文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 今天上午大盘一度上涨，到下午突然变成下跌。 截止到收盘，还在5星。 今天上午大盘一度上涨，到下午突然变成下跌。 大小盘股微跌，跌幅也差不多。 价值和成长风格也都下跌。 医药医疗等相对坚挺，略微上涨。 港股下午也下跌，不过到尾盘的时候反弹。 港股整体微涨。港股红利等微涨。 港股一季度财报发布也差不多了。 后面也会介绍下港股主流指数，一季度的盈利增长情况。 海外市场也出现了波动。 特朗普又开始搞事情，宣布要对欧洲等商品提高关税。 在消息宣布后，法股、德股指数一度下跌近3%。 美股开盘后也出现波动。 4月初全球市场因为关税事件，也出现过波动，导致全球股票市场一度下跌到4.1-4.2星。 随后5周全球股票市场反弹。 对美元来说，其实也承受不了太高的关税。 关税提高，有可能导致美股通货膨胀率提升；进而影响美联储降息放缓。 而美元债券规模庞大，较高的利率是比较沉重的负担。 高关税更多的是特朗普用来谈判的工具，而非根本目的，也不用太担心。 1. 有朋友问，今年港股医药涨的比较好，现在估值如何？ A股和港股，在医药指数分类上，有一些小的不同点。 （1）A股医药对应的是医药指数，例如中证 ...

证券研究报告|专题报告 金融工程 2025年5月23日 港股风格多策略方案演绎 证券分析师： 李杨 执业证书编号： S0210524100005 赵馨 执业证书编号： S0210525010002 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 华福证券 华福证券 投资要点 2 华福证券 华福证券 ➢ 港股市场存在显著且周期较长的风格切换。过去十年，港股市场呈现出显著的风格轮动特征，价值与成长风格频繁切换，成长风 格具备阶段性爆发力但持续性较弱，价值风格则在逆风环境中更具稳定性；相比之下，大盘风格在多个周期内累计收益更高，具 备更强的穿越周期能力。不同风格指数在行业配置上存在结构性差异，大盘指数集中于金融、消费、公用事业等稳定行业，小盘 及成长风格指数则偏重科技、医疗和制造业，波动性更大但弹性更强。风格轮动的驱动因素主要包括流动性变化、估值修复与政 策导向，南向资金流入、利率周期、行业监管和宏观预期共同塑造了各阶段的主导风格。 ➢ 价值策略稳健、成长策略高收益高风险、质量策略收益较低但具防御性。价值策略以PB-ROE模型为核心，结合股息率、市盈率等 估值指标，筛选基本面与估值错配的低估标的，同时保留20%金融板块敞口以强化价值 ...

美国更好并购集团 "上有政策，下有对策；股东大会一纸议案，胜似千军万马。"从ChatGPT大模型火遍全球，到A股市场上"股东利益优先"的口号反复被提起，我们似乎处在 一个科技与资本交织共振的时代。 然而，当你细读那些上市公司的股东大会文件，一份又一份议案犹如剧本——改选董事？其实是"实控人"强行安插亲信；资产出售？不过是"腾壳换魂"的幌 子；员工持股？更像是"利益绑定"的陷阱。 美国更好并购集团（Goheal）从上百份上市公司会议纪要中总结出一个颇为现实的观点：很多资本运作的起点，并不是为了所有股东的利益，而是为了"特 定人的控制权稳固"服务的。 一纸议案，是棋局的第一步。 2024年，一家主打绿色能源的上市公司召开临时股东大会，议案只有两项，看起来"合理合法"：一是向某战略投资者定向增发不超过10%的股份，二是同步 增补两位董事进入董事会。资本市场的解读是：引入资金，优化治理。但我们美国更好并购集团（Goheal）发现，这家所谓的"战略投资者"背后，是现任董 事长的关联人设立的有限合伙企业，且该合伙企业正通过信托产品进行资金穿透，实控人表面未变，实则实现了"自我增权"。 资本市场的舞台，从来不缺"拟人化"的 ...

Group 1 - A significant institutional investor has made a bullish bet of several billion dollars on the U.S. stock market, particularly through the purchase of long-dated call options expiring in June 2027 [1] - The total estimated cost of these options is around $3 billion, with a focus on major tech stocks, contributing to a 24% rise in the Nasdaq 100 index since April 8 [1] - The implied volatility of two-year options on the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ.US) has reached its highest level since January, indicating increased market expectations for volatility [3] Group 2 - Specific purchases include $31.6 million for Amazon (AMZN.US), $15.9 million for Salesforce (CRM.US), and $87.8 million for Arm (ARM.US) call options [3] - The long-dated options have higher premiums compared to shorter-term contracts, reflecting the investor's strategy to capitalize on potential volatility increases rather than directly buying stocks [3] - The repeated buying pattern suggests a significant accumulation by one investor, which may influence other market participants to follow suit [3]

Group 1 - The 21st China (Shenzhen) International Cultural Industries Fair opened with a focus on "Innovation Leading Trends, Creativity Illuminating Life" [1] - The Shandong exhibition area featured six major sections showcasing nearly 100 enterprises and over 2,000 products, highlighting the integration of culture and technology [1] - The Shandong exhibition emphasized digital technology's role in enhancing the film industry's productivity, showcasing key film bases and new business models [3] Group 2 - The Shandong exhibition included a "virtual film studio" where visitors could participate in filming experiences, demonstrating advancements in film production technology [2] - Innovative health technology was showcased, including an AI health assessment mirror and a robot for personalized SPA treatments, reflecting the application of technology in cultural consumption [4][6] - The "Good Guest Shandong · Qilu No. 1" tourism train was presented as an immersive cultural experience, allowing visitors to explore Shandong's attractions interactively [7]

美股整体市场维持窄幅震荡格局，但美债市场的动荡仍在持续。其中，美国30年期国债收益率一度升至5.149%，为2023年10月以来最高水平；美国5—30年期国债 收益率曲线陡峭程度一度扩大至100个基点。美联储理事沃勒表示，美联储不会在一级拍卖中购买债券。 有分析称，随着大型投资者开始逐步将美国国债换成其他避险资产，美国的偿债成本将继续攀升，这可能给美元带来进一步的下行压力，并降低美国股市的吸引 力。 美股太阳能板块突遭重击。 今晚，美股开盘后，美股太阳能板块全线暴跌，Sunrun一度暴跌超42%，SolarEdge盘初大跌超26%，Complete Solaria大跌超17%。消息面上，美国总统特朗普签署 的减税法案在众议院以微弱优势通过，该法案可能会终止支持可再生能源行业的众多绿色能源补贴。 美股太阳能板块重挫 北京时间5月22日晚间，美股开盘后，三大指数震荡分化，截至22:30，道指跌0.2%，纳指涨0.51%，标普500指数微跌0.06%。 其中，美股太阳能板块全线暴跌，Sunrun一度暴跌超42%，SolarEdge一度大跌超26%，Complete Solaria大跌超17%，Enphase Ene ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a significant adjustment today, with over 4,400 stocks declining, raising concerns about when stability will return [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index is currently in a "震荡" (oscillating) trend, with limited movement expected in the near term [5] Technical Analysis - The short-term technical indicators show that the 60-minute sequence has formed, while the 90-minute sequence has disappeared, indicating a lack of strong signals at the 120-minute and daily levels [5] - Key support is identified around the 3,360 level, with a strong support range between 3,300 and 3,350 [7] Trading Volume - Recent trading volumes have remained around 1.2 trillion, indicating a relative contraction and a reluctance among investors to sell [7] - Despite potential short-term adjustments, the downside is expected to be limited, and investors are advised to maintain around 50% position to balance risk and opportunity [7] Sector Performance - The military industry sector has shown relatively better performance, supported by favorable domestic policies and a sense of crisis in the environment [9] - The gaming and banking sectors have also seen gains, contributing to the overall market dynamics [10] Investment Opportunities - The recent approval of the third batch of insurance funds for long-term investment reform, amounting to 60 billion, presents a potential opportunity for long-term holdings in dividend-paying sectors [10] - Continuous optimization of the domestic listing environment for quality technology companies is expected to attract significant capital, indicating a positive outlook for the tech sector [10] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment remains cautious, with indications that the recent adjustments are just the beginning of a necessary correction process [8] - Investors are encouraged to be patient and wait for stabilization before making further investments [8]

Group 1 - The major industry ETFs in the US stock market showed mixed performance, with the Utilities ETF declining approximately 2% and the Energy ETF dropping over 1% [1] - The Utilities ETF (US XLU) was reported at 79.62, down by 1.64 (-2.02%) with a trading volume of 2.653 million shares and a market capitalization of 11.559 billion [2] - The Energy ETF (US XLE) was at 81.10, down by 0.95 (-1.16%) with a trading volume of 1.652 million shares and a market capitalization of 20.309 billion [2] Group 2 - The Gold ETF (US GLD) was priced at 303.77, down by 2.05 (-0.67%) with a trading volume of 1.578 million shares and a market capitalization of 82.170 billion [2] - The Healthcare ETF (US XLV) was at 130.94, down by 0.65 (-0.49%) with a trading volume of 1.9005 million shares and a market capitalization of 25.056 billion [2] - The Biotechnology ETF (US IBB) was priced at 121.15, down by 0.54 (-0.44%) with a trading volume of 90,342 shares and a market capitalization of 9.619 billion [2] Group 3 - The Consumer Staples ETF (US XLP) was at 81.31, down by 0.33 (-0.40%) with a trading volume of 1.3075 million shares and a market capitalization of 13.759 billion [2] - The Regional Banks ETF (US KRE) was priced at 56.50, down by 0.15 (-0.26%) with a trading volume of 1.8414 million shares and a market capitalization of 4.715 billion [2] - The Financials ETF (US XLF) was at 50.19, down by 0.10 (-0.21%) with a trading volume of 3.0012 million shares and a market capitalization of 55.858 billion [2] Group 4 - The Consumer Discretionary ETF (US XLY) was priced at 211.89, up by 0.24 (+0.11%) with a trading volume of 288,200 shares and a market capitalization of 26.614 billion [2] - The Global Technology ETF (US IXN) was at 83.87, up by 0.18 (+0.22%) with a trading volume of 6,472 shares and a market capitalization of 1.174 billion [2]

Core Insights - The State Council's Financial Regulatory Administration emphasizes the role of technology insurance as a "shock absorber" and "stabilizer" for key core technology breakthroughs and future industry development [1] Group 1: Current Policies - The Financial Regulatory Administration has implemented three main policy measures to support technology insurance [1] - Improvement of the first set and first batch insurance compensation mechanism, expanding the coverage and optimizing terms, with over 1 trillion yuan in risk protection provided since the pilot began [1] - Optimization of insurance companies' solvency regulatory standards, adjusting risk factors for investments in strategic emerging industries and technology board companies, aiming to release more insurance funds to support capital markets [1] - Pilot program for major technology breakthrough insurance mechanisms in key sectors like integrated circuits and commercial aviation, providing risk-sharing solutions for national technology tasks, with approximately 9 trillion yuan in technology insurance protection provided last year [1] Group 2: Future Plans - The Financial Regulatory Administration is set to implement additional policies [2] - Recently introduced policies allowing insurance funds to invest in unlisted major equity related to insurance business, broadening support for technological innovation [2] - Adjusted regulatory ratios for insurance funds' equity investments, increasing the limit for single venture capital fund investments from 20% to 30% of the fund's paid-in capital [2] - Collaboration with the Ministry of Science and Technology to develop policies for high-quality development of technology insurance, focusing on optimizing the service system and enhancing the role of the insurance industry in risk compensation and funding leverage [2]

近日，科技部等七部门联合印发《加快构建科技金融体制有力支撑高水平科技自立自强的若干政策举 措》(以下简称《政策举措》)。5月22日，科技部副部长邱勇在国新办举行的新闻发布会上介绍，《政 策举措》聚焦创业投资、货币信贷、资本市场、科技保险、债券市场等7个方面，提出了15项政策举 措，既有存量政策的迭代升级，也有增量政策的创新供给。 围绕"募投管退"全链条推出一系列新举措 邱勇介绍，《政策举措》重点围绕畅通创业投资"募投管退"全链条推出一系列新举措，提出扩大金融资 产投资公司股权投资试点范围、支持创业投资机构发债融资等，让创业投资的募资来源更加广泛；引导 金融机构加大对科技型企业的信贷支持。 首先，从供给侧和需求侧两端同时发力，推动科技和金融"双向奔赴"。《政策举措》从科技创新的需求 侧出发，聚焦科技创新的重点领域和薄弱环节的融资需求，强化多元化、接力式的金融支持。比如，为 创业投资"引流""疏堵"，提出发挥国家创业投资引导基金作用，鼓励金融资产投资公司、保险资金、社 保基金等参与创业投资等措施；为进一步强化科技信贷支持，提出优化科技创新和技术改造再贷款等结 构性货币政策工具，引导政策性银行等金融机构支持科技创新 ...