（3）今年以来，结构性行情轮番演绎，指增策略超额收益持续兑现，为投资端提供直观业绩背书；与此同时，投资者认知 迎来拐点，配置型需求迅速释放。在"业绩+需求"双轮驱动下，指增产品发行数量与募集规模均较去年大幅跃升，凭借其差 异化模型、稳健增强特征及长期持有价值，正加速走向大众配置舞台的中心。 三、12月05日新发基金一览（不包含传统封闭式基金） 四、12月05日基金分红一览 一、交易提示 11月市场震荡轮动，公募调研同步提速。数据显示，电子与机械设备两大板块获密集走访，多只行业龙头成为重点关注对 象。当前A股行情仍处中段，后续增量资金有望接力入场，风格或再均衡，低位补涨、业绩修复与科技主题成为年末布局 的三大方向。 12月5日，A股三大股指低开高走，全天维持震荡向上走势，截止收盘，沪指涨0.70%报3902.81点，深成指涨1.08%报 13147.68点，创业板指涨1.36%报3109.3点，科创50指数跌0.01%报1326.06点;沪深两市成交额1.73万亿，全市场近4400只个 股上涨。 二、基金要闻 （1）12月05日新发基金共有8只，主要为股票型基金和债券型基金，其中招商安琪债券A募集目标金额达60 ...

廖市无双：非银拉升，新一轮攻势即将到来？20251207 摘要 券商板块基本面受压制但牛市氛围下应有较好表现，证券类 ETF 规模显 著增长至 1,516 亿份，表明市场存在大量资金流入，券商指数技术面上 调整结构充分，具备向上攻击条件。 恒生科技指数和科创 50 指数已调整约 8 周，可能多次探底，大级别调 整复杂，或区间震荡；上证指数和创业板指数调整时间不足，B 浪反弹 中，调整结构时间和空间未到位，大概率需进一步夯实整固。 本周市场继续反弹，但速率减缓，上证指数走势曲折，部分指数站上 5 周均线，市场格局尚未完全转为进攻态势，有色金属、硬科技领域受关 注，飞银或为转折信号，家电因日历效应值得关注。 家电行业指数创阶段新高，主要因出口链前期涨幅不足及关税战影响， 年底投资者重新关注，市场认可其压仓功能，分红率高，且 12 月胜率 高，短期可配置。 传媒和计算机等软科技行业表现不佳，因 AI 软件领域未见突破，资金转 向硬科技；消费复苏预期落空，资金从食品饮料等防御性板块撤离。 上证指数调整时间不足，60 分钟结构显示 3,925-3,950 点区域存在较 大阻力，大概率走第三组 C 段结构，市场仍需进一步 ...

天眼查App显示，近日，东莞市英格索兰设备有限公司成立，法定代表人为陶志义，注册资本10万人民 币，经营范围为一般项目：机械设备销售；机械设备研发；气体压缩机械销售；泵及真空设备销售；供 冷服务；制冷、空调设备销售；机械零件、零部件销售；专用设备修理；润滑油销售。（除依法须经批 准的项目外，凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动）。 ...

◎胡尧 记者 聂林浩 展望后市，多位受访人士均对后续A股市场表达积极态度，并将科技板块视为主线之一。 11月市场震荡调整，板块轮动加速，机构也在加紧调研步伐，为新一轮调仓换股寻觅主线。以公募为 例，11月调研主要集中在电子和机械设备等行业，部分龙头公司备受青睐。业内人士表示，目前A股行 情仍处于中段，后续随着增量资金接力入市，预计年末时点A股运行节奏将趋于风格再均衡，可关注低 位补涨、业绩盈利修复和科技主题三大方向的机会。 浩坤昇发资产基金经理李佳佳在接受上证报记者采访时表示，临近年末，资本市场难免出现一些阶段性 扰动，这并非系统性转冷信号。"后续板块效应可能减弱，但个股效应却在增强。岁末年初时点，资金 偏爱小盘，科技成长风格或有望占优。中期视角来看，当前A股估值虽相较此前有所回升，但整体估值 仍处于中等偏低水平，有望为中期投资提供安全边际。" 国泰海通科技硬件资深分析师李轩告诉上证报记者，科技板块经历近两个月调整后，整体估值已回落至 相对合理区间，配置性价比有所提升。在全球货币政策边际趋松、美联储降息预期升温的背景下，高风 险资产的估值修复具备一定条件，科技板块有望率先受益。 李轩认为，科技板块后续的关键支 ...

报告导读： 从技术面来看，情绪模型信号再次回落；均线强弱指数依旧处于历史50%分位 点左右，市场趋势还有待观察。结合以上几点，我们认为，市场在短期内依旧会维持震 荡。 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 风险提示： 市场系统性风险、海外市场波动风险、模型误设风险。 报告来源 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称： 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20251205）短期内依旧会维持震荡 ；报告日期：2025.12.07 报告作者： 郑雅斌（分析师），登记编号：S0880525040105 曹君豪(分析师)，登记编号：S0880525040094 重要提醒 下周（20251208-20251212，后文同）市场观点：短期内依旧会维持震荡。 从量化指标上看，基于沪深 ...

Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a strengthened expectation for a market style shift towards mid-cap blue chips, with investment opportunities identified in the consumer, cyclical, and manufacturing sectors of mid-cap blue chips [3][13]. Market Analysis - The market continues its rebound, with recent news regarding adjustments to insurance companies' stock investment risk factors and comments from Chairman Wu Qing reinforcing the trend of index fluctuations. This combination of lower risk assessments, a slight increase in risk-free rates, and a convergence of risk preferences towards the middle suggests ongoing investment opportunities in companies with moderate risk profiles [4][14]. - The risk assessment is expected to decline as Chairman Wu's remarks paint a more stable and predictable long-term development outlook, alleviating investor concerns about the long-term prospects of the Chinese capital market. Additionally, the adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies reduces the capital occupation cost for investing in A-shares, encouraging greater equity asset allocation [4][14]. - There is a potential slight increase in risk-free rates as insurance companies may shift more funds from fixed-income assets to stocks, which could support the risk-free rate due to improved expectations for the capital market's efficiency in serving the real economy and new productive forces [4][14]. Industry Comparison - From March 2023 to the present, the market has consistently anticipated a trend towards technology and dividends. The report suggests that the current market style of extreme risk is nearing its end, with future investment opportunities likely to be found in stocks with moderate risk characteristics. The mid-cap blue chip market, which has been dormant for four years, is expected to rise again [6][16]. Industry Allocation - Investment opportunities are identified in mid-cap blue chips across three main lines: 1. The consumer sector, which has been underperforming for years, is approaching a turning point. Many consumer stocks are undervalued, and supply constraints may lead to price increases. Focus areas include mid-sized liquor companies, restaurant supply chains, snacks and beverages, home appliances, hotels, human resources, and beauty care [7][17]. 2. The cyclical sector is experiencing a revaluation driven by technological empowerment and supply constraints. Attention is drawn to new materials and strategic metals (such as antimony and rare earths), industrial metals (copper and aluminum), and traditional commodities like live pigs and rubber, which are seeing improved supply-demand dynamics [7][17]. 3. The manufacturing sector is shifting from "dream narratives" to "reality verification." Investment in this sector should focus on validating orders and revenues rather than speculative stories. Key areas include communications, electronics, power equipment, and machinery, which are expected to show consistent performance [7][17]. Thematic Investments - The report highlights several thematic investment areas: 1. Aerospace satellites: There is market divergence regarding the progress of the satellite industry next year, with expectations for continuous event catalysts related to reusable rockets, which could significantly boost industry development. The pace of industry IPOs is expected to accelerate, with opportunities in satellite constellation networking, satellite bidding, commercial rockets, and terminal applications [8][18]. 2. Upstream price increases: Supply constraints and structural demand growth are expected to provide price elasticity for related products, particularly in the upstream of the new energy industry, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals [8][20]. 3. Semiconductor expansion and domestic substitution: Domestic wafer fabs are anticipated to expand next year, and the capitalization processes of domestic memory chip leaders are progressing. Attention should be given to domestic chip manufacturers, equipment suppliers, and semiconductor materials for domestic substitution [8][20]. 4. Artificial intelligence: Recent market divergences have been digested, and expectations for industry development are likely to continue rising, with a focus on robotics and computing power [8][20].

证 券 研 究 报 告 【华创策略】 躁动行情何时至——策略周聚焦 从量、价、高低切看，本轮指数调整或已到位 11/21 上证指数跌破 MA60，为近半年首次。历史数据显示牛市中跌破 MA60 前 10 日平均跌幅达 5%，跌破后 10 日仅跌 2%，且 30 日内多收复失地。当前 指数自跌破 MA60 仅微跌 1%，显示调整或已到位。量能方面，全 A 成交额与 换手率分别回落至 16962 亿元和 3.19%，低于历史跌破后 10 日均值（测算成 交额 17147 亿元、换手率 3.38%），显示缩量基本完成。此外，行业分化指标 （前 5-后 5 行业涨幅差）从 10/9 的 69pct 高位回落至 11/21 的 47pct，目前已 回升至 60pct，叠加通信、有色、电新等前期领跌板块反弹，高低切或已结束。 当下需重点关注万科债务展期或在短期内加剧地产风险 尽管万科展期暂避违约，但若融资环境恶化，或引发房企信用连锁反应。当下 核心风险在于可能触发金融机构对国有房企的系统性信任危机，影响已超个体 流动性困境，或重塑国企地产信用评估逻辑，并对宏观流动性构成潜在冲击。 本轮春季躁动的启动可能受内外关键事件所驱 ...

Group 1 - The North Exchange 50 index increased by 1.49%, indicating a market that is oscillating above the annual line, with trading volume increasing by 4.23% [7][17]. - The North Exchange market has shown increased activity in sectors such as satellite internet, edge AI, and humanoid robots, with notable stocks including Star Map Control, Haoshen Electronics, and Sanxie Electric [7][8]. - Eight North Exchange thematic public funds are entering their second open period, with a total estimated scale of 4.58 billion yuan, and there is speculation about a potential market rebound after December 20 [8][10]. Group 2 - This week, one new stock, Jingchuang Electric, was listed on the North Exchange, with a first-day price increase of 330.74% and a turnover rate of 93.84% [28][29]. - The North Exchange had 109 stocks rise and 173 stocks fall, resulting in a rise-fall ratio of 0.63, with Haoshen Electronics and Youji Co. leading the gains [35][39]. - The average PE ratio for the North Exchange is 81.73 times, with a median of 39.47 times, while the trading volume reached 3.069 billion shares, reflecting a 1.09% increase [21][22]. Group 3 - The new third board saw six new listings and ten delistings this week, with planned financing of 49 million yuan and completed financing of 38 million yuan [46][48]. - The North Exchange's financing balance increased to 7.510 billion yuan, up by 0.38 billion yuan from the previous week [24][22]. - The thematic public funds have reported a weak performance in their heavy-weight stocks, with an average decline of 8.29% since the National Day [9][8].

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 超半数受访者看好下周科技板块走势。 12月1日至5日，A股市场涨跌互现，成交规模维持在1.5万亿元上方。指数方面，上证指数一周上涨 0.37%，最新报3902.81点；深证成指上涨1.26%；创业板指上涨1.86%，为本周涨幅最高的A股主要指 数。 | 名称 | 年初至今 | 本周涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | | (%) | (%) | | 创业板指 | 45.19 | 1.86 | | 非证20 | 35.70 | 1.49 | | 沪深300 | 16.51 | 1.28 | | 深证成指 | 26.24 | 1.26 | | 中证500 | 23.96 | 0.94 | | 上证指数 | 16.44 | 0.37 | | 中证1000 | 23.24 | 0.11 | | 科创20 | 34.09 | -0.08 | 申万一级行业中，有色金属指数涨幅居首，为5.35%；通信指数紧随其后，涨幅3.69%；国防军工、机 械设备、非银金融等指数涨幅均超过2%。传媒、房地产、美容护理指数跌幅居前，依次为3.86% ...

【导读】私募高仓位迎年末行情，策略偏向均衡与"高低切" A股已进入今年最后一个月的收官交易期，近期A股市场的震荡调整并未引发私募担忧，不少私募仍保 持高仓位水平。私募排排网数据显示，截至2025年11月21日，股票私募仓位达82.97%，较前一周上升 1.84个百分点，再次刷新年内新高，同时创下近185周新高。 从操作策略看，均衡布局与"高低切"成为私募调仓的关键词。展望2026年，受访私募普遍将企业盈利的 边际改善视为市场核心驱动力，认为A股"慢牛"基础仍在，市场风格有望转向价值与成长更为均衡的格 局。 私募保持高仓位运行 私募排排网最新数据显示，截至2025年11月21日，股票私募仓位达82.97%，较前一周上升1.84个百分 点，不仅刷新年内高点，更是创下近185周的新高。 仓位分布进一步显现了私募的进攻姿态。满仓私募占比已攀升至68.99%；而中等仓位、低仓及空仓私 募比例均有明显下降，分别为18.56%、8.56%和3.89%。这一结构变化显示，更多股票私募机构正倾向 于继续加仓，进一步强化了对后市看好的共识。 相聚资本的投资组合构建体现了"攻守兼备"的思路。其当前持仓大致分为两类：一类是处于周期与 ...