Core Viewpoint - The 2025 36Kr Industry Future Conference in Xiamen, China, focuses on five key sectors: artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, advanced manufacturing, new energy, and large consumption, aiming to address industry challenges and explore development paths [1] Group 1: Conference Overview - The conference is co-hosted with the Ministry of Commerce and emphasizes high standards and value [1] - It aims to integrate national strategic guidance with industry development, focusing on collaboration among government, capital, and industry [1] - A roundtable discussion on "How to Navigate New Energy Investment Amidst Overcapacity" features prominent investors discussing challenges in the energy sector [1] Group 2: Roundtable Insights - The roundtable highlights the rapid development of the new energy sector, which is now facing overcapacity and intensified price wars [3][4] - Investors express a long-term optimistic outlook for the new energy industry despite current challenges [12][11] - The discussion reveals that overcapacity is primarily a structural issue concentrated in the manufacturing sector, with ongoing demand for energy driven by AI and computing needs [8][9] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are shifting towards projects with advanced technology and resilient growth potential, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [10][11] - Investors emphasize the importance of understanding customer needs and market dynamics for successful commercialization of technologies [19] - The focus is on identifying mature projects with established revenue streams to mitigate risks associated with early-stage investments [20] Group 4: Future Outlook - The consensus is that the overcapacity phase is nearing an end, with potential for recovery and new investment opportunities [22] - Successful companies in the future will need to demonstrate technological innovation, effective cost management, and internationalization capabilities [26][27] - Investment firms aim to play a supportive role in industry consolidation and provide necessary resources to help companies thrive [27]

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Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium's stock surged due to the announcement of mass production of energy storage cells, with a market capitalization reaching 108.66 billion yuan [1] Company Summary - Ganfeng Lithium has achieved large-scale production of energy storage cells and established long-term supply partnerships with leading industry players, with full production capacity [1] - The company is also making strides in the power battery sector, with its first 500Wh/kg 10Ah solid-state battery being tested in vehicles and applied in well-known drone and eVTOL companies [1] - Ganfeng Lithium has a strong competitive edge in the energy storage field, being the only company with three industrialized lithium extraction technologies: "brine lithium extraction," "ore lithium extraction," and "recycling lithium extraction" [2] - The company’s Sichuan project has completed debugging, and production capacity is gradually being released, while the first phase of the Qinghai project is expected to reach production by the end of the year [2] Industry Summary - The energy storage market is experiencing favorable policies and demand, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology setting a target of 180 million kilowatts for new energy storage installations by 2027, potentially driving direct investment of about 250 billion yuan [1] - The demand for global energy storage batteries is expected to increase significantly, with a forecasted growth of 60% year-on-year to 521GWh by 2025 and a 36% increase in 2026 [1] - The lithium price has been declining, with domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate prices at 70,000 yuan/ton, down 32% year-on-year [2]

Group 1: Lithium Carbonate Market - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate remains stable at 73,250 yuan/ton as of today [1] - After hitting a low of 60,000 yuan/ton in the first half of 2025, the price rebounded to a peak of 86,000 yuan/ton in August and stabilized at 72,500 yuan/ton in early September [1] - Haitong International believes that with the advancement of "anti-involution" policies and the continuous expansion of demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage, the lithium carbonate price has passed its low point, and industry profitability is expected to gradually recover [1] Group 2: Ganfeng Lithium Industry Developments - Ganfeng Lithium announced on September 18 that its energy storage cells have achieved large-scale production and established long-term stable supply partnerships with several leading companies [1] - The company’s energy storage cell production capacity is currently fully utilized, ensuring stable delivery to customers amid surging energy storage demand [1] - Ganfeng Lithium is also actively developing solid-state batteries for power batteries, which are being trialed in certain vehicle models and applied in well-known drone and eVTOL companies [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook and ETF Performance - According to Industrial Securities, the demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage is expected to grow steadily by 2025, although the industry still faces an oversupply situation due to previous rapid capacity expansion [2] - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a dual benefit of price stabilization and slowed capacity expansion, leading to a gradual recovery in market sentiment [2] - As of September 19, 2025, the rare metals ETF has seen a strong increase of 2.11%, with significant gains in component stocks such as Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [2] Group 4: ETF Fund Flows and Growth - As of September 18, 2025, the rare metals ETF has seen a significant growth of 76.18 million yuan in scale over the past two weeks [3] - The ETF's shares increased by 38.40 million over the past week, with a net inflow of 5.46 million yuan recently [3] - Over the last five trading days, the ETF has attracted a total of 25.09 million yuan in capital [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Yesterday, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures dropped 0.74% to 72,880 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate rose 300 yuan/ton to 73,450 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate rose 300 yuan/ton to 71,200 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) remained at 74,000 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased 120 tons to 39,354 tons [3]. - On the supply side, the weekly output increased 400 tons to 20,363 tons. The output of lithium extraction from spodumene increased 160 tons to 12,869 tons, from lepidolite increased 130 tons to 2,860 tons, from salt lakes increased 90 tons to 2,745 tons, and from recycling increased 20 tons to 1,889 tons. On the demand side, the weekly output of ternary materials increased 158 tons to 166 tons, and the inventory decreased 16 tons to 17,454 tons; the weekly output of lithium iron phosphate increased 630 tons to 78,143 tons, and the inventory increased 775 tons to 96,217 tons. On the inventory side, the weekly inventory decreased 981 tons to 137,531 tons, with downstream inventory increasing 1,216 tons to 59,495 tons, intermediate link inventory decreasing 440 tons to 43,580 tons, and upstream inventory decreasing 1,757 tons to 34,456 tons [3]. - Under the expectation of project复产, the long - position logic has been weakened. However, from the current fundamentals, inventory destocking has accelerated. Before the actual复产 of the projects, in the context of strong demand and pre - holiday stocking for the National Day, the downstream procurement demand will support the price. The price may fluctuate in the short term, and the actual situation of projects in Jiangxi needs to be continuously monitored [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - **Futures**: The closing price of the main contract was 72,880 yuan/ton, down 760 yuan from the previous day; the closing price of the continuous contract was 72,620 yuan/ton, down 880 yuan [5]. - **Lithium Ore**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 858 US dollars/ton, up 1 US dollar; the price of lepidolite (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,105 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of lepidolite (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,815 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of amblygonite (Li2O: 6% - 7%) was 6,025 yuan/ton, down 65 yuan; the price of amblygonite (Li2O: 7% - 8%) was 7,125 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan [5]. - **Lithium and Lithium Salts**: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5% battery - grade/domestic) was 73,450 yuan/ton, up 300 yuan; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2% industrial zero - grade/domestic) was 71,200 yuan/ton, up 300 yuan; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles/domestic) was 74,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) was 78,970 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of industrial - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles/domestic) was 68,960 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (CIF China, Japan, and South Korea) was 9 US dollars/kg, unchanged; the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate was 56,900 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan [5]. - **Price Spreads**: The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 2,250 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price spread between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate was 550 yuan/ton, down 300 yuan; the difference between CIF China, Japan, and South Korea battery - grade lithium hydroxide and SMM battery - grade lithium hydroxide was - 7,536 yuan/ton, up 67 yuan [5]. - **Precursors and Cathode Materials**: The prices of various ternary precursors and cathode materials generally increased slightly, and the prices of lithium iron phosphate products also increased slightly, while the prices of some products such as manganese - acid lithium and cobalt - acid lithium remained unchanged [5]. - **Lithium Batteries**: The prices of most lithium battery products remained unchanged, with only a few showing slight increases [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - **Ore Prices**: There are charts showing the price trends of spodumene concentrate, lepidolite, and amblygonite from 2024 to 2025 [6][7][8][9][10]. - **Lithium and Lithium Salt Prices**: There are charts showing the price trends of metal lithium, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium hydroxide, and lithium hexafluorophosphate from 2024 to 2025 [11][12][13][14][15][16]. - **Price Spreads**: There are charts showing the price spreads between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other relevant spreads from 2024 to 2025 [18][19]. - **Precursors and Cathode Materials**: There are charts showing the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, manganese - acid lithium, and cobalt - acid lithium from 2024 to 2025 [25][26][28][29][30][31][32]. - **Lithium Battery Prices**: There are charts showing the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt - acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [33][34][35][36]. - **Inventory**: There are charts showing the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other links from February 2025 to September 2025 [38][39][40][41]. - **Production Costs**: There is a chart showing the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials such as外购三元极片黑粉,外购磷酸铁锂极片黑粉,外购锂云母精矿, and外购锂辉石精矿 from 2024 to 2025 [42][43]. 3.3 Research Team Introduction - The research team includes Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi, who have rich experience in non - ferrous and new energy research and have won many awards and recognition [46][47].

Group 1 - The current market is in an adjustment phase with a divergence breakthrough, indicating that the recent rebound has ended and a pullback is expected [1] - Historical trends suggest that after a significant upward movement, personal accounts often experience profit withdrawal, leading to a situation where new highs are rarely achieved before further declines occur [1] - Behavioral psychology concepts such as recency effect, loss aversion, availability heuristic, and confirmation bias play a role in market movements [1] Group 2 - Group psychology will ultimately reflect in momentum indicators, with signs of top divergence indicating an increase in retreating and cashing out funds [2] - To effectively track trends, it is essential to learn to identify changes in momentum and understand the overall market psychology [2] - Leading stocks, such as those in the computing power sector, are seen as consolidating and not showing signs of fatigue, suggesting that the market trend is not over [2] Group 3 - New categories that are rising against the trend, such as energy storage and lithium batteries, should be closely monitored [3] Group 4 - The market maintains a multi-mainline structure, reducing the need for excessive concern about overall market movements, allowing individual stock strategies to diverge from broader market trends [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling lithium product prices, but is expected to recover in the second half as prices rebound and new projects progress [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.258 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.82% - The net profit for the same period was -536 million yuan, an improvement of 223 million yuan compared to the previous year - The comprehensive gross margin was 10.78%, down by 0.38 percentage points year-on-year - The net profits for Q1 and Q2 of 2025 were -356 million yuan and -180 million yuan, respectively, with Q2 losses decreasing by 175 million yuan quarter-on-quarter [1]. Market Dynamics - The lithium carbonate price started at approximately 76,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of 2025 but fell to a low of around 60,000 yuan per ton by the end of June - In August, the price rebounded to a peak of 86,000 yuan per ton, with the latest price in September at 72,500 yuan per ton - The demand for lithium carbonate is expected to expand due to the steady growth of the new energy vehicle market and the ongoing energy storage boom, leading to an improved supply-demand balance [2]. Project Development - The company’s Goulamina lithium spodumene project in Mali has officially commenced production, with efforts to accelerate capacity ramp-up - The Cauchari-Olaroz salt lake project in Argentina is in a stable capacity ramp-up phase, with a designed capacity of 40,000 tons/year for lithium carbonate - The Mariana project in Argentina also began production in early 2025, with a designed capacity of 20,000 tons/year for lithium hydroxide [2]. Product Diversification - The company’s business encompasses five major categories of lithium batteries, including solid-state batteries, power batteries, consumer batteries, polymer lithium batteries, and energy storage batteries - The company has established a comprehensive solid-state battery supply chain and possesses commercial capabilities in key areas such as sulfide electrolytes, oxide electrolytes, lithium metal anodes, cells, and battery systems [3]. Industry Positioning - The company is expected to solidify its leading position in the industry as signs of profitability recovery emerge - Multiple business segments are progressing simultaneously, with a target price set at 40.36 HKD based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025 [3].

美联储降息对大宗商品价格或也形成一定支撑。国家金融与发展实验室特聘高级研究员、中国首席经济 学家论坛理事邵宇接受上海证券报采访时表示，美联储降息将导致美元指数下行，大宗商品价格上涨。 避险资产黄金和风险资产大宗金属、科技股的组合或具有配置价值。 固态电池板块今日震荡上行。截至9月19日上午收盘，赣锋锂业(002460.SZ)涨停，股价报52.82元，创两 年来新高，市值为1087亿元。华亚智能、厦钨新能、腾远钴业、天齐锂业、中一科技等跟涨。 消息面上，在9月19日举行的2025遂宁国际锂电产业大会上，工业和信息化部电子信息司二级巡视员吴 国纲在发言中表示，下一步，将强化锂电池技术创新引领，加快布局前瞻技术，加快固态电池、钠离子 电池、全气候电池、快充电池及关键材料的研发和产业化等。加强对锂电池企业全球化布局的指导，支 持国内企业联合出海，开拓国际市场等。 赣锋锂业2025年半年报显示，公司上半年营业收入为83.76亿元，同比下降12.65%；归母净亏损5.31亿 元，上一年同期亏损额为7.6亿元。 该公司表示，2025 年上半年，全球锂盐行业经历深度调整，受供需格局转变、锂产品市场波动的影 响，锂盐及锂电池产 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant growth in the global lithium battery and related materials market, with various segments showing substantial year-on-year increases in production and sales, driven by rising demand for electric vehicles and energy storage solutions. Group 1: Global Battery Production Statistics - In August 2025, global battery production reached 198.42 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 50.31% [1] - From January to August 2025, global lithium battery production totaled 1373.53 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 48.86% [1] - Global energy storage battery production in August 2025 was 54.45 GWh, up 64.5% year-on-year, with a cumulative production of 345.73 GWh from January to August, marking an 81.75% increase [1] Group 2: Material Production Statistics - Global lithium iron phosphate production in August 2025 was 33.85 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 61.72%, with a cumulative production of 230.45 million tons from January to August, up 65.69% [2] - Global ternary material production in August 2025 was 9.61 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.48%, but cumulative production from January to August decreased by 0.23% to 63.76 million tons [3] - Global anode material production in August 2025 was 26.3 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 45.7%, with a cumulative production of 180.74 million tons from January to August, up 35.76% [4] - Global electrolyte production in August 2025 was 20.4 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 38.77%, with a cumulative production of 139.07 million tons from January to August, reflecting a 43% increase [5] - Global separator production in August 2025 was 2.774 billion square meters, a year-on-year increase of 36.65%, with a cumulative production of 19.734 billion square meters from January to August, up 36.64% [5] Group 3: Automotive Industry Growth Plans - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments issued a plan aiming for approximately 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, a year-on-year growth of about 3%, with new energy vehicle sales projected at around 15.5 million, up 20% [1] Group 4: Market Conditions for Lithium Battery Materials - The domestic lithium carbonate market price fluctuated between 72,000 to 74,000 yuan per ton, with procurement activity increasing due to pre-holiday stockpiling [8] - The ternary material market price remained stable, with recent uncertainties in raw material supply affecting prices [9] - The domestic phosphoric iron lithium market price remained stable, with significant agreements signed for future supply [10] - The anode material market is experiencing strong demand, with potential price increases anticipated [11] - The separator market price is stable, with leading companies maintaining high production levels [13] - The electrolyte market is also stable, with expectations of price increases due to tight supply [15] Group 5: Demand in Lithium Battery Downstream Markets - The lithium battery market is maintaining high operating rates, with production expected to peak around late October [16] - New energy vehicle sales reached 268,000 units last week, with a penetration rate of 59.6% [18] - The energy storage market is projected to reach 140 GW of installed capacity this year, closely approaching the target of 180 GW [19]

立足产业需求，联合研究院从安全、效率、集成三大维度发力，构建起支撑信息能源变革的"技术铁三角"。 近日，中国移动-宁德时代信息能源联合研究院（以下简称"联合研究院"）举行"绿动数字经济·智驱能源变革"信息能源创新技术与产品发布会。备储一体化 集成电源与高安全UPS锂电系统齐亮相，这不仅是两款产品的问世，更标志着"能量信息融合创新"从战略构想迈入产业实践。 此次能量与信息的深度融合，不仅是一场跨越边界的产业共振，更为数字经济插上了腾飞的"双翼"。 产业困局： 三大瓶颈掣肘规模化应用 当下，5G网络深度覆盖与AI算力需求爆发形成"双轮驱动"，信息通信领域对锂电池储能的需求呈井喷式增长。然而，产业发展却被三大瓶颈牢牢制约：安 全上，锂电池热失控风险如影随形，核心机楼、数据中心等关键场景"谈锂色变"，一旦发生事故，将给信息系统运行带来不可逆的损失；效率上，现网电池 90％以上时间处于闲置状态，仅承担备电功能，无法参与电网调频调峰、削峰填谷等增值业务，大量能源资源"沉睡"浪费；集成上，整流、电池、温控等设 备"各自为战"，系统集成度低、占地空间大、设备间协同不足等显著推高运营成本。 传统能源供给与信息需求的适配短板已成 ...