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研选 | 光大研究每周重点报告20250531-20250606
光大证券研究· 2025-06-06 14:09
特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 发布日期: 2 0 2 5 / 0 6 / 0 3 分析师: 姜浩, 孙未未,朱洁宇 市场观点纷繁芜杂,光大研究荟萃本周重点报告,涵盖总量、行业、公司研究,为您筛选有价值的 声音。 每周六早8点,"研选"助您快速厘清投资"点线面"! 公司研究 百尺竿头更进一步,从单品牌单平台向多品牌全渠道集团化蜕变——上美股份(2145.HK)投资价值 分析报告 上美股份2 2年于港股上市,旗下拥有韩束、一叶子、红色小象、一页等多品牌。其中主品牌韩 束为2 4年线上GMV美妆国货品牌第二名、头部美妆品牌增速第一名。公司抓住了抖音平台的发 展机遇,2 3~2 4年业绩高增长。韩束主品牌提质增长,一页等小品牌构建多条增长曲线。 摘 自 : 百 尺 竿 头 ...
网点累计达258座,浙江石油大力拓展咖啡业务
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-06 13:38
Group 1: Coffee Business Expansion - Zhejiang Petroleum has established a total of 258 coffee business outlets, significantly expanding its coffee service network across highways, urban areas, and counties [1] - The company launched its own brand TIKI COFFEE at 68 gas stations in Taizhou, Huzhou, and Lishui in May, enhancing its coffee service offerings [1] - Marketing activities such as free coffee with fuel purchases are designed to create a synergistic "fuel + coffee" ecosystem [1] Group 2: Health Beverage Innovations - Good Want You has introduced a new series of health drinks featuring red dates, including products like red date eight-treasure tea and red date ginger water [2] - The company is open to consumer suggestions for new products, indicating a commitment to innovation in health-focused food offerings [2] Group 3: Tea Industry Trends - The McKinsey report suggests that the tea industry should focus on "essential quality of life" products, emphasizing the health benefits and inherent value of tea [3] - New tea brands are successfully implementing a "rural encirclement of cities" strategy, targeting lower-tier cities to capture market opportunities [3] - There is potential for developing quality, affordable tea products and creating relaxing tea spaces to cater to health-conscious consumers [3] Group 4: Sustainable Sourcing in Beverage Industry - Heytea has achieved zero pesticide residue in the cultivation of kale, which will be used in its products nationwide [4] - The company has undergone extensive third-party testing, confirming the absence of chemical pesticides and fertilizers in its kale supply [4] - The successful launch of the kale-based beverage has led to a broader application of kale in the new tea drink sector [4] Group 5: Market Outlook for Tea Brands - Everbright Securities has initiated a buy rating for the tea brand Guming, which plans to open 2,000 new stores this year, focusing on provinces like Anhui [5] - The projected net profits for Guming from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.961 billion, 2.356 billion, and 2.761 billion RMB, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.82, 0.99, and 1.16 RMB [5] - The introduction of coffee products is expected to positively impact same-store sales and overall revenue [5]
又一茶饮品牌大规模闭店!广州首店曾日销2000杯
Nan Fang Nong Cun Bao· 2025-06-06 12:03
Core Insights - SEVENBUS, a tea beverage brand, is undergoing a significant downsizing, with fewer than 20 stores remaining nationwide, a drastic reduction from nearly 400 at its peak [2][17][18] - The brand, which originated in Xiamen and gained popularity for its unique soy milk tea, has struggled to maintain its market position due to high pricing strategies and failure to adapt to consumer preferences [5][10][22][30] Company Overview - SEVENBUS was established in April 2015 and quickly expanded beyond Fujian province, reaching over 400 stores across more than 20 provinces by 2021 [10][12] - The brand's peak popularity was marked by long queues and high sales, such as 120 million yuan in the first month of a new store opening in Chongqing [13][14] Current Situation - As of now, SEVENBUS has closed many locations, with only two stores operating in its home city of Xiamen [17][20] - The brand's pricing strategy has been a significant factor in its decline, with average product prices remaining above 20 yuan, despite a market trend towards lower prices [22][30][32] Market Analysis - The tea beverage market is increasingly competitive, with leading brands like Heytea and Nayuki lowering prices to attract cost-sensitive consumers [30][31] - SEVENBUS's inability to keep up with market trends and consumer demands has led to a loss of loyal customers and market share [35][36] Future Outlook - The future of SEVENBUS remains uncertain as it faces challenges in finding a new direction for growth amidst a competitive landscape [38][39]
海外消费周报:2025下半年港股消费服务投资策略:关注茶饮新股,把握出行链机会-20250606
Group 1: Hong Kong Consumer Services Investment Strategy - The report highlights the significant effect of the ready-to-drink tea segment, emphasizing the competition in supply chains. Mixue has the largest and earliest established supply chain, while Gu Ming excels in fruit procurement and cold chain logistics. Both companies are expected to enter the Hong Kong Stock Connect on June 9 [1][4]. - Online travel competition in China is improving, with Tongcheng Travel showing high performance and expected profit margin improvements. Trip.com Group's short-term investments may impact profit margins, but long-term growth is anticipated [1][4]. - Macau's gaming revenue shows resilience, with May gross gaming revenue reaching 21.2 billion MOP, a post-pandemic high, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase and recovering 82% compared to the same period in 2019 [1][4]. Group 2: Key Companies to Watch - Key companies to focus on include Gu Ming (01364.HK), Mixue Group (02097.HK), Trip.com Group (09961.HK), and MGM China (02282.HK) [1][5]. Group 3: Overseas Pharmaceutical Developments - The report notes that the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rose by 2.35%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 0.93 percentage points [7]. - Domestic pharmaceutical companies are making progress, with Hansoh granting Regeneron global exclusive rights to its GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist HS-20094, receiving an upfront payment of $80 million and potential milestone payments of up to $1.93 billion [9][10]. - BioNTech and BMS have reached an agreement to co-develop and commercialize BioNTech's dual-specific antibody BNT327, with BMS paying an upfront fee of $1.5 billion and potential milestone payments of up to $7.6 billion [10]. Group 4: Education Sector Insights - The education index increased by 2.2%, outperforming the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 0.4 percentage points, with a year-to-date increase of 8.76% [14]. - The report suggests focusing on Hong Kong higher education companies, anticipating improved profitability due to slowed investment and peak capital expenditures. Recommended companies include Yuhua Education, Neusoft Ruixin Group, and China Education Group [16]. - The report also highlights the recovery in vocational training demand, with a positive outlook for China Oriental Education, which is expected to significantly enhance operational efficiency [16].
一周上新!趁热集合、泸溪河、读酥世家...海内外新品资讯抢先看|全球职人情报站
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-06-06 10:07
东京烘焙职业人每周准时摘取烘焙行业最重要的、最有价值的新品信息、品牌资讯,行业热文和海 外信息,一切你想知道的,都在这里。 在这里不需要恰饭,只需要更新鲜的资讯! 大家好~ 6月10日我们将会和斯顿一起 在视频号为大家开启一场直播, 关于烘焙届的"变形金刚"—— 卡仕达预拌粉的创意应用 做馅料、做挞液、做蛋糕、做甜点... 新手一秒变大师! 直播现场还有精彩互动与抽奖活动, 快点击下方二维码预约~ 1、 红跑车蛋糕hpcbakery【椰奶大砖】 2、趁热集合 HOT CRUSH【七种口味冰蛋挞】 3、米旗【冰面包/冰泡芙】 4、面包工坊【黑金黄芝士布里奥斯】 5、欢牛【牛奶布丁】 6、意诺Uknow【冰面包】 7、全家FamilyMart【心太软软面包】 8、 85度C 【冰镇西瓜超级杯】 9、读酥世家新烘焙【提拉米酥】 10、 泸溪河【牛乳绿豆冰糕】 11、詹记【冰淇淋脆皮泡芙】 12、B&C【法式雪山奶油蛋糕】 13、 廣蓮申 【光明奶油小方】 14、崎本的店【椰风吐司】 15、甜星star【杨梅吐气】 16、石头先生的烤炉【冰面包】 17、 叮咚买菜 【爆馅蛋糕(西番莲芒果+牛乳芭乐)】 1、I Fan ...
什么是“新消费”?年轻人想要的“情绪价值”到底是什么?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-06 09:46
有人说新消费是 "增长速度快",但新能源车从5%到50%的渗透率跃升、宠物食品年均 30% 的增速,似乎又不止于单纯数字上的狂欢;又有人认为新消费是 "颜值经济",可老铺黄金的传统纹样、泡泡玛特受到争议的IP形象,却在 "丑与美" 的争议中破圈而出。当传统消费逻辑在 "看不懂的市场" 前不再适用,我 们也需要重新审视,了解 "新消费" 这一标签背后,究竟藏着怎样的底层逻辑? 为了解答这些问题,观察者网邀请到东吴证券首席分析师吴劲草,为我们带来对新消费的系统性阐述,以及在新消费场景中,对年轻人"情绪价值"的内涵分 析。 吴劲草 以下是相关内容: 我们希望能够给各位讲述关于新消费是什么的话题,而不是简单的说"新消费"这个词,目前甚至会有人说增长速度快就是新消费这样的观点,而其实对新消 费,我们之前也一直缺乏系统性的阐述。那么我们今天就来做一个系统性的阐述。 新消费的指标 首先,新消费是有指标的,新消费的客观指标有三个,第一个是行业渗透率,第二个是百度搜索指数的破圈,第三个是快速增长,至少是25%以上的增速。 新消费的主观要素中,第一个是可交易,体现为上市公司股票可交易或是二手产品可交易,另一个则是易造梗,也就是品 ...
消费板块龙头股暗藏玄机:传统巨头 VS 新兴黑马,谁更值得投资?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 05:54
| | 研究院副副 | 福岡市 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 15:0 | CENSE CORPI | | | | | | | | | EMIS 9制的 | 000558880 | | | 智能在线网址:彩金利用网登录登录 彩票网址官网 | | | GIOULE GAMERS O | | A | 1805 | 0351 1950 374,2500 | | | | | | | | 2017 | 品番組 | CEO TRUD | | | | | | | | 25-32 | TERE | CBS33355 | | CATALOW | | | | | | | 加 | SED. JA229 | | | | | | | | | 品是本站 | 503 1000 | | | | | | | | | 113 | 289 920.00 | | 05 00 11 | | | | | | પાટ ગુ | 118248 | 22500 | | | | | | | | | 800 | SERVE | | GENERA ...
《中国独角兽排行榜2025》出炉 书亦烧仙草实力上榜
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-06-06 05:07
日前,《中国独角兽排行榜2025》正式发布。报告显示,中国独角兽企业总估值达8.46万亿元。其中6 家川企上榜,分别是书亦烧仙草、医联、准时达、威斯克生物、驹马物流、Fiture,全部来自成都。 独角兽企业以其突破性技术产品或新颖的商业模式,被视为经济发展的重要风向标。书亦烧仙草作为新 茶饮企业的代表,此次上榜无疑也是市场对于新茶饮行业的持续看好。数据显示,2025年中国现制茶饮 市场规模预计突破3689亿元。2025年,中国新茶饮市场在消费升级与数字化赋能的双重驱动下,正加速 迈向品质化、规模化扩张的新阶段。 | 中科宇航 | 广东 | 广州 | 2018 | 160 | 航天 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 联合飞机 | 广东 | 深圳 | 2012 | 100 | 航天 | | 临工重机 | 山东 | 济南 | 2012 | 100 | 工业设备 | | 比亚迪半导体 | 广东 | 深圳 | 2004 | 100 | 半导体 | | 沐曦集成 | 上海 | 上海 | 2020 | 100 | 半导体 | | 瀚博半导体 | 上海 | 上海 | 2018 ...
霸王茶姬一季报:净收入增35.4%,用户数突破1.9亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-06 02:40
Core Insights - Bawang Chaji (NASDAQ: CHA) reported strong financial performance in its first quarterly earnings post-IPO, with total net revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, and a net profit of 677 million yuan, up 13.8% [1][2][5] Financial Performance - The company's total GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) reached 8.23 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38% [2] - The net profit margin for the first quarter was 20%, consistent with the previous year's margin of 20.3%, indicating a strong position relative to industry averages [2][5] Store Expansion - As of the end of the first quarter, Bawang Chaji had a total of 6,681 stores globally, with an increase of 241 stores in the quarter and a year-on-year increase of 2,598 stores [4] - The majority of stores (6,512) are located in China, with 169 stores overseas [4][6] User Growth - The company added approximately 15 million new members in the first quarter, bringing the total registered members to 192.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 109.6% [4] - The number of active users for the quarter was reported at 44.9 million [4] Strategic Transition - Bawang Chaji is transitioning from a rapid penetration growth strategy to a same-store sales growth strategy, focusing on new product development and enhancing customer experience [5][9] - The company emphasizes three strategic pillars: global expansion, differentiated product innovation, and a healthy user ecosystem [5][9] Global Expansion - The overseas GMV for the first quarter reached 178 million yuan, marking an 85.3% year-on-year increase, with 13 new overseas stores opened [5][6] - The company has established a presence in Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand, with plans for further expansion in Indonesia [6] Product Innovation - Bawang Chaji launched the "Light Cause" product series in March 2025, catering to consumer preferences and enhancing product differentiation [6][7] - The company is actively engaging with consumers through initiatives like the "Listening to Consumer" project and seasonal product offerings [9]
瑞幸咖啡及行业更新:饮茶or喝咖啡?
2025-06-06 02:37
瑞幸咖啡及行业更新:饮茶 or 喝咖啡?20250605 摘要 瑞幸咖啡通过产品创新(如轻乳茶、柠檬茶)和短期促销活动(如五块 六、五块九)保持竞争力,新品对夏季门店销售有明显拉动作用,且不 影响咖啡交付效率。 瑞幸咖啡开店速度超预期,高线城市与低线城市的新开比例约为六四开, 表明高线城市用户教育和消费频次持续向上,预计全年开店数量将超过 年初指引。 外卖业务显著推动了瑞幸咖啡及整个餐饮行业的发展,尽管平台补贴减 少,但品牌通过增加自身补贴维持门店实收增长,瑞幸咖啡外卖订单占 比已接近 30%。 咖啡期货价格波动对成本端产生影响,但近期阿拉比卡咖啡期货价格回 落,且公司签订采购大单并推出高利润率新品,有助于缓解成本压力并 改善毛利。 茶饮品牌在外卖平台表现良好,普遍有较高的外卖占比,受益于外卖平 台补贴。蜜雪冰城和茶百道等品牌积极参与外卖活动,门店数量和同店 销售额均呈现增长趋势。 Q&A 请介绍一下瑞幸咖啡最近的经营状况和发展趋势。 根据我们的跟踪观察,瑞幸咖啡的同店数据和开店节奏均表现良好,超出预期。 具体来说,同店数据环比和同比均有所改善。虽然具体数据不便透露,但从第 三方数据和专家分析来看,这一趋势得 ...