Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The price of lithium carbonate is expected to experience wide - range fluctuations [1]. - The trend strength of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Contracts**: The 2509 contract's closing price was 79,180 yuan, down 3,820 yuan from T - 1; its trading volume was 23,175 lots, down 7,397 lots; and its open interest was 51,084 lots, down 5,986 lots. The 2511 contract's closing price was 78,960 yuan, down 3,800 yuan; its trading volume was 932,675 lots, up 154,848 lots; and its open interest was 362,254 lots, down 27,815 lots [2]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipt volume was 24,990 lots, up 670 lots from T - 1 [2]. - **Basis**: The basis of spot - 2509 was 4,720 yuan, up 2,520 yuan; the basis of 2509 - 2511 was 220 yuan, down 20 yuan [2]. - **Raw Materials**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 934 dollars, down 14 dollars; the price of lepidolite (2.0% - 2.5%) was 2,055 yuan, down 55 yuan [2]. - **Lithium Salts**: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 83,900 yuan, down 1,300 yuan; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 81,600 yuan, down 1,300 yuan [2]. - **Related Products**: The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was 36,150 yuan, down 265 yuan; the price of ternary material 523 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 114,460 yuan, down 100 yuan [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 83,925 yuan/ton, down 1,299 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 83,900 yuan/ton, down 1,300 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 81,600 yuan/ton, down 1,300 yuan/ton [3]. - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. (300919.SZ) is involved in salt - lake lithium mines in Argentina through holding and participating in projects. It controls over 10 million tons of LCE, and the value of its lithium resources has increased with the rising lithium carbonate price [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. held a performance briefing on August 22, attracting participation from 145 institutions, including Citigroup and Huaxi Securities, to discuss the company's operational performance and business progress for the first half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Ganfeng Lithium achieved operating revenue of 8.376 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -531 million yuan, and operating cash flow of 300 million yuan [2] Group 2: Business Segment Progress - Upstream lithium resources: The Mariana lithium salt lake project in Argentina produced its first batch of lithium chloride; the Cauchari-Olaroz lithium salt lake project is operating smoothly and is expected to meet annual targets; the Goulamina spodumene project in Mali is in normal operation with shipments ongoing [3] - Lithium salt segment: The Sichuan Ganfeng lithium salt project completed production line debugging, steadily releasing capacity; the first phase of the Qinghai Ganfeng project is in trial production [3] - Lithium battery segment: The business structure has been optimized, significantly improving profitability; solid-state battery business has achieved integrated upstream and downstream layout with commercial capabilities [3] Group 3: Project Planning and Market Response - Mali project impact: Despite complex political situations, the Goulamina project has not faced direct disruptions, with security upgrades and local support being pursued [4] - Cost reduction and planning: Significant cost reduction effects from the Cauchari-Olaroz project; the Mt Marion lithium mine in Australia is expected to enhance yield and reduce costs through ore selection technology [4] - Solid-state battery capacity: The company is developing lithium sulfide and sulfide electrolyte materials, with lithium sulfide products already certified by customers [4]

Group 1 - The company, Yongxing Materials, currently has a lithium battery production capacity of 30,000 tons per year, with 10,000 tons undergoing a green and intelligent upgrading project [2] - The upgrading project is progressing as planned and is expected to be operational on schedule by the end of 2025 [2] - The company has been asked about the expiration of its safety production license, indicating ongoing regulatory considerations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures prices have experienced significant fluctuations, with a recent drop exceeding 4%, following a peak above 90,000 yuan/ton, indicating a volatile market influenced by supply and demand uncertainties [1][2][3]. Group 1: Price Movements - Lithium carbonate prices surged due to rumors of mine shutdowns, reaching over 80,000 yuan/ton by August 11, and further climbing to over 90,000 yuan/ton by August 18 [2]. - Following the peak, prices began to decline sharply, with the main contract hitting the limit down on August 20 and falling below 80,000 yuan/ton by August 22 [1][2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The market's supply dynamics have shifted as companies like Jiangxi Special Electric Motor Co. resumed production, and overseas operations, such as Albemarle's La Negra plant, have also restarted, increasing supply amid high prices [2]. - Analysts predict that the current supply reduction is temporary, with expectations of oversupply in the lithium market over the next two years, potentially exerting downward pressure on prices by 2026 [3]. Group 3: Market Predictions and Strategies - Analysts suggest that the lithium futures market will experience two phases in the second half of the year: a potential price increase in Q3 due to improved macro sentiment and a decline in Q4 as production ramps up [3]. - It is recommended to utilize options to hedge against market volatility, given the high uncertainty in news and market conditions [4].

| 交易日期(日) | 2025-08-21 | 2025-08-20 | 2025-08-14 | 较昨日变化 | 近两周走势 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近月合约 收盘价 | 83000.00 | 81040.00 | 73480.00 | 1,960.00 | w | | 收盘价 连一合约 | 82960.00 | 81000.00 | 85140.00 | 1,960.00 | ( 1 | | 连二合约 收盘价 连三合约 收盘价 | 82180.00 82180.00 | 80880.00 80880.00 | 85300.00 85300.00 | 1,300.00 1,300.00 | | | 收盘价 | 82760.00 | 80980.00 | 85300.00 | 1,780.00 | ( | | 碳酸锂期货 成交量(手) | 777827.00 | 838879.00 | 1060127.00 | -61,052.00 | | | 活跃合约 | | | | | | | (元/吨) 持仓堂(手) | 390069.00 | 395102 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures prices in China experienced significant volatility this week, driven by expectations of increased lithium supply following the resumption of production by Jiangxi Special Electric Motor Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary Yichun Silver Lithium [2][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions - On August 20, lithium carbonate futures contracts fell sharply, with the main contract price dropping to 80,980 RMB per ton, a decrease of 8% [2]. - Just two days prior, on August 18, the contract price had reached a one-year high of 90,100 RMB per ton [3]. Group 2: Supply Expectations - The market's rapid response was influenced by a shift in supply expectations, particularly after the announcement of Jiangxi Special Electric Motor's resumption of production and the confirmation of Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co., Ltd.'s lithium extraction project expected to begin trial production in September [5]. - Yichun Silver Lithium is a key part of Jiangxi Special Electric Motor's integrated supply chain, primarily engaged in lithium ore processing, with an expected initial monthly output of approximately 300 tons, gradually increasing to a maximum of 1,000 tons [5]. Group 3: Domestic and International Supply - The resumption of production by individual companies, while limited in its overall impact on supply-demand dynamics, has been interpreted by the market as a stabilization of domestic lithium resource supply [5]. - Data from Chinese customs indicated that lithium spodumene imports reached 750,000 tons in July 2025, a month-on-month increase of over 30%, marking a historical high for monthly imports [6]. Group 4: International Mining Activity - Significant increases in imports from Australia, Nigeria, and South Africa suggest ample overseas mineral supply [7]. - Major overseas mining companies have also issued production guidance indicating increases, with Australia's Greenbushes project expected to see a 3% to 11% increase in production for the 2026 fiscal year, and Pilbara's project expected to increase by 8% to 15% [7]. Group 5: Market Outlook - Overall, the lithium carbonate market is expected to remain in a capacity release cycle, with both ore and salt lake supplies anticipated to stay high [8]. - Demand remains robust, with an increase in orders for lithium iron phosphate batteries and a rise in production schedules for ternary batteries due to growing downstream demand [8]. - However, the pressure from lithium carbonate inventory will influence the supply-demand dynamics alongside the sustainability of actual demand recovery [9].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The lithium carbonate market sentiment weakened today, with futures hitting the daily limit during the session and the main contract LC2511 closing at the limit price of 80,980. The sharp decline in the market was mainly due to the overall weakening of the macro - environment and capital stampede, while the fundamentals showed no obvious turning signal. The short - term seasonal support maintains a tight balance in the fundamentals, while the medium - term industrial supply and demand remain relatively loose. The lithium carbonate price is still greatly affected by short - term news, with limited downward space, and the main contract may find support between 75,000 - 80,000. It is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term [1][3][6] Summary by Related Content Market Performance - Today, the overall sentiment in the lithium carbonate market weakened. After a sharp low opening in the morning, the market continued to trade downward. Futures hit the daily limit across the board during the session. Some contracts opened during the afternoon session, but the overall market remained weak. The main contract LC2511 closed at the daily limit price of 80,980 [1] Factors Affecting the Market - **Macro and Sentiment Factors**: The sharp decline in the market was mainly due to the overall weakening of the macro - environment and capital stampede. After the main contract broke through 90,000 on Monday but failed to hold, some funds left the market in advance. Yesterday, the market sentiment adjusted, combined with the weakening macro - atmosphere and less - than - expected policy statements. The commodity night market was generally in the red, and negative news also triggered market discussions, intensifying capital stampede [3] - **Supply - related News**: Jiangte Motor announced that Yichun Yinli will resume production, which is in line with the previous 26 - day maintenance plan and has little impact on the overall supply. The Trump administration said it will highly prioritize law enforcement in several new industrial sectors including lithium, mainly related to product exports from Xinjiang. However, lithium projects in Xinjiang have not been scaled up, and the proportion of lithium - battery exports to the US has declined, so the actual impact may be limited. The results of mining rights issues in other mining areas in Jiangxi (except Jiaxiaowo) before September 30 and the resumption of production in Qinghai Salt Lake are still unclear, which may provide trading opportunities [3] Fundamental Situation - **Supply**: The fundamentals have maintained a tight balance recently. The smelting end has short - term inventory support, and supply has not significantly declined. Last week's production data was mainly driven by an increase in subcontracting. However, there is an expectation of a short - term contraction in domestic supply, which is expected to be gradually reflected in this week's data. In July, the total import of spodumene was 750,651 tons, a month - on - month increase of 30.35%, and the import volume increased due to price incentives. The total export of lithium carbonate from Argentina in July was 10,300 tons, of which 9,000 tons were exported to China, with a significant month - on - month increase in exports, which supplemented the reduction in domestic supply to some extent [4] - **Demand**: Demand is showing a stable and optimistic trend, gradually entering the peak season. Most orders for lithium iron phosphate have increased. The production of ternary materials has also increased due to the increase in customer - supplied demand from the cell end. The overall orders for electrolytes are good. However, the sustainability of the actual demand boost under the inventory pressure of the material industry chain still needs to be tracked. Last week, there was a slight de - stocking across the board. The inventory of upstream smelters continued to decrease, while downstream and other trading sectors had a certain amount of restocking. As of August 14, the total weekly inventory in the SMM sample was 142,256 tons, with smelter inventory at 49,693 tons, downstream inventory at 48,283 tons, and inventory in other sectors at 44,280 tons [5] Market Outlook - The short - term price of lithium carbonate is still greatly affected by news, with limited downward space. The main contract may find support between 75,000 - 80,000. It is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term as the fundamentals are in a tight balance in the short term due to seasonal support, while the medium - term industrial supply and demand remain relatively loose. After the third quarter, there are still project expectations for African mines, South American and domestic salt lakes to increase production [6]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - On August 19, 2025, the 2511 contract of lithium carbonate futures dropped 1.79% to 87,540 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate rose 1,100 yuan/ton to 85,700 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate also increased 1,100 yuan/ton to 83,400 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) went up 1,000 yuan/ton to 77,740 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased 60 tons to 23,615 tons [3]. - Jiangte Motor's subsidiary, Yichun Yinli, will resume production after equipment maintenance. The weekly output of lithium carbonate increased by 424 tons to 19,980 tons. It is expected that the supply in August will increase by 3% to 84,200 tons. The lithium consumption of two major cathode materials in August is expected to increase by 8% to 86,000 tons LCE. The total social inventory decreased by 162 tons to 142,256 tons, with upstream destocking and restocking in other and downstream sectors [3]. - The suspension of mining operations has slightly adjusted the oversupply of resources, but there are still uncertainties in other mines. The lithium ore price has exceeded $1,000/ton, providing some support for lithium prices. The price reached over 90,000 yuan/ton this week. With the news of resumption of production and increased imports, there may be a short - term correction, but further attention should be paid to supply disruptions in the resource end [3]. 3. Section Summaries 3.1 Ore Prices The report presents charts of prices for various lithium ores such as lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China), lithium mica (with different Li₂O contents), and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (with different Li₂O contents) from 2024 to 2025 [6][8][10]. 3.2 Lithium and Lithium Salt Prices Charts show the prices of metal lithium, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium hydroxide, and lithium hexafluorophosphate from 2024 to 2025 [12][14][16]. 3.3 Price Spreads The report includes charts analyzing price spreads such as the difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and price differences between domestic and CIF prices for lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate, as well as the basis from 2024 to 2025 [18][20][21]. 3.4 Precursor & Cathode Materials Charts display the prices of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium manganate, and lithium cobalt oxide from 2024 to 2025 [22][25][28]. 3.5 Lithium Battery Prices The report provides charts of prices for 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, lithium cobalt oxide cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [31][33][34]. 3.6 Inventory Charts show the downstream, smelter, and other环节 inventories of lithium carbonate from December 26, 2024, to August 14, 2025 [35][37][38]. 3.7 Production Costs A chart presents the production costs and profits of lithium carbonate from different raw materials such as purchased ternary pole piece black powder, lithium iron phosphate pole piece black powder, lithium mica concentrate, and lithium spodumene concentrate from 2024 to 2025 [39][40][41]. 4. Research Team - Zhan Dapeng, a master of science, is the director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, a senior precious metals researcher, and has won multiple industry awards [43]. - Wang Heng, a master of finance from the University of Adelaide, Australia, is a non - ferrous researcher at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on aluminum and silicon [44]. - Zhu Xi, a master of science from the University of Warwick, UK, is a non - ferrous researcher at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on lithium and nickel [44]. 5. Contact Information - Company address: 6th Floor, Building 1, Lujiazui Century Financial Plaza, No. 729 Yanggao South Road, China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone - Company phone: 021 - 80212222 - Fax: 021 - 80212200 - Customer service hotline: 400 - 700 - 7979 - Zip code: 200127 [47]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - On August 18, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated at a high level. The market showed rigid - demand procurement, and the basis discount widened. In the short - term, both supply and demand strengthened, with the profit margin expanding, lithium carbonate production rebounding, downstream demand rising, and social inventory being depleted. However, it is necessary to guard against the "reversal" sentiment decline. It is expected that the price of lithium carbonate will fluctuate widely. The operation suggestion is short - term range operation and appropriate purchase of options for protection [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - **Closing Prices**: On August 18, the closing prices of the near - month contract, consecutive - one contract, consecutive - two contract, and consecutive - three contract of lithium carbonate futures were 89,300.00 yuan/ton, 89,280.00 yuan/ton, 89,240.00 yuan/ton, and 89,240.00 yuan/ton respectively, showing an increase compared to previous days [3] - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the active contract of lithium carbonate futures on August 18 was 1,036,328.00 lots, an increase of 167,517.00 lots from the previous day. The open interest was 421,106.00 lots, an increase of 19,967.00 lots [3] - **Inventory**: The inventory on August 18 was 23,555.00 tons, an increase of 70.00 tons from the previous day [3] - **Spreads**: The spread between the near - month and consecutive - one contracts was 20.00 yuan/ton, the spread between the consecutive - one and consecutive - two contracts was 40.00 yuan/ton, and the spread between the consecutive - two and consecutive - three contracts was 0.00 yuan/ton [3] - **Basis**: The basis of the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price minus the closing price of the active contract of lithium carbonate futures was - 4,640.00 yuan/ton on August 18 [3] 3.2 Spot Market Data - **Lithium Ore Prices**: The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 978.00 US dollars/ton on August 18, an increase of 38.00 US dollars/ton from the previous day. The average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,385.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 65.00 yuan/ton [3] - **Lithium Salt Prices**: The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%, domestic) was 84,600.00 yuan/ton on August 18, an increase of 1,900.00 yuan/ton from the previous day. The average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2%, domestic) was 82,300.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,900.00 yuan/ton [3] - **Other Lithium - Related Product Prices**: The prices of various lithium - related products such as lithium hydroxide, ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, cobalt - based materials, and negative electrode materials also showed different degrees of changes [3] 3.3 Supply and Demand Information - **Supply**: The weekly production of lithium carbonate increased. The SMM lithium carbonate inventory was 142,256 tons in total, with the inventory of smelters at 49,693 tons, showing a decreasing trend [3] - **Demand**: In the downstream, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased last week. The production of cobalt - based lithium decreased in August, while the production of manganese - based lithium increased. The production of power batteries increased last week. In July, the year - on - year growth rate of new - energy vehicle production and sales continued, but the sales volume decreased month - on - month. The 3C shipment volume was average, and the production plan of energy - storage batteries increased in August [3] 3.4 Company News - Nengdongli stated on the interactive platform on August 18 that since the self - operation of its Lijiagou lithium mine, the operation has been good, and it is currently in the production - capacity climbing stage. De'ayi Industry successfully produced qualified battery - grade lithium salts in July 2025 [3] - Australian Covalent Lithium Company started producing lithium hydroxide at its 50,000 - ton/year Kwinana refinery on August 15, confirming that the commissioning has entered the trial - production stage, but its expansion plan has been shelved [3]

Core Viewpoint - Rongjie Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, despite an increase in revenue, primarily due to falling lithium salt product prices and reduced investment income from joint ventures [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of approximately 85.41 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 48.54% [1] - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was approximately 303 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.06% [1] Business Segments - The lithium mining and selection business saw a substantial increase in lithium concentrate production and sales, with revenue from lithium concentrate products rising by 51.87% compared to the same period last year [1] - In response to the significant drop in sales prices of lithium salt products due to increased supply and concentrated capacity release, the company reduced the production and sales volume of lithium salt products, leading to a substantial decline in revenue from this segment [1] - The decrease in investment income from joint venture lithium salt enterprises also contributed to the overall decline in net profit [1] Market Position - As of August 18, the stock price of Rongjie Co., Ltd. was reported at 36.46 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 9.467 billion yuan [1]