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滴滴与美团再会巴西:国内胜负未分,此战胜算几何?
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-28 03:30
Core Insights - The Brazilian food delivery market is experiencing increased competition with the re-entry of Didi's "99 Food" and the anticipated entry of Meituan, amidst challenges faced by the dominant player iFood [1][3][7] Market Dynamics - iFood holds an 80% market share in the food delivery app sector, but its actual market share drops to 20-25% when considering traditional ordering methods like phone and WhatsApp [3][6] - iFood's service issues, including high prices and slow delivery, have led to a decline in consumer preference, creating an opportunity for competitors [3][6] Competitive Landscape - Didi's "99 Food" was initially launched in 2019 but faced challenges against iFood's dominance, leading to a temporary suspension in 2023 [5][10] - Didi has a significant user base with over 50 million users, representing over 40% of Brazil's mobile users, and a driver network of 1.5 million [6][10] - Meituan is actively preparing to enter the Brazilian market, having engaged with local logistics operators and established a tax and operational framework [7][11] Strategic Advantages - Didi's re-entry leverages its existing driver resources and user base, potentially lowering operational costs and enhancing competitive positioning [10][11] - The unique motorcycle culture in Latin America allows for efficient dual-use of drivers for both ride-hailing and food delivery services [6][10] Future Outlook - The Brazilian online food delivery market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 17.6% from 2023 to 2030, indicating a robust growth environment [7] - The competition may evolve into a subsidy war among Didi, Meituan, and iFood, with the outcome dependent on resource integration capabilities [11][12]
中概退市:这次“狼真会来”?别怕,不是末日!
美股研究社· 2025-04-27 10:03
以下文章来源于海豚投研 ,作者海豚君 海豚投研 . 有灵魂的思考、有态度的研究。 来源 | 海豚投研 自4月3日美国总统特朗普正式宣布"对等关税"以来,中美之间多次互相提高关税,目前双方相互加征的关税都已在100%以上。且随着贸易摩擦 的升温,中美两国之间的角力有着进一步向其他领域扩散的风险。 值得关注的是:① 近日美国财政部长曾表示, 不排除以在美上市的中概公司强制退市,作为两国间谈判的筹码之一;② 2月21日, 白宫发布 了"America First Investment Policy"备忘录中,也提及了在一定情况下限制美国资金投资于部分中国公司/资产的可能性。 虽然上述两条潜在的风险截至目前仅停留在口头阶段,美国政府尚没有进行任何实质性的动作。但历史上,中概退市威胁并非没有先例: 2020 年~2022年间美国政府就曾以HFCAA法案下,无法获得中概上市公司的审计监管权的原因,正式推进过中概在美退市。 尽管后续中美两国政府达成了协议,中概从美股全面退市并没真正发生,但仍有中移动等公司在争端期间被美政府强制退市,后有如中国石油等 在争端缓解后仍主动选择退市。 由此可见,无论是 强制中概从美股退市、抑或禁 ...
中概退市:这次“狼真会来”?别怕,不是末日!
海豚投研· 2025-04-24 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential risks of forced delisting of Chinese companies listed in the U.S. and restrictions on U.S. investments in Chinese assets, highlighting the historical context and possible implications for the market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Historical Context of Delisting and Investment Restrictions - The U.S. government previously initiated a delisting crisis for Chinese companies from 2020 to 2022 due to the HFCAA, which required companies to meet PCAOB audit standards [8][11]. - The crisis peaked when 150 Chinese companies were placed on a "pre-delisting" list, leading to an average stock price drop of 60% for 19 tracked companies [11][12]. - Although the delisting risk was mitigated through negotiations, some companies like China Mobile were still forced to delist during the tensions [12]. Group 2: Current Risks and Potential Impacts - Recent statements from U.S. officials suggest the possibility of using the forced delisting of Chinese companies as a negotiation tool, indicating a "black swan" risk that should not be ignored [2][3]. - The article outlines the potential impact on various Chinese companies if forced delisting or investment restrictions were to occur, emphasizing that the likelihood of such actions is currently low but not negligible [2][3]. Group 3: Company-Specific Analysis - A table lists various Chinese companies, their U.S. ticker symbols, market capitalization, and the percentage of shares held by U.S. investors, indicating varying levels of risk exposure [3]. - Companies like Pinduoduo and Didi, which are solely listed in the U.S., would face the most significant impact if delisted, while those with dual listings may experience less severe consequences [20][21]. Group 4: Comparison with Previous Delisting Crisis - The current delisting risk is perceived to be more uncertain than the previous crisis, as it may involve more significant political stakes and core interests [18][19]. - The dependency of Chinese companies on U.S. markets has decreased, with the average trading volume in Hong Kong rising from 10% to 34% since March 2022 [20][38]. Group 5: Response Strategies for Companies - Companies that have established dual listings can transition their shares to continue trading in Hong Kong without significant legal hurdles [23][39]. - For companies solely listed in the U.S., there is a pressing need to convert to a primary listing in Hong Kong before any potential delisting occurs [23][39]. Group 6: Broader Implications of Investment Restrictions - If the U.S. government expands restrictions on investments in Chinese companies, the impact would be more severe than a delisting, leading to permanent capital outflows and potential panic selling [27][28]. - The average U.S. investor ownership in tracked Chinese companies is approximately 39.9%, which could lead to significant market disruptions if restrictions are enacted [28][30].
中概退市:这次“狼真会来”?别怕,不是末日!
海豚投研· 2025-04-24 09:56
自4月3日美国总统特朗普正式宣布"对等关税"以来,中美之间多次互相提高关税,目前双方相互加征的关税都已在100%以上。且随着贸易摩擦的升温,中美两国 之间的角力有着进一步向其他领域扩散的风险。 值得关注的是:① 近日美国财政部长曾表示, 不排除以在美上市的中概公司强制退市,作为两国间谈判的筹码之一;② 2月21日, 白宫发布了"America First Investment Policy"备忘录中,也提及了在一定情况下限制美国资金投资于部分中国公司/资产的可能性。 虽然上述两条潜在的风险截至目前仅停留在口头阶段,美国政府尚没有进行任何实质性的动作。但历史上,中概退市威胁并非没有先例: 2020年~2022年间美国政 府就曾以HFCAA法案下,无法获得中概上市公司的审计监管权的原因,正式推进过中概在美退市。 尽管后续中美两国政府达成了协议,中概从美股全面退市并没真正发生,但仍有中移动等公司在争端期间被美政府强制退市,后有如中国石油等在争端缓解后仍 主动选择退市。 由此可见,无论是 强制中概从美股退市、抑或禁止美国资金投资中国资产,虽然最终落地的概率应当非常小,但属于存在先例、不能视而不见的"黑天鹅"风险。 海 ...
​晚点财经丨黄峥成中国首富;太古、恒隆地产利润下滑;万亿公募董事长被查
晚点LatePost· 2024-08-09 14:37
黄峥成中国首富 黄峥成中国首富 太古、恒隆地产利润下滑 万亿公募董事长被查 中芯国际利润率超预期增长 豪华电动车设计陷入两难 中国家庭去杠杆 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取每日商业精华。 据彭博亿万富翁指数,拼多多创始人黄峥最新财富已经达到 486 亿美元,超过农夫山泉创始人钟睒睒 (474 亿美元),成为中国首富。 拼多多的公司价值低于腾讯、字节,(目前)也略低于阿里,但黄峥在拼多多上市前出让给投资方和 团队的股份比例低于其他大公司,至今仍持有拼多多 25% 的股份,远高于马化腾(7.4%)、马云 (3.9%)和王兴(9.6%)。黄峥的净资产巅峰是 2021 年 2 月时的 715 亿美元,一个月后,他卸任拼 多多董事长,转而研究食品科学和生命科学。今年年初以来,拼多多股价跌了约 5.7%,黄峥的个人 财富少了近 30 亿美元。 钟睒睒拥有农夫山泉 84.5% 的股份,并直接和间接持有上市药企万泰生物 73% 的股份。他的净资产 巅峰同样是在 2021 年 2 月,最多时有 974 亿美元,而且他从当年 4 月开始就一直是中国首富。自年 初以来,农夫山泉和万泰生物股价跌幅分别为 34.7% 和 9 ...