证券日报网讯1月29日，特变电工（600089）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司注重国际业务发 展，持续推进电力设备产品国际市场开拓，目前海外订单已覆盖亚洲、中东、欧洲、非洲及美洲等多个 区域。 ...

本报告导读： 2025 年 Q4 新股首日涨幅达 176%，并且未盈利新股对 A1 类账户贡献明显，打新基 金中位数 Q4 收益 0.45%，重仓行业为电子、有色金属和电力设备。 投资要点： | [Table_Authors] | 王政之(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 021-38674944 | | | wangzhengzhi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880517060002 | | | 施怡昀(分析师) | | | 021-38032690 | | | shiyiyun@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880522060002 | | | 王思琪(分析师) | | | 021-38038671 | | | wangsiqi3@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080007 | 新股研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.29 未盈利新股显著增厚打新收益 ——2025Q4 打新基金持仓和收益分析 [Table_Report] 相关报告 新股精要—国内汽车制造机器视觉设备龙头易思 维 2026.01.27 北证日均成交金额有 ...

Group 1 - Meinian Health plans to participate in the restructuring of Zhejiang Bangjie Holdings, aiming to become the controlling shareholder after the completion of the restructuring [3] - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals reported that the revenue from gold and silver products accounted for a low proportion of total operating income, with gold sales contributing 18.67% and silver sales 4.54% in the first half of 2025 [4] - Tiens Wind Power decided to implement a long-term production suspension for six wholly-owned subsidiaries to optimize resource allocation and focus on core businesses [5] Group 2 - Tongling Nonferrous Metals indicated significant uncertainty in the price fluctuations of its main products, with a low self-sufficiency rate for copper concentrate posing supply stability risks [6] - *ST Aowei received a notice of termination of listing due to its market capitalization falling below 500 million yuan for twenty consecutive trading days [7] - Foton Motor expects a net profit increase of approximately 1551% year-on-year for 2025, driven by sales growth in new energy vehicles and overseas markets [9] Group 3 - Beimo High-tech anticipates a net profit increase of 1076.16% to 1261.87% for 2025, supported by cost control and reduced credit impairment losses [10] - Zhongke Sanhuan forecasts a net profit growth of 566.23% to 899.35% for 2025, attributed to technological innovation and improved operational efficiency [12] - Wancheng Group expects a net profit increase of 222.38% to 266.94% for 2025, driven by growth in its retail business and improved sales margins [13] Group 4 - Huayi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 191.52% to 330.34% for 2025, benefiting from product optimization and cost reduction measures [14] - Nanmo Biology expects a net profit growth of 269.49% to 423.44% for 2025, supported by increased revenue in the biopharmaceutical sector and improved cost control [15] - Baiao Saitu forecasts a net profit increase of 384.26% to 443.88% for 2025, driven by expansion in overseas markets and recovery in the domestic biopharmaceutical industry [16] Group 5 - Hailanxin expects a net profit increase of 387.47% to 631.2% for 2025, supported by advancements in technology and increased market share in marine observation [17] - Panjiang Co. anticipates a net profit growth of 205.3% to 264.83% for 2025, driven by increased coal production and reduced costs [18] - Huaguang New Materials expects a net profit increase of 104.67% to 141.88% for 2025, with significant growth in the electronic sector [20] Group 6 - Guo Sheng Securities forecasts a net profit increase of 25.44% to 67.25% for 2025, supported by active capital market participation and growth in various business segments [25] - Shengyi Technology expects a net profit growth of 87% to 98% for 2025, driven by increased sales of copper-clad laminates [26] - Sifutian anticipates a net loss of 30 million to 45 million yuan for 2025, although this represents a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [27] Group 7 - Maanshan Steel expects a net loss of 1.9 billion to 2.5 billion yuan for 2025, with a substantial reduction in losses compared to the previous year [28] - Shennong Seed Industry forecasts a net profit of 90 million to 120 million yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from previous losses [30] - Jifeng Co. anticipates a net profit of 410 million to 495 million yuan for 2025, achieving a turnaround from losses [31]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment strategy of Hu Zhongyuan, focusing on AI applications and robotics, while maintaining a cautious approach with a reduced equity position in his funds [1][4]. Fund Performance - Hu Zhongyuan manages a total of 33.2 billion yuan across five funds, achieving an annualized return of 26% over 6.8 years [6]. - The flagship fund, Huashang Runfeng Flexible Allocation Mixed A, has shown a remarkable return of 85.02% in 2025, significantly outperforming its benchmark and the CSI 300 index [11][12]. - The fund's net value has consistently increased, with a 4.28% growth in the current year [11]. Investment Strategy - The fund maintained an equity position below 45% during market downturns in 2022 and 2023, effectively controlling drawdowns [13]. - Starting in Q1 2024, Hu Zhongyuan increased the equity position to over 90%, but has since reduced it to around 50% in Q3 2025, indicating a strategic shift in response to market conditions [15]. - The top ten holdings have become more diversified, with the concentration of the top ten stocks decreasing from 45% to 23% [15]. Sector Focus - The fund is now focusing on AI application hardware and robotics, with investments spread across sectors such as electronics, communications, media, machinery, home appliances, automotive, electric power equipment, and medical devices [17]. - Recent adjustments include new positions in key consumer electronics companies, indicating a shift from upstream technology to downstream applications [17]. Key Holdings - The top ten holdings in Q4 2025 include new entries like Crystal Optoelectronics, GoerTek, and Luxshare Precision, reflecting a strategic pivot towards consumer electronics [17][19]. - The fund has also increased its stakes in companies involved in the robotics sector, such as Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group, while introducing new positions in Jiangsu Leili [19].

公司电源板块业务受单一因素影响，收入出现阶段性较大下滑，直接导致该板块毛利同比减少；新能源 电动汽车充电业务虽实现显著增长，但当前收入规模仍处于较低区间，暂无法抵消电源板块业绩变动的 影响，上述因素共同导致公司本期营业收入及净利润同比下降。 格隆汇1月29日丨奥特迅(002227.SZ)公布，预计2025年亏损6,360万元–7,210万元，上年同期亏损 5,285.99万元；扣非亏损7,000万元–7,850万元，营业收入26,500万元-28,000万元。 ...

驱动这些板块上涨的逻辑，核心在于"预期修复"和"高低切换"。一方面，市场对于春节前的消费旺季抱 有期待，白酒板块的备货行情提前启动，叠加可能进一步落地的"以旧换新"等消费刺激政策，给了资金 做多的理由。另一方面，房地产板块在经历了长期深度调整后，筹码结构已经相对出清，部分政策边际 改善的传闻（如月度数据上报要求调整）便足以引发超跌反弹。 今天是2026年1月29日，市场走出了极为分化的行情，相信很多朋友手中的持仓也是冰火两重天。我们 来一起拆解一下盘面，看看资金究竟在流向何方。 先看整体概览。今日A股三大指数涨跌不一，上证指数顽强收红，微涨0.16%，报4157.98点；而深证成 指和创业板指分别下跌0.3%和0.57%。最引人注目的是科创50指数，全天大跌3.03%，收于1507.64点。 两市成交额显著放大，达到了3.23万亿元，环比增加了超过2600亿元。港股方面相对平稳，恒生指数微 涨0.2%，但恒生科技指数下跌1.41%。 这种"沪强深弱"、主板与科创严重分化的格局，清晰地揭示了当前市场的资金偏好和情绪主线。 从行业板块来看，今天的涨幅榜几乎被传统蓝筹和顺周期板块包揽。食品饮料板块一骑绝尘，暴涨 6 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% to close at 4157.98 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.3% to 14300.08 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 0.57% to 3304.51 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index dropped by 3.03% to 1507.64 points. Overall, there were 1801 stocks that rose and 3562 that fell, with a total trading volume of 32.3 billion yuan, an increase of 2.646 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, food and beverage, media, real estate, non-bank financials, and oil and petrochemicals led the gains, with increases of 6.57%, 3.53%, 2.65%, 2.28%, and 2.23% respectively. Conversely, the electronics, defense and military industry, electric equipment, and machinery sectors experienced declines, with drops of 3.56%, 1.79%, 1.78%, 1.76%, and 1.66% respectively [1]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included liquor, beverage manufacturing, real estate selection, Xiaohongshu platform, oil and gas extraction, short drama games, brand leaders, Pinduoduo partners, virtual humans, insurance selection, Kimi, WEB3.0, rare earths, Chinese corpus, and bank selection. In contrast, sectors such as the SMIC industrial chain, copper-clad laminates, analog chips, and third-generation semiconductors saw a pullback [2].

Core Insights - The photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) has seen a price increase of over 1.2% during intraday trading on January 29, marking three consecutive days of net capital inflow, driven by industry trends and technological breakthroughs [1] Industry Trends - The energy storage trend continues to improve, with the domestic procurement scale expected to exceed 100 GWh by December 2025, showing characteristics of simultaneous growth in both volume and price [1] - The weighted average price of lithium battery energy storage systems has rebounded month-on-month, indicating a positive market shift [1] - Energy storage is likely to become a standard feature for grid-connected green electricity projects, with multiple provinces issuing clear guidelines [1] Demand for Power Equipment - The expansion of AI and the global upgrade of power grids are driving demand for transformers and other power equipment, with China accounting for 60% of global transformer production capacity, positioning it as a key supplier [1] - Chinese leading enterprises are experiencing robust overseas orders as they transition their export products towards high-end markets [1] Photovoltaic Technology Advancements - In the photovoltaic sector, the efficiency of heterojunction/perovskite tandem solar cells has surpassed previous benchmarks, aligning with high-end applications such as space photovoltaics due to their high efficiency and lightweight characteristics [1] - The industry is witnessing a shift away from internal competition, accelerating the restructuring of supply and demand [1] - Solid-state batteries are entering a critical window for engineering and industrialization [1] Market Overview - The photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which reflects the overall performance of upstream, midstream, and downstream companies in the photovoltaic industry, covering sectors such as silicon materials, silicon wafers, battery cells, modules, and related equipment manufacturers [1]

Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve maintains the benchmark interest rate at 3.50%-3.75%, aligning with market expectations after three consecutive 25 basis point cuts[2] - The FOMC meeting minutes indicate initial stabilization in the unemployment rate and persistent high inflation, with a commitment to achieving maximum employment and a long-term inflation target of 2%[2] Market Performance - As of January 28, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57%[4] - Market turnover reached 2.99 trillion yuan, an increase of 708 billion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating sustained market activity[4] Securities Firms - Over ten listed securities firms have reported positive earnings forecasts for 2025, with many showing a year-on-year net profit growth exceeding 50%[3] - The growth is attributed to a rebound in capital market activity, boosting core business areas such as brokerage, investment banking, and wealth management[3] Bond and Currency Markets - The yield on 10-year government bonds is reported at 1.822%, down by 0.62 basis points, while the DR007 rate is at 1.548%, down by 3.54 basis points[5] - The US dollar index strengthened to 96.35, with the offshore RMB trading at 6.9434 against the dollar, indicating pressure on the yuan[6] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led gains with an increase of nearly 6%, followed by resource stocks like oil and coal[4] - In contrast, sectors such as electronics, power equipment, and pharmaceuticals experienced notable declines[4]

Overview of Public FOF Funds in Q4 2025 - As of Q4 2025, there are 549 FOF products in the market with a total scale of 244.188 billion yuan, an increase of 26.20% compared to Q3 2025 [1][2] - FOFs are categorized into three types based on the proportion of equity assets: bond-type FOFs (less than 30%), balanced FOFs (30% to 60%), and equity-type FOFs (more than 60%) [3] - The scale of bond-type FOFs reached 161.113 billion yuan, accounting for 65.98% of the total market FOF scale, which has been increasing since Q1 2024 [4] FOF Fund Manager Preferences - The top three actively managed equity funds with the most FOF holdings are: 1. Fuquan Stable Growth A (31 FOFs) 2. Boda Jiuhang C (22 FOFs) 3. Zhongou Dividend Enjoyment A (21 FOFs) [20] - The largest FOF holdings by scale are: 1. Xingquan Business Model Preferred A (4.77 billion yuan) 2. Yifangda Information Industry Selected C (3.65 billion yuan) 3. Yifangda Kerong (3.59 billion yuan) [20] Changes in FOF Fund Manager Allocations - In Q4 2025, the most net increased actively managed equity funds by FOFs are: 1. Yifangda Reform Dividend (4 FOFs) 2. Jingshun Longcheng Stable Return C (3 FOFs) 3. Zhongou Small Cap Growth C (3 FOFs) [33] - The largest net increase in scale for actively managed equity funds is for Jingshun Longcheng Stable Return C (0.66 billion yuan) [34] FOF Stock Investment Situation - By Q4 2025, 168 FOFs directly invested in stocks, with the highest proportion in balanced FOFs, followed by equity-type FOFs [1] - The top three stocks held by FOFs are: 1. Zijin Mining 2. Ningde Times 3. Hanwujing-U [1] Performance of Different Types of FOFs - In Q4 2025, the median returns for different types of FOFs are: - Bond-type FOFs: 0.33% - Balanced FOFs: -0.64% - Equity-type FOFs: -1.21% [13] - The top-performing bond-type FOFs in Q4 2025 are: 1. Tianhong Pension Target 2030 One-Year Holding (2.92%) 2. Ping An Yingyue Stable Return One-Year Holding A (1.81%) 3. Guotai Ruiyue Three-Month Holding (1.80%) [15][16] FOF Configuration by Fund Managers - The top three fund managers with the most FOF configurations in Q4 2025 are: 1. Yang Meng 2. Fan Yan 3. Liu Jianwei [1] - The most configured bond-type fund is Guangfa Pure Bond A, held by 32 FOFs [27]