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三江源头春潮涌 秘境囊谦气象新
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-25 20:19
西海新闻记者 莫青 市场里,卖牦牛肉的才仁摊开新鲜上市的肉品,笑着盘点今年的收入;校园中,供暖改造后的教室温暖 如春,孩子们的读书声格外清脆;广袤的草原上,生态管护员卓玛骑摩托车巡护,记录下草木日渐丰茂 的景象……这里是玉树藏族自治州囊谦县,一片正在高质量发展的热土,这里每一天都上演着奋斗与收 获的鲜活故事。 过去一年,囊谦县牢牢把握高质量发展这个首要任务,在攻坚克难中砥砺前行,在稳中求进中奋力追 赶,交出了一份厚重提气的年度答卷。这答卷,写在百姓的笑脸上,印在发展的足迹中,更融于这片秘 境山河的日新月异里。 "家人们看过来,这是我们囊谦纯正的黑青稞糌粑,高原阳光的味道!"在《种地吧3》的直播现场,本 土主播吾周热情地推荐家乡特产。屏幕另一端,订单纷至沓来。一场场这样的直播,将秘境珍馐送往全 国。流量变成"新农资",直播间成了"新牧场",传统农牧业在融合创新中迸发新活力。 农牧业底盘持续夯实,坚决守住耕地红线,完成农作物种植13.26万亩,黑青稞种植面积稳定增长。畜 牧业转型步伐加快,落实"月月出栏",全年出栏牛羊7.3万头(只),商品化率有效提升。文旅产业异 军突起,成为亮丽名片。借力顶级IP《种地吧3》开 ...
迈进2026聚焦“开门红”,北京市发改委透露新年投资“计划书”
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 15:05
从岁末到年初,位于北京市通州文化旅游区的顶点公园的工程建设从未停步,这座将成为亚洲最大室内 儿童主题乐园的公园是北京市在2026年打造的北京市重点工程之一。 所谓"3个100"市重点工程包括100个重大科技创新及现代化产业项目,100个重大基础设施项目和100个 重大民生改善项目。同时,将预计于后续年度实施的200个重大项目列入前期推进项目,力争推动一批 项目提前至2026年开工。 一季度计划开工160项市区重大项目,总投资约5188亿元 "今年北京市'3个100'市重点工程项目总投资超1.4万亿元,全年计划完成投资约3128亿元,支撑北京市 全市投资的三成以上。"1月15日,北京市发展改革委(简称"市发改委")投资处相关负责人告诉新京报 贝壳财经记者。 该负责人表示,今年北京市将紧密衔接"十五五"时期重大工程项目,突出目标导向、问题导向、前瞻引 领和引导带动,持续发挥"3个100"市重点工程品牌效应和示范引领作用。300个项目中安排180个续建项 目、120个新建项目,社会投资项目投资额占比不低于70%。 在强化各类要素保障方面,1月底前发布全年供地计划,力争一季度集中供应一批优质地块,春节前下 达40%的 ...
就业供需矛盾加剧——12月美国非农数据解读
陈兴宏观研究· 2026-01-10 09:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a continued slowdown in non-farm employment growth, with December's addition dropping to 50,000, below the expected 65,000, and a downward revision of 76,000 for October and November combined [2] - The private sector added 37,000 jobs in December, with an average of 43,000 jobs added in November and December, indicating a persistent trend of slowing job growth [2] - The leisure and hospitality sectors contributed significantly to job growth, adding 47,000 and 41,000 jobs respectively, while manufacturing continued to show negative job growth, indicating weak demand in the sector [5] Group 2 - The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1 percentage points to 4.4%, with the labor force participation rate decreasing to 62.4%, suggesting a complex labor market dynamic [6] - The number of job vacancies in November dropped to 7.146 million, the lowest since 2021, indicating a growing mismatch between labor supply and demand [8] - Average hourly earnings in December increased by 0.3% month-on-month, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, reflecting resilience in wage growth despite broader economic challenges [9][12] Group 3 - The market's expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in January decreased significantly from 14% to 5%, indicating a shift in market sentiment following the release of the non-farm data [17] - The overall labor market conditions suggest an increasing supply-demand imbalance, which may continue to exert pressure on the employment market moving forward [17]
长株潭发布73项重点合作事项
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-12-11 03:19
Core Viewpoint - The Longzhutan integrated development initiative is making significant progress, with a focus on collaboration among the three cities of Changsha, Zhuzhou, and Xiangtan, aiming for a more interconnected and sustainable urban ecosystem by 2026 [2][3][4][5] Group 1: Key Cooperation Matters - In 2025, the three cities will focus on 126 key cooperation matters, with 118 tasks already meeting their annual goals, achieving a completion rate of 93% [2] - The transportation integration process is accelerating, with 6 urban integration roads having completed 86.4% of total investment, and the first phase of the Yugu Port successfully commencing operations [2] Group 2: Infrastructure Development - The three cities will work on 16 key infrastructure items to establish a multi-level comprehensive transportation network, focusing on rail transit and road networks [3] - Ongoing projects include the construction of 5 remaining urban integration roads, 7 expressways, and several rail projects, including the Changsha-Liuyang Express Line and the Changsha-Ganzhou High-speed Railway [3] Group 3: Public Services and Community Benefits - The initiative will focus on 18 key public service items to enhance the integration benefits for citizens, including extending quality education and healthcare resources from Changsha to surrounding areas [4] - Efforts will be made to optimize housing fund services and explore joint law enforcement in transportation and quality sectors to improve governance efficiency [4] Group 4: Environmental Protection - The three cities will implement 17 key environmental protection measures, emphasizing the joint management of ecological green spaces and strict adherence to planning and regulatory requirements [4] - Collaborative mechanisms for pollution control and ecological protection will be established to promote harmony between humans and nature [4] Group 5: Reform and Innovation - The initiative will advance 6 reform measures to stimulate internal development dynamics, including market-oriented reforms in resource allocation and cross-regional cooperation [5] - Notably, the collaboration between Xiangjiang New Area and surrounding regions is seen as an innovative practice to enhance the competitive capacity of the Longzhutan urban agglomeration [5]
“小非农”爆冷!11月就业人数意外下降,小微企业成“重灾区”
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-12-03 13:31
Group 1 - The private sector in the U.S. unexpectedly lost 32,000 jobs in November, indicating a further slowdown in the labor market [1] - Small businesses were particularly hard hit, with companies having fewer than 50 employees losing 120,000 jobs, marking the largest decline since March 2023 [4] - In contrast, large companies (those with 50 or more employees) added 90,000 jobs, with the education and healthcare sectors leading the way with an increase of 33,000 jobs [4] Group 2 - Wage growth has slowed, with salaries for retained employees rising 4.4% year-over-year, down 0.1 percentage points from October [5] - The ADP report is significant as it is the last employment data available before the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 9-10, where there is a 90% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut [5] - Recent weeks have seen mixed opinions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the necessity of further rate cuts to prevent further deterioration in the labor market [5]
美国10月ADP就业数据温和反弹 行业分化凸显结构性调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 14:02
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the ADP private sector employment report for October shows a net increase of 42,000 jobs, marking the first positive growth since July 2025, and surpassing market expectations of 25,000 jobs, reversing the trend of job losses in August and September [1][2] - Job growth is concentrated in specific sectors, with education, healthcare, trade, transportation, and utilities being the main drivers, while professional and business services, information industries, and leisure and hospitality sectors have seen job reductions for the third consecutive month [2][3] - Wage growth remains stable overall, with median annual salaries for stayers increasing by 4.5%, while job switchers experience a more significant increase of 6.7%, indicating that labor mobility still provides a premium [3][4] Group 2 - The September ADP employment data was revised from a decrease of 32,000 jobs to a decrease of 29,000 jobs, which alleviates some market concerns about a sharp deterioration in the job market [3][4] - The ADP report has gained unusual attention due to the U.S. federal government shutdown, which has prevented the release of key official employment data, but the ADP data only covers about 26 million private sector employees, compared to the broader non-farm report [4][5] - The release date for the October non-farm employment report remains uncertain due to the ongoing government shutdown, which may lead to market volatility based on private data [5]
海外周报20250706:6月超预期非农令市场降息预期延后至9月-20250706
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-06 14:34
Employment Data - In June, the U.S. added 147,000 non-farm jobs, exceeding expectations of 106,000, with the previous month's value revised from 139,000 to 144,000[3] - The unemployment rate fell to 4.12%, better than the expected 4.3% and down from the previous 4.24%[3] - The labor force participation rate was 62.28%, slightly below the expected 62.4%[3] Wage Growth - Hourly wages increased by 0.22% month-on-month, lower than the expected 0.3%[3] - Year-on-year wage growth was 3.71%, close to the expected 3.8%[3] Market Reactions - The strong employment data led to a significant reduction in July rate cut expectations, with a 73.2% probability of a September rate cut now anticipated[5] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 6.89 basis points to 4.346% due to improved economic data and reduced rate cut expectations[4] Legislative Impact - The "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) was signed into law, increasing the debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41 trillion, which is expected to add $4.1 trillion to the total deficit over the next decade[5] - The market had anticipated the implications of OBBB, suggesting a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario[5] Economic Outlook - The ISM Services PMI rose to 50.8, indicating expansion, while the Manufacturing PMI recorded 49, slightly above expectations[4] - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model predicts a 2.6% growth for Q2 2025, while the New York Fed's Nowcast model estimates 1.56% growth for the same period[4]
【UNFX课堂】美国5月非农前瞻:就业市场寒意渐浓,降息预期再受考验
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 03:41
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming US May non-farm payroll report is anticipated to reveal significant cooling in the labor market, as indicated by a series of concerning leading indicators, particularly the disappointing ADP employment data [1][3]. Employment Data - The ADP report for May showed only 37,000 new jobs added, far below the expected 114,000, marking the lowest figure since March 2023 and the largest deviation from expectations in nearly three years [1][3]. - Job losses were noted in the goods-producing sector, with a decrease of 2,000 positions, while the service sector saw a modest increase of 36,000 jobs, primarily driven by leisure and hospitality (+38,000) and finance (+20,000) [3]. - Small businesses (fewer than 50 employees) were particularly affected, losing 13,000 jobs, reflecting the direct impact of macroeconomic policy uncertainty on these vulnerable entities [3]. Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, exceeding expectations and reaching an eight-month high, with the four-week moving average also at its highest since November 2021, suggesting prolonged unemployment durations [4]. - The ISM non-manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 49.9 in May, indicating contraction in business activity for the first time since mid-2022, attributed to policy uncertainties affecting order delays [4]. Policy Uncertainty - Current policy uncertainties, especially regarding tariffs, are seen as a core factor contributing to the unclear economic outlook, with potential cost increases looming if negotiations fail [5]. - The upcoming non-farm payroll report is crucial for understanding structural changes in employment, particularly in the goods-producing sector, small businesses, and temporary jobs [5]. Market Reactions - Market consensus for new non-farm jobs has dropped to 130,000 from a previous 177,000, with some institutions predicting as low as 125,000 [7]. - The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%, but a rise to 4.3% or higher could signal recession risks [7]. - Average hourly wage growth is projected to slightly increase to 0.3%, raising concerns about a potential wage-inflation spiral due to high labor costs and declining productivity [7]. Short-term Volatility - The release of employment data is likely to cause significant volatility in stock, bond, and currency markets, similar to the reactions following the ADP data release [8]. - Current interest rate futures reflect expectations of at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with increased bets on a September rate cut if unemployment rises significantly [8].
关税阴云笼罩美国:经济活动普遍降温 通胀压力持续攀升
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 05:03
Overall Economic Activity - Economic activity in the U.S. is generally experiencing a slight to moderate decline, with half of the regions reporting a downturn, while three regions are stable and three show slight growth [2][3] - Manufacturing activity is broadly contracting, and consumer spending is mixed, with retail and dining sectors showing weakness, although some categories like automobiles are seeing increased demand due to tariff expectations [2][3] - The housing market is sluggish, with new home construction slowing down and existing home sales remaining flat, while inventory pressures are rising [2][3] Labor Market - Employment conditions are relatively stable, with most regions reporting flat employment rates, although some sectors like manufacturing and construction are seeing layoffs or hiring freezes [4] - Wage growth is moderate, with over 70% of businesses adopting a cautious approach to future hiring, and many have prepared for potential layoffs [4][11] - Job openings have unexpectedly increased, but the number of voluntary resignations has dropped significantly, indicating weakened confidence in the job market [11][12] Inflation and Pricing - Prices have been rising at a moderate pace, with tariffs exerting upward pressure on costs and prices, leading manufacturers to raise prices or reduce profits [5][6] - The real estate market remains stable, but new construction activities are either flat or slowing down due to uncertainty and high costs [6] - Service industries are facing limitations in pricing power, with some businesses delaying price adjustments to maintain demand [5][6] Regional Economic Highlights - Boston reports slight declines in consumption and housing prices, with businesses delaying hiring due to tariffs [7] - Atlanta sees growth in the energy sector, particularly LNG exports, while manufacturing is noticeably declining [8] - San Francisco's technology and financial services remain stable, but retail is shrinking, and the agricultural and real estate markets are softening [9] Policy and Economic Outlook - The intertwining of tariff disputes and interest rate cut expectations is creating a dual challenge for the U.S. economy, with markets anticipating at least two rate cuts within the year [14][15] - Recent data has led to increased speculation about the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts, with a significant probability now assigned to cuts occurring in September or earlier [14] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and geopolitical risks continues to weigh on economic outlooks, with many regions maintaining a cautious stance [9][10]
上海:支持符合条件的消费、文化旅游、养老等领域项目发行REITs
news flash· 2025-05-21 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Municipal Government is implementing a special action plan to boost consumption by enhancing government investment in various sectors, including education, healthcare, and cultural tourism, while also supporting the issuance of REITs in eligible projects [1] Group 1: Government Support - The Shanghai government is increasing investment in projects related to education, healthcare, skills training, elderly care, and cultural tourism [1] - There is a specific focus on supporting the issuance of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) for projects in the consumption, cultural tourism, and elderly care sectors [1]