Group 1 - The article discusses various upcoming industry reports and presentations, highlighting key topics and speakers [1][4][12] - The first event focuses on Kailong Co., with a performance exchange meeting scheduled for May 6, featuring Wang Liang and Sun, the company's deputy general manager [1] - The second event is a deep report on Pearl River Beer, taking place on May 7, led by analysts Guo Mengjie and Lin Xuxi [1] Group 2 - The third event on May 7 will cover the black electrical appliances industry, specifically emerging markets, with insights from analysts Meng Xin and Zhao Mengfei [1][8] - The fourth event on May 8 will present a deep report on Yixin Group, led by financial analyst Xia Mianang [1][12] - The final event on May 8 will recommend stable medical products, presented by analyst Guo Bin [1]

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 代糖龙头高速成长，盈利水平显著改善 【业绩总结】2024 年公司营业收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润分别为 11.52/2.46/2.31 亿元（同比+32.64%/+27.26%/+31.72%）；2025Q1 公司营业 收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润分别为 3.13/0.81/0.82 亿元（同比 +24.27%/+52.06%/+59.98%）。 百龙创园（605016） 证券研究报告 产能释放带来高速增长，健康甜味剂 Q1 收入翻倍。2024 年膳食纤维/健康 甜味剂/益生元/其他淀粉糖收入分别为 6.24/1.56/3.22/0.04 亿元（同比 +40.42%/+13.85%/+25.43%/-72.48% ） ， 毛 利 率 分 别 同 比 +2.64/-5.36/-0.89/+8.18pct。25Q1 膳食纤维/健康甜味剂/益生元收入分别为 1.70/0.50/0.86 亿元（同比+25.40%/105.31%/17.27%），收入比重分别为 55.27%/16.21%/27.92%（同比-2.48/+5.86/-3.27pct）。 海外市场需求旺盛，Q1 国外占 ...

证券研究报告 基础化工 | 化学制品 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 05 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC：S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | | | | 基本数据 | | | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | 月 | 30 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | 11.20 | | | | 一 年 内 | 最 | 高 | / | 最 | 低 | | | 13.93/7.98 | ...

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 May 2025 康鹏科技 (688602 CH): 归母净利润同比下降 143.95%，ETO 产线扩产 2027 年落地 Shanghai Chemspec: NPAtS Down 143.95% YOY, ETO Production Line Expansion to Be Implemented in 2027 孙小涵 Xiaohan Sun xh.sun@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [(Table_summary] Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) [Table_yejiao1] 本研究报告由海通国际分销，海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司，海通证券印度私人有限公司，海通国际株式会社和海通国 际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌，海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证 券活动。关于海通国际的分析师证明，重要披露声明和免责声明，请参阅附录。(Please see appendix ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][17]. Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid growth in the sugar substitute market, with significant improvements in profitability. Revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items for 2024 are projected to be 1.152 billion, 246 million, and 231 million CNY respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 32.64%, 27.26%, and 31.72% [1]. - The company is benefiting from capacity expansion and strong demand for health-oriented sweeteners, with Q1 revenue from health sweeteners doubling [1][2]. - The overseas market is showing robust demand, with foreign revenue accounting for nearly 70% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11% [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects a gross margin of 33.65% and a net profit margin of 21.33%, with improvements in cost management contributing to these figures [3]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% from 2025 to 2027, reaching 1.534 billion, 1.883 billion, and 2.261 billion CNY respectively [4]. - The net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 37% from 2025 to 2027, reaching 335 million, 416 million, and 513 million CNY respectively [4]. Market Dynamics - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with foreign revenue growing significantly due to increasing health trends globally [2]. - The demand for products like allulose is strong, driven by health-conscious consumers [2]. Cost Management - The improvement in gross margin is attributed to reduced operational costs from new production lines and a shift from outsourcing to in-house production of raw materials [3].

Core Viewpoint - The overall inventory cycle in the U.S. is likely transitioning towards an active destocking phase by 2025, with significant implications for various industries [1][2][3]. Overall Inventory Cycle - In February, U.S. total inventory increased by 2.45% year-on-year, compared to a previous value of 2.25%. Sales increased by 3.45% year-on-year, down from 3.69% [2][3]. - The inventory cycle remains in a passive restocking phase due to "import grabbing," with Q1 net imports increasing by $359.26 billion year-on-year, of which over one-third ($129.71 billion) converted into inventory [2][3]. Industry Inventory Cycle - Among 14 major industry categories, 8 are in a passive restocking phase, including upstream chemical products, building materials, midstream electrical equipment, and downstream durable consumer goods [4]. - Historical inventory percentiles show that total inventory is at a historical percentile of 30.5%, with building materials at 71.5%, automotive parts at 67.8%, and paper and forestry products at 53.8% [4]. Upstream Inventory Status - Half of the upstream industries are in passive restocking, while the other half are in active destocking [5][6][7][8]. - Specific sectors like oil, natural gas, and consumer fuels are in active destocking as of February 2025 [5]. Midstream Inventory Status - Inventory status is mixed, with paper and forestry products in active restocking, while electrical equipment and transportation are in passive restocking [9][10]. - Mechanical manufacturing is currently in passive destocking [9]. Downstream Inventory Status - The current passive restocking phase is prolonged, indicating potential "import grabbing" demand [11]. - Automotive parts are transitioning to active destocking as of February 2025, while other sectors like household durable goods and textiles remain in passive restocking [11].

2025 年 05 月 02 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 liyl03@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 dongbj@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 陈云 S0350524070001 cheny17@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 毛利率改善，2025 年一季度业绩同环比提高 ——回天新材（300041）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 回天新材 | -4.8% | -1.5% | 5.4% | | 沪深 300 | -3.7% | -1.2% | 4.6% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/30 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 8.45 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | | | 6.92-10.70 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 4,727.22 | | 流 ...

中国银河证券宏观经济研究 文/中国银河证券首席宏观分析师 张迪 、 中国银河证券宏观经济分析师助理 铁 伟奥 国 家 统 计 局 最 新 数 据 显 示 ， 2 0 2 5 年 4 月 份 ， 我 国 制 造 业 采 购 经 理 指 数 （PMI）为4 9 . 0%（前值50 . 5%），美国滥施关税影响初现。不过4月政 治局会议已经给出三大重要信号：一是保持国内储备政策的弹性；二是强 化底线思维，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期；三是加紧加快既定 政策的落实落地，加大加力重点领域的政策实施力度。 以下文章来源于中国银河宏观 ，作者中国银河宏观 中国银河宏观 . 国家统计局4月30日发布数据显示，2025年4月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.0%（前值50.5%）。建筑业商务活动指数为51.9%，比上月下降1.5个百 分点；服务业商务活动指数为50.1%，比上月下降0.2个百分点。关税的影响已全面传导至制造业企业。 供需同时收缩，出口影响较为严峻。 4月生产指数49.8%（前值52.6%）。新订单指数49.2%，新出口订单44.7%，分别下降2.6和4.3pct。4月需求下降较大， 尤其是新出口订单 ...

Revenue and Profit - The company achieved total operating revenue of 1.087 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.03% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 27.97 million yuan, up 26.75% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit decreased by 18.02% to 25.14 million yuan [1] Profitability - The company's gross margin improved to 14.92%, an increase of 0.88% year-on-year, and the net margin rose to 2.51%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.27% [2] Cost Control - Total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounted to 101 million yuan, accounting for 9.26% of revenue, which is a decrease of 5.44% year-on-year, indicating effective cost control [3] Cash Flow and Asset Status - Operating cash flow per share was 0.08 yuan, a significant decrease of 65.28% year-on-year, raising concerns about cash flow management [4] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to 880 million yuan, up 54.66% year-on-year, while accounts receivable rose to 785 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.32%, with accounts receivable to profit ratio at 1142%, indicating potential bad debt risk [4] Capital Structure - Interest-bearing debt increased to 1.001 billion yuan, up 7.41% year-on-year, with a cash to current liabilities ratio of only 64.17%, suggesting short-term debt repayment pressure [5] Business Model and Capital Return - The company's performance relies heavily on R&D and marketing, with a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.06%, indicating weak capital returns, and a net margin of 1.33%, suggesting low added value of products or services [6] Dividends and Financing - Since its listing, the company has raised a total of 1.717 billion yuan and distributed dividends totaling 655 million yuan, resulting in a dividend financing ratio of 0.38 [7]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | C | | C | | | C | | | | C 宏观金融数据日报 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变动 (bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变 动(bp) | | | DRO01 | 1.54 | -5.09 | DR007 | 1.78 | 3.35 | | | GC001 | 1.61 | -28.50 | GC007 | 1.68 | -17.00 | | CCC | SHBOR 3M | 1.75 | 0.00 | LPR 5年 | 3.60 | 0.00 | | I | 1年期国债 | 1.46 | -0.50 | 5年期国债 | 1.51 | -2.00 | | 1 | 10年期国债 | 1.62 | -2.35 | 10年期美债 | 4.23 | -6.00 | | 品种 | 收 ...