国际银价首次站上90美元，市值突破5万亿美元，超英伟达成全球第二大资产！黄金32万亿美元市值位居榜首！还能涨吗？ 每经编辑|杜宇 1月14日，国际白银现货价格首次突破每盎司90美元，再创历史新高。今年以来，白银价格已上涨25%。 图片来源：每经媒资库 截至1月14日发稿，现货白银报89.70美元/盎司，涨3.21%。 沪银涨超7%。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 值得注意的是，受银价提振，白银总市值首次站上5万亿美元大关，已超越英伟达成为全球第二大资产。根据市值数据平台CompaniesMarketCap的数据，目 前白银市值为5.039万亿美元；黄金以32.162万亿美元的市值位居榜首，芯片巨头英伟达以4.523万亿美元的市值滑落至第三。前十名榜单如下： 截至发稿，现货黄金报4623.36美元/盎司。 | Rank + | Name | | � Market Cap | ﺟ Price | � Today . | Price (30 days) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | | Gold G ...

2026年1月贵金属市场迎来"开门红"，行情火爆程度超出市场预期。截至1月14日，当月仅过半程，现货黄 金累计涨幅已达7%，盘中突破4629.94美元/盎司的历史峰值；现货白银表现更为凌厉，累计涨幅飙升 23%，一度触及86.22美元/盎司的新高，国内市场同步狂欢，沪银主力合约多次触及涨停，沪金合约涨逾 5%，A股贵金属板块个股集体走强，晓程科技、盛达资源等涨幅超8%。这波凌厉涨势再度让"贵金属牛 市"成为市场热议焦点，而背后是政策不确定性、地缘风险与产业需求的多重共振。 2025年全球新能源汽车销量突破1500万辆，AI服务器出货量增长80%，持续推升白银工业需求。而供应端 方面，南美主要产银国秘鲁、智利因罢工、环保政策等问题产量同比下降8%，再生回收比例仅20%难以弥 补缺口，供需失衡成为白银涨幅远超黄金的关键原因。 资金面的持续涌入为涨势提供了动能支撑。全球最大黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust最新持仓增加3.43吨至 1074.23吨，尽管全球最大白银ETF持仓小幅减少，但期货市场投机情绪高涨，白银投机者净多头头寸创下 历史新高。国内市场同样呈现资金加速布局态势，华安黄金易ETF规模逼近千亿 ...

1月14日周三，现货白银开盘强势拉升，盘中一度涨3.55%，首次站上90美元关口，再创历史新高。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 花旗预测，在基础情景下的0-3个月黄金目标价现为每盎司5000美元，白银目标价为每盎司100美元。若 按此计算，白银价格或仍有超10%的涨幅。 受银价提振，白银总市值首次站上5万亿美元大关，已超越英伟达成为全球第二大资产。 根据市值数据平台CompaniesMarketCap的数据，目前白银市值为5.039万亿美元；黄金以32.162万亿美元 的市值位居榜首，芯片巨头英伟达以4.523万亿美元的市值滑落至第三。 ...

今年以来，白银价格在9个交易日内已涨超25%。中辉期货在最新研报中表示，建议对白银"长 期持有"，认为短期彭博指数调仓结束、避险、交割逻辑、资源品紧张预期持续。长期降息、 供需缺口连续5年，全球大财政均对白银长期有利，长期滚动做多逻辑不变。 白银价格延续去年走势，继续"高歌猛进"。 1月14日，现货白银开盘强势拉升，盘中一度涨3.55%，首次站上90美元关口，再创历史新 高。 受银价提振，白银总市值首次站上5万亿美元大关，已超越英伟达成为全球第二大资产。根据 市值数据平台CompaniesMarketCap的数据，目前白银市值为5.039万亿美元；黄金以32.162万 亿美元的市值位居榜首，芯片巨头英伟达以4.523万亿美元的市值滑落至第三。前十名榜单如 下： | | | | Top Assets by Market Cap | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | All assets, including public companies, precious metals, cryptocurre ...

今日周三(1月14日)亚盘时段，现货白银目前交投于89.21一线上方，今日开盘于86.90美元/盎司，截至发 稿，现货白银暂报89.85美元/盎司，上涨3.37%，最高触及89.99美元/盎司，最低下探86.90美元/盎司， 目前来看，现货白银盘内短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 要恢复降息，美联储官员可能需要看到新的证据显示劳动市场条件正在恶化或者价格压力正在减弱。后 者可能还需要至少再几个月的通胀数据才能显现。 "美联储传声筒"Nick Timiraos：12月消费者价格指数(CPI)不太可能改变美联储当前的观望态度，因为官 员们很可能希望在降息前看到更多证据，证明通胀正在企稳并逐步下降。 尽管如此，阻力最小的路径仍是上行。白银的首个阻力位将是87.00美元，随后是88.00美元的关口和 89.11美元的历史高点。 美联储在过去三次会议上连续下调基准利率，最近一次是在12月，尽管去年通胀已停止下降。 另一方面，白银的首个支撑位是1月12日高点86.23美元，随后是85.50美元区域。跌破85.50美元则将暴 露80美元支撑。 官员们下调利率，是出于对劳动市场可能出现比预期更大的放缓风险的担忧。 【最新现货 ...

今日周三(1月14日)亚盘时段，纸白银目前交投于20.028一线上方，截至发稿，纸白银暂报20.181元/克， 上涨1.47%，最高触及20.186元/克，最低下探19.269元/克，目前来看，纸白银盘内短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 周二，美元指数上涨0.3%至99.18，延续了上周强劲就业数据后的支撑势头。通胀数据公布后，美元虽 短暂回落，但很快走强，因为市场解读为美联储有更多空间平衡物价与劳动力市场，而非立即大幅降 息。 总体来看，CPI数据对美元形成了短期支撑，因为它并未给美联储提供在本月晚些时候降息的理由。不 过，这也让美联储在未来有更大的降息空间，这可能在全年限制美元的上涨空间，若央行采取激进降 息，甚至可能威胁去年的低点。 白银虽一度触及89.10美元高点，但收盘仅上涨2.1%至86.74美元，显示出贵金属板块的整体疲态。 【最新纸白银行情解析】 日图来看，纸白银价格开盘回调，目前从低位反弹，重回正值区间，一小时布林带向上扩宽，表明反弹 仍延续，一小时MACD直方图由负值转为正值，显示上涨动能回归，或继续走涨，DMI也显示处于上涨 趋势之中，纸白银走势下方关注18.50-19.50支撑，上方关 ...

白银价格延续去年走势，继续"高歌猛进"。 1月14日周三，现货白银开盘强势拉升，盘中一度涨3.55%，首次站上90美元关口，再创历史新高。 受银价提振，白银总市值首次站上5万亿美元大关，已超越英伟达成为全球第二大资产。根据市值数据平台CompaniesMarketCap的数据，目前白银市值为 5.039万亿美元；黄金以32.162万亿美元的市值位居榜首，芯片巨头英伟达以4.523万亿美元的市值滑落至第三。前十名榜单如下： | | | | Top Assets by Market Cap | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | All assets, including public companies, precious metals, cryptocurrencies, ETFs | | | | | | | Rank ♦ | Name | | 0 Market Cap | | Price | � Today | Price (30 days) | Country | | 1 | | Gold GO ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views - Geopolitical risks are driving up oil prices, but short - term upside is limited due to supply surplus and the lack of confirmed conflicts. Precious metals remain bullish, and various commodities and financial products show different trends affected by factors such as supply - demand, policies, and geopolitical situations. [2][3] Summary by Categories Energy - **Crude Oil**: US December CPI data boosts market expectations for a rate cut in April. API shows a significant weekly inventory build. Geopolitical tensions in Iran drive up oil prices, but short - term upside is limited due to supply surplus in Q1 2026. [2] - **Fuel Oil & Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Fuel oil follows crude oil price movements. High - sulfur fuel oil may see increased demand as a substitute for asphalt if Venezuelan heavy - oil supply is disrupted. Low - sulfur fuel oil supply is expected to increase, with a weakening fundamental outlook. [22] - **Asphalt**: Iranian geopolitical tensions lead to a rebound in crude oil prices, but asphalt's price increase is limited. Attention should be paid to the arrival of Venezuelan crude oil. [23] Metals - **Precious Metals**: US December CPI data and Iranian tensions make precious metals bullish. [3] - **Base Metals** - **Copper**: LME copper shows signs that support domestic refined copper exports. Chile raises its copper production target. [4] - **Aluminum**:沪铝 tests historical highs, but the break - through is unconfirmed. High profits prompt aluminum plants to consider selling - hedging. [5] - **Zinc**: Zinc prices rise, but high prices may have a negative impact on downstream consumption. [8] - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**:沪镍 falls, while stainless - steel market activity is high. Inventory changes show different trends for pure nickel, nickel - iron, and stainless steel. [10] - **Tin**:沪锡 trading is driven by increased funds. Indonesian tin exports are significant, and option trading amplifies price fluctuations. [11] - **Carbonate Lithium**: The market is active. Upstream sales strategies change, and demand remains strong. Inventory changes vary among different sectors. [12] - **Industrial Silicon**: It has a weak supply - demand situation. Reduced production in the north is not enough to offset weak demand from downstream industries. [13] - **Polysilicon**: Prices continue to decline. The market trading logic has changed, and caution is advised. [14] Steel - **Iron Ore**: The supply is relatively abundant, and the demand is weak. It is expected to fluctuate in the short - term. [16] - **Coke & Coking Coal**: Both are expected to have a bullish - oscillating trend. Carbon element supply is abundant, and downstream iron - water production may bottom - out and rebound. [17][18] - **Silicon Manganese & Silicon Ferrosilicon**: Both suggest a strategy of buying on dips. They are affected by factors such as raw material prices, inventory, and demand from the iron - making industry. [19][20] - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: Steel prices are in a range - bound pattern. Demand is weak, and supply is gradually recovering. [15] Chemicals - **Urea**: The market is in a stalemate. Production increases, and downstream demand shows mixed trends. Short - term prices may decline slightly, but the downward space is limited. [24] - **Methanol**: Geopolitical factors cause significant price fluctuations. Overseas supply is low, but domestic demand is weakening, and the driving force for price increases is weakening. [25] - **Pure Benzene**: Cost - driven short - term price increases, but the fundamental situation is weak, and long - term de - stocking is difficult. [26] - **Styrene**: Cost - support is strengthened, and the supply - demand is in a tight balance. [27] - **Polypropylene, Plastic, & Propylene**: Rising oil prices are beneficial to the market. Supply and demand show different trends for each product. [28] - **PVC & Caustic Soda**: PVC may strengthen in the long - term with potential de - capacity. Caustic soda is in a weak state, and the profit of chlor - alkali integration may be compressed. [29] - **PX & PTA**: Geopolitical risks drive up prices, but downstream demand is weakening. [30] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Supply is expected to increase domestically and decrease overseas. Short - term attention should be paid to oil price fluctuations, and the long - term outlook is still under pressure. [31] - **Short - Fiber & Bottle - Chip**: Demand for both is weakening in the short - term. Cost is the main driving factor, and long - term over - capacity is a pressure. [32] Agricultural Products - **Soybean & Soybean Meal**: The USDA report is bearish. South American weather and US soybean exports are important factors to watch. [36] - **Soybean Oil & Palm Oil**: The market is affected by bio - diesel expectations and supply - side factors. It is expected to be range - bound. [37] - **Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil**: The US Department of Agriculture report indicates a loose supply - demand situation. The market is affected by Sino - Canadian relations and inventory levels. [38] - **Soybean No. 1**: Domestic soybean prices are回调. Supply is tight at the grassroots level, but demand is cautious. [39] - **Corn**: The US corn harvest is large, and the domestic market is affected by supply and demand factors. It is expected to fluctuate widely. [40] - **Livestock & Poultry Products** - **Pig**: The futures market is oscillating. Short - term supply pressure is high, and long - term prices may form a double - bottom pattern. [41] - **Egg**: Egg prices are expected to strengthen in the first half of 2026 due to reduced supply and increased demand. [42] - **Cotton**: The US cotton report is bullish, but the domestic market is in the off - season. Demand is stable, and the planting area policy in Xinjiang is uncertain. [43] - **Sugar**: International sugar production shows different trends in different countries. Domestic sugar production in Guangxi is expected to increase, and the rebound of Zhengzhou sugar is limited. [44] - **Apple**: Apple futures prices rise. The market focus shifts to demand, and the high - quality fruit supply is tight. [45] - **Wood & Pulp** - **Wood**: Wood prices are at a low level. Supply is expected to decrease, and demand is in the off - season. Low inventory provides some support. [46] - **Pulp**: Pulp prices are stable. Downstream demand is weak, and inventory is increasing. [47] Financial Products - **Stock Index**: A - share markets are expected to be range - bound and strong. Geopolitical situations need to be closely monitored. [48] - **Treasury Bond**: Treasury bond futures show a bullish - flattening trend. The strategy of flattening the yield curve is recommended. [49] Shipping - **Container Shipping Index (European Route)**: Maersk's price cuts indicate a weakening market. The 04 - contract valuation lacks a clear anchor, and far - month contracts are under pressure due to the expected resumption of Red Sea shipping. [21]

相关分析指出，美国利率下行、地缘政治紧张局势升级、美元信任度下降以及美联储遭遇的挑战，均对 金银价格形成支撑。十余位基金经理表示，基于对贵金属长期吸引力的坚定信心，他们选择不急于大幅 减持黄金头寸。多重利好因素共振，推动贵金属需求激增，市场对其估值也随之大幅上调。 2026年1月13日，受鲍威尔遭刑事调查及美伊关系紧张催化，黄金期货、现货价格双双攀升至历史新 高，尾盘小幅回落，截至收盘，COMEX黄金期货跌0.44%报4594.40美元/盎司，黄金ETF华夏(518850) 涨0.13%，黄金股ETF(159562)涨2.56%，有色金属ETF基金(516650)涨1.05%。 消息面上，美东时间1月13日，美国国务院通过"虚拟驻伊朗德黑兰使馆"发布全国性安全警告称，敦促 美国公民立即离开伊朗。同日，特朗普在社交媒体上发文表示已经取消所有与伊朗官员的会谈。 每日经济新闻 ...

Market Trends - The MACD indicator has shown a golden cross, indicating a bullish trend with short-term market buying power dominating, and no significant reduction in price increase momentum [1] - The Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 40.2 million units, accumulating a total of 387 million yuan over the past 10 days [1] Industry Performance - The U.S. December CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year, with the core CPI increasing by 2.6%, leading to increased bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3] - Following the CPI data, the probability of a rate cut in April rose to 42%, up from 38% before the data release [3] Metal Prices Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve's rate cuts will boost the prices of non-ferrous metals due to three main factors: a shift towards holding physical assets, a weaker dollar making metals cheaper, and lower borrowing costs for companies [3] - Citic Futures predicts a dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, likely leading to gradual rate cuts, which will create a favorable environment for the non-ferrous market [4] Investment Opportunities - The Huabao ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's beta performance [5] - Key stocks in the non-ferrous sector have shown significant gains, with Hunan Silver leading at 6.43%, followed by Huaxi Nonferrous and Xiyang Co. with over 5% increases [6]