Domestic News - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced the implementation of the "Regulations on the Registration and Management of Individual Industrial and Commercial Households" starting July 15, which aims to standardize registration management and protect the legitimate rights and interests of individual industrial and commercial households, promoting their high-quality development [2] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 2.1% month-on-month decrease in the price of live pigs in early June, with the price at 14.1 yuan per kilogram [3] - The successful launch of the electromagnetic monitoring satellite "Zhang Heng No. 1" 02 by the Long March 2D rocket from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center was reported, marking a successful mission [3] - The completion of the Taibai Mountain Tunnel, a key project of the Meitai Expressway in Shaanxi, was announced, paving the way for the expressway to be fully operational this year [3] International News - Japan's Nippon Steel Corporation announced that U.S. President Trump has conditionally approved its acquisition plan for an American steel company [4] - The Bank of Japan is considering reducing its quarterly government bond purchase scale by 200 billion yen starting in spring 2026 [4] - The third United Nations Ocean Conference, co-hosted by France and Costa Rica, concluded with the release of the "Nice Ocean Action Plan," emphasizing the global commitment to urgent actions for ocean protection [4] - Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that Iran has not yet decided whether to participate in the next round of negotiations with the U.S. regarding the nuclear issue, with no substantial progress made in recent talks [4] Company News - GAC Group announced a commitment to ensure the healthy development of its dealers, stating that it will complete dealer rebate payments within two months to promote high-quality development in the automotive industry [4] - Pop Mart in South Korea decided to temporarily suspend offline sales of LABUBU plush toys and keychains due to potential safety concerns, prioritizing customer safety and service quality [5]

Group 1 - Microsoft launched the Copilot Vision feature for Windows, allowing the AI assistant to analyze user screens and provide real-time suggestions during activities like gaming and photo editing [1] - Mattel, the manufacturer of Barbie and Hot Wheels, partnered with OpenAI to integrate generative AI into toy development and IP revitalization, marking OpenAI's first collaboration with a toy company [2] - Google introduced the Weather Lab website, utilizing DeepMind AI models to predict tropical cyclone characteristics and allowing users to compare AI predictions with traditional weather models [3] Group 2 - Tencent's Yuanbao launched a "College Entrance Examination Volunteer Consultation" feature, providing personalized advice for students filling out their college applications [4]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has approved the initial public offering of Dao Sheng Tian He Materials Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has granted approval for Jiangxi Aifenda Heating Technology Co., Ltd. to register for its initial public offering on the ChiNext board [3] Group 2 - Guangzhou is proposing to fully cancel restrictions on home purchases, sales, and prices, aiming to better meet housing consumption needs [7] - The city plans to invest 100 billion yuan in the renovation of urban villages and old residential areas by 2025 [7] Group 3 - The opening of the first global store for Popop, an independent jewelry brand under Pop Mart, took place in Shanghai, featuring products from popular IPs with prices ranging from 319 to 2699 yuan [8] - The rental market for LABUBU collectibles has seen a significant increase, with search volume rising tenfold in June compared to May [8] Group 4 - Hanburger King China plans to close underperforming stores while simultaneously opening 40 to 60 new restaurants in core business districts of first and second-tier cities [12] - The company aims to reduce its total number of stores by 2025 due to the closure of unprofitable locations [12] Group 5 - Scale AI announced a significant new investment from Meta Platforms, raising its valuation to over $29 billion [19] - Adobe reported second-quarter revenue of $5.87 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, and raised its full-year revenue forecast [19]

Market Overview - The US dollar index experienced a downward trend this week, hitting a three-year low due to lower-than-expected CPI data, which fueled strong expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - Spot gold prices rose significantly, supported by a weak dollar, increased rate cut expectations, and geopolitical tensions, reaching $3445 per ounce [1] - Silver prices continued to rise, hovering at the highest levels since 2011, closing at $36.33 per ounce [1] Oil Market - International crude oil prices surged due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, with WTI crude oil futures rising over 13% to exceed $77 per barrel, marking a high not seen since February [2] Investment Insights - UBS Global Wealth Management recommends strategic investments in Chinese stocks, citing that trade risks have peaked and more policy support may be forthcoming [5] - Paul Tudor Jones predicts a shift to a "super dovish" stance by the Federal Reserve next year, potentially leading to a 10% depreciation of the US dollar [5] - Daniel Ghali from TD Securities suggests that silver prices could rise further to $40 and challenge historical highs of $50 by year-end [5] - Optimism for the US stock market is growing, with Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs projecting a 10% increase in the S&P 500 index by year-end, reaching a target of 6500 points [5] Major Events - Israel launched a significant military operation against Iran, targeting over 100 sites, which has heightened geopolitical tensions and could impact market stability [6] - The US government has not participated in Israel's military actions but has coordinated with Israel, emphasizing a desire for Iran to return to negotiations [7] Economic Indicators - The US CPI data for May showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, below expectations, leading to heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [12] - The US tariff revenue reached $23 billion in May, a 270% increase year-on-year, reflecting the impact of new tariff policies [10][11] Corporate Developments - 17 major automotive companies in China have committed to a payment term of no more than 60 days to suppliers, aiming to foster a collaborative ecosystem in the industry [22] - Pop Mart's stock price has surged nearly 13 times over the past year and a half, driven by popular IPs like LABUBU, with significant auction results boosting investor interest [25]

Pop Mart股价周五收涨2.17%，年内涨幅扩大近200%，本周早些时候该股创下历史新高。 当一只股票在年内内飙升200%，华尔街分析师们不是在警告泡沫，而是在疯狂上调目标价，这正是中 国盲盒巨头Pop Mart所引发的市场狂热。一个长着獠牙的怪兽玩偶Labubu，正在重新定义投资者对"玩 具经济"的认知。 本周，至少五家券商纷纷上调Pop Mart的目标价，包括德意志银行和摩根士丹利在内，其中花旗集团最 为激进，将目标价大幅上调90%至最高的308港元，理由是该公司知识产权在全球影响力日益扩大。 Pop Mart股价飙升的核心驱动力来自其明星产品——长着獠牙的怪兽玩偶Labubu。这个看似奇怪的角色 所在的THE MONSTERS盲盒系列去年为Pop Mart带来超过30亿元人民币的销售收入，占公司总营收近 四分之一。 Pop Mart已成为今年MSCI中国指数中表现最佳的股票，同时也是2024年该指数中涨幅最大的股票之 一。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rising value of trendy toys and IP toys is highlighted by the recent auction of LABUBU for 1.08 million yuan, leading to a surge in related stocks such as Pop Mart, Baixinglong, and Shifeng Culture [1] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - Dongguan and Shantou, two major toy production bases in Guangdong, are actively planning for the future, reflecting the vibrant growth of China's toy industry [1] - Dongguan's Shipaizhen hosted the "Trendy Toy Industry Ecological Cooperation Partner Conference" on June 10, promoting the global expansion of trendy toy brands [2][4] - Shantou's Chenghai district held the "AI Toy Industry Innovation and Development Conference" on June 12, focusing on the integration of AI technology into traditional toy manufacturing [2][3] Group 2: Government and Corporate Initiatives - Local governments are deeply involved in driving industry transformation, with Shifeng Culture announcing a strategic partnership with Baidu Smart Cloud to produce AI toys [2][6] - Dongguan's government is increasing policy support to enhance the quality and competitiveness of the trendy toy industry [4] Group 3: Market Trends and Projections - The AI toy market is expected to reach $36.377 billion by 2030, driven by advancements in IoT and AI technologies [6] - The Chinese IP toy market is projected to grow to 75.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 29.23% and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.7% from 2020 to 2024 [7][8] - The per capita expenditure on IP toys in China is significantly lower than in the US and Japan, indicating substantial growth potential in the Chinese market [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in investment focus from traditional liquor stocks like Kweichow Moutai to newer consumer products like Pop Mart's Labubu toys, highlighting the performance of fund manager Hu Xinwei and the challenges faced by his fund management company, Huitianfu [1][4][12]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Strategy - Hu Xinwei's management of the Huitianfu Consumption Industry Mixed Fund saw a significant decline, with the fund's net value dropping from a peak of 9.977 yuan to 4.591 yuan, representing a decline of over 50% [1][4]. - In contrast, Hu's other fund, Huitianfu Consumption Upgrade, achieved approximately 20% returns this year due to a strategic reduction in Moutai holdings and increased investment in Pop Mart [4][5]. - The disparity in performance among Hu's funds has raised concerns about fairness to investors, as some funds have significantly outperformed others [4][5]. Group 2: Company Challenges and Market Position - Huitianfu's overall market position has deteriorated, with its 2024 revenue at 4.828 billion yuan, down 10.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.548 billion yuan, up 9.33% [4][10]. - The company has seen a decline in its ranking within the industry, dropping to 9th place, primarily due to cost-cutting measures and a focus on increasing efficiency [4][10]. - Huitianfu's investment strategy has been criticized for being overly concentrated in specific sectors like consumption and technology, leading to missed opportunities in emerging industries [10][11]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy and Future Outlook - Hu Xinwei's investment philosophy has evolved to emphasize dividend yield and a more balanced asset allocation, moving away from a heavy reliance on consumer stocks [7][8]. - The article suggests that Hu's recent aggressive investment in Pop Mart may represent a high-stakes gamble for his career, as the market dynamics could shift rapidly [12]. - The need for Huitianfu to rebuild its research and investment trust is highlighted as a critical challenge for its survival in the competitive fund management landscape [12].

Core Viewpoint - Changlian Co., Ltd. has established long-term strategic partnerships with several Fortune 500 companies, including Pop Mart and other industry leaders [1] Company Partnerships - The company has formed collaborations with notable firms such as Apple, BD, BOC Healthcare, Seiko, Mitsubishi, Hissen Meikang, Jaguar Land Rover, Baxter, and Kobayashi [1]

Market Overview - The Middle East geopolitical risks have escalated, leading to a decline in the Asia-Pacific stock markets, with Hong Kong's three major indices falling collectively. The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.59% at 23,892.56 points, with a total turnover of HKD 294.29 billion [1] - Despite short-term impacts from Trump's tariff policies and potential liquidity fluctuations due to U.S. debt ceiling issues, the overall influence is diminishing, maintaining a long-term upward trend for Hong Kong stocks. High-quality dividend sectors remain a stable investment choice in the short term, while technological innovation is seen as a new growth driver for China's economy and Hong Kong stocks in the medium to long term [1] Blue Chip Performance - Chow Tai Fook (01929) led blue-chip gains, rising 5.37% to HKD 12.94, contributing 2.07 points to the Hang Seng Index. The company reported a revenue of HKD 89.656 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, a decrease of 17.53% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 5.916 billion, down 8.97% year-on-year, and a final dividend of HKD 0.32 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 87.8% [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included Orient Overseas International (00316) up 4.18%, Hang Lung Properties (00101) up 3.03%, while Sunny Optical Technology (02382) fell 5.01%, dragging the index down by 3.74 points [2] Sector Performance - Large technology stocks experienced declines, with Alibaba down over 2% and Xiaomi down 0.48%. In contrast, oil and gas stocks, gold stocks, and shipping stocks saw increased demand as safe-haven assets due to heightened market risk aversion. Shandong Molong surged 160%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold rose over 10% [3] - Oil stocks saw significant gains, with Shandong Molong (00568) up 75.65%, Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) up 25%, and CNOOC (00883) up 2.07%. Reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities led to a spike in international oil prices, which rose by 13% [3] - Gold stocks also performed strongly, with Chifeng Jilong Gold (06693) up 10.55% and Lingbao Gold (03330) up 6.06%. The rise in geopolitical tensions has driven gold prices higher, with spot gold surpassing USD 3,440 [4] - Defense stocks were active, with AVIC (02357) up 5.21% and China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) up 3.27%, as increased military spending is anticipated due to escalating geopolitical conflicts [4][5] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector continued its downward trend, with XPeng Motors (09868) down 5.17% and Great Wall Motors (02333) down 3.07%. A recent controversial statement regarding fuel vehicles over electric vehicles sparked discussions, impacting market sentiment [6] Notable Stocks - Derlin International (01126) reached a historical high, closing up 17.08% at HKD 10.42, attributed to its position as a leading plush toy manufacturer [7] - Television Broadcasts (00511) rose 7.48% to HKD 3.45, following a collaboration with Tencent Music and others to enhance AIGC technology applications in the Greater Bay Area [8] - Jianbei Miao Miao (02161) saw a post-earnings increase of 5.79%, reporting a revenue of HKD 782 million, up 20.65% year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 197 million, up 51.2% [9] - Junshi Biosciences (01877) faced a significant drop of 10.47% after announcing a share placement at a discount, raising approximately HKD 1.026 billion for R&D and operational funding [10] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) reported a decline in mobile lens shipments, with a 5.2% year-on-year drop in May [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform the Market" for the collectible card industry [6] Core Insights - The collectible card industry is expected to maintain strong growth, driven by diverse IPs, evolving consumer habits, and the inherent social, collectible, and investment attributes of cards [5][12] - The market for collectible cards in China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56.6% from 2019 to 2024, with a market share of 25.8% in the overall entertainment toy industry by 2024 [12][16] - The industry is characterized by a high concentration of major players, with the top five companies holding 82.4% of the market share [4][32] Summary by Sections 1. Collectible Card Market Potential - The collectible card segment is a significant part of the rapidly growing entertainment toy industry, which is expected to reach a market size of RMB 1,018 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 15.8% from 2024 to 2029 [12][13] - The collectible card market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 56.6% from 2019 to 2024, making it the fastest-growing sub-sector within the entertainment toy industry [16][17] 2. Types and Characteristics of Cards - The card industry is divided into collectible and non-collectible cards, with collectible cards offering themes, collection, exchange, and competitive play [3][26] - Collectible cards can be further categorized into competitive and non-competitive types, catering to both strategic gameplay and collection interests [3][26] 3. Competitive Landscape - The collectible card industry is highly concentrated, with the leading company, 卡游 (KAYOU), holding a market share of 71.1% in 2024 [4][32] - Major players include 卡游, 宝可梦公司, and others, with the top five companies dominating the market [4][32] 4. Consumer Engagement and Market Dynamics - The low entry barrier and multiple attributes of collectible cards, including social interaction, competition, and investment potential, contribute to their growing popularity [4][39] - The rise of live streaming and secondary markets is enhancing consumer engagement and driving sales in the collectible card sector [4][54] 5. Future Growth Drivers - Factors such as increasing disposable income, expanding consumer demographics, and heightened interest from IP holders in developing entertainment products are expected to drive the market forward [20][21][24] - The overseas market presents significant opportunities for growth, particularly in Southeast Asia, where the collectible card market is projected to reach RMB 2.8 billion by 2024 [24]