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粤开市场日报-20250603
Yuekai Securities· 2025-06-03 08:37
Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.43% closing at 3361.98 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.16% at 10057.17 points, the ChiNext Index up by 0.48% at 2002.70 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index up by 0.48% at 981.71 points [1][12] - Overall, 3390 stocks rose while 1782 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 1141.4 billion yuan, an increase of 2.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the sectors that saw gains included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), Comprehensive (up 2.02%), Banking (up 1.98%), and Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (up 1.80%) [1][12] - The sectors that experienced declines included Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), Coal (down 0.84%), Building Materials (down 0.52%), and Environmental Protection (down 0.40%) [1][12] Concept Sectors - The top-performing concept sectors today included Gold and Jewelry, Medical Beauty, Dairy Industry, Gene Testing, CRO, Anti-Cancer, Rare Earth, Biological Vaccines, Innovative Drugs, and Medical Supplies Export [2][11] - Conversely, sectors such as Automotive Complete Vehicles, Wireless Charging, and Excavators experienced pullbacks [11]
【申万宏源策略 | 一周回顾展望】震荡市中的短期调整
申万宏源研究· 2025-05-25 08:13
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to remain in a high central oscillation phase during Q2, with short-term adjustments anticipated due to increased uncertainty in the U.S. economy and limited expansion space for new consumption [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Q2 is characterized as a high central oscillation market, with short-term adjustments expected [2]. - The upper limit of the oscillation range is supported by a combination of wide monetary policy and external demand improvements, but concerns about economic downturns remain [2][3]. - The lower limit is influenced by the timely implementation of monetary policies and the role of stabilization funds in managing market sentiment [2][3]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - Technology and consumer sectors are currently not positioned to lead market breakthroughs, with technology still in a mid-term adjustment phase [2][4]. - New consumption trends are facing limitations in expanding outward due to reduced internal demand stimulus [2][4]. - The pharmaceutical sector (CXO and innovative drugs) and precious metals are expected to continue their positive trends in the short term [4]. Group 3: Fund Management and Market Dynamics - The recent trend of public funds aligning with performance benchmarks has concluded, with potential for a new round of market dynamics in June [5]. - Fund managers are encouraged to reassess their benchmark choices, as the alignment with performance benchmarks may not be suitable for all [3][4]. - The potential inflow of funds into sectors such as non-banking, banking, construction, public utilities, and coal is noted, although actual inflows remain low relative to market capitalization [3]. Group 4: Profitability and Economic Outlook - A general expectation is that A-shares will struggle to see a significant uptick in profitability until 2025 [2]. - The mid-term outlook for A-shares relies heavily on breakthroughs in the technology sector, particularly in AI, embodied intelligence, and defense industries [4]. - The combination of new merger regulations and venture capital financing is anticipated to contribute positively to high-growth segments of the new economy [4]. Group 5: Market Sentiment Indicators - The market sentiment indicators show varying levels of profitability across sectors, with banking at 97% and consumer sectors like beauty care and pharmaceuticals showing moderate expansion [8]. - Sectors such as public utilities and basic chemicals are experiencing contraction, indicating a need for focused investment strategies [8]. - The overall A-share market sentiment is showing signs of contraction, with only 42% of stocks indicating profitability expansion [8].