Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The report highlights that both copper and gold prices have risen, leading to record high quarterly performance. The company is expected to benefit from the continuous increase in copper and gold production and prices [8] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 78.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32.15% [8] - The copper production volume was 287,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, while the gold production volume was 19.1 tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.4% [8] - The average price of copper in Q1 2025 was 62,000 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, and the average price of gold was 641.5 yuan/gram, a year-on-year increase of 40.1% [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to have net profits of 40.8 billion yuan, 47.1 billion yuan, and 52.0 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.53 yuan, 1.77 yuan, and 1.96 yuan [7][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 11.2, 9.7, and 8.8 respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][25][28] Core Views - The company's performance is showing quarterly improvement, particularly in the electromagnetic wire business, which is releasing profits [1][3] - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of 124.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decline by 12.3% to 462 million yuan [1][6] - The company is focusing on improving its product and customer structure, and plans to expand production capacity in Southeast Asia to benefit from the growing demand for copper and rare earth permanent magnet materials in the new energy market [3][25] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net profit of 462 million yuan, with a significant increase in operating cash flow of 1.54 billion yuan [1][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 160 million yuan and has implemented a share buyback of 200 million yuan, totaling 360 million yuan, which accounts for 78% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1][6] - The gross profit margin for copper products has improved, with copper wire profits increasing by 80 yuan/ton year-on-year, and other copper products by 287 yuan/ton [2][14] Sales and Production - The company sold 1.814 million tons of copper products in 2024, a decrease of 41,000 tons year-on-year, while the sales of rare earth permanent magnet materials increased by 49% to 5,134 tons due to the commissioning of a new project [2][14] - The company has established a production capacity of 60,000 tons for new energy electromagnetic flat wires, with significant profit growth reported in both subsidiaries involved in this business [3][16] Future Projections - For the years 2025 to 2027, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 146.1 billion yuan, 150.6 billion yuan, and 155.1 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to grow significantly [3][25] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.41 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.61 yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [3][25]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Zijin Mining's Q1 2025 report shows a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 58.17% [3] - The company plans to produce 85 tons of gold in 2025, representing a 17% increase year-on-year, benefiting from rising gold prices and increased production [3] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 41.36 billion, 46.56 billion, and 51.88 billion yuan respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Zijin Mining achieved operating revenue of 789.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 101.67 billion yuan, up 62.39% year-on-year and 32.16% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company’s copper production increased by 9.49% year-on-year to 287,600 tons, while gold production rose by 13.45% to 19.07 tons in Q1 2025 [4] Price and Cost Analysis - The average selling price of copper increased by 3.27% year-on-year and 7.33% quarter-on-quarter, while the average selling price of gold rose by 40.07% year-on-year and 11.98% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The sales cost of copper increased by 7.57% year-on-year, and the sales cost of gold rose by 12.62% year-on-year [4] Share Buyback Plan - The company announced a share buyback plan with a total amount of 600 million to 1 billion yuan, aimed at employee stock ownership plans or equity incentive plans [5] - As of April 10, 2025, Zijin Mining had repurchased 64 million shares, accounting for 0.24% of total shares, with actual funds used amounting to approximately 1 billion yuan [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Expected operating revenue for 2025 is 374.81 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.4% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.56 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.3 [6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 22.1% in 2025 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Zijin Mining's Q1 2025 report shows a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 58.17% [3] - The company plans to produce 85 tons of gold in 2025, representing a 17% increase year-on-year, benefiting from rising gold prices and increased production [3] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 413.6 billion, 465.6 billion, and 518.8 billion respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Zijin Mining achieved an operating revenue of 789.28 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 101.67 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 62.39% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 32.16% [3] - The company’s copper production increased by 9.49% year-on-year to 287,600 tons, while gold production rose by 13.45% to 19.07 tons in Q1 2025 [4] Price and Cost Analysis - The average selling price for copper in Q1 2025 increased by 3.27% year-on-year and 7.33% quarter-on-quarter, while the average selling price for gold rose by 40.07% year-on-year and 11.98% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The sales cost for copper increased by 7.57% year-on-year, and for gold, it rose by 12.62% year-on-year, influenced by declining ore grades and increased stripping ratios [4] Share Buyback Plan - On April 8, 2025, Zijin Mining announced a share buyback plan with a total fund of 600 million to 1 billion, aimed at employee stock ownership plans or equity incentive plans [5] - As of April 10, 2025, the company had repurchased 64 million shares, accounting for 0.24% of total shares, demonstrating confidence in future growth [5] Financial Projections - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 374.807 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 23.4% [6] - The expected diluted EPS for 2025 is 1.56, with a P/E ratio of 11.3 [6] - The gross margin is projected to be 20.5% in 2025, with a net margin of 11.0% [6]

资料显示，该指数系列样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月第二个星期五的 下一交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个 定期调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对该指数系列样本进行临时调整。当样本退市 时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处 理。当中证沪港深互联互通综合指数和中证沪港深500指数样本发生变动时，将进行相应调整。 从指数持仓来看，中证沪港深互联互通上游指数十大权重分别为：紫金矿业（8.21%）、中国海洋石油 （7.92%）、中国神华（3.64%）、中国石油股份（3.06%）、中国神华（2.85%）、紫金矿业 （2.72%）、中国石油化工股份（2.55%）、中国石油（2.49%）、中国石化（2.36%）、陕西煤业 （2.15%）。 从中证沪港深互联互通上游指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比50.31%、香港证券交易所 占比27.39%、深圳证券交易所占比22.29%。 从中证沪港深互联互通上游指数持仓样本的行业来看，石油与天然气占比22.99%、工业金属占比 18.8 ...

有色金属/工业金属 洛阳钼业（603993.SH） 一季度铜钴产量同比提升，积极落实高质量发展 2025 年 04 月 11 日 相关研究报告 《矿山板块表现稳健，归母净利同比 高 增 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.10.31 《铜钴产量同比高增，业绩创历史新 高—公司信息更新报告》-2024.8.26 《国内有色金属矿业巨头，铜钴项目 放量助成长—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.5.27 温佳贝（分析师） 冯伟珉（联系人） wenjiabei@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040009 证书编号：S0790124070040 fengweimin@kysec.cn 公司发布 2025 年一季度产量报告，铜钴产量同比提升 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/10 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 6.58 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 9.87/5.91 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,414.65 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,155.83 | | 总股本(亿股) | 214.99 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 175.66 | ...

有色金属/工业金属 洛阳钼业（603993.SH） 一季度铜钴产量同比提升，积极落实高质量发展 2025 年 04 月 11 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/10 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 6.58 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 9.87/5.91 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,414.65 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,155.83 | | 总股本(亿股) | 214.99 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 175.66 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 77.8 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 洛阳钼业 沪深300 相关研究报告 《矿山板块表现稳健，归母净利同比 高 增 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.10.31 《铜钴产量同比高增，业绩创历史新 高—公司信息更新报告》-2024.8.26 《国内有色金属矿业巨头，铜钴项目 放量助成长—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.5.27 温佳贝（分析师） 冯伟珉（联系人） wenjiabei@ky ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 08 年 月 日 中国铝业（601600.SH） 铝产品"量价齐升"，25Q1 利润同比大幅增长 事件：公司于 2025 年 4 月 7 日披露 2025 年一季度业绩预增公告，预计 实现利润总额 62-67 亿元，同比增加 30%-40%；预计实现归母净利 34- 36 亿元，同比增加 53%-63%，环比增加 0.5%-6.4%，利润增加主要系 公司全方位极致降本增效及主要产品同比增产所致。 25Q1 青海 50 万吨电解铝项目爬产，电解铝增量成为利润贡献点。氧化 铝：1）价，根据 SMM 统计，25Q1 氧化铝均价 3833 元/吨，同比增长 15.2%，环比减少 28.1%。2）量，广西华昇二期 200 万吨氧化铝项目预 计于 2025 年上半年投产，全部投产后，公司氧化铝年产能为 2426 万吨， 权益产能 1967 万吨。电解铝：1）价，根据 SMM 统计，25Q1 电解铝均价 2.04 万元/吨，同比增长 7.3%，环比减少 0.5%。2）量，内蒙古华云三期 42 万吨电解铝项目及青海分公司 50 万吨电解铝项目中分别于 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a profit total of 62-67 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30%-40%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 34-36 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 53%-63% year-on-year [1] - The increase in profits is attributed to comprehensive cost reduction and efficiency improvements, along with a year-on-year increase in the production of key products [1] - The company aims to strengthen its competitive advantages across the entire industry chain through strategic initiatives, including market analysis, cost reduction, and efficiency enhancement [3] Summary by Sections Production and Pricing - In Q1 2025, the average price of alumina was 3,833 yuan/ton, up 15.2% year-on-year but down 28.1% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,400 yuan/ton, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year and a decrease of 0.5% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company is ramping up production at its new 50,000-ton electrolytic aluminum project in Qinghai, which is expected to contribute to profit growth [2] Strategic Goals - The company is committed to achieving its strategic goal of becoming a world-class enterprise by enhancing operational efficiency, optimizing industrial layout, promoting technological innovation, and improving management structures [3] - The focus includes expanding into small metal industries such as gallium, lithium, and magnesium, and advancing towards digital and automated operations [3] Market Outlook - Domestic electrolytic aluminum supply is nearing its capacity ceiling of 45 million tons, while demand is expected to recover, potentially driving aluminum prices higher [4] - The report suggests cautious assumptions for the average prices of electrolytic aluminum and alumina from 2025 to 2027, forecasting net profits of 10.4 billion, 12.6 billion, and 14.9 billion yuan for those years, respectively [4] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to decline slightly in 2025 to 222.31 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.38 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 16.3% [5] - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including earnings per share (EPS) estimates and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the coming years [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [2]. Core Viewpoints - China's response to U.S. tariffs includes a 34% additional tariff on all imports from the U.S. starting April 10, 2025, and export controls on certain rare earth elements [5]. - The precious metals market is experiencing increased volatility due to U.S. tariff announcements, with gold prices rising by 2.5% in the domestic market [5]. - Industrial metals are facing downward price pressure, particularly copper, which has seen a price drop of 2.0% on the SHFE and 9.8% on the LME [5]. - The report highlights a potential long-term bullish trend for precious metals, especially gold, due to declining real interest rates [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data Review - Precious Metals: Gold prices have decreased, while ETF holdings have increased, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange closing at 739 CNY per gram, a weekly change of 2.5% [10]. - Industrial Metals: Prices are predominantly declining, with SHFE copper down 2.0% and LME copper down 9.8% [27]. - Rare Earths & Tungsten: Prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxides have increased, indicating a recovery in manufacturing demand [5]. - Energy Metals: Lithium carbonate prices have decreased, with a focus on future demand growth [5]. 2. Market Performance - The report notes significant price changes across various metals, with copper and aluminum both experiencing declines [28]. - The SHFE copper price is reported at 78,860 CNY per ton, reflecting a 2.0% weekly decrease [29]. - Aluminum prices have also dropped, with SHFE aluminum at 20,420 CNY per ton, down 0.8% [43]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly in precious metals and industrial metals, with specific stock recommendations provided [6]. - For precious metals, companies like Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold are recommended due to their potential for growth [6]. - In industrial metals, companies such as Zijin Mining and China Hongqiao are highlighted for their resilience and growth potential [6].