Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - L2509 oscillated weakly and closed at 7,222 yuan/ton. On the supply side, last week's output decreased by 5.41% month-on-month to 610,000 tons, and the capacity utilization rate decreased by 4.55% month-on-month to 79.52%. On the demand side, the average operating rate of downstream products last week increased by 0.57% month-on-month. In terms of inventory, the production enterprise inventory decreased by 8.27% month-on-month to 527,800 tons, and the social inventory decreased by 1.15% month-on-month to 610,600 tons. In May, the PE industry had centralized maintenance. This week, the Zhejiang Petrochemical and Zhenhai Refining & Chemical plants were shut down, while the Maoming Petrochemical and Yanchang Zhongmei plants restarted, with production and capacity utilization expected to decline slightly. The downstream shed film and mulch film were in the off - season; packaging film orders increased significantly due to tariff reduction; PE pipe demand was mainly for terminal rigid needs. In terms of cost, the stalemate in the US - Iran nuclear negotiations offset the negative impact of Moody's downgrading of the US sovereign credit rating, and international oil prices rose slightly. In the short term, L2509 is expected to oscillate, with support around 7,160 yuan/ton and resistance around 7,340 yuan/ton [2] Summary by Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for polyethylene was 7,222 yuan/ton, down 16 yuan; the closing price of the January contract was 7,155 yuan/ton, down 17 yuan; the closing price of the May contract was 7,135 yuan/ton, down 195 yuan; the closing price of the September contract was 7,222 yuan/ton, down 16 yuan. The trading volume was 314,792 lots, down 6,743 lots; the open interest was 511,907 lots, down 2,179 lots. The spread between the January and May contracts was 20 yuan, up 178 yuan. The long position of the top 20 futures holders was 375,228 lots, down 5,551 lots; the short position was 417,811 lots, down 7,821 lots; the net long position was - 42,583 lots, up 2,270 lots [2] 现货市场 - The average price of LLDPE (7042) in North China was 7,413.91 yuan/ton, down 20.87 yuan; in East China, it was 7,553.41 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan. The basis was 191.91 yuan, down 4.87 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The FOB mid - price of naphtha in Singapore was 61.55 US dollars/barrel, down 0.02 US dollars; the CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan was 569.38 US dollars/ton, up 4 US dollars. The CFR mid - price of ethylene in Southeast Asia was 871 US dollars/ton, unchanged; in Northeast Asia, it was 781 US dollars/ton, unchanged [2] 产业情况 - The national operating rate of PE in petrochemical plants was 79.52%, down 4.55 percentage points [2] 下游情况 - The operating rate of polyethylene (PE) packaging film was 48.7%, up 1.11 percentage points; the operating rate of PE pipes was 32.17%, unchanged; the operating rate of PE agricultural film was 16.68%, down 2.76 percentage points [2] Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of polyethylene was 14.81%, up 0.04 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility was 18.57%, unchanged. The implied volatility of at - the - money put options was 13.04%, down 0.38 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money call options was 13.05%, down 0.34 percentage points [2] Industry News - From May 9th to 15th, China's polyethylene production was 610,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.41%; the capacity utilization rate was 79.52%, a decrease of 4.55 percentage points from the previous period. The average operating rate of downstream polyethylene products from May 9th to 15th increased by 0.57% compared with the previous period. As of May 16th, the inventory of polyethylene social sample warehouses was 610,600 tons, a decrease of 1.15% from the previous period; as of May 14th, the inventory of Chinese polyethylene production enterprise samples was 527,800 tons, a decrease of 8.27% from the previous period [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth in employment across various industries in China, particularly in the electric vehicle and semiconductor sectors, indicating a shift in the employment landscape towards new energy and technology-driven fields [1][2]. Employment Growth by Industry - The top ten industries experiencing the highest employee growth include: - Electric Passenger Vehicles: 37.7% increase, with BYD leading by adding 265,368 employees [2][3]. - Semiconductor Equipment: 27.9% increase, with North Huachuang contributing 4,344 employees [2]. - Lithium Industry: 13.0% increase, with Ganfeng Lithium adding 1,979 employees [2]. - Semiconductor Materials: 12.3% increase, with Jiangfeng Electronics adding 925 employees [2]. - Plastics: 11.6% increase, with Jinhai Technology adding 2,454 employees [2]. - Home Appliance Components: 11.2% increase, with Sanhua Intelligent Control adding 2,055 employees [2]. - Consumer Electronics: 10.7% increase, with Luxshare Precision adding 45,518 employees [2]. - Nuclear Power: 8.5% increase, with China Nuclear Power adding 1,781 employees [2]. - Cross-border E-commerce: 7.9% increase, with Sewei Times adding 1,209 employees [2]. - Personal Care Products: 7.5% increase, with Wanjian Medical adding 2,628 employees [2]. Industry Trends - The electric vehicle sector is expected to continue its explosive growth, with predictions of 16.5 million units sold in China by 2025, a nearly 30% year-on-year increase [5]. - The lithium industry is recovering from a downturn, with improved supply-demand dynamics anticipated in the coming years [6]. - Nuclear power has emerged unexpectedly as a growth area, driven by a significant increase in construction approvals and government support for clean energy [7][9]. - The semiconductor sector is benefiting from domestic substitution and a cyclical recovery, with strong demand from AI, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics [10][12]. Traditional Industries Resurgence - Traditional industries such as plastics, home appliance components, and consumer electronics are experiencing a resurgence, driven by new material innovations and government subsidies [13][14]. - The plastics industry is evolving with the introduction of biodegradable materials, reflecting a shift towards sustainability [14][16]. - The home appliance and consumer electronics sectors are seeing growth due to government incentives, with a notable increase in retail sales [14][17]. Strategic Insights for State-Owned Enterprises - The rise of nuclear power reflects the unique advantages of state-owned enterprises in capital-intensive and technology-driven sectors [19]. - State-owned enterprises are encouraged to enhance employment capacity and create new growth curves through strategic transformation and upgrading [25].

能源化工日报 ◆ 橡胶： 5 月 19 日受收储信息提振，RU 重心窄幅上行。基本面看，短期胶水上量 缓慢，原料维持高位，胶价底部支撑仍存，青岛现货总库存虽延续小幅 累库；后期供应端上量预期偏强，下游需求表现疲软，整体向上驱动不 产业服务总部 能化产业服务中心 2025-05-20 公司资质 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业 务资格：鄂证监期货字{2014}1 号 研究员： 日度观点: ◆ PVC： 5 月 19 日 PVC 主力 09 合约收盘 4948 元/吨（-11），常州市场价 4840 元/吨（0），主力基差-108 元/吨(+11），广州市场价 4880 元/吨（0）， 杭州市场价 4860 元/吨（0）。近期在中美贸易和谈后，宏观情绪有所回 暖，PVC 库存仍在高位但略低于去年同期，季节性去库过程中，前期基 差走强给盘面一定的底部支撑。但中长期看，PVC 需求在地产拖累下持 续低迷，出口受反倾销和 BIS 认证等压制，出口以价换量持稳状态，且 出口体量总体占比不大（12%左右），制品出口端关税影响仍存；供应端 有不少新投计划，且烧碱利润高开工持续维持高位，最近库存去化尚可 但仍然高企。需求不足、产 ...

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 19 May 2025 [Table_header2] 奇德新材 (300995 CH) APPENDIX 1 Summary 奇德新材 Guangdong Kitech New Material (300995 CH) 高分子复合改性材料领军企业，碳纤维制品发展空间广阔 Polymer composite modified materials leader, accelerating international layout 孙小涵 Xiaohan Sun xh.sun@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) [Table_yejiao1] 本研究报告由海通国际分销，海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司，海通证券印度私人有限公司，海通国际株式会社和海通国 际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌，海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证 券活动。 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of polystyrene polymer new materials, recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and a "Little Giant" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [1] - Main products include GPPS (General Purpose Polystyrene) and HIPS (High Impact Polystyrene), widely used in electronics, optical displays, toys, daily plastic products, packaging, construction materials, and medical devices [1] Group 2: Production Capacity - The company currently has an annual production capacity of 300,000 tons of polystyrene products, ranking second in South China [3] - With the upcoming Phase III project set to launch in the first half of 2025, the total production capacity will increase to 480,000 tons, making it the largest in South China and the second largest nationwide [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 2.209 billion and a net profit of CNY 53.24 million [4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of CNY 538 million, a year-on-year increase of 20.46%, and a net profit of CNY 21.61 million, with a non-recurring profit growth of 532.49% [4] Group 4: Product Development and Market Expansion - The company plans to enhance the promotion of high-gloss HIPS materials and accelerate the introduction of low-temperature resistant HIPS materials, targeting sectors like new energy vehicles, medical devices, and food packaging [2][5] - The company has successfully acquired industrial land for its integrated polystyrene new materials project, aiming to improve supply chain resilience and expand product offerings [6]

Core Viewpoint - N330 carbon black futures prices are influenced by various factors including domestic and international demand, raw material costs, and global market conditions, which in turn affect related industries such as rubber, plastics, and coatings [2][3] Group 1: Definition and Importance - N330 carbon black futures contracts are financial derivatives that allow producers and users to hedge against future price risks, thereby mitigating the impact of market volatility on profits [2] Group 2: Factors Influencing Prices - Domestic and international demand fluctuations significantly impact N330 carbon black futures prices, with prices rising when demand exceeds supply and falling when there is an oversupply [2] - The cost of raw materials, particularly carbon black oil, directly affects production costs; an increase in carbon black oil prices leads to higher N330 carbon black futures prices [2] - International market dynamics, including supply-demand relationships, trade policies, and exchange rates, also play a crucial role in determining N330 carbon black futures prices [3] Group 3: Impact on Related Industries - Rising N330 carbon black futures prices increase production costs for the rubber industry, which may lead to higher prices for rubber products and reduced profit margins for companies [3] - Other industries such as plastics, coatings, and inks are similarly affected by fluctuations in N330 carbon black prices, potentially leading to increased production costs and market price hikes, which could impact product competitiveness [3] Group 4: Risk Management Strategies - Companies and investors should closely monitor market changes and implement risk management strategies, such as effective inventory management and timely adjustments to production and procurement plans, to mitigate the effects of price volatility [3]

Core Viewpoint - India has implemented import restrictions on certain goods from Bangladesh, including ready-made garments and processed foods, effective from May 17, 2023 [1] Group 1: Import Restrictions - The Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) of India has announced that imports of various types of ready-made garments from Bangladesh will not be allowed through any land border ports [1] - Only imports through the Navasheva Port and Kolkata Port are permitted for Bangladeshi goods [1] - The restrictions do not apply to goods transiting through India to Nepal and Bhutan [1] Group 2: Specific Goods Affected - The DGFT has prohibited the import of fruit drinks, carbonated beverages, processed foods, cotton and cotton waste, plastic and PVC products, and wooden furniture from Bangladesh through multiple land customs stations in Assam and Meghalaya [1]

Core Insights - The production of primary plastic shapes in Liaoning Province reached 648,000 tons in March 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.7% [1] - The growth rate for March 2025 is 8.5 percentage points higher than the same period last year, continuing a trend of growth [1] - For the first quarter of 2025, the total production of primary plastic shapes was 1.787 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 12.2% [3] Group 1 - In March 2025, Liaoning's primary plastic production accounted for 5.3% of the national total of 12.259 million tons [1] - The growth rate in March 2025 was 3.5 percentage points higher than the national average [1] - The cumulative production for January to March 2025 was 1.787 million tons, representing 5.2% of the national total of 34.410 million tons [3] Group 2 - The increase in production for March 2025 is indicative of a continuing upward trend in the industry [1] - The production growth for the first quarter of 2025 is 2.6 percentage points higher than the national average [3] - The data reflects a significant improvement in production metrics compared to previous years [3]

Group 1 - The article discusses the trends in the development and application of plastic materials in consumer electronics, emphasizing the shift towards sustainable and recyclable materials [3][5][79] - It highlights the importance of lightweight and thin-walled materials, which can reduce carbon emissions and enhance product performance [52][60][79] - The article mentions the increasing use of bioplastics and recycled materials in manufacturing, reflecting a growing consumer preference for sustainable products [89][91][106] Group 2 - The article outlines the advancements in LCP (Liquid Crystal Polymer) materials, which are crucial for high-frequency communication applications, ensuring reliable data transmission [20][21][37] - It notes the trend of using film technology to replace traditional automotive painting processes, potentially reducing CO2 emissions by up to 40% [11][12] - The article emphasizes the role of innovative manufacturing techniques, such as 3D printing and laser structuring, in enhancing the efficiency and sustainability of production processes [9][46][60] Group 3 - The article discusses the emergence of zero-carbon initiatives in various sectors, including automotive and food services, showcasing efforts to minimize environmental impact [5][8][79] - It highlights the significance of consumer awareness and demand for eco-friendly products, which is driving companies to adopt sustainable practices [82][85][88] - The article also addresses the challenges and opportunities in recycling and waste management, particularly in the context of plastic materials [79][90][99]

Core Insights - The N539 carbon black pricing adjustment tool emerges as an innovative solution to address challenges and opportunities faced by companies in a competitive market environment [2][3] - The tool enhances companies' insights and decision-making capabilities regarding carbon black pricing, allowing for more scientific pricing strategies and timely responses to market changes [2] Importance of the Tool - Carbon black is a crucial industrial raw material used across various industries such as rubber, plastics, coatings, and inks, making its pricing adjustments vital for companies' costs, profits, and market positions [2] - The N539 tool significantly improves companies' ability to navigate market volatility and uncertainty related to carbon black supply and demand [2] Features of the Tool - The tool utilizes data analysis and deep learning algorithms to accurately predict market trends and supply-demand dynamics for carbon black [2] - It offers pricing strategy optimization recommendations, enabling companies to balance costs with market demand effectively [2] - The N539 tool includes intelligent decision-making capabilities, allowing for flexible pricing adjustments based on sales strategies, market positioning, and competitor analysis [2] Applications Across Industries - In the rubber industry, the tool aids companies in forecasting raw material prices and market trends, facilitating timely price adjustments to stabilize costs and market share [3] - In the plastics sector, carbon black is a key component for enhancing materials, and the N539 tool helps achieve differentiated pricing for plastic products, boosting their added value and market competitiveness [3] - In the coatings and inks industries, the tool enables companies to respond flexibly to raw material cost fluctuations and develop corresponding pricing strategies to enhance profits and market share [3] Long-term Impact on Companies - The N539 tool assists companies in reducing production costs and improving profitability through accurate price forecasting and optimized pricing strategies [3] - By implementing refined pricing based on market demand and competitive conditions, companies can steadily increase market share and establish long-term customer relationships [3] - The tool also helps companies proactively develop strategies to track market changes, maintaining sharp market insights and competitive advantages [3]