"十四五"收官之年，我国工业经济发展情况如何？ 在21日举行的国新办新闻发布会上，工业和信息化部有关负责人介绍，2025年，我国规模以上工业增加 值同比增长5.9%，制造业增加值占GDP比重保持稳定，电信业务总量同比增长9.1%。工业和信息化领 域对经济增长的贡献超四成，有效发挥"压舱石"作用。 如何确保实现"十五五"良好开局？工业和信息化部有关负责人表示，新的一年将着力稳增长、强创新、 促融合、优治理、防风险，大力推进新型工业化，加快构建以先进制造业为骨干的现代化产业体系。 编导：王竹艾 记者：狄春、沙青 来源：新华社 回顾2025年工业和信息化发展，呈现"稳""进""新""活"四个特点。 ...

对于2026年的工业发展形势，北京市社会科学院副研究员王鹏对《中国经营报》记者表示，预计2026年 工业增长将呈现"稳中提质"的态势。一方面，高基数效应可能导致年初增速波动，但政策持续发力与新 质生产力释放有望推动下半年回升；另一方面，高技术制造业占比进一步提升，传统产业智能化改造提 速，未来产业布局打开新空间。此外，出口依托竞争力保持份额，内需政策逐步释放消费潜力，将对工 业增长形成助力。 近年来，在政策和市场的双重推动下，我国制造业与人工智能正在加速融合。1月7日，工业和信息化 部、中央网信办、国家发展改革委等八部门联合发布的《"人工智能+制造"专项行动实施意见》（以下 简称"《意见》"）提出，到2027年，我国人工智能关键核心技术实现安全可靠供给，产业规模和赋能水 平稳居世界前列。推动3—5个通用大模型在制造业深度应用，形成特色化、全覆盖的行业大模型。 中经记者 孙丽朝 北京报道 1月21日，国务院新闻办举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年工业和信息化发展成效。工业和信息化部副部长 张云明在会上介绍，2025年，我国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.9%，制造业增加值占GDP比重保持 稳定，制造业规模有望连续16 ...

Core Insights - The industrial sector is increasingly recognized as the "ballast" of the national economy, with significant growth and development highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan" completion year [1][2]. Industrial Growth - The total industrial output value above designated size increased by 5.9% year-on-year, with manufacturing value added maintaining the world's top position for 16 consecutive years [2]. - The telecommunications business volume grew by 9.1% year-on-year, contributing over 40% to economic growth from the industrial and information sectors [2]. Manufacturing and Innovation - The value added of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increased by 9.2% and 9.4% year-on-year, respectively [3]. - Over 35,000 basic-level, 8,200 advanced-level, and 500 excellent-level smart factories have been established, alongside more than 8,000 national green factories [3]. Support for SMEs - The government has accelerated reforms in key areas, implemented actions to reduce enterprise burdens, and promoted the implementation of policies benefiting enterprises [4]. - A total of 17,600 "little giant" enterprises and over 140,000 specialized and innovative SMEs have been cultivated, with a target of 6.9% year-on-year growth in value added for SMEs by 2025 [4]. New Growth Drivers - Innovations such as humanoid robots and breakthroughs in major equipment like large-diameter shield machines are being emphasized [5]. - The value added in sectors like integrated circuits and electronic materials is projected to grow by 26.7% and 23.9% year-on-year, respectively [6]. Digital Economy Integration - The deep integration of the digital economy with the real economy is empowering industrial transformation and upgrading, with over 23,000 "5G + industrial internet" projects established [7]. Future Industrial Strategy - The focus for the upcoming year will be on stabilizing growth, enhancing innovation, promoting integration, optimizing governance, and preventing risks, with a strong push for new industrialization [8]. - The government aims to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, optimize product supply, and promote intelligent, green, and integrated development in the consumer goods industry [8].

Core Viewpoint - The development of the industrial and information technology sectors in 2025 is characterized by four main features: stability, progress, innovation, and vitality, reflecting a commitment to high-quality development and the achievement of key economic goals. Group 1: Stability - The industrial economy has maintained a stable growth trajectory, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 5.9% year-on-year, and the manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP remaining stable [1] - The telecommunications business volume grew by 9.1% year-on-year, contributing over 40% to overall economic growth, reinforcing its role as an economic stabilizer [1] Group 2: Progress - The pace of high-quality development has accelerated, with the added value of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.2% and 9.4% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing overall industrial growth by 3.3 and 3.5 percentage points [2] - The establishment of over 35,000 basic-level and 8,200 advanced-level smart factories has been achieved, alongside the cultivation of 15 leading smart factories, indicating solid progress in the digital transformation of manufacturing [2] Group 3: Innovation - Significant advancements in technology and industry innovation have been made, with breakthroughs in major equipment such as ultra-large diameter shield machines and heavy-duty gas turbines, and over 300 key technologies developed in the first phase of 6G testing [3] - The added value of integrated circuits and electronic materials increased by 26.7% and 23.9% year-on-year, respectively, while the production of industrial robots rose by 28%, and new energy vehicle sales reached 16.49 million, up 28.2% [3] Group 4: Vitality - Reforms in key areas have been accelerated, with actions taken to reduce corporate burdens and clear overdue payments, creating a more vibrant business environment [4] - The cultivation of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises has seen over 140,000 such firms established, with high-tech enterprises reaching 504,000, indicating a robust growth in the industrial sector [4]

1月21日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年工业和信息化发展成效，工业和信息化部副 部长张云明回顾2025年工业和信息化发展，用"稳""进""新""活"四个字总结特点。 一是"稳"的态势持续巩固。工业和信息化部坚持把发展经济的着力点放在实体经济上，出台新一轮十大 重点行业稳增长工作方案，支持工业大省挑大梁，有力拉动工业经济平稳增长。2025年，规模以上工业 增加值同比增长5.9%，制造业增加值占GDP比重保持稳定，制造业规模有望连续16年保持全球第一。 电信业务总量同比增长9.1%。工业和信息化领域对经济增长的贡献超四成，有效发挥"压舱石"作用。 在加力推动中小企业的高质量发展方面，张云明表示，2026年，工业和信息化部将坚持"两个毫不动 摇"，坚持服务和管理并重、发展和帮扶并举，完善政策法规体系、优企培育体系、公共服务体系，促 进中小企业高质量发展，一是持续优化企业发展环境、二是加力培育更多专精特新企业、三是全力做好 全要素全周期服务。 四是"活"的效果持续显现。工业和信息化部加快推进重点领域改革，实施减轻企业负担专项行动，加快 加力清理拖欠企业账款，推动惠企政策落实落地，全力营造"一池活水" ...

Monetary Policy Operations - The central bank announced a 28.6 billion yuan 7-day reverse repo operation on January 7, with a fixed rate of 1.40%, matching the tender amount of 28.6 billion yuan. On the same day, 528.8 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 500.2 billion yuan [1] Market Liquidity - The interbank market continues to maintain a loose liquidity environment, with the weighted average rate of DR001 slightly rising to around 1.26%. Overnight quotes on the anonymous click (X-repo) system are around 1.25%, indicating ample supply. Non-bank institutions' pledged certificates of deposit and overnight credit bonds are quoted around 1.40%. Traders noted that the central bank's net withdrawal increased after the New Year, but the impact on liquidity was limited, with recent central bank meetings reiterating the possibility of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to soothe market sentiment [3] Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.63%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [7] Bond Market Overview - The yields on major interbank government bonds have generally risen, with specific rates as follows: - 1-year government bond at 1.3050% (down 0.10) - 2-year at 1.4475% (up 3.75) - 3-year at 1.4700% (up 3.50) - 10-year at 1.7730% (up 1.05) - 30-year at 2.3325% (up 2.25) [9] Government Bond Futures - The main contracts for government bond futures saw declines: - 30-year contract down 0.44% - 10-year down 0.08% - 5-year down 0.06% - 2-year down 0.03% [11] Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of December 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at 33,579 billion USD, an increase of 11.5 billion USD from the end of November, reflecting a rise of 0.34%. This increase is attributed to the influence of major economies' monetary policies and macroeconomic data, alongside fluctuations in exchange rates and asset prices [13] Global Manufacturing PMI - In December 2025, the global manufacturing PMI was reported at 49.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, maintaining a range of 49%-50% for ten consecutive months. The average PMI for 2025 was 49.6%, up 0.3 percentage points from 2024 [15]

Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2025, the US telecommunications industry experienced significant changes due to infrastructure acquisitions, intense wireless competition, and shifts in broadband user growth [1][3] Group 2: Company Performances - AT&T saw an increase of 8.96% this year, announcing a $5.75 billion acquisition of Lumen Technologies' consumer fiber business in May and agreeing to acquire EchoStar's wireless spectrum licenses for $23 billion in August [1][3] - Charter Communications experienced a decline of 38.85% this year, announcing a $21.9 billion merger with Cox Communications in May to create a cable giant to compete with Comcast [1][3] - T-Mobile's stock fell by 7.67% this year, launching Starlink's direct cellular service in July, completing a $1.02 billion acquisition of US Cellular in August, and appointing Srini Gopalan as CEO in November [1][3] - Verizon's stock increased by 1.78% this year, completing a $20 billion acquisition of Frontier Communications in May and announcing layoffs of over 13,000 employees in November under new CEO Dan Schulman [1][3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the meetings is to implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, summarize the work of 2025 and the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, analyze new situations, and research key tasks for the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, while deploying key work for 2026 [1][2] - In 2025, the industrial economy is expected to achieve effective qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth, with telecommunications business volume and software business revenue projected to grow by approximately 9% and 12% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The resilience of industrial and supply chains is continuously enhanced, with high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing value-added growing by 9.2% and 9.3% year-on-year from January to November, respectively [1] Group 2 - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," focusing on achieving new industrialization, deepening reforms, and promoting the integration of technological and industrial innovation [2] - Ten key areas of work have been deployed for 2026, including consolidating the positive trend of the industrial economy, enhancing the resilience and safety of industrial chains, and promoting green low-carbon development in the industrial sector [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to establish the first batch of national emerging industry development demonstration bases and create innovative industrial clusters [3]

Core Insights - The meeting focused on deploying key tasks for 2026, emphasizing the importance of new industrialization and the implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan while preparing for the 15th Five-Year Plan [1][6] Summary by Sections Industrial Economic Performance - In 2025, under the leadership of the central government, the industrial economy is expected to show steady progress, with telecommunications and software business revenues projected to grow by approximately 9% and 12% respectively, and digital industry revenue also expected to increase by around 9% [3] - The resilience of industrial supply chains is improving, with significant advancements in key manufacturing sectors and breakthroughs in landmark technologies and products [3] Technological Innovation and Manufacturing Upgrades - From January to November, the added value of high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing increased by 9.2% and 9.3% respectively, with the core AI industry exceeding 1 trillion yuan and exports of new energy vehicles surpassing 2 million units [3] - Over 7,000 advanced and 500 excellent smart factories have been established, with over 20,000 industrial 5G private networks and more than 8,000 5G factories [3] Key Focus Areas for 2026 - The meeting outlined ten key areas for focus in 2026, including consolidating the positive trend of the industrial economy, enhancing supply chain resilience, and accelerating technological innovation [7][8] - Emphasis was placed on fostering emerging industries such as integrated circuits, new materials, and biomedicine, while also promoting the deep integration of information technology and industrialization [8][9] Industry Governance and Policy Implementation - The meeting highlighted the need for improved industry governance, including the implementation of a series of plans for the industrial and information sectors during the 15th Five-Year Plan [10] - There is a strong focus on enhancing the quality of enterprises, with initiatives to support small and medium-sized enterprises and to eliminate overdue payments to businesses [9][10] Political and Organizational Support - The meeting underscored the importance of the Party's leadership in ensuring the success of various initiatives, emphasizing the need for political construction and the enhancement of talent and organizational capabilities [11] - It called for a unified approach to implementing the central government's decisions and fostering a positive political environment [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the industrial economy in China is expected to maintain steady growth, with an estimated industrial added value growth of 5.9% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - From January to November, the added value of high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing increased by 9.2% and 9.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The pace of manufacturing transformation and upgrading is accelerating, with over 7,000 advanced-level and over 500 excellent-level smart factories established [1] - A total of 6,430 national green factories and 491 green industrial parks have been cultivated, with a comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid waste reaching 57% [1] - Six industries, including electrical and mechanical, contributed 58.2% to industrial growth [1] - Nine out of ten major industrial provinces have growth indices higher than the national level [1] - Industrial investment increased by 4% year-on-year from January to November, with manufacturing investment growing by 1.9% [1] - Over 600,000 technology and innovation-oriented small and medium-sized enterprises have been cultivated, along with 504,000 high-tech enterprises [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes the need to consolidate the positive trend of the industrial economy and implement a new round of key industry growth plans [1] Group 2 - The digital industry business revenue is expected to grow by approximately 9% year-on-year in 2025 [2] - The total volume of telecommunications services and software business revenue is projected to increase by 9% and 12% year-on-year, respectively [2] - As of the end of November, the total number of 5G base stations reached 4.83 million, accounting for 37.4% of mobile base stations [2] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion, representing 65.3% of mobile phone users [2] - The "Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing" initiative has been fully implemented, with a 30% penetration rate of AI applications in manufacturing enterprises [2] - A 60 billion yuan artificial intelligence industry investment fund has been established to promote the application of AI [2]