证券分析师： 黄宜忠 执业编号：S0370524080001 huangyizhong@jyzq.cn 相关报告： 资讯晨报 20251203 资讯晨报 20251202 资讯晨报 20251201 邮箱：zqyjsw@jyzq.cn 资讯晨报 ——金元证券研究 国际股市概况 国际新闻 昨日重点公司情况 研报推荐 ⚫ 【金元交运】低空经济行业周报（第四十八周） 2025 年 12 月 4 日 资讯晨报 | | | | | 主要市场股指表现 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4.00 | | 近一交易日% | 近20交易日% | | | 2.00 | （%） | | | | | 0.00 | | | | | | -2.00 | | | | | | -4.00 | | | | | | -6.00 | | | | | | -8.00 | | | | | 请务必仔细阅读本报告最后部分的免责声明 曙光在前 金元在先 -1- 每 日 资 讯 晨 报 指数 开盘价 收盘价 近一交易日% 近20交易日% 道琼斯工业 纳斯达克 标普500 富时100 日经225 上证指数 深证指数 科创5 ...

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks opened higher but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.24% to 26,095.05 points and a total turnover of 178.25 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.37% to 5,624.04 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.11% to 9,182.65 points [1] Blue Chip Performance - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) led blue-chip stocks, rising 2.81% to 40.98 HKD, contributing 3.88 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performers included Hengan International (01044) up 2.69% and Budweiser APAC (01876) up 2.35% [2] - WuXi AppTec (02359) fell 3.13%, negatively impacting the index by 2.2 points [2] Sector Highlights - Macau's November gaming revenue reached 21.09 billion MOP, a 14.4% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations [4] - The mobile phone supply chain remained active, with notable gains in companies like AAC Technologies (02018) and BYD Electronics (00285) [4][5] - The automotive sector showed mixed results, with BYD (01211) up 2.19% while Xpeng Motors (09868) fell 5.52% [5][6] Notable Stock Movements - Conant Optical (02276) surged 10.58% to 54.85 HKD following the launch of AI glasses in collaboration with Alibaba [8] - Giga Biotech (02367) rose 8.53% after announcing a share buyback plan [9] - GAC Group (02238) increased by 7.32% due to positive management announcements regarding new battery technology and partnerships [10] - Longpan Technology (02465) saw a 4.1% increase amid industry price adjustments in lithium iron phosphate [11] - 3SBio (01530) faced pressure, dropping 4.61% after announcing a share placement to raise capital [12]

截至发稿，赛力斯市值为2286亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——5年期大面积下线，3年期利率低至1.5%仍一单难求：要么"售罄"要么"额度 紧张"！中长期大额存单为何在消失？ 每经AI快讯，赛力斯（SH 601127，收盘价：131.22元）12月1日晚间发布公告称，赛力斯集团股份有限 公司控股股东重庆小康控股有限公司及其一致行动人持有公司股份约4.67亿股，占公司总股本的 26.79%。本次股份质押及解除质押后，小康控股及其一致行动人持有公司股份累计质押数量8860万 股，占其持有公司股份总数的18.99%，占公司总股本的5.09%。 2024年1至12月份，赛力斯的营业收入构成为：汽车行业占比97.13%，其他业务占比2.87%。 （记者 曾健辉） ...

Core Insights - Bosnia and Herzegovina's total foreign trade increased by 5.6% in the first nine months of the year, reaching 35.6 billion marks [1] - Exports amounted to 12.94 billion marks (up 5.6%), while imports were 22.6 billion marks (up 4.11%), resulting in a trade deficit of 9.65 billion marks [1] - The metal industry accounted for 44% of exports, followed by the wood industry at 21%, with energy, electronics, and automotive sectors being key growth drivers [1] - Electricity imports surged by 184% year-on-year, totaling 313 million marks, highlighting structural weaknesses in the energy sector [1] - Despite over two-thirds of exports going to the EU, reliance on low-value-added products and the EU market poses significant structural challenges, necessitating the exploration of new markets such as the US and the Middle East, along with accelerating digital transformation in industries [1]

Group 1 - China's inbound tourist volume has surged over 100% year-on-year, with significant increases in spending from American tourists (up 50%) and French tourists (up 160%) [2] - Macquarie Asset Management has proposed to acquire Qube Holdings Ltd. at a valuation of AUD 11.6 billion (USD 7.5 billion), offering AUD 5.20 per share, which is a 28% premium over the last closing price [3] - The low-altitude economy market in China is expected to reach CNY 1.5 trillion by 2025 and potentially exceed CNY 2 trillion by 2030, indicating strong growth in the sector [4] Group 2 - The securities industry has seen a net outflow of over 6,800 professionals this year, although the number of investment advisors has significantly increased, with 84,800 advisors and 5,932 analysts reported as of November 23 [5][6] - BHP has announced it will no longer pursue a merger with Anglo American, despite believing in the strategic advantages of such a merger [7] - Tim Cook's potential resignation as CEO of Apple has been denied, with reports suggesting that succession planning efforts are not yet mature [8] Group 3 - Nvidia has become a focal point of market concerns regarding AI, with a recent article questioning the integrity of the AI industry's financing, leading to a decline in its stock price and broader tech market [9] - China's national railway has sent 3.378 billion tons of goods in the first ten months of the year, a 3% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high for the same period [10] - Marriage registrations in China increased by over 400,000 in the first three quarters of the year, with 29 provinces extending marriage leave [11] Group 4 - Over 1,200 5G factories have been established in China, with investments exceeding CNY 50 billion, leading to improvements in product quality and operational efficiency in manufacturing [12] - The semiconductor industry in China is undergoing a new wave of transformation driven by advancements in AI, intelligent connected vehicles, and quantum computing, necessitating a comprehensive innovation ecosystem [13] - Xiaomi's vice president has refuted rumors linking the company to a fatal accident, emphasizing the importance of verifying information [14]

证券研究报告 | 宏观研究 gszqdatemark 2025 11 23 年 月 日 近半月，仍多聚焦"十五五"科技、重大项目、财政政策发力等，我们对 每半月重大政策进行跟踪：1）中央、部委重要会议与政策；2）地方政策； 3）行业与产业政策。本期为近半月（11.10-11.23）政策跟踪。 核心结论：总体看，近半月政策仍聚焦谋划"十五五"良好开局，具体有 6 大焦点：一是 11.16 总书记《求是》发表重要文章《因地制宜发展新质生产 力》，呼应"十五五"规划建议稿，要求"各地要坚持从实际出发，有选择 地推动新产业、新模式、新动能发展"；二是 11.22 总理出席 G20 峰会，就 "包容和可持续经济增长"议题发表讲话，聚焦协同应对世界经济增长乏 力、分歧矛盾等焦点问题，呼吁"坚定维护自由贸易，建设开放型世界经济； 坚持求同存异，通过平等协商妥处纷争摩擦"；三是 11.14 国常会部署深入 实施"两重"建设工作，要求把"两重"建设放在"十五五"全局中谋划和 推进，突出"战略性、前瞻性、全局性"，关注 2026 年全国两会后发布"十 五五"规划纲要全文，应会明确新一批重大项目"清单"；四是 11.14 财政 部 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short - term, the technology mainline in the fourth quarter may face pressure, and overseas pressure will be transmitted to the domestic market. In 2026, since the Fed is likely to maintain relative looseness and the diffusion direction of AI themes has not converged, the structural opportunities in 2026 will still revolve around the technology mainline [2][35]. - For convertible bonds, it is recommended to defend in the short - term. The low - price style ended eight consecutive weeks of positive gains last week. The medium - and low - price style may experience a phase of waiting for performance at the meso - level and the Fed's interest - rate cut rhythm may slow down at the macro - level in the fourth quarter, which will trigger a phased correction of US technology stocks and suppress the domestic technology mainline. Therefore, consider diversification and diffusion in industry styles [2][36]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Week - on - Week Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Declined Overall - From November 17th to November 21st, the equity market declined overall, with all indices closing down. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 1759.86 billion yuan to 18487.98 billion yuan compared with last week, a week - on - week decline of 8.69%. Among them, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.90% to 3834.89 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 5.13% to 12538.07 points, the ChiNext Index fell 6.15% to 2920.08 points, and the CSI 300 fell 3.77% to 4453.61 points. All 31 Shenwan primary industries closed down, with power equipment, basic chemicals, commercial retail, steel, and pharmaceutical biology leading the decline, with declines of 10.54%, 7.47%, 7.24%, 6.98%, and 6.88% respectively [7][9][11]. 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Declined Overall - From November 17th to November 21st, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 1.78% to 482.94 points. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 1 industry closed up, and no industry had a gain of more than 2%. The social services industry led the gains with a 0.31% increase, while non - ferrous metals, coal, basic chemicals, commercial retail, and steel led the declines, with declines of 1.93%, 1.72%, 1.63%, 1.57%, and 1.35% respectively. The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 656.75 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 56.65 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of - 7.94%. About 6.70% of individual convertible bonds rose, about 4.47% had a gain in the range of 0 - 1%, and 0.74% had a gain of more than 2% [7][14]. - In terms of conversion premium rate, the overall market conversion premium rate rebounded this week, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 39.86%, an increase of 2.05 pcts compared with last week. In terms of price intervals, except for the price interval above 120 yuan which widened by 2.27 pcts, the average daily conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in other price intervals narrowed, with the 100 - 110 yuan price interval narrowing the most, by 25.23 pcts. In terms of parity intervals, except for the parity intervals below 90 yuan and 110 - 120 yuan where the average daily conversion premium rates of convertible bonds narrowed, the average daily conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in other parity intervals widened, with the 90 - 100 yuan parity interval widening the most, by 2.70 pcts [19]. - In terms of conversion parity, the parity of 7 industries increased this week, with 2 industries having a widening amplitude of more than 2%. The social services, steel, environmental protection, petroleum and petrochemical, and beauty care industries led the gains, with increases of 32.81%, 5.17%, 1.28%, 0.42%, and 0.40% respectively; the electronics, power equipment, food and beverage, non - bank finance, and building materials industries led the declines, with decreases of 4.93%, 4.14%, 4.00%, 3.80%, and 3.71% respectively [29]. 1.3 Comparison of Stock and Bond Market Sentiments - From November 17th to November 21st, the week - on - week weighted average and median of the convertible bond and underlying stock markets were negative, and the convertible bond market had a smaller weekly decline than the underlying stock market. In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of the convertible bond market decreased by 7.94% week - on - week and was at the 57.20% quantile level since 2022; the trading volume of the underlying stock market decreased by 17.87% week - on - week and was at the 84.00% quantile level since 2022. The trading volume of both the underlying stock and convertible bond markets decreased significantly, and the underlying stock market had a larger decline in trading volume and a higher quantile level. In terms of the proportion of rising and falling stocks and bonds, about 11.33% of convertible bonds closed up, and about 5.80% of underlying stocks closed up; about 91.99% of convertible bonds had a larger increase or decrease than underlying stocks. In general, the trading sentiment in the convertible bond market was better this week [30]. 2. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - In the short - term, it is still recommended to defend rather than attack in the convertible bond market. Consider diversification and diffusion in industry styles. Diversify by choosing some chemical targets such as Xingfa Convertible Bond, Hebang Convertible Bond, etc.; focus on the diffusion direction of the technology mainline, such as AI edge - side consumer electronics, and recommend targets like Weil Convertible Bond, Luxshare Convertible Bond, etc. Also, small - cap stocks may perform well during the diffusion period, and recommend targets such as Huachen Convertible Bond, Guoli Convertible Bond, etc [2][36]. - The top ten high - rated, medium - and low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for conversion parity premium rate repair next week are Hengbang Convertible Bond, Chutian Convertible Bond, etc [2][37].

Core Insights - Over 70 A-share listed companies in China have disclosed significant contracts or strategic cooperation agreements since October, indicating a broad industry impact, particularly in machinery and power equipment sectors [1][2] - The recent surge in orders is attributed to a combination of policy windows, global inventory adjustments, and technological iterations, rather than mere seasonal fluctuations [1][2] - New orders are increasingly focused on technology cooperation and supply chain collaboration, enhancing profitability and customer loyalty for related companies [1] Industry Developments - Major contracts include a 34.15 billion yuan offshore wind power project led by China Huadian Corporation, and significant contracts in energy storage and high-end equipment manufacturing, aligning with national investment plans [2] - The high-end manufacturing sector is witnessing a rise in orders related to AI computing power, energy storage, and advanced photovoltaic technologies, reflecting growing enthusiasm from downstream customers for new technologies [3] Global Expansion - Chinese companies are shifting from "product export" to "technology export," with notable contracts signed in Saudi Arabia and Peru, totaling approximately 195.54 billion yuan and 117.19 billion yuan respectively [4] - This transition signifies an upgrade in the role of Chinese enterprises within the global supply chain, with some companies achieving a leap in capabilities abroad [5]

Group 1 - Japan's Prime Minister Kishi Sanae's controversial remarks regarding Taiwan have led to strong protests from China, resulting in economic and tourism repercussions for Japan [1][2][5] - Approximately 491,000 flight tickets to Japan have been canceled by Chinese airlines, representing 32% of total bookings, with a significant impact on Japan's tourism industry [4][5] - The reduction in Chinese tourists could lead to a 0.2 percentage point decrease in Japan's GDP growth if the number of visitors is halved, exacerbating the already fragile state of Japan's economy [5][6] Group 2 - The Japanese government is facing criticism from within, with calls for Prime Minister Kishi to reconsider her statements and actions that have escalated tensions with China [6][8] - There are concerns that Kishi may visit the Yasukuni Shrine, which could further strain Japan-China relations and provoke international backlash [7][8] - The ongoing diplomatic tensions have narrowed communication channels between Japan and China, complicating efforts to resolve the situation [3][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article presents an index map that includes various commonly used stock indices, their codes, selection rules, industry distribution, average and median market capitalization of constituent stocks, and the number of constituent stocks, which will be updated regularly for easy reference [1][2]. Group 1: Types of Indices - The index map includes several categories of stock indices: broad-based indices, strategy indices, industry indices, thematic indices, and overseas indices [4][2]. Group 2: Index Details - The article provides detailed information on specific indices, including: - CSI 300 Index (000300.SH): Average market cap of ¥214.64 billion, median market cap of ¥108.39 billion, consisting of 300 stocks [7]. - CSI 500 Index (000905.SH): Average market cap of ¥33.42 billion, median market cap of ¥29.64 billion, consisting of 500 stocks [7]. - CSI 800 Index (000906.SH): Average market cap of ¥101.38 billion, median market cap of ¥40.13 billion, consisting of 800 stocks [7]. - CSI 1000 Index (000852.SH): Average market cap of ¥14.66 billion, median market cap of ¥12.79 billion, consisting of 1000 stocks [7]. - CSI 2000 Index (932000.CSI): Average market cap of ¥6.06 billion, median market cap of ¥5.32 billion, consisting of 2000 stocks [7]. Group 3: Industry Distribution - The article outlines the industry distribution across various indices, highlighting the following: - Materials: 8.86% in broad-based indices, 18.14% in strategy indices, and 11.44% in industry indices [11]. - Real Estate: 0.65% in broad-based indices, 1.34% in strategy indices, and 0.83% in industry indices [11]. - Financials: 25.45% in broad-based indices, 33.98% in strategy indices, and 4.49% in industry indices [11].