主力合约前20席位中，多头增仓前三名分别是：国泰君安期货、持仓2835、增仓1427，永安期货、持仓9110、增仓1144，中信期 货、持仓5861、增仓872；多头减仓前三名分别是：广发期货、持仓1587、减仓-897，银河期货、持仓4587、减仓-869，国投期 货、持仓5192、减仓-716； 多晶硅期货全合约总计成交55.71万手，比上一日新增37.67万手。全合约前20席位多头持仓8.11万手，比上一日增加8047手。全合 约前20席位空头持仓6.58万手，比上一日增加4920手。 根据合并数据显示，多头前三席位为永安期货，总持仓9801、中信建投，总持仓9151、中信期货，总持仓8542；空头前三席位为 国泰君安期货，总持仓9043、中信期货，总持仓7291、中信建投，总持仓7032； 新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至5月08日收盘主力合约多晶硅2506,涨跌+2.43%,成交量45.50万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现净 多，差额头寸为13014手。 | | | | | 2025年5月8日多晶硅全合约持仓数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

【行情回顾】 周三贵金属市场明显调整，因美联储利率决议及会后声明传递偏鹰信号不着急降息及美指回升。最终 黄金2506合约收报3372.6美元/盎司，-1.47%；美白银2507合约收报于32.61美元/盎司，-2.31%。 SHFE黄金2506主力合约收报803.5元/克，+0.88%；SHFE白银2506合约收8252元/千克，+0.17%。 【降息预期与基金持仓】 据CME"美联储观察"数据显示，美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为76.1%，降息25个基点的概率为 22.9%，降息50个基点的概率为1%。美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为27.3%，累计降息25个基点的概 率为57%，累计降息50个基点的概率为15%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0.6%。长线基金看，SPDR黄 金ETF持仓日减0.29吨至937.67吨；iShares白银ETF持仓维持在13958.7吨。库存方面，SHFE银库存日减 18.8吨至941吨；截止4月30日当周的SGX白银库存周减13.6吨至1626.5吨。 贵金属日报：美维持利率不变 贵金属高位震荡 夏莹莹（投资咨询证号：Z0016569） 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1 ...

研究员： 廖宏斌 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0020723 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完 整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是 否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发 布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修 改。 国债期货日报 2025/5/7 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 | 最新 | 环比 项目 | | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | T主力收盘价 | 108.850 | -0.19% T主力成交量 | 85388 | 16220↑ | | | TF主力收盘价 | 105.995 | -0.08% TF主力成交量 | 62281 | 7590↑ | | | TS主力收盘价 | 102.308 | -0.01% TS主力成交量 | 4038 ...

研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构 成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、 复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | I 主力合约收盘价（元/吨） | 708.00 | +3.50↑ I 主力合约持仓量(手) | 660,279 | +18761↑ | | | I 9-1合约价差（元/吨） | 27 | +2.00↑ I 合约前20名净持仓(手) | 232 | -7943↓ | | | I 大商所仓单（手） | 3,200.00 | 0.00 | | | ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - On May 7, the manganese - silicon 2509 contract closed at 5598, down 0.39%. The ferro - silicon 2506 contract closed at 5430, up 0.04%. The iron alloy production profit is negative, and the spot production enthusiasm is low. For manganese - silicon, the manganese ore port inventory is accumulating, and the downstream hot - metal production may have peaked. For ferro - silicon, the steel demand expectation is generally weak. Manganese - silicon should be treated as oscillating weakly, and ferro - silicon should be treated as oscillating. Investors should control risks [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Manganese - silicon (SM)**: The closing price of the SM main contract was 5,598 yuan/ton, up 38 yuan; the position was 660,341 hands, up 5,988 hands; the net position of the top 20 was - 27,105 hands, unchanged; the 9 - 5 contract spread was 74 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan; the number of warehouse receipts was 123,166, down 1,405; the basis of the main contract was 12 yuan/ton, down 38 yuan [2]. - **Ferro - silicon (SF)**: The closing price of the SF main contract was 5,430 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan; the position was 461,065 hands, up 21,684 hands; the net position of the top 20 was - 10,455 hands, unchanged; the 9 - 5 contract spread was 26 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan; the number of warehouse receipts was 17,881, up 19; the basis of the main contract was 120 yuan/ton, down 32 yuan [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Manganese - silicon**: The price of Inner Mongolia FeMn68Si18 was 5,610 yuan/ton, unchanged; Guizhou's was 5,600 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; Yunnan's was 5,500 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan. The weekly average of the manganese - silicon index was 5,602.42 yuan/ton, down 94.58 yuan [2]. - **Ferro - silicon**: The price of Inner Mongolia FeSi75 - B was 5,510 yuan/ton, unchanged; Qinghai's was 5,520 yuan/ton, unchanged; Ningxia's was 5,550 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - **Manganese - silicon**: The price of South African Mn38 lump ore at Tianjin Port was 32 yuan/ton - degree, unchanged; the price of Inner Mongolia Wuhai secondary metallurgical coke was 1,070 yuan/ton, unchanged; the manganese ore port inventory was 405.50 million tons, up 32.80 million tons [2]. - **Ferro - silicon**: The price of silica (98% in the northwest) was 210 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of semi - coke (medium - sized in Shenmu) was 670 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - **Manganese - silicon**: The enterprise start - up rate was 40.74%, down 0.85 percentage points; the supply was 182,805 tons, down 3,255 tons; the manufacturer's inventory was 181,800 tons, up 24,200 tons; the national steel mill inventory was 15.44 days, down 1.17 days; the demand of the five major steel types was 128,211 tons, up 1,462 tons [2]. - **Ferro - silicon**: The enterprise start - up rate was 30.75%, down 0.16 percentage points; the supply was 99,000 tons, up 100 tons; the manufacturer's inventory was 83,600 tons, down 11,200 tons; the national steel mill inventory was 15.44 days, down 0.82 days; the demand of the five major steel types was 20,560.40 tons, unchanged [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The blast furnace start - up rate of 247 steel mills was 84.35%, unchanged; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate was 92.03%, up 0.41 percentage points; the monthly crude steel output was 92.8414 million tons, up 16.8722 million tons [2]. 3.6 Industry News - When China's steel exports are at the level of 60 - 70 million tons, there are few trade frictions, indicating that the world steel market needs Chinese steel. - In April, the Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index (Services PMI) was 50.7, 1.2 percentage points lower than in March, reaching the lowest in seven months in the expansion range. - In Q1 2025, China's steel exports continued the "one increase and three decreases" trend of last year, and imports continued the pattern of decreasing volume and increasing price. - South Korea imposed a five - year anti - dumping duty on cold - rolled stainless steel coils from Vietnam [2]. 3.7 Profit and Market - **Manganese - silicon**: The Inner Mongolia spot profit was - 110 yuan/ton, and the Ningxia spot profit was - 420 yuan/ton. Steel mills' procurement was cautious, and the tender quantity decreased month - on - month [2]. - **Ferro - silicon**: The Inner Mongolia spot profit was - 130 yuan/ton, and the Ningxia spot profit was - 70 yuan/ton [2]. 3.8 Technical Analysis - For both manganese - silicon and ferro - silicon, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is below the 20 and 60 moving averages [2].

，短线参与为主。 研究员: 许方莉 期货从业资格号F3073708 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0017638 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 菜籽系产业日报 2025-05-07 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽油(日,元/吨) | 9335 | 119 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽粕(日,元/吨) | 2565 | 17 | | 期货市场 | 菜油月间差(9-1):(日,元/吨) 主力合约持仓量:菜油(日,手) | 139 302424 | -10 菜粕月间价差(9-1) ...

新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至5月07日收盘主力合约对二甲苯2509,涨跌+2.81%,成交量27.05万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现 净空，差额头寸为12292手。 (*文中全合约指交易所公布持仓成交数据的所有合约) 对二甲苯期货全合约总计成交31.50万手，比上一日新增11.09万手。全合约前20席位多头持仓15.01万手，比上一日增加1.85万手。 全合约前20席位空头持仓16.23万手，比上一日增加1.78万手。 根据合并数据显示，多头前三席位为国泰君安，总持仓22548、中信期货，总持仓14354、浙商期货，总持仓9591；空头前三席位 为国泰君安，总持仓32897、华泰期货，总持仓16820、东证期货，总持仓11978； 主力合约前20席位中，多头增仓前三名分别是：中信期货、持仓12939、增仓2386，安粮期货、持仓2356、增仓1866，南华期货、 持仓2704、增仓1373；多头减仓前三名分别是：银河期货、持仓7389、减仓-846，浙商期货、持仓4908、减仓-216，国富期货、 持仓1938、减仓-63； 主力合约前20席位中，空头增仓前三名分别是：中信期货、持仓11019、增仓195 ...

新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至5月07日收盘主力合约PTA2509,涨跌+2.48%,成交量129.80万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现净 空，差额头寸为110732手。 | | 名次 会员名称 成交量(双边) | | 增减 | 会员 | 持买单 | 增减 | 会员 | 持卖单 | 增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | T | 国泰君安 | 429,143 | 105,661 | | 国泰君安 173,162 11,331 | | 国泰君安 | 167,320 | 6,468 | | 2 | 中信期货 | 318,430 | 50,223 | 中信期货 | 79,371 | -696 | 中信期货 136,081 | | -760 | | 3 | 东证期货 | 283,168 | 91,002 | 东吴期货 | 78,147 | -3,204 | 摩根大通 | 100,989 | -5,193 | | 4 | 华泰期货 | 177,517 | 65,511 | 中粮期货 | 65,773 | 401 | 乾坤期 ...

新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至5月07日收盘主力合约低硫燃料油2507,涨跌+2.72%,成交量9.23万手，持仓数据显示前20席位呈现 净空，差额头寸为2808手。 低硫燃料油期货全合约总计成交14.16万手，比上一日新增3.14万手。全合约前20席位多头持仓5.72万手，比上一日增加3898手。 全合约前20席位空头持仓5.52万手，比上一日增加3647手。 根据合并数据显示，多头前三席位为国泰君安，总持仓8334、东证期货，总持仓7599、银河期货，总持仓6397；空头前三席位为 东证期货，总持仓6166、银河期货，总持仓6038、永安期货，总持仓5612； 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 主力合约前20席位中，多头增仓前三名分别是：国泰君安、持仓7102、增仓1404，永安期货、持仓1665、增仓788，银河期货、持 仓4449、增仓769；多头减仓前三名分别是：方正中期、持仓1172、减仓-766，南华期货、持仓1145、减仓-76，西部期货、持仓 1754、减仓-64； 文章来源:新浪期货 | | | | | 2025年5月7日低硫燃料油主力合约2507持仓数据一览 | | | | | | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Maintain a low-buy strategy for precious metals [1] Core View of the Report - The precious metals market rose strongly on Tuesday, influenced by factors such as strong domestic buying demand after the May Day holiday, concerns about potential US tariffs on imported drugs, global geopolitical uncertainties, and the escalation of the India-Pakistan situation. The decline of the US dollar index and the 10Y US Treasury yield also boosted precious metal valuations, while the slowdown of the US stock market rally reflected a decrease in risk appetite. The market focus has shifted to the Fed's interest rate decision early Thursday morning. In the short term, precious metals may remain volatile at high levels but are expected to be in an upward-trending pattern. The medium to long term is also expected to be bullish [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Quotes - Gold 2506 contract closed at $3441.8 per ounce, up 3.6%; US silver 2507 contract closed at $33.435 per ounce, up 2.96%. SHFE gold 2506 main contract closed at 797.2 yuan per gram, up 1.39%; SHFE silver 2506 contract closed at 8235 yuan per kilogram, down 0.04% [2]. - SHFE gold main continuous contract was at 794.8 yuan per gram, up 1.86%; SGX gold TD was at 792.87 yuan per gram, up 1.72%; CME gold main contract was at $3441.8 per ounce, up 2.94%. SHFE silver main continuous contract was at 8235 yuan per kilogram, up 0.65%; SGX silver TD was at 8221 yuan per kilogram, up 0.71%; CME silver main contract was at $33.435 per ounce, up 2.33%. SHFE - TD gold was at 1.93 yuan per gram, up 141.25%; SHFE - TD silver was at 14 yuan per kilogram, up 5.56%. CME gold - silver ratio was at 102.94, up 0.6% [5]. Fund Holdings and Inventories - Long - term funds: SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 1.43 tons to 937.96 tons; iShares Silver ETF holdings remained at 13958.7 tons. In terms of inventories, SHFE silver inventory increased by 0.1 tons to 959.8 tons; as of the week ending April 25, SGX silver inventory decreased by 42.8 tons to 1640.1 tons [3]. - SHFE gold inventory was 15648 kilograms, unchanged; CME gold inventory was 1263.0356 tons, down 0.69%. SHFE gold position was 127407 lots, unchanged; SPDR gold position was 937.96 tons, down 0.15%. SHFE silver inventory was 959.785 tons, up 0.01%; CME silver inventory was 15592.713 tons, up 0.13%. SGX silver inventory was 1640.07 tons, down 2.55%. SHFE silver position was 232016 lots, unchanged; SLV silver position was 13958.73495 tons, unchanged [15][16]. This Week's Focus - New Fed journalist Nick Timiraos wrote that the Fed will be more inclined to "control inflation" in the face of the dilemma of economic recession and inflation pressure and may not cut interest rates without clear signs of a slowdown in consumer spending and an increase in the unemployment rate. Investors are turning their attention to the Fed's interest rate decision early Thursday morning. Although this interest rate decision is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged, investors are concerned about Powell's forward - looking guidance on future interest rate cuts at the press conference. This week's data is generally light. There will be a series of events including the Fed's interest rate decision and press conference early Thursday, the Bank of England's interest rate decision and related reports in the evening, and several speeches by Fed officials on Friday. Also, pay attention to the progress of global trade war negotiations [3]. Nanhua's View - In the medium to long term, it may be bullish. Gold's monthly chart remains strong, and the daily chart has turned strong. In the short term, London gold should focus on the resistance at $3430. If it breaks through, it can be further expected to reach $3500, with support at $3350 and strong support at $3200. London silver's trend is slightly weaker than that of gold, and it is short - term range - bound, with support at $32 and resistance at $33.7. If it breaks through, it can be expected to reach $34 and $34.5. Short - term pullbacks are still regarded as medium - to - long - term buying opportunities [4]. Other Market Indicators - The US dollar index was at 99.2342, down 0.56%; the US dollar against the Chinese yuan was at 7.2097, up 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 41218.83 points, down 0.24%. WTI crude oil spot was at $59.09 per barrel, up 3.43%. LmeS copper 03 was at $9356 per ton, up 1.2%. The 10Y US Treasury yield was at 4.36%, up 0.69%; the 10Y US real interest rate was at 2.04%, down 1.92%; the 10 - 2Y US Treasury yield spread was at 0.53%, up 6% [21].