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高盛:京东,小米,白酒,旅行OTA等最新观察
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 07:48
Group 1: JD.com Performance - JD.com achieved record sales during the 618 shopping festival, exceeding expectations with a projected 13% year-over-year revenue growth for Q2 2025 [1] - The number of active users increased by 100% year-over-year, significantly outperforming industry averages, with total orders reaching 2.2 billion [1] - JD.com founder outlined a long-term strategic plan focusing on domestic retail and six new business areas, including food delivery and logistics, alongside a three-year zero-commission strategy [1] Group 2: Online Travel Agency (OTA) Strategy - JD.com announced a three-year zero-commission policy for hotels joining the "JD Hotels + Membership" program, aiming to strengthen its supply chain [3] - The company is actively cross-selling to its existing user base of 80 million individuals and 800,000 small and medium enterprises [3] - Competitors like Ctrip and Tongcheng have ceased sharing hotel inventory with JD.com, leading to a reduction in available hotel listings on the platform [3] Group 3: Xiaomi Performance - Xiaomi reported a GMV of 35.5 billion RMB during the 618 shopping festival, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase, aligning with expectations [4] - This GMV represents 71% of Goldman Sachs' projected revenue for Q2 2025 from China's smartphone and AIoT sectors [4] - Upcoming product launches include new models in automotive, smartphones, smart devices, and home appliances [4] Group 4: Chinese Baijiu Market Insights - Sales in the baijiu sector have faced a short-term demand shock due to anti-luxury consumption policies, with expected volume declines of 30% to 50% in June [9] - The enforcement of these policies will be a key observation point, particularly during the peak season in August and September [9] - Brand performance is diverging, with Moutai's wholesale price remaining stable while Wuliangye's price has weakened [9] Group 5: Sony Group Outlook - Sony's gaming and network services segment is expected to see sustained profitability due to diversified content acquisition channels [12] - The company aims to enhance user engagement across multiple console generations, mitigating the impact of hardware transitions on profitability [12] - A 12-month target price of 4,600 JPY has been set for Sony, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory [12]
中国对EV产业“赊账”动刀,比亚迪面临压力
日经中文网· 2025-06-20 07:27
中国政府对利用应付账款和票据的资金周转政策实施了调整。指示从纯电动汽车(EV)产业 开始,将对供应商的支付账期控制在60天以内。据估算,采购欠款高达5万亿日元的比亚迪 (BYD)因为政策调整最多面临每年4000亿日元的成本增加,股价在最近一个月里下跌一 成。依赖"赊账"的增长正在迎来转折点。 "为落实国家及相关部委就保障产业链供应链稳定、促进汽车产业高质量发展作出的一系列部 署要求,为助力中小企业健康发展,比亚迪汽车宣布,将供应商支付账期统一至60天内",比 亚迪6月11日凌晨在社交网络上发表了简短声明。局部超过200天的支付账期将大幅缩短。 除上海汽车集团等国有大型企业之外,民营企业的浙江吉利控股集团、小鹏汽车和小米等主 要纯电动汽车企业也纷纷宣布将缩短支付账期。 "将供应商支付账期统一至60天内",比亚迪近日发表声明,宣布将针对供应商等的局部超过 200天的支付账期将大幅缩短。据估算,采购欠款高达5万亿日元的比亚迪最多面临每年4000 亿日元的成本增加,股价在最近一个月里下跌一成…… 丸红中国的经济研究总监铃木贵元表示:"中国中小企业的资金周转状况持续严峻,对政府来 说是一个挑战"。目前可以看到的局面是, ...
高盛:予小米集团-W(01810)“买入”评级 目标价65港元
智通财经网· 2025-06-20 06:35
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of 35.5 billion RMB during the 618 shopping festival, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%, and 11% higher than the GMV during the 2024 Double Eleven event [1] - The GMV data aligns with Goldman Sachs' expectations, equating to 71% of the firm's forecast for Xiaomi's Q2 2025 revenue from smartphones and AIoT in China, which is projected to grow by 31% year-on-year [1] - The 618 and Double Eleven promotions are expected to account for 69% and 66% of the quarterly revenue in China for Q2 and Q4 2024, respectively [1] Group 2 - On the JD platform, Xiaomi ranked first in both sales and GMV among domestic smartphone brands, holding four of the top ten best-selling models during the 618 promotion [2] - Xiaomi's flagship series did not make the top ten this year due to increased competition from the discounted iPhone 14, but the Xiaomi 15 Ultra entered the top ten in the ultra-high-end segment [2] - The average discount level for Xiaomi products during the 618 period was approximately 19%, consistent with the previous year, and could reach up to 33% when considering national subsidies [2]
同步服务品牌与零售店 汇通达(09878)即时零售+AI助力销量倍增
智通财经网· 2025-06-20 03:33
Core Insights - The sales of mobile communication membership stores under Huitongda Network have doubled in multiple lower-tier markets since the second quarter, driven by favorable pricing and market conditions [1][4][6] Group 1: Sales Performance - Huitongda's collaboration with leading brands on instant retail projects has significantly increased sales for member stores, with some locations reporting over 100% sales growth quarter-on-quarter after joining the Apple township authorization project [4][6] - The integration of instant retail and AI tools has enhanced operational efficiency and sales conversion rates for member stores [1][4] Group 2: Operational Enhancements - The "千橙AI超级店长" (Qiancheng AI Super Store Manager) has been upgraded to help member stores manage products and customer groups more effectively, leading to improved foot traffic and transaction rates [4][6] - Member store owners are being trained to utilize AI for procurement and marketing activities, which has contributed to increased profitability [4][6] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Huitongda's dual strategy of supply chain enhancement and AI integration is effectively implemented, showcasing the company's commitment to transforming the retail landscape in lower-tier markets [6] - The "品牌直通车" (Brand Direct Access) initiative aims to connect top brands directly with lower-tier market member stores, enhancing the online and offline retail integration [6]
聊聊4个出海中最常见误解
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-20 03:08
过去10年,中国制造业的用工成本几乎翻了一倍,有些行业甚至涨得更多。原材料价格也受全球供应 链、能源政策和环保要求的影响,一路上涨。 每次提到出海,很多人脑子里蹦出来的第一个词就是: 这些变化倒逼企业必须升级,推动自动化、智能化技术的普及,而在海外,竞争也不再只是拼价格那么 简单了。 所以,如果还觉得"便宜就能赢",那这条路只会越走越窄;我认为,真正推动中国企业走出去的,是供 需错配带来的结构性机会。 01 什么是供需错配?别着急,我跟你讲几个案例: 成本战略。 好像只要中国企业走出去,一定靠着"便宜"打天下。但问题是:这套打法,现在还管用吗? 中国在人工和原材料方面确实还有一定优势,但早就不是"白菜价"了。 2015年,一家叫影石的中国公司刚刚成立。那时,运动相机市场几乎被GoPro垄断;这家初创企业没有 硬刚,也没有靠价格战去拼,而是找到了一个别人没做、但用户需要的场景缺口:滑雪拍摄。 滑雪者高速滑行,动作剧烈,普通相机抖得根本没法看。而影石就抓住痛点,做出了全球第一款自带超 强防抖功能的运动相机,这一下子戳中了Vlogger、极限运动爱好者的心窝。 几年后,它不仅站稳了脚跟,还反向打入美国市场,成为Go ...
荣耀将发布全球最轻薄折叠屏手机;“星舰”火箭在静态点火测试中发生爆炸丨智能制造日报
创业邦· 2025-06-20 03:07
1.【外媒:"星舰"火箭在静态点火测试中发生爆炸】据美国福克斯新闻网、专业航天网站NASASpaceFlight.com等媒体报道,马斯克旗下太空探索技术公 司(SpaceX)的"星舰"火箭当地时间18日晚间在一次静态点火测试中出现故障并发生爆炸,消防部门已经出动。福克斯新闻网称,目前正在调查事故原 因。当局表示暂未收到伤亡报告。(环球网) 2.【阿里云将在韩国启用第二座数据中心,加速海外布局】6月19日,阿里云宣布将于本月底在韩国启用第二座数据中心,来满足生成式AI快速发展带来的 需求增长。这是今年以来,阿里云继墨西哥、泰国之后在全球落地的又一新节点。届时阿里云全球布局将扩展至29个地域、88个可用区。(IT之家) 3.【Alipay+发布首个面向智能眼镜的嵌入式全球支付方案】6月19日下午消息,继支付宝与Rokid在国内发布首个智能眼镜支付方案后,蚂蚁国际旗下全球 整合钱包门户服务Alipay+发布首个面向智能眼镜的嵌入式全球支付方案。并已联合全球AR眼镜行业领军者星纪魅族,通过Alipay+在香港地区完成全球首 笔基于智能眼镜的电子钱包支付交易。(新浪科技) 4.【荣耀CEO李健:将于7月2日发布全球最 ...
特朗普将在两周内决定是否攻击伊朗;TikTok“不卖就禁用”宽限期再延长90天;Labubu发货排到9月底;宇树完成C轮融资交割丨每经早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-19 22:07
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China will announce the one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) in June [2] - The U.S. will release the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in June [2] - The FTSE Russell will implement quarterly review changes for the FTSE China 50 Index and FTSE China A50 Index after the market closes on June 20 [2] Group 2 - U.S. stock markets were closed for a holiday, while international oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil up 0.52% at $73.88 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 2.66% at $78.74 per barrel [3] - Spot gold increased by 0.06% to $3,370.40 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures fell by 0.61% to $3,387.40 per ounce [4] - European stock indices closed lower, with Germany's DAX down 1.12% at 23,057.38 points, France's CAC40 down 1.34% at 7,553.45 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.58% at 8,791.80 points [5] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce of China will expedite the review of export license applications related to rare earths [6] - The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to the U.S. announcement of resuming student visa interviews, emphasizing the importance of educational cooperation [6] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau issued guidelines to prevent "involution" competition in the dividend levels of participating insurance products [7] Group 4 - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held a meeting to promote the high-quality development of the bond ETF market [8] - Beijing's government issued support measures for the gaming and esports industry, encouraging the integration of AI and technology [9] Group 5 - 89 Chinese citizens in Iran returned home via Turkmenistan [10] - The former Vice Chairman of Jiangxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference is under investigation for serious violations of discipline [10] Group 6 - Huawei will hold its Developer Conference 2025 from June 20 to 22, with a commitment to invest over 6 billion yuan annually to support developers [15] - Drip Irrigation International Investment Co., founded by former HKEX CEO Li Xiaojia, submitted an IPO application in Hong Kong [16] Group 7 - Bubble Mart's Labubu toy pre-sale has been scheduled for delivery by September 22, with a price drop in the secondary market [19] - Yushu Technology completed its C round financing with participation from major investors [20] Group 8 - SpaceX's Starship S36 experienced a significant explosion during a static fire test [21] - A well-known host from Dongfang Zhenxuan announced their departure but will continue to collaborate with the company [22] Group 9 - NIO responded to speculation about introducing strategic investors for its chip business, stating it is merely conjecture [24] - Li Auto's i8 is set to launch in late July, with preparations nearing completion [25] Group 10 - Audi confirmed the cancellation of its plan to stop selling internal combustion engine vehicles by 2033, indicating a shift in market strategy [27]
国补后续资金将分批下达,Labubu预售放量二手价暴跌 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-19 17:04
Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate cuts for four consecutive meetings, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5% [1] - There is a division among Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate cuts, with some supporting two cuts this year while others oppose them [2] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may restart rate cuts in September, influenced by the impact of tariffs on macroeconomic data [1][2] Group 2: Foreign Investment in China - The profits of foreign-invested industrial enterprises in China are projected to increase from 1.6 trillion yuan to 1.8 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2024, with profit margins leading the national average [3] - High-tech sectors are expected to account for 43.7% of foreign investment in manufacturing by 2024, with foreign enterprises nearing 50% of high-tech product exports [3] - China's policies to stabilize foreign investment are aimed at enhancing confidence and attracting quality resources, which will invigorate domestic economic growth [4] Group 3: National Subsidy Policies - A total of 138 billion yuan in central funding will be distributed in batches in the third and fourth quarters to support consumption upgrades, despite some regions temporarily halting subsidy programs [5] - The "old for new" consumption policy has expanded to include more product categories, with the special national bond funding increasing from 150 billion yuan to 300 billion yuan this year [5] - The suspension of subsidies may lead to a decline in consumer spending, as seen during the "618" shopping festival [6] Group 4: Market Trends and Company Developments - The secondary market for Labubu collectibles has seen a significant price drop, with average transaction prices halving from 2279.7 yuan to 1181.3 yuan due to pre-sale strategies [7] - Texas Instruments announced a historic investment plan of over 60 billion USD to build seven chip factories, focusing on analog and embedded processing chips [9][10] - Audi has reversed its plan to stop developing and selling internal combustion engine vehicles, acknowledging market differences in the transition to electric vehicles [13][14]
晚报 | 6月20日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-06-19 14:38
Gaming Industry - Beijing Municipal Bureau of Press and Publication issued support measures for the high-quality development of the gaming and esports industry, including financial rewards for hosting major esports events, with up to 5 million yuan for international events and 300,000 yuan for national events [1] - The domestic gaming market's actual sales revenue reached 85.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18%, with mobile game revenue at 63.6 billion yuan, up 20% [1] - The gaming industry is expected to see improved competition dynamics and attractive valuations, especially with the integration of AI applications [1] Robotics Industry - The first 5G-A humanoid intelligent robot was launched by Leju in collaboration with China Mobile and Huawei, addressing technical challenges in high-concurrency scenarios [2] - The 5G-A technology enhances multi-machine collaboration and real-time decision-making, supporting various application scenarios and reducing development cycles for humanoid robots [2] - The humanoid robot market is expected to expand rapidly due to advancements in AI and 5G-A technology [2] Rare Earth Industry - The Ministry of Commerce emphasized the acceleration of export license applications for rare earths, aiming to stabilize global supply chains [3] - Some rare earth magnetic material companies have received export licenses, which is crucial for the production of electric vehicle motors [3] - The recovery of rare earth exports is anticipated to narrow the price gap between domestic and international markets, benefiting the profitability of magnetic material companies [3] Solid-State Battery Industry - The 5th China International Solid-State Battery Technology Conference highlighted advancements in solid-state battery technology and related materials [4] - The industry is experiencing accelerated commercialization, with significant investments and pilot projects from major automotive companies [4] - The solid-state battery sector is expected to see continuous innovation and capacity expansion, with a critical period for industrialization approaching in 2025-2026 [4] Audiovisual Electronics Industry - A joint notification was issued by multiple government departments to promote high-quality development in the audiovisual electronics industry, focusing on new application scenarios [5] - The industry is driven by technological iterations and market demand, with significant growth expected in new display technologies and AI-enhanced audio devices [5] Foldable Smartphone Market - Apple is set to begin production of its first foldable iPhone by late Q3 or early Q4 2025, with initial production estimates in the millions [6] - The foldable smartphone market is viewed as a structural opportunity, with significant growth potential in China, projected to reach 10 million units by 2025, a 53.2% year-on-year increase [6]
特朗普发起另一轮关税攻势,美媒称影响堪比对等关税
凤凰网财经· 2025-06-19 13:21
来源|国际财闻汇 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普政府正推进另一轮关税"攻势"。一些贸易专家认为,这些关税行动比他针 对各国"量身定制"税率的做法在法律上更加站得住脚,而最终可能对进口产生同样广泛的影响。 6月18日,据彭博社报道,美国商务部将在数周内公布针对数个被视为对国家安全至关重要的行业 的调查结果,包括芯片、制药和关键矿产。外界普遍预计,调查可能会为对上述行业的诸多外国产 品出台关税奠定基础。 特朗普在第一任期已根据《贸易扩展法》第232条的授权,于2018年征收钢铝进口税。近期,他扩 大了征税范围,将含有上述金属的消费品纳入其中。 密歇根州立大学的一项估算显示,特朗普的钢铝关税(目前定在50%)已影响到近2000亿美元的 钢铁、铝制品及家用产品(如渔线轮和扫帚)—— 这一数额几乎是他首个任期内的四倍。 相比之下,特朗普4月份对主要贸易伙伴实施的关税措施在合法性上更弱,最高法院周二被要求考 虑推翻这些关税。一些政府官员认为,232条下的关税可有效取代引发法律审视、阻碍美国与盟友 及对手的贸易协议谈判的国别关税。 Wiley Rein合伙人、特朗普首任政府商务部高级官员Nazak Nikakhtar表示,232条 ...