曾因押注英伟达、特斯拉和亚马逊而声名鹊起的英国知名科技投资者James Anderson，如今对AI领域的 估值狂欢发出了警告。 据英国《金融时报》最新报道，James Anderson本周表示，尽管直到近一两个月他尚未看到明显的泡沫 迹象，但OpenAI在不到一年内估值从1570亿美元飙升至5000亿美元，以及其竞争对手Anthropic的估值 在过去六个月里几乎增长两倍至1700亿美元。 他认为，这种估值跳升的规模和速度"令人不安"。并且，英伟达计划向其大客户之一OpenAI巨额投资 的举动，让他联想到了互联网泡沫时期盛行的"供应商融资"模式。 而Anderson的言论伴随着实际行动。他所管理的基金Lingotto Innovation Strategy已在今年早些时候减持 了英伟达的头寸，而这家芯片巨头曾是该基金的最大持仓。 历史的回响：警惕"供应商融资"模式 Anderson的担忧集中在英伟达与OpenAI之间潜在的1000亿美元巨额投资上。 Anderson的合伙人Morgan Samet表示，Lingotto投资管理公司现在将投资从种子期到上市后的初创企 业。 她补充说，她尤其看好自动驾驶汽车和人 ...

U.S. stock futures were lower this morning, with the Dow futures falling more than 100 points on Tuesday.Shares of Energy Fuels Inc (NYSE:UUUU) fell sharply in pre-market trading after the company announced a proposed $550 million private offering of convertible senior notes due 2031.Energy Fuels shares dipped 6.4% to $15.47 in pre-market trading.Here are some other stocks moving lower in pre-market trading.Epsium Enterprise Limited (NASDAQ:EPSM) fell 24.3% to $18.60 in pre-market trading after dipping 30% ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Overview - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) followed the Federal Reserve's rate cut on September 18, reducing the base rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%, indicating potential further declines in interest rates due to the Fed's ongoing easing policy [4][12]. - The Hong Kong dollar (HKD) appreciated slightly against the US dollar, with the exchange rate at 7.7839 on September 29, compared to 7.7963 at the end of August, reflecting a stable banking system surplus of HKD 54.2 billion [13]. Group 2: Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 6.16% over the past month, with the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 11.45% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up by 5.66% [5][15]. - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Hang Seng Index reached 12.06 times, placing it in the 79.7% percentile of the past decade, while the average price-to-book (P/B) ratio was 1.23 times, in the 83.6% percentile [19][21]. Group 3: Sector Analysis - The materials sector saw the highest increase, with an 18.4% rise, followed by non-essential consumer goods at 17.8%, while telecommunications experienced the largest decline [15][17]. - Notable performers in the sub-sectors included other metals and minerals, food additives, and online retailers, which rose by 39.9%, 31.5%, and 31.2% respectively [17]. Group 4: Capital Flows - Southbound capital inflows reached over HKD 160 billion in September, marking a four-year monthly high, with total inflows for the year surpassing HKD 1 trillion for the first time [25][27]. - The sectors attracting the most inflows included non-essential consumer goods, healthcare, and information technology [27].

Group 1 - Hong Kong stocks strengthened today, with technology-related concepts such as semiconductors, integrated circuits, and chips leading the gains [1] - As of the market close, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index rose by 2.3%, the Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 2.1%, and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index climbed by 1.9% [1] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical and Health Comprehensive Index and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index both rose by 1.8% [1] Group 2 - According to Wind data, as of last Friday, the net inflow for the E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) exceeded 4 billion yuan in the past month, ranking first among similar ETFs [1] - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF tracks the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index, which consists of the 50 largest stocks in "new economy" sectors within the Stock Connect range [2] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index, composed of the 30 largest stocks highly related to technology, with over 90% of the index comprising information technology and consumer discretionary sectors [2] Group 3 - The Hang Seng Medical ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical and Health Comprehensive Index, which includes 50 highly liquid and large-cap stocks in the healthcare sector, accounting for over 90% of the index [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index, consisting of stocks from 30 leading internet companies, primarily in information technology and consumer discretionary sectors [2] - The Hang Seng Consumer ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index, which includes 50 large-cap consumer stocks, with nearly 60% in consumer discretionary [3]

2025 年 9 月 29 日 招银国际环球市场 |宏观策略 | 大类资产配置 第四季度策略 Market Strategy - 更加均衡 更加均衡 第四季度看多股票、商品和非美货币，看空债券和美元，建议资产组合和区域 配置更加均衡。美国经济小幅滞涨，白宫对美联储干预和美联储降息令收益率 曲线陡峭化，利空美元与美债，利好股票与商品。欧元区经济好于预期，通胀 止跌走平，国债收益率回升。英国经济放缓，通胀居高，利率远期有下降空 间。日本经济放缓，通胀回落，但加息可能延续。中国经济弱复苏，通缩可能 改善，国债收益率回升。 资料来源：彭博，招银国际环球市场 0 10 20 30 40 50 美元货基 英镑货基 欧元货基 日元货基 人民币货基 全球投资级债 美国投资级债 美国高收益债 其他投资级债 新兴市场债 MSCI全球 MSCI美国 MSCI英国 MSCI欧元区 MSCI日本 MSCI中国 黄金 比特币 铜 原油 2025YTD收益(%) 商品 股票 债券 货基 图 1: 年初以来各大类资产收益(美元计价) 叶丙南, Ph.D (852) 3761 8967 yebingnan@cmbi.com.hk 刘泽晖 (8 ...

A-Share Market - The A-share market is experiencing a divergence, with growth styles outperforming. The ChiNext Index and the CSI 100 Index increased by 1.96% and 1.75% respectively, while the CSI 1000, CSI 2000, and the Northbound 50 Index saw declines, with the Northbound 50 dropping by 3.11% [2][7] - The semiconductor industry chain is performing well, particularly in equipment and wafer foundry sectors, leading to a 3.67% increase in the electronics sector. The long-term growth outlook for technology hardware remains positive due to demand driven by AI [5][7] - The average daily trading volume for the week was 2.31 trillion, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 8.13% [2][7] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market is generally weak, with major indices recording declines. The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.57% and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.58%. The materials sector was the only standout, increasing by 2.53%, while healthcare, consumer staples, and real estate sectors saw significant declines [9][10] - The market's performance is under pressure from weak economic data from the mainland and the digestion of Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations. The healthcare sector is notably impacted by potential high tariffs on Chinese pharmaceuticals from the US [9][10] - Future market trends in Hong Kong will be influenced by developments in AI and technology sectors, with Alibaba's CEO announcing a three-year plan to invest 380 billion in AI infrastructure, which is expected to significantly enhance cloud computing capabilities by 2032 [10]

Group 1 - The core index, the Sci-Tech 50 Index, experienced a significant decline, closing at 1450.82 points with a drop of 1.61% and a trading volume of approximately 939.0 billion yuan [1] - The overall performance of the Sci-Tech Composite Index also fell by 1.97%, ending at 1671.02 points with a total trading volume of 2466 billion yuan [2] - The majority of the 588 stocks in the Sci-Tech board saw declines, with an average drop of 1.52% and an average turnover rate of 3.32% [2] Group 2 - Individual stock performance highlighted that Fangyuan Co. and Pinming Technology reached their daily limit up, while Borui Pharmaceutical saw the largest decline at 12.57% [3] - In terms of trading volume, SMIC led with a transaction amount of 121.8 billion yuan, while *ST Guandian had the lowest at 487.4 million yuan [4] - The turnover rate was highest for Juhe Materials at 19.93%, while Longteng Optoelectronics had the lowest at 0.26% [5]

Group 1 - The company has established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hong Kong named Orbiva Limited, with the registration completed on September 22, 2025 [1] - The decision to create Orbiva Limited is driven by the increasing global demand for healthcare and the company's achievements in the healthcare sector, leveraging its expertise in IoT and smart control technologies [1] - Orbiva Limited will serve as a new strategic core for the company, focusing on expanding its healthcare-related business, including an AIoT-enabled home healthcare platform and ecosystem [1] Group 2 - The company will maintain its existing product-based healthcare business while allowing Orbiva Limited to operate independently under the original structure [1] - The new brand under Orbiva Limited will aim to integrate hardware, software, data, and services to provide comprehensive healthcare operational services [1]

Core Insights - HOME CONTROL (01747) has established a wholly-owned subsidiary named Orbiva Limited in Hong Kong to expand its healthcare business in response to growing global healthcare demands [1][2] - Orbiva Limited will focus on developing an AIoT-enabled home healthcare platform and ecosystem, integrating hardware, software, data, and services [1] Company Developments - The formation of Orbiva Limited was completed on September 22, 2025, under Hong Kong's Companies Ordinance [1] - The company aims to leverage its existing IoT and smart control technologies along with the expertise of its new board members to drive its healthcare initiatives [1] Strategic Partnerships - Orbiva Limited is exploring collaborations with renowned academic institutions for joint laboratories and other suitable forms of cooperation in technology research and development [2] - The company is in discussions with leading hardware suppliers to define and develop products, as well as engaging with fintech institutions for innovative business models [2] - The board anticipates progress in these collaborations and will continue to seek partnership opportunities in the outlined business directions [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company,朸浚国际, has successfully completed a placement of 198 million shares at a price of HKD 0.063 per share, raising approximately HKD 12.37 million for further development in its healthcare and beauty business [1] Group 1: Placement Details - The placement involved 198 million shares, representing about 16.66% of the company's enlarged issued share capital post-placement [1] - The shares were successfully placed to no fewer than six subscribers according to the terms of the placement agreement [1] - The net proceeds from the placement, after deducting related expenses, amount to approximately HKD 12.37 million, equating to a net issue price of about HKD 0.0622 per share [1] Group 2: Use of Proceeds - The company plans to utilize the entire net proceeds for further development in its healthcare and beauty business, as previously disclosed in announcements [1]