multiple factors, including a complex external environment, intense domestic market competition, and a significant drop in real estate investment, which fell by 14.7% [1][2] - Despite the slowdown, the investment structure is improving, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which saw a 2.7% year-on-year increase, accounting for 25.6% of total investment [2] Investment Trends - Manufacturing investment has been a bright spot, with significant growth in high-end industries such as aerospace and information services, which grew by 19.7% and 32.7% respectively [2] - The need for continued investment is emphasized to strengthen the real economy, promote technological and industrial innovation, and address regional development imbalances [3] Future Outlook - China remains the largest developing country, with substantial investment potential to reach the level of moderately developed countries [3] - Key areas for future investment include education, healthcare, housing, and public services to address existing gaps [3]

新华财经北京11月14日电（记者安娜）加快培育新动能，促进经济结构优化升级，有利于促进经济发 展。今年以来，我国在新动能成长和经济结构调整方面有哪些成效？国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖14日 在国新办发布会上介绍了三方面相关积极变化。 一是市场需求焕新提升，新需求不断扩大。 从消费看，随着科技进步和消费理念转变，消费新业态、新模式、新场景不断拓展，数字、绿色、智能 产品消费快速壮大，服务消费稳步扩大。1至10月份，实物商品网上零售额占整个社会消费品零售总额 的比重达到25.2%，比1至9月份提高0.2个百分点。高能效等级家电、新能源汽车零售额均保持较快增 长。智能家电、智能家居等产品需求不断扩大，文体休闲服务类、旅游咨询租赁服务类零售额均保持两 位数增长。 从投资看，聚焦关键领域和薄弱环节扩大有效投资，高技术领域投资较快增长，新能源、新材料、人工 智能等领域投资不断扩大，投资质效不断提升。1至10月份，航空、航天器及设备制造业投资同比增长 19.7%，信息服务业投资增长32.7%。 （文章来源：新华财经） 三是新兴产业发展壮大，引领支撑作用日益增强。 数字经济快速发展，绿色低碳转型持续深入，人工智能赋能产业发展， ...

Core Insights - The transformation of consumer spending in China is accelerating, with service consumption becoming a significant growth driver [1] - The cultural and tourism services are experiencing robust growth, with active development of new consumption models in various regions [1] - Emerging consumption trends such as digital and green consumption are expanding, contributing positively to overall consumption growth [1] Service Consumption - The growth of service consumption is highlighted as a key area, with notable increases in cultural tourism services, sports events, and performance markets [1] - Information services, including digital audio-visual and online entertainment, are seeing sustained demand and strong sales growth [1] - There has been a significant increase in dining out during holidays, with restaurant revenue showing marked acceleration in October [1] Emerging Consumption Trends - Digital and green consumption are identified as rapidly growing sectors that are effectively promoting overall consumption growth [1] - The current phase of consumption structure upgrading presents vast opportunities in cultural tourism and healthcare [1] - The silver economy and first-time economy are developing quickly, injecting new momentum into consumption expansion [1] Economic Outlook - The economy is maintaining stable operation, with consumer promotion policies beginning to show effects, leading to overall stable market sales [1] - There is a need to enhance residents' consumption capacity and confidence, as well as to strengthen internal consumption dynamics [1] - Future actions will focus on implementing measures to boost consumption, stabilize employment, increase quality supply, and optimize the consumption environment to effectively release consumption potential [1]

Group 1 - In October, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%. Excluding real estate development investment, national fixed asset investment grew by 1.7% [2] - By sector, infrastructure investment decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, and real estate development investment fell by 14.7%. The sales area of newly built commercial housing was 71,982 million square meters, down 6.8%, while the sales amount was 69,017 billion yuan, a decline of 9.6% [2] - In terms of industries, first industry investment grew by 2.9%, second industry investment increased by 4.8%, and third industry investment decreased by 5.3%. Private investment fell by 4.5%, but excluding real estate development, private investment grew by 0.2% [2] - High-tech industries showed significant growth, with information services, aerospace and equipment manufacturing, and computer and office equipment manufacturing investments increasing by 32.7%, 19.7%, and 4.1% respectively [2] - In October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.62% month-on-month [2] Group 2 - The National Bureau of Statistics indicated that the overall operation of the national economy in October was stable, with solid progress in transformation and upgrading, and new growth drivers continuing to strengthen. However, there are many unstable and uncertain external factors, and significant pressure from domestic structural adjustments, posing challenges to stable economic operation [2] - The next phase will focus on implementing the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session, emphasizing steady progress, expanding domestic demand, stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, and promoting the effective implementation of macro policies [3]

Core Viewpoint - The fixed asset investment in China has shown a decline of 1.7% year-on-year from January to October 2023, but when adjusted for price factors, there is still a slight growth in the physical volume of investment [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Trends - The slowdown in investment growth is attributed to multiple factors, including a complex external environment, intense domestic market competition, and declining investment returns, leading to cautious decision-making among market participants [3]. - Real estate investment has a significant impact on overall investment growth, with a year-on-year decline of 14.7% from January to October 2023, which has pulled down total investment growth by 3 percentage points [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Structure - Despite the slowdown, the investment structure is improving, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which saw a year-on-year growth of 2.7% from January to October 2023, accounting for 25.6% of total investment [4]. - High-end industries are experiencing increased investment, with notable growth in aerospace and information services, which grew by 19.7% and 32.7% respectively [4]. Group 3: Future Investment Potential - China still has significant investment potential and space for growth, as it aims to reach the level of a moderately developed country, necessitating continued investment in various sectors [5]. - Key areas for future investment include enhancing the foundation of the real economy, promoting technological and industrial innovation, addressing regional development imbalances, and improving public services in education, healthcare, and housing [5].

从结构看，一是文旅服务增势较好，二是信息服务较快增长，数字影音、网络娱乐等服务需求持续扩 大。此外，假期期间居民外出就餐增加。从新兴消费看，数字消费和绿色消费在持续壮大。 付凌晖表示，我国正处在消费结构升级的关键阶段，文化旅游、医疗健康等消费发展空间广阔，银发经 济、首发经济等快速发展也为消费扩大注入新动能。 人民财讯11月14日电，11月14日，国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖 在国新办新闻发布会上表示，我国居民消费正在加快转型，服务消费增长日益成为居民消费的重要增长 点。在国庆中秋假日的因素带动下，10月份的服务消费持续较快增长，1—10月份服务零售额比1—9月 份是加快0.1个百分点，高于同期商品零售额的增速是0.9个百分点。 ...