日前美国宣布将对从欧盟、墨西哥进口的商品分别征收30%关税。美国彼得森国际经济研究所高级研究 员玛丽·洛夫莉表示，美国追求的并非是双赢的协议，而是希望通过向贸易伙伴施压，确保自己得到更 多利益。（央视） ...

美国总统特朗普近期宣布，计划对几乎所有尚未实施关税的贸易伙伴征收15%或20%的统一关税。这一决策的背后，是特朗普此前已向多个国家，包括韩国 和日本，发送了关税通知，并表示从8月1日起将对所有进口到美国的铜征收50%的关税。这一举动无疑是针对那些未能迎合美国要求的国家。原因显而易 见，特朗普的不确定性与摇摆不定让世界各国感受到无法通过妥协换得尊重的现实，许多国家已采取与中国类似的对美斗争策略，即不向美国屈服，而是保 持坚定立场。 特朗普并非神话，他也是普通人，而美国也不再是曾经那种强大无敌的超级大国。如今，美国的软肋处处可见，特别是在贸易领域，那些敢于与美国对抗的 国家未必就会失败。事实上，特朗普发起的关税战本身就是一场双输的愚蠢游戏。当全球各国为捍卫自身利益而抱团取暖时，最终最受伤的可能是美国自 己。关税战的爆发打乱了全球的正常贸易秩序，必然推高美国的通胀率，并对美元的信用和美债的销售带来严重影响。在这种情况下，美国的损失可能会超 过其他国家。否则，特朗普为何一再延迟"对等关税"政策，并试图鼓励各国通过谈判解决争端呢？这表明，只要各国坚持立场，拒绝在美国作出让步之前达 成协议，最终失败的很可能是美国。 目前 ...

全球各国与美国的贸易谈判正面临前所未有的不确定性，即使达成协议也可能因特朗普的临时决定而被 推翻。这一现象正在严重冲击美国贸易谈判的可信度，并为全球贸易政策蒙上阴影。 越南的遭遇为其他国家敲响了警钟。据华尔街见闻此前文章提及，越南谈判代表原本认为双方已就约 11%的关税税率达成初步共识，但特朗普在7月2日与越南总书记苏林的通话中，无视这一数字，宣布美 国将对越南商品征收20%的关税，几乎是原定税率的两倍。 7月11日，据媒体报道，本周特朗普向近24个贸易伙伴发出信函，宣布将从8月1日起征收20%至50%的 关税。多国政策制定者通过特朗普社交媒体才得知关税税率，印尼经济事务部长Airlangga Hartarto表 示，"既惊讶又震惊"地发现该国将面临32%的关税。 分析指出，这种谈判模式的不可预测性正在削弱其他国家对美国贸易谈判可信度的信心，多国政策制定 者警告称，与美国的谈判就像"穿过迷宫"然后"回到原点"。 越南协议突变引发震动 7月2日据新华社，特朗普在社交媒体上称美越达成贸易协议，越南所有对美出口商品将面临至少20%关 税，并对美国"完全开放市场"。 媒体报道指出，越南与美国的贸易协议变故成为特朗普谈 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and establishment of Hainan's Free Trade Port during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, showcasing a more open Hainan to the world [1] - Hainan's Free Trade Port policies are being implemented effectively, with numerous "firsts" emerging since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," indicating accelerated progress in the construction of the Free Trade Port [2][3] - The processing value-added policy, which exempts tariffs for processing value-added over 30%, is a key feature of Hainan's Free Trade Port, benefiting various industries and promoting high-quality development [3] Group 2 - The "Investment in Hainan Links the World" event attracted global enterprises, including representatives from Fortune 500 companies, indicating strong international interest in Hainan's Free Trade Port [4] - The fifth China International Consumer Products Expo held in Hainan showcased a record number of exhibitors and brands, highlighting Hainan's growing influence in the international market [5][6] - Hainan's total import and export value reached 2776.5 billion in 2024, with exports surpassing 1000 billion for the first time, reflecting robust trade growth [6] Group 3 - The introduction of electronic bills of lading has significantly improved the efficiency of international trade, demonstrating Hainan's commitment to integrating innovative systems and enhancing trade facilitation [7] - Hainan has implemented a new model for special approval of imported plant breeding materials, which has opened new channels for resource introduction and stimulated technological innovation [8][9] - The provincial government is focusing on institutional innovation to support reform implementation, aiming to create a conducive environment for further deepening reforms [9]

Core Viewpoint - Brazilian President Lula asserts that Brazil can survive without trade with the United States and will seek alternative partners, responding sharply to President Trump's threat of imposing a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods [1]. Trade Relations - Brazil's trade with the United States accounts for 1.7% of its GDP, indicating that while significant, it is not critical for Brazil's survival [1]. Currency and Trade Practices - Lula emphasizes that Brazil is not obligated to continue using the US dollar for trade and calls for global leaders to find ways to reduce dependence on the dollar in international trade [1].

Group 1: Global Civilization Initiative - The core idea of the article is China's proposal for a Global Civilization Initiative, advocating respect for the diversity of world civilizations and promoting common values among humanity [1] - The 78th United Nations General Assembly unanimously adopted a resolution to establish an "International Day of Dialogue among Civilizations," reflecting growing recognition and support from various countries [1] Group 2: Respect for Civilizational Diversity - The diversity of world civilizations arises from historical evolution, geographical environment, economic development, technological capabilities, and cultural traditions, leading to unique and vibrant forms of civilization [2] - China's commitment to respecting civilizational diversity is evident in its international economic cooperation, where it encourages Chinese enterprises to adhere to international trade rules and local laws [2] - In 2024, the trade volume between China and Africa reached $295.6 billion, marking a 4.8% year-on-year increase [2] Group 3: International Economic Rules - China advocates for respect for different countries' economic development levels in the formulation of international economic rules [3] - The "Investment Facilitation Agreement," the first multilateral investment agreement under the WTO framework, has gained wide acceptance, covering three-quarters of WTO members, including nearly 90 developing economies and 26 least developed countries [3] Group 4: Common Values of Humanity - The common values of peace, development, fairness, justice, democracy, and freedom provide a guiding framework for international economic cooperation [4] - In the first quarter of this year, China's trade volume with Belt and Road Initiative countries reached 5.26 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [4] - From January to May, Chinese enterprises invested $15.52 billion in non-financial direct investments in Belt and Road countries, reflecting a 20.8% year-on-year growth [4] Group 5: International Cooperation and Multilateralism - China promotes international cooperation based on harmony and opposes unilateralism and bullying [5] - In July 2024, China facilitated the conclusion of the "E-commerce Agreement" in WTO negotiations, addressing issues such as cross-border data flow and electronic contracts [5] Group 6: Deepening Cultural Exchange and Innovation - International cultural exchange serves as a catalyst for economic cooperation, enhancing understanding and friendship among nations [6] - The launch of the Sino-French Scientific Research Partnership Exchange Program in May 2023 aims to strengthen technological cooperation between China and France [6] Group 7: Economic Cooperation and Cultural Exchange - The trade and economic cooperation between China and Brazil exemplifies cultural exchange, with bilateral trade reaching $188.17 billion in 2024, a 3.56% increase [7] - The global service trade volume reached $8.69 trillion in 2024, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth, driven by both traditional and emerging sectors [7]

这是鲁比奥今年1月上任来首次访问亚洲。然而美联社9日指出，特朗普的关税政策可能会给鲁比奥此次 亚洲行蒙上阴影。 特朗普7日宣布将自8月1日起对14个国家实施新关税税率，其中大多数是亚洲国家，包含日本 （25%）、韩国（25%）、马来西亚（25%）、印度尼西亚（32%）、泰国（36%）、柬埔寨（36%）、 老挝（40%）和缅甸（40%）。9日，特朗普又公布对另外8国实施新关税税率，菲律宾、文莱分别面临 20%和25%的关税税率。 上述国家的高级外交官们将出席在吉隆坡举行的东盟外长会及系列会议，鲁比奥将在10日和11日参会。 日本和韩国不是东盟成员国，但会派代表出席。中俄两国外长也将出席会议。 美联社指出，尽管美国国务院表示，关税和贸易问题并非鲁比奥此行重点，特朗普政府希望聚焦所 谓"南海海上安全"和打击跨国犯罪，但鲁比奥可能难以回避关税问题。 【文/观察者网 王恺雯】美国总统特朗普宣布对亚洲多国征收高额关税之际，美国国务卿鲁比奥于当地 时间10日抵达马来西亚首都吉隆坡，出席第58届东盟外长会议期间举行的高层会谈。 当地时间2025年7月10日，美国国务卿鲁比奥抵达马来西亚吉隆坡 视觉中国 美国智库亚洲协会政策研 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the announcement by U.S. President Trump regarding a new round of tariffs on products from eight countries, specifically increasing the tariff on Philippine products to 20% from the previously announced 17% [1][2] - The increase in tariffs is seen as a move to address the trade deficit with the Philippines, which reached $4.9 billion last year, a 21.8% increase from the previous year [1] - The article highlights the dissatisfaction expressed by experts regarding the sudden change in tariff rates, which could undermine the credibility of the U.S. as a negotiating partner [2][3] Summary by Sections Tariff Announcement - Trump announced a new tariff rate of 20% on Philippine products, effective August 1, which is higher than the previously stated 17% [1] - The rationale behind the increase is unclear, but it may be related to a framework agreement reached with Vietnam, which saw its tariff reduced from 46% to 20% [1][2] Trade Deficit Context - The U.S. trade deficit with the Philippines was $4.9 billion last year, with imports from the Philippines significantly exceeding exports [1] - In contrast, the trade deficit with Vietnam was much larger at $123.5 billion [1] Expert Opinions - Gregory Poling from CSIS speculated that the new tariff rate might be a benchmark based on the agreement with Vietnam [1] - Henrietta Levin criticized the U.S. for undermining trust with the Philippines, emphasizing the need for the U.S. to be a reliable partner in Southeast Asia to effectively compete with China [2] Philippine Response - The Philippine ambassador to the U.S. indicated that further negotiations would take place to lower the 20% tariff [2][3] - The Philippines had previously planned to increase imports of U.S. products to negotiate lower tariffs, but the new rate may dampen optimism regarding these efforts [3] Comparison with Other Countries - The tariffs imposed on the Philippines are significantly lower than those on Brazil, which faces a 50% tariff, and other countries facing tariffs as high as 30% [5][6] - Trump's tariff decisions appear to be influenced by personal grievances rather than purely economic considerations, as seen in the case of Brazil [5][6]

Group 1 - The new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on Brazil and other countries are significantly higher than previous levels, with Brazil facing a 50% tariff starting August 1, 2025, compared to the earlier 10% [3][4] - The tariffs are part of a broader strategy to address perceived unfair trade relationships, particularly highlighting a trade deficit with Brazil, which Trump claims is unsustainable [3][5] - Brazil's government has responded by stating that the increased tariffs are unjustified and could harm the U.S. economy, emphasizing that Brazil has a trade surplus with the U.S. [3][4] Group 2 - The Center for a New American Security (CNAS) has identified Brazil, along with five other countries, as "global swing states," which are crucial in shaping future geopolitical dynamics [5] - The report suggests that the U.S. should strengthen cooperation with these swing states to maintain the current international order, which is undergoing significant changes [5] - Trade experts note that countries like Brazil have expressed strong opposition to U.S. tariff policies, indicating a targeted approach by the Trump administration in its trade negotiations [5][6] Group 3 - Following the announcement of new tariffs, U.S. stock indices showed minimal volatility, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 experiencing slight increases [6] - The Philippines, one of the countries affected by the new tariffs, exported approximately $14.1 billion worth of goods to the U.S. last year, indicating its importance as a trade partner [6] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes reveal differing opinions among officials regarding the long-term impact of tariffs on inflation, with some believing they will have a lasting effect [11]

Group 1 - The U.S. will impose new tariffs on products from several countries starting August 1, 2025, with rates of 25% for Brunei and Moldova, 30% for Algeria, Iraq, and Libya, and 20% for the Philippines [1][2] - The Philippines is the only country among the seven mentioned that is in the top 50 U.S. trading partners, exporting approximately $14.1 billion worth of goods to the U.S. last year, including electronics, auto parts, and textiles [2][4] - The total import value from the other six countries combined was less than $15 billion, with Iraq accounting for about half of that amount [4] Group 2 - Following the announcement of new tariffs, the Brazilian real hit a monthly low, with the USD/BRL exchange rate rising to over 5.4960 [6] - Trump indicated that the tariff rates were determined based on common sense, trade deficits, and historical data [5] - The new tariffs will be independent of any industry-specific tariffs, and companies from these countries can avoid tariffs by manufacturing in the U.S. [11]