6月份北海原油基准价环比上涨了7美元/桶，均价达到71.35美元/桶。6月份当月原油价格在每桶65美元 至80美元区间内震荡。6月中旬，因伊朗与以色列爆发冲突导致国际油价飙升，北海原油基准价曾短暂 突破80美元/桶的关口，6月下旬伊以停火协议达成后有所回落。虽然OPEC+决议加快解除减产限制，但 鉴于国际石油市场供需基本面趋紧，该决议目前尚未对国际石油市场产生实质性影响。 值得注意的是，自今年4月份起，OPEC+开始逐步放弃2023年以来的自愿减产措施，转向扩大原油产 量。报告提出，在地缘政治紧张局势升级的背景下，国际石油市场却呈现供应过剩的态势。7月5日， OPEC+又宣布8月产量目标将超预期上调55万桶/日，相当于撤回了自2023年以来220万桶/日自愿减产量 的80%，并计划于9月份批准新一轮原油增产。 国际能源署近日发布的7月份国际石油市场报告（以下简称"报告"）预测，2025年全球平均石油需求增 长仅为约70万桶/日，将创下2009年以来最低增幅。全球石油需求增量在今年一季度曾达到平均110万 桶/日，但二季度显著放缓至平均55万桶/日，新兴市场石油消费表现尤为疲软。报告同时预计，2026年 全球石 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the tension between the U.S. and China regarding energy trade, highlighting the U.S. Treasury Secretary's attempts to impose political sanctions on China's energy partnerships with Russia and Iran [1][3][5] - The U.S. aims to redefine global energy cooperation rules, particularly focusing on China's oil purchases from Russia and Iran as a bargaining chip in trade negotiations [3][9] - China's response to U.S. threats has been calm and assertive, emphasizing the importance of adhering to previously established agreements in U.S.-China trade discussions [5][7] Group 2 - The U.S. has three main objectives behind its focus on China's oil imports: to gain leverage in trade negotiations, to create discord between China and its energy partners, and to encourage China to increase imports of U.S. oil [9][11][16] - Despite U.S. pressure, China has continued to strengthen its energy ties with Russia and Iran, with significant increases in oil imports and a shift towards using local currencies for transactions [20][22] - The article notes that the U.S. is facing contradictions in its approach, simultaneously threatening sanctions while seeking to boost its own oil exports to China [24][27] Group 3 - The evolving energy cooperation landscape indicates a shift towards a multipolar world, with increasing collaboration between Asian countries and major oil producers like Russia and Iran [33][35] - The article argues that energy cooperation should be based on mutual respect and market principles, rather than coercive measures, as the U.S. attempts to maintain its influence [37][39] - The future of energy trade is expected to be more diversified, moving away from a single dominant power, reflecting a significant change in international power dynamics [39]

因进港规定变动 俄罗斯黑海石油运输受阻 金十数据7月24日讯，据报道，俄罗斯黑海两个主要码头的石油装载已经暂停，原因与进港安全新规定 的文书工作有关。两名业内人士称，此次暂停影响了新罗西斯克港和里海管道联盟的出口设施Yuzhnaya Ozereevka码头。其中一人表示，他预计情况将在一两天内得到解决。在最近几个月发生了一系列神秘 的油轮爆炸事件后，进入俄罗斯海港的规则发生了变化。本周早些时候，俄罗斯总统普京签署了一项法 令，要求从外国码头抵达的船只必须获得驻埠船长的许可，并得到俄罗斯联邦安全局的同意。 ...

俄罗斯黑海Novorossiysk和Yuzhnaya Ozereevka多个大型枢纽已经暂停石油装货的书面工作。 这一动态与油轮进港权限的新版监管有关。（路透） ...

7月14日，白宫记者会上，美国总统特朗普突然抛出一颗"经济核弹"。他给普京划下50天停火期限，威胁将俄商品关税提高到100%，更放话 要连带制裁所有购买俄油的国家。 明眼人一看便知，这记重拳表面打向莫斯科，实则瞄准的是北京和新德里。这场以能源为武器的博弈，瞬间将全球贸易战场烧得通红。 短短一周后，美国财长贝森特撕下最后伪装。7月21日接受采访时，他单刀直入抛出要求：中国必须停止购买俄罗斯与伊朗石油。 为强化威胁，他搬出"二级制裁"这把屠刀——任何继续采购俄油的国家都将面临100%关税惩罚，相关企业、运输公司乃至银行统统难逃"连 坐"。原本聚焦市场准入的贸易谈判，被美方强行塞进地缘政治炸药包。 普京的冷静反应折射出大国博弈的微妙。面对特朗普的"50天通牒"，克里姆林宫轻描淡写表态"坚持既定目标"。这种近乎沉默的姿态，恰是 对中俄关系韧性的自信。 中国对俄罗斯原油的依赖绝非美方臆想的那般脆弱。2025年上半年数据显示，4200万吨俄罗斯原油占中国进口总量的3.8%，稳居第三大供 应国位置。这些石油以低于国际市场约5%的价格输送，成为中国能源成本控制的关键筹码。 更关键的是，2024年中俄能源贸易额高达764亿美元 ...

壳牌本月早些时候预警称交易收益"大幅下降"，而英国石油则表示其石油交易业务将实现"强劲"利润， 这为首席执行官默里·奥金克洛斯带来了急需的提振。彭博社汇总的分析师预测显示，埃克森美孚 (XOM.US)、雪佛龙(CVX.US)、壳牌、道达尔能源(TTE.US)和英国石油这五家公司第二季度的总收益预 计将环比下降12%，至198.8亿美元。 智通财经APP获悉，地缘政治因素导致油价剧烈波动，部分石油公司的交易业务因此受挫，预计大型石 油公司将迎来四年来最低的季度利润。 5至6月的七周内，原油价格一度飙升31%，但最终因特朗普总统的贸易战及OPEC+增产的影响盖过了以 军和美军袭击伊朗引发的涨势，季度末价格较期初下跌10%。这种剧烈波动导致壳牌(SHEL.US)和英国 石油(BP.US)的业绩出现分化，这两家公司的交易部门规模超过美国同行。 "波动通常是好事，意味着更高的交易利润，但这次波动由地缘政治风险引发，因此更难把握，"高盛董 事总经理米歇尔·德拉维尼亚在采访中表示，"算不上灾难性，但无疑是更艰难的一个季度。" 大型石油公司的财报季将于周四拉开序幕，道达尔率先发布业绩;壳牌定于7月31日公布，埃克森美孚和 雪 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of Unified Low Carbon Technology (Xinjiang) Co., Ltd, particularly in the lubricants sector [1][2] - As of July 23, Unified's stock closed at 19.68 yuan, down 1.65%, with a rolling PE ratio of 113.53 times, and a total market capitalization of 3.779 billion yuan [1] - The average industry PE ratio for the oil sector is 13.28 times, with a median of 29.69 times, placing Unified at the 19th position within the industry [1][2] Group 2 - The company reported a revenue of 747 million yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.28%, while net profit was 41.358 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.81% [1] - The sales gross margin for the company stands at 21.74% [1] - Unified has received multiple accolades, including five national energy-saving product awards and over 300 certifications, with 176 being international certifications [1]

本周主营开工率下跌0.26%、山东地炼开工率小幅上升1.17%。中国炼厂产量汽跌柴涨，库存汽涨柴降。主营综合利润 环比回落，地炼综合利润环比回落。 原油成品油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/07/23 | 日期 | WTI | BRENT | DUBAI | diff FOB dated bre | BRENT 1- | WTI-BREN | DUBAI-B | NYMEX RB | RBOB-BR | NYMEX | HO-BRT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 2月差 | T | RT（EFS | OB | T | HO | | | | | | | nt | | | | | | | | | 2025/07/16 | 66.38 | 68.52 | 69.93 | 0.67 | 0.97 | -2.14 | 1.57 | 214.40 | 21.53 | 239.15 | 31.92 | | 2025/07/17 | 67.54 | 69.52 | 70.24 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the disconnect between market movements and news, suggesting that institutional investors often act on information before it becomes public knowledge, leading to potential traps for retail investors [1][3][9]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Federal Reserve's signals regarding regulatory relaxation for banks are seen as a potential precursor to market instability, reminiscent of past market crashes [1][2]. - Institutional activities often precede public news, indicating that significant market movements may occur before retail investors are aware of the underlying changes [5][8]. Group 2: Retail Investor Behavior - Retail investors are cautioned against relying solely on news for trading decisions, as the market often reacts to information long before it is reported [3][11]. - The article highlights a common phenomenon where positive news leads to negative market reactions, suggesting that retail investors may be misled by the timing of information release [9][10]. Group 3: Quantitative Analysis - The importance of quantitative data is stressed, with a recommendation for investors to focus on actual market movements rather than speculative interpretations of news [6][10]. - A call for the establishment of a data observation system to track real-time capital flows is made, emphasizing the need to identify genuine market trends [13].

此外，巴西专家呼吁政府加快油气区块招标进程，优化监管框架，并借鉴国际经验，积极引入包括"水 力压裂"在内的先进采油技术。目前，巴西巴拉那州等部分州份对相关技术持限制立场，引发行业担 忧。阿尔登吉表示，水力压裂技术已在美国、中国、阿根廷等国安全应用多年，相关风险可控，应予以 科学评估。 据悉，美国页岩革命推动其日均原油产量从2005年的约499万桶升至当前的超过1300万桶，已连续多年 稳居全球最大石油生产国地位。反观巴西，尽管2024年5月日均原油产量创下369.7万桶的高位，但产量 增长缺乏可持续性。 Gas Bridge公司首席执行官马尔科·塔瓦雷斯表示，当前全球石油需求仍保持韧性，特别是在亚洲和欧洲 对能源多元化需求推动下，巴西具备成为稳定供应方的潜力。若能解决制度障碍、强化技术投入，巴西 仍有望延续其在全球能源版图中的战略地位。 （文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经圣保罗7月22日电（记者杨家和）近年来，尽管巴西石油产量稳步增长，但多项研究和业内专 家警告称，受资源结构、政策及技术限制等多重因素影响，巴西未来或将失去石油出口国地位，并在 2030年代逐步转变为石油净进口国。 据巴西能源研究企业（EPE）预 ...