1.国家发改委消息，根据近期国际市场油价变化情况，按照现行成品油价格形成机制，自2025年7月1日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格每吨分别上涨235元和225元。 重要的消息有哪些 模塑科技：获外饰件产品项目定点，预计总销售额12.36亿元。 2.国务院新闻办公室将于2025年7月3日（星期四）上午10时举行新闻发布会，请文化和旅游部副部长卢映川、国家广电总局副局长刘建国、中央广电总台副台长王 晓真、中国人民抗日战争纪念馆馆长罗存康介绍中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年主题展览和推出优秀文艺作品、文艺活动有关情况，并答记者 问。 3.7月1日晚，上交所官网信息显示，禾元生物IPO申请当天通过上交所上市审核委员会审议，这是科创板第五套上市标准重启后，首家成功过会的IPO企业。 4.7月1日，国家医保局、国家卫生健康委印发《支持创新药高质量发展的若干措施》。其中提出，支持医保数据用于创新药研发。加强医疗、医保、医药三方信息 互通与协同，做好医保数据资源管理，推动医保领域公共数据资源利用。在确保数据安全、合法合规的基础上，探索为创新药研发提供必要的医保数据服务。依托 全国统一的医保信息平台，做好疾病谱、临床用 ...

证券研究报告：固定收益报告 发布时间：2025-07-01 研究所 分析师:梁伟超 SAC 登记编号:S1340523070001 Email:liangweichao@cnpsec.com 分析师:崔超 SAC 登记编号:S1340523120001 Email:cuichao@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《7 月利率会破新低么？——流动性周 报 20250629》 - 2025.06.30 固收周报 生产稳中有升，物价走势分化 ——高频数据跟踪 20250629 核心观点 高频经济数据关注点：第一，生产端稳中有升，螺纹钢产量增加， 沥青、PX、全钢胎开工率升高，高炉、PTA 持平，半钢胎下降。第二， 房地产市场边际改善，商品房成交面积小幅回升。第三，物价走势分 化，原油价格大跌，焦煤、有色金属持续上涨；农产品价格低位企稳， 短期或将开启季节性上行趋势。第四，航运指数持续回落，BDI 指数 大幅下降。短期重点关注新一轮稳增长刺激政策落地、房地产市场恢 复情况及国际地缘政治变动影响。 生产：螺纹钢产量增加，沥青、PX、全钢胎开工率升高 6 月 27 日当周，焦炉产能利用率下降 0.16 pct，高炉开 ...

【沥青】 1-7月国内炼厂沥青累计产量同比预计增长7%。年初以来54家样本炼厂出货量累计同比增长8%，华南地区预计在7月 上句"出梅"后需求有进一步提升空间。1-5月压路机销量同比大增,Q3是沥青需求恢复的关键观测窗口期。供需 预期双增下平衡表预估去库趋势延续日库存水平偏低。BU裂解价差向上弹性放大的基调未被破坏,叠加地缘冲突缓 和后油价重回承压背景下BU裂解有修复空间。 【LPG】 7月CP大幅下调，冲突降温后国际市场增供压力再度主导市场。美国两院库存加速上升,MB价格相对承压。炼厂开 工影响下，上周国产气外放量继续走高，国内供应宽松基调强化。原油带动和政治风险溢价快速消退,关注海外出 口回升节奏,盘面震荡偏弱。 本报告版权属于国投期货有限公司 | 《八 国経期货 | | 能源 日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | 操作评级 | | 2025年07月01日 | | 原油 | ★☆☆ | 高明宇 首席分析师 | | 燃料油 | ☆☆☆ | F0302201 Z0012038 | | 低硫燃料油 文文文 | | 李祖智 中级分析师 | | 沥青 | な☆☆ | F3063857 Z0016599 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail prices of refined oil in China have increased for the third consecutive time, marking the sixth adjustment of the year, driven by fluctuations in international oil prices and seasonal demand [1][2]. Price Adjustments - As of July 1, 2025, the prices for gasoline and diesel will rise by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively [2]. - The price increase translates to an additional cost of 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.19 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.19 yuan for 0-octane diesel [3]. Market Dynamics - The domestic refined oil market has experienced a mixed trend, with prices initially rising due to strong international oil prices, followed by a slight decline, but ultimately closing higher [4]. - The third quarter is expected to be a peak consumption season for refined oil, with increased demand driven by summer travel [4]. Demand Insights - Gasoline demand remains stable, while diesel demand is weaker due to seasonal factors and adverse weather conditions affecting outdoor work [5]. - Analysts predict that gasoline prices will stabilize with slight fluctuations, while diesel prices may face downward pressure [4][7]. International Oil Market - International oil prices have recently declined from high levels, influenced by easing geopolitical tensions and an increase in supply [8]. - OPEC+ has agreed to raise oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, continuing a trend of increased output [8][9]. Future Outlook - The market anticipates that OPEC+ will maintain a significant production increase in the coming months, which may exert downward pressure on oil prices [9]. - The overall sentiment in the oil market remains cautious, with expectations of continued fluctuations in international oil prices [9].

摘要：【图】2025年5月陕西省液化石油气产量数据 2025年5月液化石油气产量统计： 液化石油气产量：9.5 万吨 同比增长：2.6% 增速较上一年同期变化：高9.7个百分点 据统计，2025年5月陕西省规模以上工业企业液化石油气产量与上年同期相比增长了2.6%，达9.5万吨， 增速较上一年同期高9.7个百分点，增速较同期全国高9.6个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业液化石 油气产量424.8万吨的比重为2.2%。 详见下图： 图1：陕西省液化石油气产量分月（当月值）统计图 2025年1-5月液化石油气产量统计： 液化石油气产量：47.9 万吨 同比增长：13.6% 增速较上一年同期变化：高10.9个百分点 据统计，2025年1－5月，陕西省规模以上工业企业液化石油气产量与上年同期相比增长了13.6%，达 47.9万吨，增速较上一年同期高10.9个百分点，继续保持增长，增速较同期全国高15.8个百分点，约占 同期全国规模以上企业液化石油气产量2190万吨的比重为2.2%。详见下图： 图2：陕西省液化石油气产量分月（累计值）统计图 注：主要能源产品产量月度统计范围为规模以上工业法人单位，即年主营业务收入200 ...

s 疯皮期货 沥青早报 2019 - 2022 - 2020 2019 -- 2022 - 2019 -- 2022 2021 - 2020 -2021 - 2020 -- 2021 2023 2024 2025 2023 - 2024 - 2025 - 2023 · 2024 · 2025 华东非标基差 山东非标基差(+80) 华南非标基差 500 700 - 700 г 300 500 500 100 300 300 100 -1007 100 -300 -100~ -100% -500 -300 -300 2019 2020 2021 2022 · 2019 - 2022 · 2020 = 2021 - 2021 - 2022 = 2019 · 2020 · 2023 2024 2023 2025 · 2024 - 2025 - 2023 2024 - 2025 BU09-12 BU06-09 BU03-06 500 - 500 - 500 300 - 300 300 100 100 100 -1000 -100 TA -300 -300 -300 -500 -500 -500 2019 2019 · ...

Core Insights - The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation in synthetic chemistry is seen as the future, enhancing efficiency and reducing reliance on traditional trial-and-error methods [1][3][4] - The vastness of chemical space presents significant challenges for chemists, with the theoretical number of small molecules that can be synthesized reaching 10^60, far exceeding the number of stars in the universe [2][3] - Current methodologies in synthetic chemistry include "top-down" experimental approaches and "bottom-up" theoretical approaches, both facing efficiency and universality challenges, necessitating new tools [3][4] Group 1: Challenges in Synthetic Chemistry - Synthetic chemistry is fundamental for creating materials essential for agriculture, health, and industry, but faces increasing demands for new materials and performance [1][2] - The "top-down" approach relies on chemists' intuition and experience, while the "bottom-up" approach uses computational methods, both of which have limitations in efficiency and applicability [2][3] Group 2: Automation and AI in Research - Automation in laboratories, such as high-throughput technology, has been adopted to enhance efficiency in catalyst development, significantly reducing the time required for experiments [4][5] - The use of automated platforms allows researchers to design and test thousands of catalyst formulations quickly, leading to the discovery of new materials that would take much longer through traditional methods [5][6] Group 3: Future Directions - AI's role in chemistry is currently as a supportive tool rather than a replacement for human intuition, with significant potential for development in interpreting experimental results [6][8] - The concept of "self-driving laboratories" is emerging, where automated systems can analyze results and autonomously design subsequent experiments, creating a rapid iterative cycle of design, execution, and learning [9][10]

摘要：【图】2025年1-5月河南省硫酸产量数据分析 2025年5月硫酸产量统计： 硫酸产量：48.9 万吨 同比增长：-1.2% 增速较上一年同期变化：低19.8个百分点 据统计，2025年5月河南省规模以上工业企业硫酸产量与上年同期相比下降了1.2%，达48.9万吨，增速 较上一年同期低19.8个百分点，增速较同期全国低6.9个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业硫酸产量 890.2万吨的比重为5.5%。 详见下图： 2025年1-5月硫酸产量统计： 硫酸产量：244.5 万吨 同比增长：8.4% 增速较上一年同期变化：高10.4个百分点 据统计，2025年1－5月，河南省规模以上工业企业硫酸产量与上年同期相比增长了8.4%，达244.5万 吨，增速较上一年同期高10.4个百分点，增速较同期全国高3.2个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业硫 酸产量4546.6万吨的比重为5.4%。详见下图： 图2：河南省硫酸产量分月（累计值）统计图 图1：河南省硫酸产量分月（当月值）统计图 注：从2011年起，我国规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务 收入2000万元。 石油化工行业最新动态 ...

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates that the asphalt market in the second half of the year will experience limited supply growth, with refinery production depending on profit margins and downstream demand [1] Supply Analysis - Limited capacity release is expected in the second half, with refinery production influenced by production profits and downstream demand [1] - High dilution asphalt discounts are likely to have a limited impact on independent refinery restarts [1] - Adjustments in fuel oil and dilution asphalt consumption tax refund policies may boost refinery processing profits and operational levels [1] - Maintenance plans for some petrochemical plants in Shandong during July and August will limit asphalt supply increases [1] - Southern petrochemical asphalt production is expected to decrease, alleviating supply surplus pressures [1] - Asphalt inventories at refineries and social storage are at near five-year lows, with significant inventory reductions and strong price support from manufacturers [1] Demand Analysis - The issuance of new local government special bonds is expected to accelerate in the second half, although debt repayment and other projects may squeeze construction funding [1] - Export pressures may increase, while infrastructure investment could ramp up, but actual workload may remain low [1] - The rainy season moving north in the south will gradually restore domestic asphalt demand [1] - Demand was weak in June and July in South China and the Yangtze River Delta, but increased project construction in the north supports demand [1] - From August to October, demand is expected to increase due to project acceleration, with some highway projects entering the paving stage [1] Cost Analysis - The crude oil market experienced high volatility in the first half due to tariff policies and geopolitical conflicts [1] - OPEC+ is expected to continue increasing production in the third quarter, with stable output in the fourth quarter, although export growth may lag behind production increases in the next 2-3 months [1] - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. has decreased, with supply growth in the second half relying on non-OPEC+ and non-U.S. countries [1] - The summer demand peak in overseas markets is anticipated to boost transportation fuel demand in Europe and the U.S. in the third quarter [1] - EIA and IEA predict an oversupply in the crude oil market in the third and fourth quarters, with inventory accumulation pressures persisting [1] - Tight supply-demand conditions in the third quarter may support a rebound in oil prices to $70 per barrel, while the price center may shift down to $55 per barrel in the fourth quarter [1] Strategic Insights - The first half of the year saw an oversupply of asphalt in South China, leading to lower prices and a shift in pricing center due to low-cost resources moving north [1] - The second half is expected to see some supply growth, contingent on processing profits, with increased demand during peak seasons, although overall demand for the year remains weak [1] - The valuation in the first half was considered high, with recommendations to short the crack spread at high prices and to monitor changes in South China warehouse receipts [1]

石油沥青日报 | 2025-07-01 终端需求偏弱，现货观望情绪浓厚 市场分析 1、6月30日沥青期货下午盘收盘行情：主力BU2509合约下午收盘价3564元/吨，较昨日结算价上涨5元/吨，涨幅 0.14%；持仓235183手，环比下降2094手，成交165052手，环比上涨10908手。 2、卓创资讯重交沥青现货结算价：东北，3900—4086元/吨；山东，3620—4030元/吨；华南，3600—3750元/吨； 华东，3650—3800元/吨。 昨日西北以及华南市场沥青现货价格大体企稳，其余地区沥青现货价格均出现不同幅度下跌，沥青盘面则延续震 荡态势，成本端支撑随地缘局势缓和而边际转弱。就沥青自身基本面而言，多空因素交织，缺乏突出矛盾。具体 来看，整体供需两弱格局延续，库存维持低位。原油价格大幅回落后，炼厂生产成本有所修复，炼厂生产积极性 增强，或带动沥青产能利用率增加。与此同时，天气与资金因素制约下，沥青刚性需求缺乏亮点，情绪仍较为谨 慎，整体市场驱动不足。 策略 单边：震荡 跨期：无 跨品种：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 原油价格大幅波动、宏观风险、海外原料供应风险、沥青终端需求变动、装置开工负荷 ...