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展望“十五五” | 广东省发布“十五五”规划建议:着力打造新兴支柱产业,实施产业创新工程
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 10:16
Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong Provincial Committee emphasizes the importance of the 15th Five-Year Plan in advancing China's modernization, highlighting the achievements during the 14th Five-Year Plan and setting ambitious goals for economic and social development in the upcoming period [3][4][7]. Group 1: Achievements During the 14th Five-Year Plan - Guangdong has achieved significant economic growth, reaching a total economic output of 14 trillion yuan, with over 7 million new urban jobs created and a rise in per capita disposable income outpacing economic growth [3][4]. - The province has made strides in high-quality development, technological innovation, and ecological improvements, showcasing a balanced and coordinated development approach [3][4][10]. Group 2: Historical Context and Development Environment - The 15th Five-Year Plan period is seen as crucial for consolidating the foundations of socialist modernization and creating new advantages for Guangdong [4][5]. - The province faces both opportunities and challenges, including global geopolitical shifts and the need for technological advancements to maintain competitive advantages [5][6]. Group 3: Guiding Principles and Goals for the 15th Five-Year Plan - The guiding principles include upholding the leadership of the Communist Party, prioritizing people-centered development, and focusing on high-quality growth [8][9]. - Key goals include achieving significant improvements in economic quality, enhancing self-reliance in technology, and promoting coordinated urban and rural development [10][11]. Group 4: Economic and Social Development Strategies - Strategies include deepening reforms, expanding openness, and enhancing the quality of the business environment to stimulate economic vitality [31][33]. - The plan emphasizes the importance of integrating domestic and international markets, fostering innovation, and developing a modern industrial system [30][36]. Group 5: Infrastructure and Technological Development - The plan outlines the need for a modern infrastructure system that supports economic activities and enhances resilience [21][22]. - It highlights the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation as key drivers for economic transformation and productivity enhancement [22][24]. Group 6: Consumer Market and Investment - The strategy focuses on boosting domestic consumption and investment, with initiatives aimed at enhancing consumer spending and optimizing investment structures [28][29]. - The plan aims to create a unified national market, facilitating resource sharing and economic integration across regions [30].
【大涨解读】大消费:重要会议再强调内需主导,消费股携手发力,行业或成政策突破方向
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-09 05:36
3)展望2026年,全球贸易政策仍对出口造成不确定扰动,扩内需重要性提升,国内政策或将继续聚焦"以我为主",加码促消费与扩投资,全方位扩大内 需。映射到资本市场,在当前居民消费结构转型的大背景下,IP/游戏/宠物/文娱服务等热度较高,传统消费则位于较低估值水位。受益于扩内需政策托底 +居民消费结构转型的新消费(IP/宠物等)也值得关注。(平安证券) 2)11月26日,六部门联合印发《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消费的实施方案》,提出以消费升级引领产业升级,以优质供给更好满足多元需 求。 三、机构解读 1)本次会议提出"持续扩大内需、优化供给、做优增量、盘活存量"以及"坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场"。很明显地,本次会议不再像过去两年那样分 别提及"消费"和"投资"且把"大力提振消费"放在首位,而是统合成"内需",背后或是考虑给地方政府提供更大的自由度,让其可以因地制宜实施"扩消 费"或"促投资"政策,而非集中精力扩消费却忽略了有效投资的重要性。(国信证券) 2)政策仍将内需置于核心,明确提出"要坚持内需主导","十五五"主要目标中提出"居民消费率明显提高",2024年居民商品消费已基本恢复,但人均服务 ...
创业板指探底回升涨超1% 两市成交额萎缩至1.55万亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-04 07:15
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,12月4日截至收盘,沪指跌0.06%,深成指涨0.4%,创业板指涨1.01%。沪深两市成交额 1.55万亿元,较上一个交易日缩量1210亿元。盘面上,市场热点快速轮动,全市场超3800只个股下跌。 从板块来看,机器人概念爆发,睿能科技、骏亚科技等10余股涨停。商业航天概念延续强势,航天机电 5天3板。福建板块表现活跃,安记食品3连板。摩尔线程概念快速拉升,联美控股、初灵信息涨停。下 跌方面,大消费板块震荡调整,同庆楼、海欣食品跌停。海南板块集体走弱,罗牛山跌停。板块方面, 机器人、商业航天等板块涨幅居前,海南、旅游、食品等板块跌幅居前。 ...
中国超大规模市场重塑全球增长格局
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-03 01:01
Core Insights - The global economy is facing significant downward risks, while the Chinese market demonstrates resilience and offers strategic opportunities for global enterprises due to its unique scale and competitive advantages [1][8]. Consumption Market - China's consumer market is characterized by continuous growth in scale, structural optimization, and improving quality, leading to a significant competitive advantage [2]. - From 2014 to 2024, China's total retail sales of consumer goods are projected to grow from 26.2 trillion yuan to 48.3 trillion yuan, reflecting both total volume and structural optimization [2]. - By 2024, final consumption expenditure is expected to contribute 44.5% to economic growth, solidifying its role as the primary driver of economic expansion [2]. Investment Market - China's investment market is attractive due to its complete industrial system, continuously upgrading industrial structure, and significant investment returns [4]. - China is the only country with all industrial categories recognized by the United Nations, showcasing strong resilience in its manufacturing sector [4]. - The urbanization rate is projected to reach 67% by 2024, indicating substantial investment demand potential [4]. Innovation Ecosystem - China's innovation ecosystem benefits from a vast array of application scenarios, rapid technological iteration, and a strong talent pool [5]. - China ranks 10th in the Global Innovation Index, marking a significant rise and leading among middle-income economies [5]. - As of July 2024, 250 million people in China have received higher education, providing a robust talent reserve for innovation [5][6]. Market Environment - The continuous improvement of China's market environment is evident through deepened institutional openness, optimized business conditions, and the establishment of fair competition [7]. - Since the establishment of the first free trade zone in 2013, significant institutional innovations have been replicated nationwide, enhancing foreign investment conditions [7]. - By the end of 2024, the total number of registered business entities in China is expected to reach 189 million, fostering a collaborative development environment among state-owned, private, and foreign enterprises [7]. Overall Market Advantages - China's market advantages are comprehensive and systemic, characterized by a large and continuously upgrading consumer market, a solid and improving investment environment, a vibrant and talent-rich innovation ecosystem, and an increasingly open and transparent institutional environment [8]. - In the face of global economic uncertainties, China's stability and growth potential are particularly valuable, with expectations of maintaining a high contribution rate to global economic growth over the next five years [8].
供需互促 赋能产业升级民生改善
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-02 12:29
Group 1 - The core idea of the news emphasizes the importance of guiding enterprises to produce products that meet consumer needs, promoting a positive interaction between supply and demand, and stimulating market vitality and industrial upgrades [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests leveraging new demand to drive new supply, which in turn creates new demand, thereby enhancing consumption and investment [1] - Various regions are accelerating efforts to encourage enterprises to develop customized and diversified services that resonate with consumer preferences [1] Group 2 - The launch of the first ice and snow tourism train in Harbin features meals tailored for the elderly, highlighting the trend of catering to specific demographic needs [3] - Enterprises are increasingly focusing on the preferences of different consumer groups, including the youth, who are driving the "Guochao" (national trend) consumption with culturally infused products [3] - There is a push to develop energy-efficient appliances and promote green products in rural markets, alongside initiatives for electric vehicles and green building materials [3] Group 3 - The retail sales of AI glasses and smartwatches have increased by 23.1% in the first ten months of the year, indicating a growing consumer interest in smart wearable technology [5] - In October, sales of first-level energy-efficient appliances rose by over 10% year-on-year, while organic food sales saw an increase of over 8%, reflecting a shift towards high-quality and green consumption [5] - The government has released a policy document aimed at enhancing the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, marking a significant step in promoting consumption following the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5]
热词看未来丨解锁新机遇!服务业高水平对外开放
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-28 08:13
"十五五"规划建议在部署扩大高水平对外开放时,明确提出"以服务业为重点扩大市场准入和开放领 域"。 近年来,随着制造业外资准入限制清零,服务业成为我国扩大高水平对外开放的重要着力点。2024年, 服务业吸收外资占全国实际使用外资比重约七成,服务贸易规模首次超过1万亿美元,创历史新高。 9月15日,在江苏省南京市招商工业南京金陵船厂内,工人们抓紧完成船舶制造订单(无人机照片)。 新 华社发(杨素平摄) 创新探索再次提速加力 今年出台的《加快推进服务业扩大开放综合试点工作方案》,创新探索再次提速加力:在已有试点地区 基础上,又将大连、宁波、厦门、青岛等9个城市纳入试点范围,聚焦重点服务领域开放、产业创新发 展等多个维度,明确155项试点任务。 发展游戏出海业务、支持外籍医生开设诊所、支持开办外资护理学院、允许以捐资方式举办非营利性医 疗机构和养老机构、支持探索发展国际保理业务、支持跨国公司以人民币开展跨境资金集中运营业务、 允许外商投资旅行社经营出境旅游业务…… 8月20日,在德国科隆,一名《黑神话:悟空》游戏角色扮演者在游戏科学展台与模型合影。(新华社记 者 张帆 摄) 2025年11月9日,人们在第八届进博会 ...
借力资本市场 多地加码金融支持扩消费
Core Insights - Recent policies in multiple regions focus on financial support to expand consumption, particularly emphasizing the listing of consumer enterprises and guiding financial institutions to utilize consumption and elderly re-loan services effectively [1][2] Group 1: Support for Quality Consumer Enterprises - Supporting the listing of quality consumer enterprises is a key focus of financial policies in various regions, which aims to enhance corporate credibility, expand quality supply, and optimize consumption structure to meet diverse demands [1][2] - As of November 24, 2023, 18 consumer enterprises have been listed domestically this year, including 13 automotive companies, 2 light manufacturing companies, 1 machinery equipment company, 1 textile and apparel company, and 1 electronics company [2] Group 2: Increased Credit Support - In addition to leveraging capital markets, regions are increasing credit support for consumer enterprises, with initiatives encouraging financial institutions to enhance credit allocation in key consumption sectors such as accommodation, dining, cultural and entertainment, and tourism [2][3] - Experts believe that increasing credit support for consumer enterprises will promote healthy development in service consumption and elderly re-loan sectors, injecting momentum into the recovery of the consumption market [3] Group 3: Tailored Financial Strategies - The financing needs of consumer enterprises are diverse, necessitating precise financial support strategies tailored to different types of enterprises, such as enhancing trade-in financing services for goods consumption enterprises and increasing credit support for service consumption enterprises [3] - Recommendations include expanding the scale of service consumption re-loans, focusing on sectors like cultural tourism and elderly care, and adjusting subsidy structures to favor upgraded consumption such as smart terminals and green appliances [4]
关于这几天的A股,我有话想说
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 11:31
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.40%, Shenzhen Component down 0.76%, and ChiNext down 1.12%, while the Northbound 50 fell by 1.00%. The total trading volume was 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 3,850 stocks declining [1] Reasons for Market Adjustment - The first reason for the market adjustment is profit-locking by institutional investors, as November is recognized as a settlement month for public funds and a critical period for annual performance assessment. Institutions tend to shift from seeking excess returns to locking in profits, leading to active portfolio adjustments [2] - The second reason is the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which has impacted global liquidity. Recent reports suggest that the Fed may not lower interest rates in the first half of next year, disrupting expectations for liquidity easing and causing capital outflows from the Asia-Pacific region, including A-shares [3] - The third reason is the rising tensions in Sino-Japanese relations, which have raised market concerns. Recent remarks from the Japanese Prime Minister and subsequent countermeasures from China, such as travel warnings and import restrictions, have created uncertainty in economic and trade prospects between the two countries, affecting market sentiment [4] Long-term Market Outlook - Despite the current adjustment, the underlying logic supporting the bull market remains intact. China's rapid advancements in technology and military capabilities, along with ongoing policies aimed at boosting economic development and industrial upgrades, are expected to provide key support for the capital market [4] - The market is anticipated to undergo a period of consolidation, which may help digest profit-taking and repair valuation structures, ultimately paving the way for a return to an upward trajectory towards new highs [4] Investment Strategy - Given the recent market corrections, several risk signals have emerged, including the breaking of key moving averages and a decline in trading volume to around 1.7 trillion yuan. If trading volume does not rebound above 2 trillion yuan quickly, the index may struggle to achieve upward momentum in the short term [5] - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced allocation strategy, avoiding heavy bets on high-priced technology stocks and instead diversifying into lower-priced sectors such as AI applications, consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and dividend assets. This approach allows for both offensive and defensive positioning in response to upcoming market conditions [5][7]
新华鲜报丨10年33项首创!中新合作打造互联互通“金名片”
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-10 10:39
10年间签约政府和商业合作项目347个、金额达260亿美元,累计跨境融资金额217亿美元,探索形成33项具有首创性、高辨识度的制度型开放 成果! 11月10日,重庆发布中新(重庆)战略性互联互通示范项目实施10周年"成绩单"。这一合作模式以无形的服务与"联通",打破有形的"壁 垒",让更多地区人民共享发展红利。 作为中国与新加坡继中新苏州工业园、天津生态城之后的第三个政府间合作项目,中新互联互通项目"亮"在哪? 李岸说:"从苏州的一座'工业园',到天津的一座'生态城',再到重庆的'互联互通',中新合作呈现出与时俱进的鲜明特征。其中,中新互联互 通项目呈现三方面特点:合作模式聚焦'互联互通'、辐射范围侧重'带动西部'、合作内涵突出'制度创新'。" "中新互联互通项目突破了传统产业园区开发合作模式,深化了中新政府间合作项目的内涵。"重庆市商务委主任、重庆市中新示范项目管理 局局长章勇武说,项目以重庆为运营中心,不受地域限制,规划之初就明确"服务西部"的定位。 重庆来福士矗立于两江交汇之处。(受访者供图) 一个个"看得见摸得着"的投资项目依次落地—— 当夜色笼罩两江,新加坡在华最大投资项目重庆来福士的璀璨灯幕次第亮 ...
贵州:四大举措扩消费,促进经济稳定向好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 08:45
Core Insights - The Guizhou provincial government is implementing measures to stimulate consumer spending and promote economic recovery, as highlighted in a recent press conference [1][4]. Consumer Market Performance - In the first three quarters, Guizhou's total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.8%, with retail sales of above-designated size growing by 5.1%, surpassing the national average by 0.2% [4]. - The value added in wholesale and retail, as well as accommodation and catering industries, grew by 5.7% and 5.3%, respectively, also exceeding national averages [4]. Characteristics of Consumption - Strong support for commodity consumption is evident, with significant participation in trade-in programs for automobiles and home appliances, resulting in a total consumption of 49.762 billion yuan [4]. - The province has seen a notable increase in the replacement of automobiles (20.7%) and communication equipment (42.6%) [4]. Service Consumption Potential - A new initiative launched in October aims to enhance service consumption across various sectors, including dining, accommodation, and entertainment, with a focus on quality improvement [5]. - New business formats such as specialty coffee and craft beer have seen rapid growth, with a 52.8% increase in coffee and tea consumption in Guiyang [5]. New Consumption Drivers - The implementation of the "Ten Hundred Thousand" e-commerce development project has led to the establishment of multiple e-commerce demonstration parks and bases, contributing to a 12.6% increase in online retail sales, totaling 104.93 billion yuan [6]. - The launch of the "One Code Guizhou" online exhibition for local liquor aims to boost digital consumption [6]. Consumption Scene Activation - Guizhou has developed 140 commercial districts and 116 pedestrian streets, enhancing the shopping experience and attracting tourists [7]. - Various promotional activities have been organized around key consumption periods, generating over 2 billion yuan in retail and dining consumption [7]. Policy Measures for Consumption Expansion - The provincial government is continuing to promote trade-in programs for consumer goods, with new policies aimed at facilitating automobile replacement and upgrades [8]. - A new subsidy program for purchasing new cars has been introduced, offering financial incentives based on the price of the vehicle [8]. Support for Key Industries - Recent measures have been introduced to support the development of the catering and retail sectors, with specific initiatives aimed at assisting businesses facing challenges [9]. - The government is actively working to implement consumption promotion policies and provide targeted support to the wholesale, retail, accommodation, and catering industries [9].