Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View of the Report - Due to the impact of risk - aversion sentiment, domestic stock indices continued to fluctuate weakly. It is recommended to make long - term allocations for IH2509 and IF2509, and move positions from IM2506 to IM2509 as the June contract of IM is approaching maturity and its annualized basis rate is relatively high [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Performance - As of June 20, 2025, most domestic and foreign indices declined this week. The Nasdaq rose 0.22%, the S&P 500 fell 0.15%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 2.08%. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51%, the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.74%, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.10%, the ChiNext Index fell 1.66%, and the STAR 50 Index fell 1.55%. In terms of industries, most of the 31 Shenwan primary industry indices declined, with sectors such as beauty care, textile and apparel, and pharmaceutical biology falling more than 3%, while only a few sectors such as banking and communications rose [11][12]. Liquidity - In May, the growth rate of social financing was stable, and the growth rate of M2 declined slightly. The net MLF investment in May was 375 billion yuan, and the 10 - year government bond yield was around 1.65%. The growth rate of social financing remained relatively high, with government bond financing being an important support, but credit growth was still weak. The M2 growth rate declined slightly but remained stable overall, the M1 growth rate increased, and the M1 - M2 gap narrowed [22]. Trading Data and Sentiment - The escalation of the Israel - Iran conflict led to the weakening of stock indices this week. The trading volume of the two markets shrank to around one trillion yuan. The number of new A - share accounts opened in January was 1.57 million, in February was 2.83 million, in March was 3.06 million, in April dropped to 1.92 million, and in May continued to drop to 1.555 million [34]. Index Valuation - Index valuations are in the median range. As of June 20, 2025, the latest PB of the Shanghai Composite Index was 14.64 with a quantile of 64.72, and the latest PE of the Wande All - A Index was 19.18 with a quantile of 01.82. In terms of major stock indices, the valuation quantiles are in the order of CSI 1000 > CSI 500 > SSE 300 > SSE 50 [51]. Index Industry Weights (as of December 31, 2024) - In the SSE 50, the weights of banking, food and beverage, and non - bank finance are relatively high, at 19.4%, 16.57%, and 13.07% respectively, and the electronics industry has become the fourth - largest weighted industry. - The weights of the SSE 300 are relatively dispersed, with the top three weighted industries being banking, non - bank finance, and electronics. - The top three weighted industries of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 are exactly the same, namely electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and power equipment, but the electronics industry in the CSI 1000 has a higher weight [52].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing limited upward elasticity, and investors need to remain cautious due to internal and external pressures leading to short-term adjustments [3][11]. Market Performance - During the week of June 16-20, the A-share market showed a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.51% to close at 3360 points, and the Wind All A Index down by 1.07% [4]. - Among the 31 primary industries, only the banking and telecommunications sectors saw gains, while sectors like beauty care, textiles, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, and social services faced significant declines [5]. - The Hong Kong market mirrored the A-share performance, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.52% and the Hang Seng Technology Index down 2.03% [5]. Economic Data and Trends - Recent macroeconomic data indicates a decline in fiscal revenue and expenditure for the first five months of the year, attributed to factors such as falling PPI and a slowdown in land sales [7][9]. - Manufacturing investment grew by 8.5%, while infrastructure investment was at 5.6%, contrasting with a 10.7% decline in real estate investment [9]. - Retail sales for the same period increased by 6.4%, driven by initiatives like trade-in programs and tourism [10]. External Influences - Ongoing international issues, including U.S.-China trade negotiations and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are affecting investor sentiment and market performance [10]. - The upcoming policy window in July is critical, with expectations for potential tariff adjustments and trade discussions [10]. Future Outlook - Despite concerns over domestic demand resilience, there is a high expectation for policies to stabilize the capital market, suggesting that while short-term adjustments may occur, significant declines are unlikely [11]. - The combination of monetary and fiscal policies is essential for economic strength, with a potential fiscal stimulus expected post-August [13]. - In the current market environment, defensive stocks, particularly those with solid fundamentals in the new consumption sector, are favored, while technology stocks with performance metrics are also seen as attractive [15].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight decline this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.51% closing at 3360 points, and the Wind All A Index down 1.07% [1] - Hong Kong stocks mirrored A-shares, with the Hang Seng Index dropping 1.52% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.03% [2] - U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq rising while the S&P 500 fell [3] Positive Developments - Novo Nordisk announced significant weight loss results from its STEP UP 3b clinical trial, showing a 21% average weight reduction for participants on a higher dose of Wegovy, with one-third achieving over 25% weight loss [3] - Lao Pu Gold opened its first overseas store in Singapore, marking a key step in its global expansion strategy [3] - Zhifei Biological received clinical trial approval for its adsorbed tetanus vaccine, allowing it to proceed with trials [4] - Tencent Cloud launched "AI Builder," enabling users to generate complete applications from simple descriptions, enhancing the app development experience [5] - Xin Xuan Group reported significant sales during the 618 shopping festival, with 12 brands exceeding 100 million in sales and total viewership reaching 550 million [6][7] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical received approval for six drug clinical trials, including new oral and injectable therapies [8] - Li Auto's first pure electric SUV, the Li i8, is set to launch in late July [9] - Yingmu Technology plans to release a new strategic product in Q3 [10] - Desay SV announced a partnership with Chery Automobile to develop an integrated central computing platform for smart driving [11] Negative Developments - Anker Innovations announced a recall of certain batches of power banks due to quality issues with battery cells [12] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is monitoring stocks with abnormal trading behaviors, including *ST Yanzhen [13] - Ningbo Huaxiang expects a loss of 273 million to 369 million yuan in the first half of 2025 due to the impact of its European business divestiture [14][15] - *ST Jinguang received a decision to terminate its stock listing, entering a delisting period starting June 30, 2025 [16] - SpaceX's Starship S36 experienced an explosion during a static fire test [17] - Microsoft plans to lay off thousands of employees, primarily in sales [17] - *ST Xinyuan's controlling shareholder is restricted from high consumption due to a contract dispute [17] - *ST Hengli received a decision to terminate its stock listing, with trading resuming on June 25, 2025 [18] - Honda is recalling nearly 259,000 vehicles in the U.S. due to brake pedal issues [19] - Ford is recalling 27,768 vehicles in the U.S. due to a child lock malfunction [19] - Wanda Group's 40 million shares have been frozen [19] - Black Sesame received a warning letter from the Guangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau for governance issues [20][21] - *ST Jiu You announced its stock will be delisted, entering a 15-day trading period before delisting [22] - San Yao Biotech terminated its exclusive agreement with Guoguang Biotech, affecting its flu vaccine distribution in mainland China [23] IPO and Market Activity - Haitian Flavoring's H-shares were priced at HKD 36.3, with additional shares issued [35] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission approved Guangdong Jian Ke's IPO registration for the Growth Enterprise Market [28] - Several companies, including PPIO and PPLabs Technology, submitted IPO applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [26][29] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported that approximately 190 companies are in line to go public [45]

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 6 月 22 日 周度金融市场跟踪 股票方面，本周 A 股整体下跌，小盘股走势弱于大盘股。全周累计看，沪深 300 本 周下跌 0.5%，中证1000 下跌 1.7%，中证 2000 下跌 2.2%。恒生指数本周下跌 1.5%， 恒生科技指数下跌 2.0%。行业方面，银行、通信和电子领涨。值得注意的是在市场 整体走弱的背景下，本周银行指数大幅上涨 2.6%，申万银行指数收盘至历史最高水 平。前期上涨较多的美容护理、纺织服装和医药生物领跌（图表 9），医药生物在连 续多周上涨后本周大幅下跌 4.4%。风格上，本周高估值风格（高市盈率和高市净率 指数）与低估值风格（低市盈率和低市净率指数）连续第二周走势相反（高估值下跌， 低估值上涨）。高估值资产的整体下跌体现了当前市场的避险情绪。周内看，周一（6 月 16 日）市场整体上涨，上午统计局发布经济数据，5 月份国民经济运行总体平稳、 稳中有进，全天超 3500 只股票上涨。周二（6 月 17 日）市场震荡。周三（6 月 18 日）上午陆家嘴论坛"一行两局一会"领导分别发言并发布了一系列政策举措，其中 证监会推出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of non-invasive water light technology is reshaping consumer preferences in the beauty industry, moving away from traditional invasive procedures due to their long recovery times and high costs [1][2][5] Group 1: Consumer Demand Shift - Non-invasive water light technology addresses modern consumers' needs for convenience and minimal recovery time, allowing them to return to daily activities immediately after treatment [2][4] - Traditional needle-based water light treatments are losing popularity due to their lengthy recovery periods and the social awkwardness they create for consumers [1][4] - The economic imbalance of high costs associated with traditional treatments has accelerated the shift towards non-invasive options, as consumers seek more affordable and effective solutions [1][4] Group 2: Technological Innovation - MESONUEVO's EPM technology utilizes a microchip array and instantaneous electric pulses to achieve non-invasive penetration, avoiding damage to the dermis and ensuring no recovery time is needed [2][4] - The cost of a single non-invasive treatment has been reduced to one-third of traditional procedures, making frequent treatments more accessible to consumers [4] Group 3: Changing Consumer Behavior - The trend of "lunch beauty" has emerged, with appointments for non-invasive treatments peaking during workday lunch hours, particularly among white-collar workers [4] - Younger consumers, especially those from Generation Z, are increasingly favoring non-invasive treatments over traditional options, as they find them more effective and less financially burdensome [4][5] - The safety of EPM technology has re-engaged sensitive skin users, who previously felt excluded from such treatments due to the risks associated with traditional methods [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities highlights the emergence of a "new consumption" sector driven by external market fluctuations, subdued domestic demand, and a scarcity of quality consumer assets, suggesting that structured opportunities will continue to evolve in the market [1] Group 1: New Consumption Trends - The "new consumption" trend is characterized as a strong alpha market that is less affected by macro disturbances, with quality new consumer brands experiencing growth due to structural dividends and product cycles [2] - Sectors such as beauty care and gold jewelry are expected to see a recovery in optional consumption, with brands that have differentiated market experiences likely to achieve counter-cyclical growth [2] Group 2: IP and AI Opportunities - The IP retail industry in China, exemplified by companies like Sanrio, has maintained high levels of prosperity since 2021, with a complete and high-quality industrial chain emerging from content production to diverse consumer monetization [3] - The AI sector is also witnessing increased application scenarios and consumer payment conversions, particularly in human resource management and B2B cross-border e-commerce [3] Group 3: Offline Retail and Services - The overall revenue growth for offline services and retail is expected to remain under pressure in 2024 and Q1 2025, but there are signs of improvement in consumption data at both the macro and micro levels [4] - The combination of policy support and low base effects is anticipated to sustain the upward trend in consumption data, with specific sectors like hotels and personal services showing signs of stabilization and growth [4]

投资策略 +-[Table_MainInfo]科创板改革获推进，市场延续窄幅震荡 ――A 股市场投资策略周报 | 分析师： 严佩佩 | | SAC NO： | S1150520110001 2025 年 6 月 19 日 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Analysis] 证券分析师 | [Table_Summary] 投资要点： | | | | | | | 严佩佩 |  | 市场回顾，近 | 个交易日（6 月 日-6 月 日），重要指数纷纷收跌； 13 19 | | | 5 | | 022-23839070 | | 其中，上证综指收跌 | 1.19%，创业板指收跌 1.95%；风格层面，沪深 | 300 | | | | SAC NO:S1150520110001 | 收跌 | 1.26%，中证 | 收跌 2.12%。成交量方面小幅缩量，两市统计区 | | 500 | | | yanpp@bhzq.com | 间内成交 | 6.33 | 万亿元，日均成交额达到 万亿元，较前五个交易日 1.27 | | | | | | ...

【博时市场点评6月19日】风险偏好收敛，沪深两市调整 6月19日，A股三大指数下跌。截至收盘，上证指数报3362.11点，下跌0.79%；深证成指报10051.97点， 下跌1.21%；创业板指报2026.82点，下跌1.36%；科创100报1022.12点，下跌0.46%。申万一级行业中， 仅石油石化上涨，涨幅为0.86%；纺织服饰、美容护理、轻工制造跌幅靠前，分别下跌2.36%、2.28%、 1.96%。699只个股上涨，4471只个股下跌。 简评：通过深化科创板改革"1+6"政策措施，重启未盈利企业适用科创板第五套标准上市，未盈利的优 质企业可在成长层渡过研发高风险期，盈利达标后转至科创板主层或主板，从而对科创企业形成全生命 周期的资本市场多层次支持链条，有助于提振科创企业发展信心，避免优质企业因盈利门槛外流，促进 资本市场各板块良性互动。 美联储公布6月利率决议，将基准利率维持在4.25%-4.50%不变，连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预 期。美联储表示，对前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将2025年GDP预估下调至 1.4%，同时将通胀预期上调至3%。另外，美联储点阵图显示，202 ...

从热点看，继续快速轮动。周三芯片半导体、消费电子等震荡走强，涨幅居前。而近期一度拉高的 美容护理、盲盒概念等冲高回落，和港股市场中数只网红个股冲高回落表现同步。总体看，热点"短平 快"轮动的风格没有改变。总体风险偏好较低。 由于近期市场持续窄幅整理，多空双方都缺乏一锤定音的"杀手锏"，因此行情在现有区间相持已 久，反复拉锯。一方面，大盘多次探底不下，韧性十足，包括周三上午，行情也一度向下试探，但随后 就企稳回升，甚至小幅翻红。另一方面，多方也没有很强的上攻愿望，迟迟未能发动有效攻击，致使大 盘盘整复盘整。表现在盘面，沪深两市成交量始终保持在较低水平，显示市场参与意愿不强，观望气氛 浓重。从目前看，在缺乏新的变量因素之前，维持盘局概率较大。 展望后市：短线继续温和盘整，6 月下旬可能面临资金面的阶段性分流，关注盘中成交量能变化。 根据技术分析法则，只有出现持续放量，行情才有选择方向的机会。 风险提示：消息面或海外市场表现超预期，流动性的不确定性。 ...

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 市场总览 重要观点 报告日期：2025 年 06 月 19 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 06 月 19 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势：6 月 18 日上证指数上涨 0.04%，沪深 300 上涨 0.12%，科创 50 上涨 0.53%，中证 1000 下跌 0.1%，创业板 指上涨 0.23%，恒生指数下跌 1.12%。 ❑ 行业：6 月 18 日表现最好的行业分别是电子（+1.5%)、通信（+1.39%)、国防军工（+0.95%)、银行（+0.92%)、 电力设备（+0.32%)，表现最差的行业分别是美容护理（-1.73%)、房地产（-1.35%)、建筑材料（-1.22%)、非银金 融（-1.16%)、轻工制造（-1.13%)。 ❑ 资金：6 月 18 日全 A 总成交额为 12217.64 亿元，南下资金净流入 12.42 亿港元。 ❑ 【浙商煤炭 樊金璐】煤炭 半年行业策略 ...