相关股票： 农发种业金圆股份天孚通信长飞光纤赤峰黄金长飞光纤横店影视电声股份引力传媒晓程科 技赤峰黄金 相关快讯 相关文章 南方财经1月30日电，三大指数涨跌不一，沪指4100点失而复得，创业板指探底回升上演"深V"，此前 一度跌超1%。截至收盘，沪指跌1.19%，深成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨0.8%。沪深两市半日成交额1.93 万亿，较上个交易日缩量836亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超3800只个股下跌。从板块来看，算力 硬件概念逆势爆发，天孚通信涨超10%、长飞光纤涨停，均创历史新高。AI应用端盘中拉升，电声股份 20cm涨停，引力传媒涨停。影视板块表现活跃，横店影视2连板。农业概念反复活跃，农发种业3天2 板。下跌方面，有色金属板块集体大跌，贵金属方向领跌，晓程科技、赤峰黄金等多股跌停。锂矿概念 大跌，金圆股份跌停。 A股午评：沪指跌1.19% 有色金属板块集体大跌 21世纪经济报道 21快讯 2026-01-30 11:36 南方财经1月30日电，三大指数涨跌不一，沪指4100点失而复得，创业板指探底回升上演"深V"，此前 一度跌超1%。截至收盘，沪指跌1.19%，深成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨0 ...

传统年货大集开市 线上线下齐"赶集" 央视网消息：过了腊八就是年，各地消费市场人气旺、活力足，年味儿越来越浓。 春节临近，山西太原的传统年货大集1月28日开市。新年饰品、特色农产品、美食、非遗手作等商品一应俱全，20个大类、6000多 种商品，让消费者可以"一站式"购齐各种年货。除了现场购物，消费者还可以在大集的直播间下单，方便消费者的同时，也拓宽了 展商的销路。 马元素+本土特色 年宵花创意焕新 民宿预订也出现热潮。在安徽省黄山市歙县，当地的民宿迎来预订高峰，独具特色的徽州年俗体验，成为吸引游客前来过大年的核 心亮点。据了解，2026年春节前夕，歙县民宿预订量同比增长近四成，其中包含民俗体验项目的民宿预订率高达95%。 国风花灯点亮夜空 游客流连忘返 年味渐浓，年宵花市场迅速升温。江苏连云港的一些农企在年宵花里，融合了马元素和本地特色，打造出多种创意造型很受欢迎。 在海州区的这家农企里，各色蝴蝶兰开得正艳，花艺师通过枝干牵引、色彩搭配，让花瓣勾勒出昂首奔腾的骏马等创意造型，灵动 又喜庆。 春节民宿订单火爆 年俗体验受追捧 花灯璀璨年味浓。在河南开封，不少景区精心布置花灯，国风、国潮成为一大亮点。一条长廊一特 ...

A股三大指数涨跌不一，截至午间收盘，沪指跌1.19%报4108.46点，深成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨 0.8%，北证50指数涨0.18%。沪深京三市半日成交额19514亿元，较上日缩量836亿元，全市场超3800只 个股下跌。盘面上，金银价格再度大跳水，现货黄金失守5200美元/盎司，有色金属板块大幅回调，赤 峰黄金、山东黄金、白银有色等多股跌停；培育钻石、光伏设备、地产板块走低，农业、影视院线、 CPO板块则逆势上涨。 ...

1 月 30 日， A 股早盘低开低走。截至发稿，沪指跌破 4100 点，上证指数和深证成指跌幅均超1.5%。 板块方面，有色金属、钢铁、建材等跌幅居前。有色板块现跌停潮，南山铝业、铜陵有色、白银有色、云南铜业、兴业银锡等近 30 股跌停。 农业、文化传媒、银行等板块逆势上涨。 | 万得全A | 创业板指 | | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6719.75 | 3285.53 | | 1519.29 | | -127.53 -1.86% | -18.98 -0.57% | | -16.71 -1.09% | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | | 中证A500 | | 4677.87 | 8270.91 | | 5847.13 | | -76.00 -1.60% -246.94 -2.90% -121.78 -2.04% | | | | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | | 中证红利 | | 8150.97 | 5793.86 | | 5690.23 | | -181.24 -2.18% | -60.46 -1.03% | | -67.41 -1.17% | | ...

当前，全球经济增长动能深度切换，政策周期加速重构，中国企业家正身处一个充满波动与不确定性 的"潮汐时代"。1月25日至27日，"潮汐·灯塔"2026上海大学企业家商学院年度盛典，在北京圆满举办。 盛典创新践行"以训代会，战训结合"的办会模式，将理论与实战深度融合，为三百余位学员企业家搭建 起一场关于"如何在变局中锚定确定性"的深度实战对话。 图1："潮汐·灯塔"2026上海大学企业家商学院年度盛典活动现场 一、洞察前沿趋势，把握潮汐下的确定性机遇 本次盛典紧扣企业经营的痛点，汇聚宋志平、向松祚、张奥平等六位兼具一线实战经验与宏观战略视野 的企业家与经济学家，以"宏观趋势—政策解读—企业实操"的逻辑链条层层深入，为学员企业家搭建起 理解时代变局的认知框架。 盛典首日，著名宏观经济学家，深圳市大湾区金融研究院院长向松祚率先破题，深度剖析全球与中国宏 观经济趋势。他指出，当前世界经济不确定性持续加剧，中国经济呈现传统产业低迷与新兴领域崛起的 分化特征，人工智能、半导体、创新药等领域正在成为核心增长引擎。"不确定性恰恰是企业家创造价 值的机遇，"向松祚强调，"企业需聚焦'十五五'规划重点，聚焦硬科技、高精尖制造等领域 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the document. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Financial Derivatives**: The stock index futures showed a strengthened style conversion, with the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 and Shanghai 50 indices performing strongly while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices were weak. The market is expected to continue its upward - trending in an oscillatory manner. The treasury bond futures rose and then fell, continuing the oscillation pattern. The direct impact of the rumored new monetary policy tool on the bond market is considered neutral [21][22][23]. - **Agriculture**: For protein meal, the supply pressure persists, and the price on the disk is under pressure for adjustment. The international sugar price fluctuates greatly, while the domestic sugar price is slightly stronger. The external - market prices of the oil and fat sector have declined. The northern port's spot price of corn and corn starch has fallen, and the disk price is oscillating at a high level. The pig price is continuously declining due to the supply pressure. The peanut spot price is stable, and the disk price is oscillating at the bottom. The egg price has increased due to pre - festival stocking. The apple price is firm due to good pre - festival sales. The fundamentals of cotton and cotton yarn have changed little, and the cotton price is supported [26][28][35]. - **Black Metals**: The demand for steel is marginally weakening, and the steel price will continue to oscillate following the market sentiment. The fundamental influence on coking coal and coke is decreasing, while the capital disturbance is increasing. The terminal demand for iron ore is at a low level, and the ore price is oscillating. For ferroalloys, due to the sharp shock in the night - session commodities, some of the previous long positions should be closed for profit [56][57][61]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: The sharp decline in the US stock market has triggered a huge shock in the gold and silver markets. The liquidity squeeze has led to the decline of platinum and palladium. The concern about AI has caused the copper price to quickly retrace. The alumina price is mainly oscillating. The electrolytic aluminum price is oscillating widely at a high level, and the risk of capital leaving the market should be vigilant. The market liquidity of cast aluminum alloy has tightened, and the alloy has corrected with the sector. The zinc price should pay attention to the change of market sentiment. The lead price is in an oscillatory range due to weak supply and demand. The nickel price is operating at a high level under regulatory cooling. The stainless - steel price is in the off - season, supported by cost. The industrial silicon price should pay attention to the production - cut actions of large manufacturers. The polysilicon price should focus on the spot transaction in the short term. The lithium carbonate price is operating at a high level before the Spring Festival under regulatory cooling and tight supply - demand. The sharp decline in the US stock market has caused a significant retracement of the tin price [66][72][76]. - **Shipping**: Geopolitical conflicts remain unresolved, and the spot freight rates of shipping companies continue to be adjusted downward [112][113]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: The crude oil price fluctuates greatly. The asphalt price is oscillating at a high level supported by cost. The fuel oil inventory in Singapore decreased significantly last week, and geopolitical factors are favorable. The geopolitical disturbance of LPG has intensified. The geopolitical risk of natural gas has fermented, and the market volatility has increased again. The polyester sector, including PX and PTA, is strengthening due to geopolitical disturbance and cost support. The cost support for pure benzene and styrene is increasing, and they maintain an upward momentum. The ethylene glycol still has obvious inventory - accumulation pressure before the Spring Festival. The short - fiber and bottle - chip prices are following the cost side to be stronger. The cost support for propylene is increasing. The polyolefin has marginal production cuts, and long positions should be held. The caustic soda price is oscillating. The PVC is operating strongly. The soda ash and glass are in an oscillatory rebound pattern. The methanol price is strongly rising. The urea price is oscillating widely. The pulp price continues to oscillate widely. The high inventory of offset printing paper suppresses the increase of the paper price. The spot price of logs is moderately strong. The natural rubber and 20 - number rubber are strong due to the macro - environment. The butadiene rubber is also strong due to the macro - environment [116][118][123]. 3. Summaries According to the Catalog Financial Derivatives Stock Index Futures - **Market Performance**: The stock index futures showed a strengthened style conversion. On Thursday, the Shanghai 50 index rose 1.65%, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 index rose 0.76%, the CSI 500 index fell 0.97%, and the CSI 1000 index fell 0.8%. The main contracts of stock index futures also showed different trends, with IH2603 rising 1.95%, IF2603 rising 1%, IC2603 falling 1.16%, and IM2603 falling 0.53% [20][21]. - **Investment Logic**: The market was differentiated. The gold, non - ferrous, and oil and gas sectors performed strongly, while the technology stocks were weak. The market turnover exceeded 3 trillion yuan, and the style conversion is expected to continue. The market is expected to maintain an upward - trending in an oscillatory manner [20][21]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: expect an oscillatory upward trend; arbitrage: conduct cash - and - carry arbitrage of IM/IC long 2609 and short ETF; options: use a bull - spread strategy [22]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Market Performance**: On Thursday, most treasury bond futures closed higher, with the 30 - year main contract rising 0.07%, the 10 - year main contract rising 0.06%, the 5 - year main contract rising 0.01%, and the 2 - year main contract almost flat. The yields of inter - bank treasury bonds of major tenors fluctuated, with the medium - and short - term bonds performing better than the long - term bonds [23]. - **Investment Logic**: The central bank's net injection of short - term liquidity led to narrow fluctuations in the market's capital supply. The bond market sentiment was affected by the rumor of a new monetary policy tool and the performance of the stock and commodity markets. The direct impact of the new monetary policy tool on the bond market is considered neutral. The current capital market has relatively abundant liquidity, but if it deviates from the real - economy demand, the regulatory attitude may change [23][24]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: close the long positions of the TL contract at high prices; arbitrage: narrow the spread between new and old ultra - long - term bonds; options: not mentioned [24]. Agriculture Protein Meal - **External - market Situation**: The CBOT soybean index fell 0.69% to 1083.5 cents per bushel, and the CBOT soybean meal index fell 1.05% to 300.9 US dollars per short ton [26]. - **Related Information**: The US soybean and soybean meal export sales decreased. Brazil's soybean and soybean meal exports are expected to increase. The domestic soybean crushing volume decreased slightly, and the soybean and soybean meal inventories decreased [26][27]. - **Logic Analysis**: The overall supply - demand of US soybeans is relatively loose, and the center of gravity is expected to move downward. The domestic soybean meal cost is under pressure, but the short - term spot price may be supported. The medium - and long - term pressure on the disk price still exists [27]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: wait and see in the short term and sell short at high prices; arbitrage: expand the MRM spread; options: sell a strangle strategy [27]. Sugar - **External - market Changes**: The ICE US raw sugar main contract price fluctuated, falling 0.01 (- 0.07%) to 14.71 cents per pound. The London white sugar main contract fell 1.3 (- 0.31%) to 411.8 US dollars per ton [29]. - **Important Information**: The number of ships waiting to load sugar in Brazilian ports increased slightly, and the EU plans to suspend duty - free sugar imports. The domestic main - producing areas' white sugar spot prices are basically stable, and the overall transaction is generally good [30][31]. - **Logic Analysis**: Internationally, the influence of Brazilian sugar is decreasing, and the northern hemisphere's sugar production is mostly in an increasing cycle. The Indian sugar production may increase more than expected, putting downward pressure on the international sugar price. However, due to the low price and the strong performance of commodities, the US sugar price is expected to oscillate at the bottom. Domestically, the sugar supply is under pressure, but the low price and the support from the international market may limit the decline. The sugar price is expected to oscillate at the bottom [31][32]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: the international sugar price is expected to oscillate at the bottom in the short term, and the Zhengzhou sugar is expected to oscillate in a large range. It is recommended to buy low and sell high according to the macro - sentiment; arbitrage: wait and see; options: sell a put option [32]. Black Metals Steel - **Important Information**: Most independent electric - arc - furnace steel mills will stop production in February. The US initial jobless claims were slightly higher than expected. This week, the production of the five major steel products increased, and the inventory accumulation accelerated. The construction steel demand declined, while the hot - rolled coil demand increased [56]. - **Logic Analysis**: The black - metal sector oscillated strongly at night. The steel price is affected by the market sentiment. The cost has support, but the winter demand decline and inventory accumulation limit the upward space of the steel price. It is expected to continue to oscillate following the macro - sentiment before the Spring Festival [56]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: oscillate following the market sentiment; arbitrage: short the hot - rolled coil to coking coal ratio and hold the short position of the hot - rolled coil to rebar spread; options: wait and see [57]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Important Information**: The coking coal online auction had a high non - trading rate, and the Mongolian coking coal market was strong, but the transaction was cold. The coke and coking coal warehouse - receipt prices are provided [58][59]. - **Logic Analysis**: The coking coal price increase on the disk is mainly driven by capital. Fundamentally, the supply is not tight, and the downstream winter - storage demand is weak. The spot price has cooled. The influence of fundamentals has decreased, and the capital and sentiment factors are more important. It is expected to be strong in the near future [59]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: be strong; hold long positions and consider buying on dips; arbitrage: wait and see; options: sell an out - of - the - money put option [60]. Non - ferrous Metals Gold and Silver - **Market Review**: The London gold and silver prices fluctuated greatly. The US stock market decline triggered a shock in the precious - metal market. The US dollar index also fluctuated [67]. - **Important Information**: Trump will announce the candidate for the Fed chairman next week, and there are geopolitical events such as the cease - fire in Ukraine and the Iranian naval exercise [67][68]. - **Logic Analysis**: The decline in the US stock market led to market panic and a tightening of market liquidity. The adjustment of gold and silver is mainly due to technical factors and risk release. The overall macro - logic has not changed [68][69]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: conservative investors should take profits at high prices, while aggressive investors can hold long positions cautiously; arbitrage: go long on the external market and short on the domestic market for silver; options: take profits on the bull - call spread strategy for gold and silver [69][72]. Copper - **Market Review**: The main contract of Shanghai copper fell 2.03%, and the LME copper price rose 4.46%. The LME and COMEX copper inventories increased [76]. - **Important Information**: The concerns about AI investment returns have affected the copper price. The copper production in Zambia increased in 2025, while Southern Copper Corp. expects a decline in production in the next two years [76]. - **Logic Analysis**: The decline in the ore grade in Peru and the AI - related stock decline have affected the copper price. The LME inventory is expected to continue to increase, and the domestic market is in the inventory - accumulation stage. The copper price is expected to continue the upward trend, but the volatility will increase [77]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: aggressive investors can hold long positions above 105,000 - 106,000 yuan per ton; arbitrage: wait and see; options: wait and see [77][78]. Shipping Container Shipping - **Spot Situation**: The spot freight rate of the European line decreased. The 1/23 SCFI European line reported 1595 US dollars per TEU, a month - on - month decrease of 4.83%; the 1/26 SCFIS European line reported 1859.31 points, a month - on - month decrease of 4.9% [112]. - **Important Information**: There are geopolitical events such as Trump's executive order and the Iranian naval exercise [112]. - **Logic Analysis**: The demand for container shipping is declining, and the supply has a small - scale decrease. The traditional off - season is coming, and the rush - shipment is less than expected. The geopolitical situation is unstable, and the European line is difficult to resume large - scale shipping in the first half of the year [113]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: wait and see due to many short - term disturbances; arbitrage: take profits on most of the 6 - 10 calendar - spread long positions and hold a small part, and consider rolling operations on dips [115]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - **Market Review**: WTI crude oil futures rose 3.5% to 65.42 US dollars per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures rose 3.4% to 70.71 US dollars per barrel [117]. - **Related Information**: There are geopolitical events such as Trump's military order and the Iranian naval exercise. Venezuela reforms its petroleum law, and Saudi Aramco may lower the official selling price of crude oil to Asia in March [117]. - **Logic Analysis**: The military - conflict risk has increased, bringing a premium to the crude oil price. It is not recommended to chase high prices. The international oil price is expected to oscillate strongly, and the Brent main contract should focus on the 67 - 69 US - dollar range [118]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: hold long positions and do not chase high prices; arbitrage: the calendar spread is strong; options: wait and see [118]. Asphalt - **External - market Situation**: The WTI2603 and Brent2604 contracts rose. The BU2603 and BU2604 contracts in the night session also rose [119]. - **Important Information**: The spot price of asphalt in different regions has different trends. The demand is in the off - season, but the cost is supported by the crude oil price [120][121]. - **Logic Analysis**: The asphalt price follows the crude oil price to rise. The demand is weakening, but the low - inventory supply provides support. The raw - material price is rising [121]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading: be strongly oscillating and pay attention to geopolitical fluctuations; arbitrage: wait and see; options: wait and see [122].

期货市场交易指引 2026 年 01 月 30 日 | | 宏观金融 | | --- | --- | | ◆股指： | 中长期看好，逢低做多 | | ◆国债： | 震荡运行 | | | 黑色建材 | | ◆焦煤： | 短线交易 | | ◆螺纹钢： | 区间交易 | | ◆玻璃： | 观望 | | | 有色金属 | | ◆铜： | 观望或轻仓滚动持多 | | ◆铝： | 建议加强观望 | | ◆镍： | 建议观望 | | ◆锡： | 区间交易或前期多单止盈 | | ◆黄金： | 区间交易 | | ◆白银： | 偏强运行 | | ◆碳酸锂： | 区间震荡 | | | 能源化工 | | ◆PVC： | 区间交易 | | ◆烧碱： | 暂时观望 | | ◆纯碱： | 暂时观望 | | ◆苯乙烯： | 区间交易 | | ◆橡胶： | 区间交易 | | ◆尿素： | 区间交易 | | ◆甲醇： | 区间交易 | | ◆聚烯烃： | 偏弱震荡 | | | 棉纺产业链 | | ◆棉花棉纱： | 震荡调整 | | ◆苹果： | 震荡运行 | | ◆红枣： | 震荡运行 | | | 农业畜牧 | | ◆生猪： | 反弹滚动空机会 ...

首席点评：贵金属巨震 当地时间 1 月 29 日，美国总统特朗普表示，他将在下周公布美国联邦储备委员会下一任主席的提名人选。特 朗普当天早些时候在社交媒体上批评美联储主席鲍威尔 " 再次拒绝降息 " ，并声称美国利率应该在世界上处于 最低水平。特朗普还称，美联储下一任主席将 " 干得不错 " ，美联储目前利率 " 高得不可接受 " 。 1 月 29 日，国务院办公厅发布《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》，提出聚焦交通服务、家政服务、网络视听服 务、旅居服务、汽车后市场服务、入境消费 6 个重点领域，以及演出服务，体育赛事服务，情绪式、体验式服 务 3 个潜力领域，加快培育服务消费新增长点，促进服务消费提质惠民，为经济高质量发展提供有力支撑。国 际贵金属期货普遍收涨， COMEX 黄金期货涨 1.32% 报 5410.80 美元 / 盎司， COMEX 白银期货涨 1.98% 报 115.78 美元 / 盎司。 重点品种：贵金属、原油、铝 贵金属： 贵金属一度大幅下挫，随后震荡回升。近期国际金价持续飙升并迭创历史新高，这是地缘政治格局剧 烈动荡、全球政治经济秩序动摇与流动性环境持续宽松共同作用的必然结果。今年 ...

（来源：河北日报） 《河北省农业产业人才需求目录》以我省粮油、蔬菜、果品、中药材、奶业、畜禽六大农业主导产业为 调查对象，从总体调查样本中归纳提炼了种子繁育员、食品工程技术人员、食用菌生产工、农机驾驶操 作员、中药炮制工、动物疫病防治员、食品加工品控师、农产品经纪人等85个具有典型性、紧缺性和指 导性的人才需求岗位。目录设置了产业、岗位名称、职业代码、学历要求、专业要求、任职能力与要 求、薪资待遇、人才需求强度等指标，供查阅参考。 《河北省现代化钢铁产业人才需求目录》根据职业划分专业技术人员、生产制造人员、生产服务人员和 管理其他人员，从总体调查样本中归纳提炼了智能制造工程技术人员、质量管理工程技术人员、工业互 联网工程技术人员、工业机器人系统运维员、气体深冷分离工、供应链管理师、高级生产计划与调度分 析师等106个具有指导作用的关键岗位。目录设置了职业分类、职业岗位、职业代码、学历要求、专业 要求、任职能力要求、月薪区间、急需紧缺程度等指标。其中，月薪区间基于用人单位报送数据和行业 薪资大数据进行综合测算，采用去极值处理与区间方法，剔除异常值后提取有效样本，反映岗位在河北 省内的普遍薪酬水平。 转自：河北日 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" draft outlines a vision for Beijing by 2030, focusing on urban-rural integration, modern urban development, and ecological harmony, aiming to enhance the quality of life for residents and contribute to global ecological civilization [1][3]. Urban-Rural Integration and Regional Development - The plan emphasizes rural revitalization, urban vitality, and high-quality development of the Plain New City, with initiatives to enhance agricultural efficiency and improve living conditions for farmers [3]. - Beijing aims to construct and upgrade 600,000 acres of high-standard farmland and improve supply levels of vegetables, meat, eggs, and milk [3]. - The development of over 1,500 kilometers of "Beautiful Countryside Roads" and the standardization of water supply facilities in 300 mountainous villages are also highlighted [3]. Urban Vitality and Infrastructure - New urban vitality areas will be established along key axes, including the Grand Canal and the "Two Parks and One River" waterfront area, enhancing recreational experiences and cultural tourism [3][4]. - The plan includes the construction of major cultural facilities and parks, such as the National Museum of Nature and the Capital Planning Exhibition Hall, to enrich the cultural landscape [4]. Urban Governance and Public Spaces - A focus on urban governance will involve creating over 150 high-quality public spaces and updating more than 100 old factories and inefficient industrial parks [6]. - The annual investment in urban renewal is projected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030, with a commitment to a systematic and efficient urban planning and governance mechanism [6]. Environmental Sustainability - The plan aims to maintain a forest coverage rate of over 45% and includes initiatives for afforestation, with an additional 50,000 acres of new greenery planned [8][9]. - Efforts to improve water quality and ecological conditions along rivers such as the Yongding River and the Qing River are also part of the strategy [9][10]. Ecological Parks and Green Spaces - The addition of 100 ecological parks and the construction of small green spaces and pocket parks are planned, aiming for a 94% coverage rate of park green space within 500 meters in urban areas [10].