Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the effective coordination of development and security in the foreign exchange sector [1][3]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Developments - The international balance of payments has remained stable, with a current account surplus to GDP ratio maintained within a reasonable range, reflecting resilience in foreign trade and investment [3]. - By the end of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, indicating active cross-border investment [3]. - The foreign exchange service environment has improved significantly, with the number of enterprises able to conduct business with just instructions increasing more than fivefold since the end of 2020 [3]. Group 2: Foreign Exchange Reserves and Market Stability - Foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above 3 trillion USD, exceeding 3.2 trillion USD for the past two years, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy [4]. - The cross-border payment and receipt scale is projected to reach 14 trillion USD in 2024, a 64% increase from 2020, with an average annual growth rate 8 percentage points higher than the previous five-year period [4][5]. - The trading volume in the foreign exchange market is expected to reach 41 trillion USD in 2024, a 37% increase from 2020, indicating a well-developed market capable of accommodating various transactions [5]. Group 3: Currency and Risk Management - The flexibility of the RMB exchange rate has increased, with the hedging ratio for enterprises rising from 17% in 2020 to around 30%, and the RMB's share in cross-border trade increasing from 16% to nearly 30% [5]. - The macro-prudential management framework for the foreign exchange market is being continuously improved, enhancing the ability to respond to external risks [5]. - Future stability of the RMB will largely depend on the performance of the USD and domestic macroeconomic policies, with ongoing growth policies expected to be a key factor in stabilizing the exchange rate [6].

Core Insights - The vitality and resilience of China's foreign exchange market have been enhanced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period despite a more complex external environment and increased volatility in international financial markets [2][5]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Stability - China's foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above $3 trillion, consistently exceeding $3.2 trillion in the past two years, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy [3]. - The foreign exchange market has shown rational and orderly trading, with the flexibility of the RMB exchange rate increasing, functioning as an automatic stabilizer for the macro economy and international balance of payments [5]. Group 2: Market Resilience and Regulatory Actions - The ratio of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to approximately 30%, while the RMB's share in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30%, indicating enhanced market resilience [5]. - Over 6,100 foreign exchange-related cases have been resolved, effectively combating illegal activities such as underground money houses, contributing to a more robust and stable foreign exchange market [6]. Group 3: Cross-Border Investment and Banking Capabilities - As of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, reflecting active cross-border investment and financing [7]. - The capabilities of banks in foreign exchange operations have improved, with over 23,000 quality clients, including SMEs, private enterprises, and foreign-funded companies, participating in foreign exchange business totaling over $500 billion [9].

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the deepening of financial system reforms and the construction of a financial powerhouse, with a focus on stable development in capital markets and high-level openness in the foreign exchange sector [1] Financial System Reform - A scientific and robust monetary policy framework is being established, alongside a macro-prudential policy framework and mechanisms for systemic financial risk prevention and resolution [2] - Significant progress has been made in risk prevention and resolution, with over 3,600 illegal shareholders being cleared out and more than 200 companies smoothly delisted during the "14th Five-Year" period [4][8] Support for the Real Economy - Financial support for the real economy has been strengthened, with a reduction in the number of financing platforms by over 60% and a decrease in financial debt scale by over 5% compared to the beginning of 2023 [6] - Infrastructure loan balances reached 54.5 trillion yuan, a 62% increase from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [14] Capital Market Development - By the end of August 2023, various long-term funds held approximately 21.4 trillion yuan in A-share market value, a 32% increase from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [8] - The introduction of policies such as "Science and Technology Innovation Board" and "M&A regulations" aims to enhance marketization and internationalization [8] Foreign Exchange Market - The foreign exchange market has shown stable operation, with cross-border receipts and payments expected to reach 14 trillion USD in 2024, a 64% increase from 2020 [10] - The proportion of the renminbi in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30% [10] Financial Regulation - The bond default rate in the exchange market remains low at around 1%, and about 7,000 zombie institutions have been rectified [12] - A comprehensive regulatory system is being established to prevent fraud and improve rules related to share reduction and quantitative trading [12] High-Level Financial Openness - By the end of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits [20] - The renminbi has become the largest settlement currency for China's external receipts and payments, ranking among the top three trade financing and payment currencies globally [20]

9月22日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍"十四五"时期金融业发展成就。 会上，中国人民银行副行长、国家外汇局局长朱鹤新介绍，"十四五"以来，国际政治、经济、社会 等多元因素交织，外部环境更趋严峻复杂，国际金融市场波动加大。总的看，我国外汇市场运行 平稳，不论是活力还是韧性都在增强。 朱鹤新说，从参与主体看，截至今年6月末，已经有703家银行和115家非银机构参与到银行间外汇市场中，其 中包含了296家外资机构，交易范围已经涵盖了主要的币种，更好满足多层次主体的交易需要。从基础设施 看，交易、清算和支付机制不断完善，有效降低了交易成本和结算风险，更好服务实体经济。 三是外汇市场交易理性有序，稳健性增强。人民币汇率双向浮动、弹性增强，发挥了宏观经济和国际收支自 动稳定器的功能。企业外汇套期保值的比率已经由2020年的17%上升到30%左右，人民币在跨境贸易中的占比 由16%上升到近30%，外汇市场韧性进一步增强。同时，外汇市场宏观审慎管理体系逐步健全，逆周期调节工 具箱更加丰富。近年来面对高波动的国际市场环境，我国跨境资金流动总体均衡，人民币汇率在主要货币中 的表现比较稳健。 朱鹤新表示，展望未来，我国经 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's foreign exchange sector has effectively balanced development and security, steadily advancing high-level openness, which supports the construction of a new development pattern [2] - The international balance of payments has become more stable, with a diversified and resilient foreign trade structure, maintaining a reasonable ratio of current account surplus to GDP [2] - By the end of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, indicating active cross-border investment [2] Group 2 - The quality and efficiency of foreign exchange services for the real economy have significantly improved, with a fivefold increase in the number of enterprises that can handle business with just an instruction since the end of 2020 [3] - Administrative licensing for trade foreign exchange receipts has been reduced by over 70%, and a unified policy framework for fund pools has benefited over 1,000 multinational groups and 19,000 domestic and foreign member enterprises [3] - The cross-border investment system has been established, focusing on institutional investors and direct market access for foreign investors [3] Group 3 - Regulatory and risk prevention capabilities have continuously strengthened in an open environment, with over 6,100 foreign exchange cases cracked since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," effectively combating illegal activities [4] - The foreign exchange market has shown improved functionality, stability, and resilience [4] - Foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above 3 trillion USD, exceeding 3.2 trillion USD in the past two years, serving as an important stabilizer for the national economy [4]

Core Viewpoint - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's financial industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the stability of international payments and the enhancement of foreign exchange services for the real economy [3][4]. Group 1: International Payments and Foreign Exchange Services - The international balance of payments has become more stable, with the current account surplus to GDP ratio maintained within a reasonable range [3]. - By the end of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, indicating active cross-border investment [3]. - The foreign exchange service environment has improved significantly, with banks adopting facilitative measures based on corporate credit status, leading to a substantial reduction in processing times [3]. Group 2: Regulatory and Risk Management Enhancements - The regulatory capacity and risk prevention abilities have been continuously strengthened in an open environment, with a dual management framework of "macro-prudential + micro-regulation" established [3]. - Over 6,100 foreign exchange cases have been cracked since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," effectively combating illegal activities such as underground banking [3]. Group 3: Foreign Exchange Reserves - China's foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above 3 trillion USD, consistently exceeding 3.2 trillion USD in recent years [4]. - The management of foreign exchange reserves has been focused on ensuring asset safety, liquidity, and value preservation, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy [4].

Gold - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points on September 18, with projections indicating two more 25 basis point cuts in the upcoming meetings, targeting a rate of 3.4% for next year, which is less than investors expected [1] - Wall Street believes that the rate cuts will occur faster than the Fed's projections, with futures markets betting on a drop to 3% by the end of next year, significantly lower than the Fed's forecast [1] - Technical analysis shows a bullish trend for gold, with a strong likelihood of further increases, and short-term support at $3,695 [1] Oil - OPEC+ has accelerated production since April, with cumulative increases exceeding the voluntary cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day planned for November 2023, ending a year earlier than expected [2] - The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 4 million barrel increase in distillate inventories, raising concerns about oversupply [2] - Technical analysis indicates a bearish outlook for oil, with a potential drop below $61.50 leading to a target of $55 [2] Dollar Index - New Fed Governor Milan emphasized the Fed's independence and the need for objective economic data interpretation, suggesting a rate cut of over 100 basis points by year-end [3] - Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari noted that a weak job market influenced the September rate cut decision, with further cuts likely in upcoming meetings [3] - The dollar index rebounded strongly post-Fed meeting, with resistance at the 97.80-98 range and key support at 97.23 [3] Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 has maintained a strong bullish trend with high volatility, indicating a high probability of breaking previous highs [4] Copper - Copper prices experienced a pullback from $4.65, finding support at $4.51, with a potential for further gains in the near term [5] - Short-term resistance is noted at $4.62, with a breakout potentially targeting the $4.65-$4.70 range, and support at $4.53 [5] Market Overview - The U.S. House passed a Republican funding bill, but it failed in the Senate, prompting Democratic leaders to seek discussions with Trump to avoid a government shutdown [6] - The EU Commission approved a new sanctions package against Russia, lowering the oil price cap to $47.6 per barrel and proposing a ban on Russian LNG imports by January 1, 2027, a year earlier than planned [6] - The Bank of Japan maintained interest rates, with two members proposing a 25 basis point hike and initiating an ETF selling plan with an annual reduction of 330 billion yen [7]

中国人民银行行长潘功胜（图源：国新网） 其中，在化解融资平台债务风险方面，潘功胜表示，人民银行严肃财经纪律，推动地方政府统筹资金、资 产、资源化解债务风险，剥离融资平台的政府融资功能，转型为市场化的经营主体；引导金融机构通过债务 重组，降低融资平台流动性风险和利息负担。相关工作取得重要的阶段性成效。截至今年6月末，与2023年初 相比，融资平台数量下降超过60%，金融债务规模下降超过50%，总体上地方政府融资平台风险水平大幅收 敛。在金融支持房地产风险化解方面，人民银行立足宏观审慎管理的职能，优化调整首付比、房贷利率等多 项政策，并降低存量房贷利率，每年可为超过5000万户家庭减少利息支出约3000亿元。在化解中小金融机构 风险方面，人民银行会同金融监管部门和地方政府，综合采取在线修复、兼并重组和市场退出等方式，推动 高风险中小银行数量较峰值明显压降。 在外汇市场方面，人民银行坚持市场在汇率形成之中的决定性作用，面对多变的外部环境，保持了人民币汇 率的基本稳定。经过多年的发展，中国的外汇市场参与主体更加成熟，汇率避险工具的使用也更加广泛，市 场更具韧性。债券市场方面，人民银行从宏观审慎的角度观察、评估债市运行 ...

朱鹤新表示，展望未来，我国经济基本面长期向好，高水平对外开放稳步推进，这奠定了国际收支自主 平衡格局的稳定。同时，人民币汇率市场化形成机制不断完善，外汇市场宏观审慎管理更加有效，所以 我们应对外部风险挑战的底气更足，将为"十五五"我国外汇市场健康发展提供更加坚实的保障。 期货日报记者网讯（记者 杨美）9月22日，国务院新闻办公室举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题 新闻发布会，介绍"十四五"时期金融业发展成就。国家外汇局局长朱鹤新在会上提到，"十四五"以来， 我国外汇市场交易理性有序，稳健性增强。人民币汇率双向浮动、弹性增强，发挥了宏观经济和国际收 支自动稳定器的功能。企业外汇套期保值的比率已经由2020年的17%上升到30%左右，人民币在跨境贸 易中的占比由16%上升到近30%，外汇市场韧性进一步增强。同时，外汇市场宏观审慎管理体系逐步健 全，逆周期调节工具箱更加丰富。近年来面对高波动的国际市场环境，我国跨境资金流动总体均衡，人 民币汇率在主要货币中的表现比较稳健。 ...

Global Asset Market Performance - 10 - year Treasury yields of major economies on September 19, 2025: US 4.128%, UK 4.714%, France 3.553%, etc. Latest changes, weekly, monthly and yearly changes vary by country [3] - 2 - year Treasury yields of major economies on September 19, 2025: China (1Y) 3.520%, US 3.976%, UK 2.019%, etc. with corresponding changes [3] - Dollar exchange rates against major emerging - economy currencies on September 19, 2025: South Africa zar 5.324, Russia 17.344, etc. with different changes over different periods [3] - RMB data on September 19, 2025: on - shore RMB 7.118, off - shore RMB 7.119, etc. with various changes [3] - Stock indices of major economies on September 19, 2025: Dow Jones 6664.360, S&P 500 46315.270, etc. with percentage changes over different time frames [3] - Credit bond indices: latest changes, weekly, monthly and yearly changes of emerging - economy investment - grade, high - yield, US investment - grade, etc. are presented [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - A - share closing prices: A - share 3820.09, CSI 300 4501.92, etc. with corresponding percentage changes [5] - Valuation data: PE(TTM) of CSI 300 is 13.96, S&P 500 is 27.73, etc. with环比 changes [5] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.52, German DAX is 2.38 with环比 changes [5] - Fund flow data: latest values and 5 - day average values of A - shares, main board, etc. are given [5] - Trading volume data: latest values and环比 changes of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, etc. are shown [5] - Futures basis and premium/discount data: IF basis is - 37.52, IH basis is 3.66, etc. with corresponding percentages [5] Treasury Futures Trading Data - Treasury futures closing prices: T00 107.835, TF00 105.675, etc. with percentage changes [6] - Fund interest rates: R001 1.4993%, R007 1.5160%, SHIBOR - 3M 1.5620% with daily changes in basis points [6]