Group 1 - The article argues against the view that employment growth has been revised down by 60,000 jobs monthly since March 2025, suggesting a smaller adjustment of about 20,000 jobs instead [1] - Recent data indicates that private sector employment has shown minimal downward adjustment, with healthcare sector jobs contributing significantly to the overall growth [1] - The construction industry has seen strong growth, adding 33,000 jobs, while manufacturing has recorded its first increase since November 2024, with 5,000 new jobs [1] Group 2 - The expected breakeven point for non-farm employment growth in 2026 has been revised down to between 0 and 20,000 jobs, reflecting a more cautious outlook [2] - The analysis suggests that limited labor supply growth and moderate demand will characterize the labor market, influenced by demographic trends such as aging population and immigration policy restrictions [2] - A decline in job vacancies has been noted, which may impact the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments, as lower vacancies often correlate with rising unemployment [2][3] Group 3 - The article highlights the importance of the Beveridge Curve in understanding the inverse relationship between job vacancies and unemployment, which has been used to justify past interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - Future insights into labor demand may be revealed in the upcoming January JOLTS report, although the low response rate of the survey may lead to significant monthly revisions [3] - Preliminary estimates for February suggest a non-farm employment increase of 65,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.3%, with expectations that employment growth will slightly exceed the structural breakeven point in 2026 [3][4]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 文章来源：金十数据 在经历了令人失望的2025年之后，美国劳动力市场在新年伊始展现出了惊人的韧性。最新公布的非农就业报告超预期，不仅打消了市场对经济快速衰退的担 忧，也促使交易员们重新评估美联储的政策路径，交易员们完全定价美联储7月降息，此前预期为6月。 美国1月季调后非农就业人口增加13万人，大幅高于市场预期中值7万人，创2025年4月以来最大增幅。美国1月失业率录得4.3%，略低于市场预期的4.4%， 创2025年8月以来新低。 11月份非农新增就业人数从5.6万人修正至4.1万人；12月份非农新增就业人数从5.0万人修正至4.8万人。修正后，11月和12月新增就业人数合计较修正前低 1.7万人。 非农数据公布后，现货黄金短线一度跳水近40美元，美国国债在非农就业数据公布后全线下跌。非美货币普遍跳水，欧元兑美元短线走低超60点；英镑兑美 元短线走低超70点；美元兑日元短线拉升近百点。 就业市场的结构性改善同样明显。作为衡量潜在购买力的关键指标，平均时薪环比增长0.4%，表现强于预期；平均周工时也回升至34.3小时。此外，劳动力 参与率从62 ...

北京时间2月12日凌晨，美股周三小幅收跌。美国1月非农就业报告显示非农就业数据远超预期，表明经 济基础仍保持稳健，降低了美联储在年中之前降息的概率。 道指跌66.74点，跌幅为0.13%，报50121.40点；纳指跌36.01点，跌幅为0.16%，报23066.47点；标普500 指数跌0.36点，跌幅为0.01%，报6941.45点。 美国劳工统计局周三上午发布了1月非农就业报告。该数据因2月3日结束的联邦政府部分停摆而被推迟 发布。 数据显示美国1月非农就业人数增加13万人，远超预期。由于美国雇主1月新增13万个就业岗位，远高于 预期，美国股指期货上涨。美国劳工部称，失业率降至4.3%。 道琼斯调查显示，经济学家上月平均预期新增就业岗位为5.5万个。 此前经济学家预计，最新就业报告将显示1月就业几乎没有增长。道琼斯调查显示，市场普遍预期新增 就业5.5万人，而12月为新增5万人。经济学家还预计失业率将落在4.4%。此外，交易员还将关注劳工统 计局的一系列修正数据，这可能为美国就业市场和经济状况提供线索。 非农就业报告缓解了由周二弱于预期的消费者数据引发的市场负面情绪。周二的数据显示12月消费者支 出环比持 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed stronger-than-expected growth in January, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 130,000, significantly surpassing the Dow Jones estimate of 55,000 [2][3] - The unemployment rate decreased slightly to 4.3%, below the market expectation of 4.4%, indicating an overall improvement in the employment situation [3][4] - The healthcare sector was the primary driver of job growth, adding 82,000 positions, while the social assistance sector contributed 42,000 jobs [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicated a downward revision of initial employment data by 898,000 for the year prior, aligning with Wall Street expectations [4] - Analysts noted that the strong job growth in January may stabilize the labor market, despite ongoing weaknesses, providing a more encouraging outlook for the year ahead [4] - Following the employment data release, expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut were pushed back from June to July, with the probability of a rate cut in March dropping from 19.6% to 6% [5][6]

今晚，美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国1月季调后非农就业人口增加13万人，大幅高于市场预期中值7万人，创2025年4以来最大增幅；前 值由5万人修正为4.8万人。 美国1月失业率录得4.3%，略低于市场预期的4.4%，创2025年8月以来新低；前值4.40%。 消息公布后，股指期货小幅走高，国债收益率也大幅上涨。 医疗保健行业强劲 由于部分政府停摆于2月3日结束，该报告推迟了近一周发布。报告显示，劳动力市场处于低增长状态，但裁员增加的迹象只是零星出现。 分行业来看，医疗保健行业在12月份引领了就业增长，新增职位8.2万个。 社会救助行业的就业人数也有所增加，增加了4.2万个，这两个类别几乎贡献了全部的净新增就业岗位。建筑业在经历了一年来增长乏力之后， 今年新增了3.3万个就业岗位。 多个行业出现就业下滑。由于去年因政府效率削减而被裁员但接受了延期辞职的员工不再计入工资统计，联邦政府就业岗位减少了3.4万个。金 融活动岗位减少了2.2万个。 薪资方面，1月平均每小时工资环比增长0.4%，超出市场预估的0.3%，同比增长3.7%。 劳动参与率从62.4%上升至 62.5%，也略好于预期不变的数据。 在主要劳动群 ...

但本次报告同时将2025年全年就业增长规模由最初报告的58.4万大幅下调至18.1万，基准修正幅度显著，表明去年劳动力市场的实际疲软程度远超 此前认知。 美国1月就业增长创下2024年12月以来新高，失业率意外降至4.3%，显示劳动力市场在经历疲弱的2025年后显现韧性。然而，劳工统计局同步进 行的年度基准修正，却大幅下修去年就业数据，令前期统计失真的程度进一步暴露。 当地时间周三，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，1月非农就业人口增长13万人，大幅高于市场预期的6.5万人，创2025年4月以来最大增幅；失业率 小幅意外降至4.3%，预期和前值均为4.4%。平均时薪环比上涨0.4%，高于预期的0.3%及下修后的前值0.1%；劳动力参与率小幅升至62.5%，略优 于预期。 就业增长超预期但历史数据大幅下修 1月非农新增13万人，远超预期。此前多名白宫官员释放预警信号：贸易顾问彼得·纳瓦罗表示"必须大幅下调对月度就业数据的预期"，前白宫经 济顾问凯文·哈塞特亦对CNBC称"近期就业数据将略显疲软"。相关言论引导市场部分参与者形成低至3.5万人的预期，远低于6.5万人的共识中值。 与此同时，劳工统计局发布年度基准修正，将 ...

美国股指期货在1月份就业人数报告大幅超出预期后扩大了早盘涨幅。政府表示，医疗保健、社会援助 和建筑业的就业出现增长，而联邦政府和金融活动的就业岗位减少。仅医疗保健领域在1月份就增加了 82,000个就业岗位。2025年医疗保健领域的就业增长平均为每月33,000人。该报告或将减轻美联储近期 降息的压力。标普股指期货上涨35点。 来源：滚动播报 ...

家庭调查数据 1月失业率为4.3%，失业人数为740万人，均变化不大。这两项指标均高于一年前的水平，当时失业率 为4.0%，失业人数为690万人。 在主要劳动者群体中，1月青少年失业率降至13.6%。成年男性（3.8%）、成年女性（4.0%）以及白人 （3.7%）、黑人（7.2%）、亚裔（4.1%）和西班牙裔（4.7%）的失业率当月变化不大。 1月长期失业者（失业27周及以上）人数基本持平，为180万人，但较一年前增加38.6万人。长期失业者 占1月全部失业人口的25.0%。 1月劳动力参与率为62.5%，就业人口比率为59.8%，均变化不大。这些指标在过去一年中总体保持稳 定。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金十数据 美国劳工统计局今日报告称，1月非农就业人数增加13万人，失业率小幅变动，维持在4.3%。就业增长 主要来自医疗保健、社会援助和建筑业，而联邦政府和金融活动领域就业人数减少。 本新闻稿基于两项月度调查的数据。家庭调查按人口特征衡量劳动力状况，包括失业情况；企业调查则 按行业衡量非农就业人数、工作时长和收入水平。 1月因经济原因从事兼职工作的人数减 ...

速2) 银行. 互联网平台等给天得售机构提供可近外投资的ETP联盟基金。 | 跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 该指数由港股通范围内流动性 | 今日 | 该指数 | 该指数自2020年 | | 较好、市值较大的50只消费主 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 发布以来估值分位 | | 题股票组成,可选消费占比超 65% | -0. 5% | 18.6倍 | 4. 6% | 21)。"国语教"报告上达签会严语具体面积的领图。数据第四8000、份家建建和崛起》2004年2月11日收盘。国际资讯率：站值分位最近2000年7月10日，面积所退军公进做了正因个中度又属着尘动现象的变形 %、媒体值得在淘山企业具体漏客启关。进行于品特创动动放工工业局用影响较小的行业。组组分立刻信任做正史上海决推進事委于以前面动改属军的利润石烂。体强分位数表示和力管家、植性分位签同力质量发布 BI/4安倍借款量配足球33282920042月10日，借生用登通新处济南散发布分为2018年/月2日,可更滑值值之限分立707年41月21日起，但生科比假面直表任为7000年7月7日: ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported full year organic sales growth of 2%, operating EBITDA growth of 6%, and adjusted EPS of $1.68 per share, up 16% year-over-year [5][6][12] - Free cash flow generation was strong, with expectations for 2026 to exceed 90% conversion [12][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Healthcare and water technologies saw fourth quarter net sales of $821 million, up 4% year-over-year, driven by 3% organic growth [17] - Diversified industrials reported fourth quarter net sales of $872 million, a 3% decrease year-over-year, with a 4% organic decline [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic growth in Europe was up 2% year-over-year, while Asia-Pacific was down 2% [16] - The automotive market is expected to remain flat in 2026, with electric vehicle builds anticipated to outpace overall builds [12][71] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive above-market organic growth and deploy a balanced capital allocation model while enhancing core values and operational excellence [8][11] - The strategic priorities for 2026 include launching over 125 new products, which generated more than $2 billion in sales [8][57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a mixed macro environment, with healthcare and water technologies expected to grow mid-single digits, while automotive demand is flat [12][13] - The company is optimistic about order trends in industrial technologies, indicating a stabilization and recovery in those markets [14] Other Important Information - The company completed the separation of QUNITY Electronics and is focused on operational and portfolio transformation [6][7] - A $2 billion share repurchase authorization was announced, with $500 million executed in the fourth quarter of 2025 [11][49] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on industrial production trends - Management indicated that industrial orders are picking up, particularly in aerospace, with low double-digit improvements noted [31] Question: Pricing and inflation outlook - The company expects no significant headwinds from inflation and anticipates improvements in gross margins due to productivity initiatives [32] Question: Shelter business outlook - The shelter business is expected to start slightly down but improve throughout the year, aiming for flat performance overall [39] Question: Vitality Index context - The Vitality Index of 30% reflects a mix of replacement and growth, with efforts to shift towards more growth-oriented products [41][43] Question: Margin improvements in diversified industrials - Margin expansion was driven by favorable mix and productivity, with benefits from ongoing initiatives expected in the future [55] Question: M&A opportunities - The company is actively scouting M&A opportunities, particularly in healthcare, to enhance its portfolio [50][105] Question: Water business growth in China - Slower growth in China is attributed to reduced industrial production, but the company expects to ramp up in the latter half of the year [66] Question: Overall cash management and capital allocation - The company aims to maintain around $1 billion in cash and will deploy capital based on shareholder value, balancing M&A and share repurchases [89]