通过港口、运价、经济景气度、韩国出口等高频追踪出口景气度。 文：国金宏观宋雪涛/联系人孙永乐 特朗普的"对等关税"和随之而来的"90天暂缓"让二季度的中国外贸形势变得复杂，我们梳理了一些可 以有效跟踪美国进口和中国出口节奏的 高频指标。 第一类：中美港口数据 一是美国主要港口的进口集装箱吞吐量。 易得的美国港口数据包括洛杉矶港进口集装箱吞吐量（周度）、洛杉矶港、长滩港、纽约新泽西港的集 装箱月度吞吐量数据。 截至4月19日，洛杉矶港口进口集装箱吞吐量同比增长8.6%，依旧处于相对高位。另外，部分机构也 会发布航运相关数据，如全美零售联合会预估美国7月集装箱进口量将减少27%，8月减少28%。 二是中国的港口货物和集装箱吞吐量 。 中国交通运输部每周公布港口完成货物和集装箱吞吐量数据。从历史数据看， 货物吞吐量同比增速与 中国进出口同比增速之间的相关性比较高 。 截至4月20日，4月中国港口完成货物、集装箱吞吐量同比分别增长4.4%、7.5%，3月为4.2%、 8.9%，港口货运依旧维持韧性，并未失速。 第二类：集装箱运价数据 一是中国公布的出口集装箱运价指数（ CCFI ）以及主要航线的集装箱运价指数，在一定 ...

Economic Overview - In 2023, China's low-altitude economy market size reached CNY 505.95 billion, with a growth rate of 33.8%[16] - The market size is expected to reach CNY 1.5 trillion by 2025 and CNY 3.5 trillion by 2035[16] Industry Development - The low-altitude economy's commercialization path is divided into three phases: strategic preparation (2025-2027), market expansion (2027-2030), and ecological maturity (2030-2035)[12][13] - China has nearly 700 drone manufacturers, leading globally in both consumer and industrial drone markets, holding over 70% and 50% market shares respectively[8] Stock Market Performance - The median price change for technology growth stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange was -3.48% from April 21 to April 25, 2025, with 14% of companies showing an increase[21] - Notable stock performers included Can Energy (+24.82%), Wanda Bearings (+21.38%), and Yi Neng Power (+8.23%)[21] Valuation Metrics - The median TTM P/E ratio for the information technology sector decreased from 38.5X to 38.0X, while the electronic equipment sector's P/E ratio fell from 56.6X to 51.1X[26][39] - The total market value of the electronic equipment sector decreased from CNY 134.06 billion to CNY 129.44 billion[28] Company Highlights - Weimiao Electronics has secured a project for the Xiaopeng Huaitian flying car control console wiring harness[17] - Parallel Technology serves as a cloud client for Xiaopeng Huaitian, a key player in the low-altitude economy[17]

关税政策出台前夕 美国耐用品订单飙升 金十数据4月24日讯，美国耐用品的需求在3月份飙升，因为企业在特朗普总统本月初宣布关税之前获得 了订单。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，3月份汽车、飞机和电子设备等至少使用三年的商品订单总 额较2月份增长9.2%。这是连续第三个月增长，与2月份0.9%的增幅相比，是一个巨大的飞跃。接受 《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家此前预计的增幅仅为1.6%。美国商务部说，运输设备订单增长27%，资 本货物订单增长24%，非国防飞机和零部件订单飙升139%。 ...

随着"并购六条"落地见效，A股并购重组市场持续活跃。Wind数据显示，今年以来，共有300余家上市 公司首次披露重大资产重组计划，产业整合与新质生产力方向成为主流趋势，多地政府发文鼓励区域内 上市公司实施并购重组，审核端也出现了跨界并购过会的案例。 一位大型券商投行人士表示，本轮并购重组更尊重市场规律，对于科技创新支持力度较大，上市公司参 与并购重组的积极性被充分调动。同时，跨界并购与产业链纵向整合日益成为更多上市公司的破局新 机，由并购重组带动的产业整合将加快资本市场生态的优胜劣汰。 并购重组市场持续活跃 并购重组是支持经济转型升级、实现高质量发展的重要市场工具。去年以来，在"并购六条""科创板八 条"等政策的助推下，并购重组市场持续活跃，产业整合类并购成为主流，围绕新质生产力方向的整合 已成趋势，各种典型案例不断出现，包括试水未盈利资产收购、上市公司之间收购整合、拟IPO企业转 向重组实现证券化等。 跨界并购有新动向 支持政策继续加码 今年以来，对于并购重组的支持力度，逐步从国家部委传递到地方政府。 3月，国家金融监督管理总局宣布开展适度放宽科技企业并购贷款政策试点工作，试点范围为18个城 市。对于"控股 ...

【今日推荐】 第一财经每日精选最热门大公司动态。 爱奇艺杀入直播带货 欧盟对苹果开出5亿欧元罚单 4月23日，欧盟反垄断监管机构对苹果公司开出5亿欧元 （折合 人民币 约41亿元 ） 罚单，并对Meta 公司开出2亿欧元（ 折合 人民币 约17亿元 ） 罚单，这也是欧盟首次在《数字市场法》的监管框架 下对苹果等公司实施的制裁。此前，欧盟委员会对这些美国科技公司是否遵守《数字市场法》进行了 长达一年的调查。 余承东称"尚界"会"大爆" 4月23日，在上海车展上，华为常务董事、终端BG董事长余承东为上汽集团站台，并表示华为和上 汽集团一起打造的"尚界"品牌首款车上市后预计销量会"大爆"，要上汽集团准备好足够的产能。 马斯克公开反对美国关税！称擎天柱难产，特斯拉供应链受冲击 当地时间4月22日，特斯拉公布财报显示，第一季度汽车业务营收较上年同期暴跌 20%。在糟糕的业 绩公布后，马斯克表示，他将公开反对美国关税。特斯拉重申，今年在加州弗里蒙特的一条试点生产 线上开始生产人形机器人。不过据参考消息援引外媒报道，马斯克表示，特斯拉的擎天柱人形机器人 的生产受到了中国稀土磁体出口限制的影响。 【互联网】 微信安全中心发布 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a net sell-off of 181.07 billion HKD from Northbound trading, with 94.39 billion HKD from Shanghai Stock Connect and 86.69 billion HKD from Shenzhen Stock Connect [1] - The most net bought stocks by Northbound investors were Meituan-W (03690), Kangfang Biotech (09926), and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) [1] - The most net sold stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828), and China Mobile (00941) [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Meituan-W (03690) saw a net buy of 5.57 billion HKD, supported by a report from CMB International highlighting its competitive advantages and expected stable industry dynamics [4] - Kangfang Biotech (09926) received a net buy of 3.42 billion HKD, with positive implications from its clinical trial results for a new drug [5] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) had a net buy of 1.4 billion HKD, despite fluctuations in international gold prices, with a positive outlook for the second quarter [5] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) faced a net sell of 5.38 billion HKD, amid rumors regarding the delay of its new model launch, which were denied by the company [6] - China Mobile (00941) experienced a significant net sell of 14.23 billion HKD, with its Q1 2025 revenue showing minimal growth and a notable decline in cash flow [7] - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828) faced net sells of 90.65 billion HKD and 67.76 billion HKD respectively, influenced by external tariff discussions [8]

Group 1 - The A-share merger and acquisition (M&A) market is experiencing a surge in activity, with over 300 listed companies disclosing M&A plans this year, particularly in strategic emerging industries such as semiconductors, electronic equipment, and machinery [1][3] - Major transactions exceeding 1 billion or even 10 billion yuan are becoming common, with local governments establishing M&A funds to promote industrial integration [1][3] - Notable M&A cases include Liansheng Technology's acquisition of 69.71% of Xingshu Century and TCL Technology's acquisition of 21.5311% of Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 11.562 billion yuan, enhancing their positions in the market [3] Group 2 - Three new characteristics are emerging in the M&A market: the innovation of payment tools, the popularity of unprofitable assets, and the market-oriented performance commitments [3][4] - Convertible bonds are becoming a favored payment method for M&A, aligning with the high premium targets in sectors like semiconductors and biomedicine [3] - Regulatory bodies are enhancing their inquiry efficiency, focusing on unprofitable assets and cross-industry mergers, while encouraging compliance and preventing speculative behaviors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The "America First Investment Policy" memorandum continues the Trump administration's stance on strengthening foreign investment reviews, focusing on a "differentiated" review mechanism that relaxes investment restrictions from allies while strictly controlling investments from "foreign adversaries" [1][3]. Summary by Sections Investment Policy Framework - The memorandum aims to promote the development of high-tech industries like AI domestically while welcoming investments from allies and partners, provided they align with U.S. interests and benefit the American people [5]. - Investments from allied countries will have a "fast-track" process, facilitating easier access to U.S. technology sectors, but must avoid collaboration with foreign adversaries [5]. Regulatory Measures - The Trump administration has previously issued several executive orders regarding foreign investment restrictions, including Executive Order 13959 and its revision 14032, as well as Biden's 14032 and the recent 14105 [4]. - The policy framework includes various entity lists for investment control, such as NS-CMIC List, SDN List, MEU List, and Entity List, with additional attention to CMC List and UFLPA Entity List [4]. Entity Lists and Their Implications - The NS-CMIC List targets U.S. persons' investments in Chinese military-related companies, with 68 entities listed as of January 2025, primarily in capital goods and technology hardware sectors [9]. - The SDN List includes entities that face asset freezes and transaction bans, with over 600 Chinese entities listed, mainly related to sanctions against Russia and Iran [12][13]. - The Entity List restricts access to sensitive technologies for over 900 Chinese entities, particularly in software, hardware, and semiconductor sectors [17]. - The MEU List is used to control items for military purposes, with 71 Chinese entities listed as of January 2025 [18]. - The CMC List, established by the Department of Defense, includes 134 Chinese entities, primarily in capital goods and technology sectors, with potential future restrictions [21]. - The UFLPA Entity List focuses on products linked to forced labor allegations, with 144 Chinese entities listed, affecting various industries [23]. Future Considerations - The U.S. government may further develop new tools to limit investments in Chinese companies, although successful negotiations between the U.S. and China could render the memorandum less impactful [27].

《美国优先投资政策》备忘录延续了特朗普政府加强外资审查力度的立场，核心在于建 立"差别化"的审查机制：一方面放宽盟国对美投资限制，另一方面严格管控与"外国对 手"国家的双向投资活动。 文：国金宏观宋雪涛/联系人厉梦颖 随着对等关税和对等反制的升级，市场担心贸易摩擦可能向其他领域蔓延，在此背景下，2月21日特朗 普政府出台的《美国优先投资政策》备忘录引发关注。 就在《美国优先投资政策》发布一个月前的1月20日，特朗普政府发布的《美国优先贸易政策》备忘录 已释放信号——将重新评估上届政府的对外投资法规。 《美国优先投资政策》备忘录延续了特朗普政府加强外资审查力度的立场，核心在于建立"差别化"的审 查机制： 一方面放宽盟国对美投资限制，另一方面严格管控与"外国对手"国家的双向投资活动 。 虽然目前公布的只是政策框架，但特朗普政府已明确要求相关政府部门启动配套法规制定程序，为后续 出台具体监管措施铺平道路。 特朗普第一任期和拜登政府时期，均颁布过一些对外投资限制命令。 比如特朗普第一任期的2020年11月12日第13959号行政命令，2021年6月3日第14032号行政命令 （对第13959号的修订），拜登政府时期的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Aishide, is a leading digital smart distribution and retail service provider in China, focusing on mobile smart terminals, 3C digital products, communication and value-added services, and fast-moving consumer goods sales services. The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with numerous top brands and is expanding its own brand presence in the 3C digital and fast-moving consumer goods sectors [3][4][8]. Company Overview - Aishide operates in digital smart distribution, digital smart retail, and other innovative businesses, serving as a national first-level distributor for major mobile brands like Apple, Honor, Samsung, and Meizu. The company has built a comprehensive offline sales service network and online capabilities, achieving digital, visual, and intelligent management of all flows in the goods circulation process [4][5]. - The company provides full-scenario digital retail empowerment services, helping offline retail stores integrate with online traffic to create a new ecosystem of integrated retail [5]. Financial Performance - In the 2024 fiscal year, Aishide reported a total operating income of CNY 65.82 billion, a decrease of 28.58% compared to the previous year. The operating profit was CNY 864.05 million, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 581.49 million, reflecting declines of 6.71%, 6.54%, and 11.26% respectively [26][29]. Profit Distribution Plan - The board approved a profit distribution plan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of CNY 5 per 10 shares (including tax), based on a total share capital of 1,239,281,806 shares as of December 31, 2024. The total cash dividend payout will amount to CNY 619.64 million, with no capital reserve conversion or bonus shares issued [2][29]. Asset Impairment Provision - The company has decided to recognize an asset impairment provision for the 2024 fiscal year, which will reduce the total profit by CNY 16.90 million. The provision includes bad debt, inventory depreciation, and goodwill impairment, with the total amounting to CNY 71.09 million at the end of the reporting period [74][81].